BillsFanSD
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Posts posted by BillsFanSD
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Tua is putting up a lot of stats by throwing to wide-open receivers. But that's the thing -- their receivers can consistently get wide open. It doesn't matter that Tua is a B+ QB who needs elite talent around him to be successful if they actually put elite talent around him. Miami is perfectly capable of sweeping us this year if we don't bring our A-game.
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I'm going with 11-6 but obviously hoping for better. The division is going to be genuinely challenging, and it's pretty obvious that teams had us figured out after the bye week or so last year. I need to see that we've learned from last season before I get too excited.
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The Dolphins and Jets both beat us once each last year. They each got significantly better in the offseason. We did not. That's why people are a little less optimistic about this season than we were about the last couple of seasons. Our road to a division title isn't going to be as easy as it has been recently.
Now, the Bills are arguably still the best team in the division. We certainly have the best QB, and that matters tremendously. When I say that the Bills did not get better in the offseason while the Jets and Dolphins did, we already had a SB-caliber roster and there wasn't a lot of scope for us to do anything but tread water. The other two teams had a lot more room for improvement than we did. We haven't slipped -- our rivals have simply improved.
I don't think you can look at the Bills and Dolphins and seriously argue that one team is clearly better than the other. Our rosters are different, but both of these teams would ordinarily be favored to win most divisions and make a deep playoff run. The Jets are a notch behind IMO, but they could also be really good if Rodgers performs better than I expect him to. It's going to be a tough division to win, the WC race is going to be murderous in the AFC, and there's no reason to expect any favorable matchups in the playoffs. We have a tougher climb this year than we did last year.
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4 minutes ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:
I'd throw in Morse, too. That was a huge FA signing at the time.
Did Beane sign Hyde and Poyer? I can't tell whether that was him or the folks who were running the ship in the interim period.
Either way, those were both under-the-radar signings that should be credited as HRs by anyone's standard. Classic example of the whole being more than the sum of its parts.
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14 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:
Mostly true. But no homeruns? None?
Yeah, this is weird. Aside from the one blindingly obvious home run at the most important position in North American sports, I think Gabe Davis, Milano, and Tre all qualify as "home runs" given their performance and draft position. (Davis isn't an elite WR, but he's a high-quality starter that we got in the middle rounds -- that should count IMO but I can see how others might feel differently). (Edit: My bad -- Beane wasn't the person who actually drafted White or Milano. Leaving it because I don't like editing out mistakes, and also I'm happy with the general state of our FO and not that interested in parsing out who gets the credit between the GM, HC, and owner).
It's definitely too early to call Rousseau a home run, but he's trending that way and I'll be a little disappointed if we don't see him as a long-term anchor at DE in a year or two.
It would be fair to note that a lot of Beane's big wins came in free agency or the trade market -- Poyer and Hyde, Diggs, Morse, and maybe another guy or two. But that all falls under the same general heading of "talent evaluation." He's done well there.
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1 minute ago, thenorthremembers said:
Player who averages 2 sacks a year gets traded and OBD goes nuts. Please God can the real season start already.
I think people are just commenting on this trade because its a tacit admission by the FO that they blew this pick. The "averages 2 sacks a year" part is exactly why it's relevant.
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Basham was a bad pick from the start. Rousseau was supposed to be the project, and Basham was supposed to be the more pro-ready one, and that just completely flipped around from essentially their very first days at camp. I was hoping to be wrong about him, but no dice.
Glad we cut bait at least.
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Nothing against Tyrel Dodson, but it's kind of infuriating that we couldn't (so far) find anyone better. He's not even a particularly good backup MLB. I get that it's a devalued position and all, but still this is a glaring hole in the starting 11.
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That movie was racist as hell on the day it was released. The fact that the white savior lady was actually using him to enrich herself is the most predictable twist of all time.
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6 hours ago, Gregg said:
Elway became strictly a pocket passer later in his career. Of course, it helped having a HOF RB like Davis carrying the load running. Even in his younger days Elway didn't run like Allen does. Josh has been the Bills primary rushing attack. That has to stop. I do think Allen would be a great pocket passer if he had a good OL that would give him time to throw.
Different era. Back then, every QB scramble was an opportunity for some LB to lay a free hit on the QB. Things are totally different now. I am 100% confident that if John Elway, Randall Cunningham, or Steve Young were playing today in their primes, they would be running just as much as Allen just as effectively. Allen is a stellar athlete on this dimension, but he's not an all-time athlete. Plenty of guys would have loved to play QB under today's rules.
(Same goes for passing stats, of course).
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Well, obviously Allen is never going to be a pocket passer like Jim Kelly was. Even if he never runs for another yard from scrimmage, we know that extending plays and escaping the pocket is clearly a huge part of his game, and nobody should want to see that go away. Kelly and Elway are both in the HOF. Both playing styles are totally valid.
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I'm sure he'll be fine. This isn't a major injury for a RB, or anybody really.
I was excited about Moss coming out of college and I'm sorry he didn't work out for the Bills. Wish him nothing but the best when he's not playing us.
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Oh wow, this is great news. Unexpected too.
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Danny Batten. Laid a somewhat vicious late hit on Tom Brady, but still only lasted a couple of seasons with the Bills.
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I've grown very accustomed to my in-season Monday-morning routine of plowing through every Bills-related article in BN instead of doing my job, but admittedly this is getting to be an irrational waste of money considering how much free content is out there and the fact that I already pay for The Athletic. I'm still sort of psychologically locked in but this is probably my last year as a subscriber.
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Who cares?
Seriously. Who cares?
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Easy, obvious decision. The Bills have a good thing going. Let's not mess it up.
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For 17 years, the Bills were irrelevant and nobody would have bothered to report on what was going on in the locker room.
For the past few seasons, the Bills have been a feel-good story. And they also genuinely seemed to have pretty good team chemistry.
Now we're getting to experience what it's like to be a big-boy franchise with high expectations, competitive players with outsized personalities, and lots of media attention. Maybe you should root for the Browns or something if this bothers you.
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5 hours ago, Beck Water said:
I'm sorry, but I think that's absolute bunkum.
What you say is true of some of the media who are paid by the team - Chris Brown, Maddy Glab, Sal Capaccio, John Murphy. There's some question about Josh Reed since he was seen hobnobbing with Allen and our GM at Eric Woods party preceding the Derby.
The Athletic reporters - Tim Graham in specific has been plenty critical of the Bills in his day. So has Joe Buscaglia, who regularly takes crap for predicting Bills losses. I have no doubt Alaina Getzenberg would love a scoop for ESPN. I'm pretty impressed by the new TBN reporters, specifically Ryan O'Halloran. For example he just broke news about Mitch Morse having two offseason surgeries. None of the current TBN reporters strike me as either "Cheerleaders for the Club" or reflexively negative - I think they're pretty balanced. @JoshBarnett @Matt Parrino any comment? (snip for brevity)
To be clear, I'm not talking about on-the-field stuff like whether Edmunds was any good or whether we would win or lose this week's game. Most people in our orbit are good when it comes to stuff like that.
If you don't see a massive amount of groupthink and gatekeeping concerning off-field issues, I don't know what to tell you. Our media is aggressively uncurious about what goes on inside OBD, and that's just not how the media is supposed to work. As a fan, I'm curious to know what the deal with Diggs is. I have no reason to know, other than my own curiosity, but that's good enough and needs no further justification. Anybody trying to sell you an "entitled fans" narrative is just asking you to sit down, shut up, and do what you're told, and there's no reason to give folks like the time of day. "The public has a right to know" might be a cliche, but it's a cliche that should be carved in granite in every building that still houses an actual human reporter.
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2 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:
Top three QB.
2nd ten contract.
That's what you want.
This.
Imagine if Beane had waited as long to extend Allen as Baltimore waited to extend Jackson.
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Part of the problem is that people in the Boston media take their jobs as journalists more seriously than people in the Buffalo media. Almost everyone who works this beat -- that includes credentialed reporters and Cover 1 -- is basically a cheerleader for the club. The fact that Tim Graham won't dig into the situation with Diggs is why we have to go to the Boston Globe to find out what's going on. And those of us who complain about it get written off as being "entitled," as if there's something weird or inappropriate about wanting to know what's happening in the corners of the world that are important to you. It's a bad combination of bad local media meets bad online fanbase.
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3 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:
He caught 108 passes last year. That is 4th most in the league. And he has a problem with that?I don't know about Diggs, but I have a problem with it. I know the stats, but he really did disappear at key moments last year, and I'm positive that's not on him.
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2 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:
Same amount of Super Bowls
Similar MO of melting down in the playoffs.
No comparison is 1:1. You either understand the point I was using Lewis to (loosely) illustrate, or you end up on @Einstein's homer list!
"Melting down in the playoffs" apparently means:
- Losing a very tight WC game to a clearly superior opponent.
- Losing the AFCCG to a clearly superior opponent.
- Coming up on the losing end of arguably the greatest playoff game ever played.
- Getting rolled by a top-3 team on a day when the team was clearly flat and emotionally uninvested.
Obviously I'd like to win the SB every year, but 11/12 playoff teams lose their final game of the season, and I can live with this track record. I'm not seeing a consistent pattern of anything resembling a "meltdown" here. I mean, maybe the HOU game qualifies, but we were just happy to be there that year.
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Obviously Diggs should chill out, return to practice, and focus on making the 2023 Buffalo Bills the best team they can be.
That said, if he's bitter about his role in the offense, he's right.
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Chargers blew it
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
If Tua had been drafted in the 2nd or 3rd round, or even just the late 1st, I think people would have a more realistic appreciation of his game. He's a good, solid, well above-average QB with durability issues who can take a team as far as their supporting cast allows. He is not in the same category as Mahomes, Burrow, or Allen. If I were building a team from scratch, I would definitely want Herbert over Tua. But I do think Tua is in the same general tier as players like Lawrence, Fields, Jackson, etc. Those are good players too, who I think would have similar levels of success if they were on this Miami team.
The problem is that Tua was heralded as some sort of generational prospect -- "tank for Tua" -- that he obviously isn't. I mean, he's fine. He's a good QB. Miami did not whiff that pick the way Cleveland whiffed on Mayfield or New York whiffed on Darnold. People just need to find a middle ground between "he's elite" and "he sucks." Neither of those statements is true.