SoTier
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Posts posted by SoTier
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14 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:
I'm not surprised. IIRC, Whaley was in the Steelers' organization before he came to the Bills.
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9 hours ago, Albany,n.y. said:
I've seen worse. #1 overall picks who never amounted to anything. Heisman winners who never played a down in the NFL-Charlie Ward chose the NBA over the NFL. Other Heisman winners were busts &/or late round career backups.
The Browns did not do Mayfield dirty. They wanted to upgrade from him. Responsible teams upgrade positions. If Watson gets suspended, all Mayfield has to do is grow up & look at what Drew Brees did. Brees' replacement was drafted by the Chargers and Brees sucked it up & played lights out for 2 seasons and then left for NO and had a HOF career. A Watson suspension would be a great opportunity if Mayfield understood the opportunity that he still might have. Instead he's whining about wanting to be on another team instead of looking to prove his value in Cleveland like Brees did in San Diego. His best chance to light it up is in an offense he already knows because if he doesn't go to a new team soon, he'll be behind the learning curve of the other QBs on the new team.
Brees is an excellent example, especially because he shares some physical limitations with Mayfield, primarily height and arm strength.
9 hours ago, cba fan said:you are wrong. Mets are large majority in Queens.
I think that the Yankees are the favorite baseball team of the majority baseball fans in every county in New York State from Queens to Erie.
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1 hour ago, GottaRun said:
I have a single season ticket, was only able to get to 2 home games last year (Canadian) and was able to sell my ticket for face value for every game but 1 which I ended up giving away... so it's not hard. Sold 3 of them to the guy who sat beside me so he could come with a friend, worth talking to people around you.
When I had season tix, I got to be friends with the couple sitting next to me (I had sesats on the aisle). I sold the tix to them a couple of times when none of the family wanted to go.
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3 hours ago, NewEra said:
I don’t disagree that we’ve seen Baker perform at a higher level to date. If you only look to stats to back your point, than yes, the choice is Baker.
But when looking at the QB position, you have to look at overall potential. After 4 years, Baler has shown marginal growth. He’s small and got broken. Now he’s crying that the browns set him up to lose on purpose. Meanwhile, nobody is standing up for him. No one wants him to come in and lead their team. Nfl players are vocal on social media. Literal crickets regarding Baker. That means something.
Wilson has better physical tools and isn’t a stooge. I think we saw the best version of Baker in 2020. If I had to choose, I’d take the higher ceiling and potential of Wilson over the highly combustible higher floor of Baker.
I bolded the biggest problem with Mayfield that I see. Essentially, he made the same mistakes in 2021 that he was making in 2019 and 2020. Cleveland didn't decide to move on from Mayfield because his physical play suffered from his injury but he was still making the same kind of stupid decisions as a fourth year QB he was making as a sophomore. I'm not sure that he's put in enough time/effort into understanding the mental nuances of playing QB in the NFL. He obviously doesn't learn from his mistakes because he keeps making the same ones again and again.
Mayfield also doesn't take responsibility for his own mistakes but blames others, which is simply unacceptable in an NFL QB. He's done it repeatedly, and it's likely why he's doesn't get support from his teammates. IOW, he not only has progressed enough to become a top QB, he doesn't seem to have the personality to be one, either.
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8 hours ago, Draconator said:
Inventory is sooooo low right now it's down right crazy. Yet I would agree that this may be overpriced.
The market for $1million+ condos in downtown Buffalo is probably much smaller than the market for $250K condos, and certainly much smaller than $1 million+ single family homes in the city and suburbs.
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22 minutes ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:
"Hi, I'm Russ! Sounds like you folks here at the Browns could use an experienced executive who relates to the other teams and your fanbase as a 'straight up guy'!"Neither Cleveland nor the Browns fans deserve this plague. Maybe Pats fans deserve Brandon but not Browns fans. Hell, even Jests fans don't deserve him.
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On 5/3/2022 at 11:29 PM, Marv's Neighbor said:
I'd like it better if they'd stick to the weather, and bag all the global warming crap. Hope to never see Jim Cantore near where I live!
You sound like one of those fools who don't wear seat belts because he/she doesn't personally know anybody who was saved from serious injury or death because he/she was wearing one.
On 5/4/2022 at 5:53 AM, Nextmanup said:I have now lived in SE FL long enough to know that TWC very deliberately hides/bends/manipulates the Truth to make all things as horrific and scary as possible--to the point that I no longer rely on them for weather related information.
I'm specifically talking about our annual hurricane scare that usually comes in the first week of September.
For a week or so there will be a ton of national talk about the big hurricane that might hit FL and all the local grocery stores and gas stations go empty. Everyone shudders their windows and hopes the big storm misses.
During these periods, the local weather guys really come to the fore with honest, accurate information. They will always encourage safety and evacuation if you are in an evacuation zone, but if the storm is weakening or moving away from us, they will say as much.
At those times, TWC will just continue to go foot to floor "doom and gloom" 24/7, to the point where I have learned you can't rely on them for accurate information.
Doom and gloom sells, and the vast majority of TWC's viewers are NOT going to be impacted by the hurricane, so why not deliberately over-dramatize the situation? That seems to be their approach.
Their shtick is deliberate and done in bad faith.
You do realize that a week out from landfall, the exact path of any hurricane is still too subject to a variety of atmospheric steering forces for anyone to predict with high accuracy for any specific location, right? It's hardly "bad faith" to warn people of the possibility of dangerous weather. Prior to Katrina, Louisianans and other Gulf Coast residents held "hurricane parties" as they waited for big storms to come ashore rather than evacuate. They don't do that much any more.
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On 5/1/2022 at 11:04 AM, goldenboy81 said:
As long as there is 3 noodle arm quarterbacks in our division, I don't see any of them as a threat.
On 5/1/2022 at 11:08 AM, SCBills said:
Wilson doesn’t have a noodle arm. I’m not saying he’s very good, rookie year was rough, but he can sling it.I would take "noodle arm" with good "other desirable QB traits" over "non-noodle arm" with mediocre/poor "other desirable QB traits". The question for the AFCE QBs not named Allen is, do they get better in their second and third seasons, and if they do, how big are their step ups?
I expect that Mac Jones will improve because he reminds me of Tom Brady in 2001/2002. We tend to forget that Brady wasn't always the Tom Brady of 2007. Early in his career, he was considered a "system QB" with modest talent by many, especially football message board gurus who were fans of other AFCE teams.
I think that Zach Wilson has to improve significantly as a sophomore or the Jests will be QB hunting again in 2023.
I don't think that Tua changes much. He was a dink and dunker in college, and he's still a dink and dunker in the pros. I don't know if he can really get the most out of Hill and Waddle with his style but it might be enough for the Fins to make a WC spot. There's also a new coaching staff in Miami which might or might not be an improvement over the previous regime, which did get a lot out of the talent it had.
I voted for the Pats being a push and the Jests and Fins being improved.
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8 hours ago, BringMetheHeadofLeonLett said:
Brandon was GM for the Maybin pick, and Manual was clearly Whaley's guy, thus the save-his-own-ass idiotic trade up for Super Sammy.
There's plenty of reasons to go after Nix if you're so inclined- no need to rewrite the man's work.
I liked Nix overall. Poor guy was stuck between ol' 'cash to cap' and having a frickin' concrete weight in Doug Whaley chained to his leg.
But we actually looked like a football team out there. For the first time in a decade I didn't feel like an NFL Europe team got plopped into the middle of the AFC East.
sure we didn't seriously compete with NE, but we did finally beat them under his tenure.
I like Nix.
Thank you for setting the record straight. Compared to the manure show that were the Bills drafts under Russ Brandon/Dick Jauron (2006-2009), Nix was a breath of fresh air.
One of the things to keep in mind about the Bills GMs from January, 2006 through May, 2018 (when Russ Brandon was fired), GMs had very limited power. Essentially, Brandon and his bean counters controlled budgets, especially coaching staff budgets, and frequently decided which players to acquire or keep based primarily on financial considerations. Russ Brandon operated on the principle of maximizing profits with little concern for fielding a winning team. Before joining the Bills in the early 2000s, he had infamously sold off most of the talent from the 1997 World Series Champion Florida Marlins in the 1998 MLB off-season, resulting in the Marlins finishing with the worst record ever for any MLB team that won the World Series the year before. The Marlins payroll went from the near the top of the league to bottom feeder territory but their profitability improved significantly.
The Bills GMs during Brandon's regime were:
2006 - 2007: Marv Levy was a figurehead. I think it was Wilson's way of helping Levy financially.
2008 - 2009: No formal GM. Brandon ran the show financially. Jauron selected the talent.
2010 - 2013: Buddy Nix was primarily a talent evaluator. He resigned as GM in May, 2013.
2013 - 2017: Doug Whaley was again another a talent evaluator. He was fired immediately after the 2017 draft.
2017 - present: Brandon Beane was hired with a lot of support from Sean McDermott. Like his predecessors he didn't have full control over the team. When Russ Brandon was fired in May, 2018, Pegula gave Beane full control of the team. After the end of the 2018 season, the Bills fired the entire offensive coaching staff except for Brian Daboll. They not only replaced all of the fired coaches, but also hired a bonafide QB coach to mentor Josh Allen ... and as the pundits say, "the rest is history".
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On 4/30/2022 at 12:23 AM, Jay_Fixit said:
I actually question if any of you like the Bills if you enjoyed that. Probably all became Bills “fans” over the last 2 years.
It was awful. Embarrassing. And nothing a real fan of the Buffalo Bills would enjoy.
I think I've likely been a Bills fan longer than you've been alive since my fandom began in 1963, so if I wanted to be snooty about bandwagon fans, I could diss anybody who became a Bills fan during the Glory Years, especially somebody pretending that he/she knows what "a real fan of the Buffalo Bills would enjoy". FTR, this real Bills fan of 59 years loved it.
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11 hours ago, chris heff said:
Does this surprise anyone? Didn’t the Bills fire everyone in scouting department immediately after 2017 draft?
Yes, they did. I think at about the same time, too. They can't fire the college scouting staff before the draft because they know the collegiate players. I think Modrak and the other management guys got the boot first, and then some/many of the scouts were let go. IIRC, the Bills added additional scouts.
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On 4/27/2022 at 10:59 PM, Tierlifer said:
Pretty awesome site that shows how many birds are migrating through where you live at any given time. Peak season going on right now (at night). These frigid temps for late April are keeping the traffic low for now but on Sunday when it was in the 70s , I saw that 380,000 or so birds were flying over the 607 at about 3:00 am or so.
Thank you very much! It's an awesome site. I was checking what birds were migrating at night through my county and the rose breasted grosbeak was the third one on their list. Yesterday afternoon, I happened to look out my kitchen windows at the bird feeders and there's a brightly colored male rose breasted grosbeak (and likely his more drably colored girlfriends) at my sunflower feeder.
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On May 2, 1982, The Weather Channel debuted!
It made a weather junkie out of me! I wake up with TWC every morning.
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One draft doesn't make a trend but only 1 QB was taken in the first round in 2022, and that at 20th, and none were taken in the second round. That's the first time that's happened since 2000. One of the big arguments for the rookie salary scale was that first rounders, especially QBs taken high in the first round, were getting astronomical salaries before they took a snap. One of the results of the rookie salary scale was that it set salary ranges for rookies by draft position. It made taking a QB high in the first round relatively "cheap", especially when teams could get an extra year at a reasonable price by exercising the fifth year option. This led to what appeared to be QBs being "overdrafted", ie teams in need of starting QBs taking QBs that maybe they didn't really love or weren't really first rounders just to make sure they got one.
Is this really the beginning of the end of QBs being "overdrafted" or is it just a fluke?
For a decade or so, it seemed to work really well. It became fairly common for 3 or more QBs to be taken in the first round. Between 2011, the first year of the rookie salary scale, and 2020, the last draft that teams have to decide whether to exercise their fifth year options on their first rounders, there were 28 QBs taken in the first round. Only 6 of those QBs became bonafide franchise QBs, at least for several years: Newton (2011), Luck (2012), Mahomes (2017), Watson (2017), Allen (2018), and Jackson (2018) which is only about 21% success rate. Another 6 -- Tannehill, Winston, Goff, Wentz, Mayfield, and Murray -- have been at least decent starting NFL QBs but certainly not nearly as good as the first six. I believe that all of the teams that drafted these 12 QBs exercised their fifth year options on them.
Deciding to exercise the fifth year option on a first round QB is easy when a young QB shows to be a stud early on but with some that don’t continue to develop or regresses, the decision to exercise the fifth year option is a lot harder. Moreover, it can be a very expensive mistake as Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold from the 2018 draft demonstrate.
Meanwhile, between 2011 and 2019, other NFL teams drafted QBs after the first round and also found bonafide franchise QBs or decent starting NFL QBs. Russell Wilson (2012 3rd round) and Dak Prescott (2016 4th round) are bonafide franchise QBs. Kirk Cousins (2012 4th round) might also be one, too. Andy Dalton (2011 2nd rounder), Derek Carr and Jimmy Garoppolo (both 2014 2nd rounders) have all been decent NFL starters, and probably better QBs than at least some of the second group of first rounders. In fact, between 2011 and 2016, the third and fourth rounds produced as many franchise QBs as the first rounds, and Wilson has had a significantly better career than either Newton or Luck, and Prescott also appears likely to have a better career too.
These results and the astronomical rise in QB salaries may have made at least some NFL teams reconsider “overdrafting” QBs since they’ve become quite expensive, and are only “bargains” if they actually develop into top tier franchise QBs, which only about 1 in 5 QBs drafted high actually do. The #1 pick in the 2022 draft will probably get a first contract of about $41 million dollars, much of it guaranteed. Pick #33, the first in the second round, will cost slightly under $10 million without most of it guaranteed. QBs taken in the third round will generally make less than $1 million a year.
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2 hours ago, Captain Hindsight said:
Because Hurts is closer to Tyrod than Allen. Like I give them credit for putting the best they can around him, but the problem is Hurts. He’s fine, but I’m sure the Eagles are looking to move on
^^^
12 minutes ago, DCofNC said:Hurts is closer to Tebow that anybody, he’ll be a backup soon enough.
I don't think that either of you remember how Josh Allen played as a sophomore. He showed flashes of possibly being a really good QB but he was inconsistent in his accuracy and his decision-making and played "hero ball" too often. It was only in his third season that Allen blossomed into a top QB. Hurts has shown enough potential that he could very well develop into a franchise QB. Just because he might be as talented as Josh Allen doesn't mean that he's trash, but the Eagles will never know how good he can be if they don't support him with top quality targets.
Eli Manning was a decent NFL QB but not nearly as good as his brother Peyton, but he has as many Super Bowl rings as Peyton.
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3 minutes ago, H2o said:
Actually, I think DeVonta Smith was already a true #1 in the making. Smith and Brown will be one of the better duos in the NFL. Their OL was already solid, they have a decent RB group, and Goedert is a quality TE. The Eagles are trying to move up on the Cowboys in that division.
Well, now they have a bonafide #1 and maybe a #1A. My point is that they wanted to give their young QB every opportunity to prove himself and not be hampered by a poor supporting cast. That's exactly what a well run team does.
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10 hours ago, DCofNC said:
Yep, absolutely insane when they touch the ball less than 10x a game. Even crazier when you don’t have a QB. The Eagles are a horribly run team.
The Eagles did for Jalen Hurts what the Bills did for Josh Allen: got him a real WR1. How is that "horrible"?
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Only about 60% of the players taken in the first round are good enough to stay with their original team for four years. I haven't seen any stats for fourth rounders lasting for four years but I'd bet it's 10% or less for fourth rounders. It's probably significantly less for fourth rounders going to perennial playoff contenders. The chances of a fourth rounder having significant impact with the Bills would be pretty slim.
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4 hours ago, H2o said:
Not a surprise really. I think, a lot like things were done around here, Schoen and Daboll go after a QB in the 2nd draft. Next year will be WAYYYYY better to do so. And if somehow Jones turns out to be what they are looking for? They have the Franchise Tag option and then can negotiate. Can't blame them one bit for not gifting the guy $22M though.
If Jones explodes this season, he would have wanted a new contract for next year anyways, so this is a smart move on their part IMO. I think this is probably a reaction to the failure of so many first round QBs to actually turn into franchise QBs. These are the first round QBs taken since 2015:
2015: Jameis Winston (1), Marcus Mariota (2)
2016: Jared Goff (1), Carson Wentz (2), Paxton Lynch (26)
2017: Mitch Trubisky (3), Patrick Mahomes (10), Deshaun Watson (12)
2018: Baker Mayfield (1), Sam Darnold (3), Josh Allen (7), Josh Rosen (10), Lamar Jackson (32)
2019: Kyler Murray (1), Daniel Jones (6), Dwayne Haskins (15)
The bolded QBs are the bonafide franchise QBs who are/were worth their fifth year salaries, although all but Lamar have gotten extensions/new contracts, and Lamar's lack of an extension/new contract is more that he hasn't pushed negotiations rather than the Ravens not wanting to keep him. That's only 4 franchise QBs out of 16 QBs taken in the first round.
The underlined QBs (Baker and Kyler) have shown some promise but they haven't proven that they are actually worth even the big bucks of their fifth year option much less new contracts IMO. Their play seems to be similar to the how Goff and Wentz played in their first three years: some flashes but not consistently top quality play. The Rams and Eagles both exercised the fifth year options on Goff and Wentz, gave them new contracts, and regretted doing so. Cleveland exercised Baker's fifth year option but his play last season didn't merit a new contract. The Browns went out and got a better QB. Kyler hasn't shown that he can perform at a high level for an entire season, but he's threatening a hold out if he doesn't get a new contract before the start of his fourth season. We'll see how that all shakes out.
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7 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
Meh........you are getting carried away with yourself just for the sake of it there.
Addressing the offense with a first round pick first assumes that it's a position you should use a first round pick on.
Technically a blocking TE, a fullback or a slot-receiver-only are also offensive players but throwing a first round pick at them doesn't really make sense.
There are about 4 premium positions on offense.......QB/WRX/WRY/LT.........and a lineman who starts at RT or guard but is expected to graduate to LT also qualifies as a 5th premium option and certain great TE's.....like Kyle Pitts last season........qualify as great receivers in the same way that certain great DT's count as pass rushers.
Individuals matter. Nobody is arguing for the Bills to draft "a RB" in the first the way people argue for a "CB" or "WR". They are specifically arguing for Breece Hall because they believe he's a special player with the potential to be special. I would love it if the Bills drafted Zion Johnson at #25 but that's because he's potentially a great player on the IOL not just because the Bills have a need to improve their IOL. A potential Pro Bowler/All Pro type player at a less-valued position is worth a first round pick for a team drafting late in the first round when the prospects available at more highly valued positions aren't as outstanding individuals.
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2 hours ago, newcam2012 said:
I agree with most of your take. However, thr Bills run game was good or better than good in the latter part of last year. Singletary was running well, pass catching, making big plays, and scoring touchdowns. Part of his success was the Oline and the changes and commitments they made to running the ball. I'm not sure why people here are so down on the Bills running game? Sure, moves can always be made to improve it. Additionally, I believe you let Allen make plays with his legs. You don't take that great asset off the table. It can be dialed back as needed. He has shown the ability to be durable. Nevertheless, I do cringe when he's running.
I'd rather go the route of improving the Oline than select the "shiney new toy" named Hall. I don't feel like Hall is elite or will be elite. No way does he warrant being picked at 25.
I would prefer Zion Johnson myself at 25 but I'm not going to complain if they take Hall. It may be a moot point anyway since most of the recent mock drafts have both Zion and the other outstanding center, Tyler Linderbaum, off the board before 25.
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1 hour ago, newcam2012 said:
You sound like you think Hall is the next Adrian Peterson or OJ Simpson. There is a reason why Hall isn't even considered a 1st round pick. Sure he could be a nice pro runner but let's keep it in the right perspective. One scouting report states some concerns such as he runs high, not a one cut and go guy, limited zone scheme runner, and takes too long to get vertical. The guy is anything but a lock. The guy doesn't automatically equate to a home run hitter in the pros. I'd be happy trading down and getying him in the 40s because it's worth the risk. At 25, that's too rich when he almost certainly will be on the board at 35 plus.
I believe that Buddy Nix thought the same thing about Russell Wilson before the third round of the 2012 draft.
52 minutes ago, ScottLaw said:No idea how “a bit of ground and pound” is the solution to our offensive woes with Josh Allen as the QB…. Amazing that some fans have concluded that taking the ball out of Josh’s hands MORE should be the plan going forward and they need to spend a 1st round pick on a guy to do that. 😅
I don't think anybody is advocating this. I think that posters pushing for Hall believe that a better run game gives the Bills a more diverse offense which makes it harder for defenses to stop and that Hall makes the run game better. I happen to share the belief that the Bills need a better run game, so I'm good with the Bills taking Hall at #25 but I would prefer them to take one of the top centers -- Zion Johnson or Tyler Linderbaum -- because that would also improve the run game by improving the OL IMO.
A better run game, whether it's achieved by adding a faster RB or by adding a stud on the interior OL, is the best way to protect Allen. He should not be expected to have more than 1 or 2 designed run plays a game. If the Bills RBs can run for 3 yards or so pretty much whenever they want to, especially in the Red Zone, that takes the pressure off Allen to run. They couldn't do that last season without Allen running, and that needs to change. It's playing Russian roulette.
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3 hours ago, Gugny said:
The large 2-story birdhouse that nuthatches have been inhabiting for the past several years was torn from the tree by wind late last fall. I re-mounted it a few weeks ago. Last week, a couple nuthatches were investigating it and talking away. My favorite part about them is listening to them communicate with each other.
Well, after they looked around, they split and have not returned. A couple other birds (not sure what species) were checking it out the other day, but they also split - although I saw one of them taking pieces of the leftover nest out. But that only lasted a day.
The nest that was left in there from last year was turned over from the fall to the ground. I hope that won't deter future tenants and I REALLY hope a couple nuthatches move in and raise a family like last year.
It was late May last year when I watched the babies climb out of the house, get their bearings, then fly away. What a great sight to see and I hope that happens again. Their incubation period is a couple weeks, so there is time, I suppose.
I had to cut down my old ash tree about 4 years ago because it was suffering from ash dieback. It was also rotting inside and infested with ants ... and attracted multiple nuthatches and woodpeckers. All of the nuthatches have abandoned my yard, not even coming to my bird feeders. A few downey woodpeckers show up at the sunflower feeder, especially during the breeding/nesting season.
The nuthatches were very feisty birds for their size. They not only picked on smaller birds, but they'd chase bigger birds away from their space on the feeders.
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26 minutes ago, section122 said:
I looked it up once because I was interested in what she was paid. She only made 80k/year hosting gmfb. Not surprised to see her make a move. She has name recognition and should strike while all these crazy announcing contracts are being handed out.
That's like minimum wage in NYC.
Whaley interviewing for Steelers GM
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by SoTier
I think that all three of the above posts are valid observations, but keep in mind that Whaley didn't have as much power as most GMs have since Russ Brandon ran the Bills with the aim of maximizing profits. Consequently, not only were player personnel decisions made primarily to improve the bottom line, but this also applied to support staff like scouts and player evaluators. IIRC, Tom Modrak was still running player evaluations remotely from Philly when Beane was hired and cleaned out the administration.
I think Whaley did a decent job within the limitations put on him by the Bills. I think he might be a good pick for the Stillers GM.