Avisan
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Posts posted by Avisan
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2 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
As for what I envision..........I envision Allen(and his agent, family etc..) having to be dissuaded from seeking greener pastures if they don't get past Mahomes and to a SB this year or the next at the latest.
If he decides he wants to go to a place with an offensive minded HC who actually gets to Super Bowls INSTEAD of staying with McDermott and getting speedboat out of the playoffs every year, Pegula will have to oblige. Just like Detroit had to with Stafford. But you can be sure that the Bills organization will try to give Allen the same situation in Buffalo first. They'd be dumb not to. Elite QB's are a lot harder to find than solid HC's.
Remind us again why you consider this elaborate fan fiction of yours to be a probable scenario?
What evidence do you have to support any of these ideas?
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10 minutes ago, Warcodered said:
"If you don't have confidence in yourself how is anyone else supposed to believe in you. Confidence comes from putting in work, God blesses you with somethings but the rest you have to contribute for yourself."
What a diva. 🙄
Right?
I know some folks get grumpy when a certain card is mentioned, but come on now people
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7 minutes ago, PBF81 said:
Long rant
Buddy, Mario Manningham and David Three both did basically nothing with their careers outside of improbable Superbowl catches for the Giants. Diggs was a middling-to-poor postseason player for us that ALSO did not have any big step-up moments. That is eminently replaceable in the postseason, and there is no reason why a different player would be any less likely to step up than he was.
Even the very best teams have a pretty poor probability of winning the playoffs in any given year. Let's do a math exercise.
Team X is a dominant roster with great coaching. They catch a first round bye. They have an 80% chance to win the divisional roound. They have a 75% chance to win the AFCCG. 70% to beat the best team in the NFC. They are THAT good.
What are the odds that they win the Superbowl in this hypothetical?
42%. This utterly dominant team that wins, at worst, 7 out of every 10 games they play against the best the league can offer, would win the Superbowl less than half the time.
I would give the Bills a ~10% chance this season, same as about any other season. 75% chance to win the wildcard round with 50/50s the rest of the way, which I feel like lines up pretty well with the past results we've seen.
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1 hour ago, BBFL said:
Definitely didn’t split any more pants over it.
Is that a direct quote from Ms. Glab?It might be missing a word or two, but yeah, she got caught on a hot mic and said this essentially verbatim.
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Just now, PBF81 said:
Why would we not?
LOL
Oh, no reasons.
And no, you don't need the best roster in the league to win the Super Bowl. If by this, You just need to win 3-4 games in a row at the end of the season, you mean the postseason, yes, that's correct. And that's all, huh. LOL But in 7 seasons with our current head coach, we've strung two wins B2B in the postseason only once, and the first of those games we nearly lost to a notably inferior team with inferior talent and Reich as the head coach. After those two games our coach gave the game away.
So yeah, that's all we need to do, but if it were that easy then we wouldn't be having this exchange. Right.
I'll put it another way, with one of the most prolific WRs in the game and top defenses, we've failed to do that. Now with a new C/QB pairing, WRs absent a true #1 (pending the draft and then only a rookie) and possibly even a #2 given the takes on Davis, an all but completely new secondary, the expectations are similar?
Well, OK. We all have our opinions. As I've expressed to another, I'm envious of people thinking like that. None of the circles that I keep offline are nearly as optimistic. Hell, some think I'm overly optimistic. LOL
I didn't say it was easy. It's never easy. It's still quite possible. We will almost certainly make the playoffs again, and once you're in, anything can happen. Allen is a good enough QB and McDermott is a good enough coach that as long as a few players step up to make a big play or two in the postseason we can plausibly go the distance.
Diggs is a very good player, but he didn't ever step up in the postseason so I have no real concerns regarding our postseason chances. I don't think any of our roster losses materially impact our overall chances.
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13 minutes ago, PBF81 said:
You think that this team as it now is has a decent shot to win the Super Bowl this year?
Yes? Why would we not? Diggs does nothing in the playoffs and our defense was a M.A.S.H. unit and we still had a decent shot at it this past season.
You don't need the best roster in the league to win the Superbowl. You just need to win 3-4 games in a row at the end of the season. Having a better roster makes that easier, but the Giants did it twice with merely decent teams and guys stepping up at the right moments.
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14 minutes ago, finn said:
Yikes, that hurts our depth. Now we have Elam, Lewis, and....[crickets]
Rookie late round pick will likely be CB5. Honestly, we're fine.
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Bills players were put in a position to win or tie at the end of regulation. They simply did not make the necessary plays. Coaches did their job.
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25 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:
There is a difference between regular season and playoff football. Something the Bills are 0-3 against the Chiefs in. If it’s 50/50 the Bills would have won one of themThat is not how probability works.
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3 minutes ago, Niagara Dude said:
I just love how KC all out blitzes when they need a stop and they won the game tonight because of it.
We did it vs. the Broncos and they completed a prayer ball. Cue the "McDermott is clueless!1!!1" cries, etc.
Y'all are exceptionally outcome-based when it comes to determining what is and is not a good call.
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Just now, HappyDays said:
How do teams constantly miscommunicate and leave Kelce wide open?? That's the one player everyone should be paying attention to.
It's really difficult to orchestrate assignments and coverage exchanges in realtime
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27 minutes ago, Jrb1979 said:
IMO due to the drought years, many are afraid to go back to that. Many are happy to be a playoff contender every season and have a shot on the Lombardi.
This is literally the only reasonable bar for success. Demanding a championship or bust is perhaps understandable on an emotional level for any given low-information fan, but that is not a reasonable way to run a successful NFL organization.
It isn't as though the rabid masses would give the Bills a free pass if they did, in fact, do a major shakeup and still didn't win make the Superbowl. They would be furious that the Bills had not conjured up a championship out of the ether and demand more heads roll. How could they fail, when blowing up a successful, functional organization was such an obvious and easy move to make?
The league's history is littered with great QBs who never won a Superbowl. The sense of entitlement it takes to presume that a great QB will get there year-after-year unless the coaching is terrible is beyond absurd.
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1 minute ago, Billever76 said:
Dink and dunk kills clock and you better make sure your long time consuming drives end in touchdowns...there is such a small room for error in that offense
There is far less room for error in big play offenses, what amount to variance swings will just wreck you sometimes.
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27 minutes ago, Billever76 said:
Might as well trade allen if that's the box our coaches put him in...go get tua and run the two step drop and out offense
Honestly this is just idiocy
Dink and dunk against the Cover 2 shell is what sets up the big shots you want to see, and it worked all night
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22 minutes ago, jhh9327 said:
And while it didn't end up hurting us on the scoreboard, he made another clock management error in the first half when he took our first TO immediately after the play that got us down to the 13. You don't need or want 44 seconds left at that point when you still have 2 TO's remaining and only have a handful of plays left at most. Should have let it run a down more before he took the first TO. Gave the ball back to Mahomes with 28 seconds left.
Allen took that timeout, you could literally see him call for it on the broadcast.
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2 minutes ago, Niagara Dude said:
16 passes not 2 yards beyond the line of scrimmage, that is Trent Edwards level offence
It worked. If we stuck to that plan, we likely put up 31 points on an exceptional Chiefs D despite no field position help.
Brady was ruthless with the dink and dunk. Sometimes that is what the defense is giving you.
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17 minutes ago, Blazman11 said:
Dude just stop. You look like a complete idiot. The end zone play was there. It wasn't reckless, it wasn't a stupid decision, it was the right decision. Allen got hit as he was throwing and couldn't put it where he wanted. The receiver was wide open in the end zone.
If Allen throws it to Diggs and we still don't score on the drive I'm sure you would be the first person here saying Allen should have thrown the ball in the end zone when the play was there. You should be wondering why we were at best playing for OT and most likely would have lost anyways in regulation. There were still 2 more downs to pick up 8 yards. Or why we constantly ran into the line on first down banging our heads into a brick wall when they were ripe for play action. Or giving McDermott everything he wants on D to come up short again. McDermott had the game he creams his boxers over - 186 yards rushing and dominating in time of possession. And he still lost.
Yeah no, I was mentally begging him the entire time to take the Diggs crosser, it's the right call there. If you take the endzone strike there, it's gotta be perfect. It's a tough throw, despite our QB being good enough to make it look easy most of the time.
Still thrilled to have him as our QB. We were very close to pulling it off. Just couldn't quite come up with all of the plays when we needed them.
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Just now, Governor said:
And then KC would’ve scored 3 plays later.
That's the whole point of getting the TD with < 1 min on the clock and no KC timeouts. That is MUCH harder to pull off than 13 seconds.
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1 minute ago, Billever76 said:
Brady had a hc who understood what system was the best for his skill set....no brady wouldn't have won running a read option offense and allen didn't win running a dink and dunk ball control conservative offense
He almost did. Then it was abandoned after the two-minute warning.
If Allen learned how to dink and dunk, and then punish defenses for dropping out of the Cover 2 shell to stop it he's be more or less unstoppable. He was nearly unstoppable THIS game despite receiver drops, low overall yards/attempt, etc. 31 points on this Chiefs D despite no help in the field position department would have been an absurd feat.
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3 minutes ago, Billever76 said:
What's nonsense is taking allen and putting him into an offense philosophy catered to a brady,tua,burrow qb ...that's like having a brady,burrow or tua offense and making those players play in a read option rpo offense.....McDermott isn't the right coach for our qb....our offense has been slowed down per our hc wishes
You didn't answer the question.
Did Brady not have a killer instinct because he killed you 6-7 yards at a time?
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Just now, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:
I get everyone wants to bleed the clock down as much as possible but number priority had to be to score a TD.
again, scenario is totally different if a TD only puts you up 3. In that scenario then bleeding the clock is more important than scoring.
Number one priority is to tie or go ahead with no time left on the clock for the Chiefs. A decade ago this was commonly and thoroughly understood, and I'm frankly confused at why so many posters here aren't getting it.
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1 minute ago, Chugga said:
Exactly it doesn’t let your QB have a killer instinct. It applies ALL of the pressure onto Allen. Instead of trying a 9 minute drive to end the game the Bills should have been playing for the lead and if you’ve got a defensive coach you get that lead then get a defensive stop then you let your all world QB place the dagger. But the whole game ended up condensing itself down to a single drive where any misstep basically ended up in us losing the game.
This is nonsense. Did Brady not have a killer instinct because he killed you 6-7 yards at a time?
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1 minute ago, Billever76 said:
It's the methodical ball control mcd offense...it's forces allen and the offense to be absolutely perfect or they end up wasting allot of time and come up empty...this offense approach effectively limits the possessions of its best player to keep the defense closers fresh to never close out a game
The Cover 2 shell came back into vogue because the current top QBs won't punish you for it. The methodical ball control offense WORKS. It wrecks the Cover 2 shell. Slowly, but surely. It worked all game. We screwed ourselves on the final drive by gunning for the endzone instead. If we had kept with that offense, we likely win the game. Putting up 31 on that Chiefs D would have been an amazing feat, and that ball control offense would have done it. We watched the Patriots pull it off year after year in that exact fashion, much to our despair.
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Yeah, I don't get the fear narrative. It isn't about fear; it's about delivering the mortal wound.
Getting the TD with 1:55 left, 2 TOs for KC, and 4-down territory all drive isn't mortal. Not when your defense is barely able to be fielded.
The mortal wound is grinding down the clock and getting the TD at the end. Brady and Manning take the underneath there. They take the high percentage passes that they know WILL lead to the endzone at the end, or at worst set up a chip shot field goal with minimal time left.
Brady and Manning felt inevitable. They would grind it down the field and break you, and all you could do was watch. We spent two decades under Brady's heel, we all should KNOW what that looks like. Allen went for the lower-probability, survivable strike instead and didn't connect.
Still beyond thankful we have him. It's okay to acknowledge what he lacks compared to the true greats, though.
1 minute ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:
okay, so what time are you comfortable with? 1:40? 1:30? 1:20? 1:10? What’s the magic number? Eventually you have to score. In a perfect world you score with 1 second.
Also in a perfect world Bills are up 4 TD’s and it’s all irrelevant. You can’t play the game based on perfect scenarios occurring.
< 1 minute to go and both timeouts spent. We were on track to do it.
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Rd 2, Pick 33: WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
For what it's worth, "I have spoken" is basically 1B to "This is the way"'s 1A.
As in, it's just kinda goofy and he's likely having a giggle while you are working yourself up over a Star Wars quote.
He didn't attack anybody on a personal level, just dropped a Mandolorian quote. I think you can probably ease off, here.