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BillsFanSD

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Posts posted by BillsFanSD

  1. I think the analytics pendulum has swung too far, to the point that people are refusing to see what's right in front of them.

     

    Digression.  During Josh Allen's first year, I saw a player who was capable of winning games all by himself.  He was raw and basically uncoached, but he had plays each game that reminded me of people like Steve Young and John Elway.  Yes, I was comparing our first-year QB to two HOFers.  Today it's fashionable for people to pull up Allen's stats from his first couple of years to talk about how "bad" he was back then, but the fact is that if you actually watched the guy play, he was very obviously good, not bad.  He was only bad if you just looked at the stats and never watched any games.  By the eyeball test, this was definitely a guy that we could build around.

     

    In 2023, it's not like that.  I know the stats are good, and Allen still makes 2-3 dazzling plays every game.  He didn't turn into a pumpkin after week 4.  But just watching the guy play, it's not the same offense.  He's incredibly reluctant to scramble, he doesn't seem to roll out as much, and it feels like he's playing with one hand tied behind his back.  His accuracy is great and he doesn't air-mail guys anymore, but things are very obviously not clicking.  He looks less like a guy who should be on the cover of Madden and more like a rich man's Phillip Rivers.  

     

    I'm saying the stats are wrong of course.  Just that you're missing something if only look at the stats and don't pay attending to what you can see with your own two eyes.  Stats are an important part of the picture, but they're not the whole picture.

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  2. The Bills still have a decent shot at the playoffs.  But I agree that it's probably time to think about next year.  This team isn't going to do anything in the postseason even if they make it there.

     

    Dorsey cannot return next year.  If I were Pegula, I would insist on an experienced OC.  We wasted two years of Prime Allen -- no more.  

     

    We'll need to do some serious retooling, but frankly it isn't going to be that difficult to do given that we have a franchise QB (that's more important than every other position combined) and weapons in the passing game especially our rookie TE.  Our DL will be fine with or without Von and our LBs are in good shape.  The secondary will need a lot of work.

  3. 2 hours ago, dave mcbride said:

    Why are people complaining about this?

    Because it's just another example of inexplicable officiating.  Did it change the outcome of the game?  No.  Was I worked up about it at the time?  No.  Was it the right call?  No.

     

    It is good for officials to call a clean game and bad when they don't.

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  4. 13 hours ago, John from Riverside said:

    This board after a loss goes full special needs

    I'm sorry man, but this is a very bad take.  The Bills have lost two of three and should have lost three of three, all against grossly inferior opposition.  And we played like dog**** in all three games.  We are probably missing the playoffs in one of Josh Allen's prime seasons.  FOH with this head-in-the-sand stuff.

  5. 36 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

    No and they need not.

     

    If you play poorly for 58 minutes and find yourself in a tight game at the end because of it you have earned the right to have the random officials calls help decide the outcome.

     

    And the more angry fans get about it the more bonded to their teams they become.

     

    It can simultaneously be true that the Bills richly deserved to lose this game and also that the officials were wrong to pick up this flag.  

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  6. When we went up by 3 yesterday, I honestly expected that we would hold on for another ugly loss.  I told my wife that while this sucks, it felt like during the drought that every other game was exactly like this one and the Giants game, and we lost like 85% of those.  That was definitely worse than this.  (Even though we went on to lose like a pathetic drought-era team).

  7. 40 minutes ago, Mango said:

    I think a big part of all the offensive talk is two things:

     

    1. The defense is banged up and we have Josh Allen with a healthy offense. There’s a reasonable expectation to carry the load while missing Oliver, Jones, Tre, Milano. Especially vs. a bad team.
     

    2. The offense left a lot of plays on the field. Missed receivers, dropped balls, Offside, illegal formation. The offense was capable of a lot more yesterday. 

    Sure, but the offense did score 25 points.  That should be plenty to secure a comfortable win against a team like NE.  

     

    If you're saying that the offense needs to score 30+ every week, then we might as well just concede that the season is over.  That isn't a realistic expectation.

  8. 4 hours ago, AlCowlingsTaxiService said:

    I hate these takes. It’s NOT a long season. It’s even shorter when you consider that these performances can take you out of contention within another month. We’re already almost halfway through the regular season. 

    I agree, but also there's no reason to do anything right now.  For better or for worse, we are stuck with this coaching staff until our season ends one way or the other.  We might as well sit tight and see how the remaining 10 games go.  If we go 10-0 from here and make a deep playoff run, nobody will remember the last three weeks.  Not that I expect that to happen, of course -- just saying.

  9. 5 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:


     

    Yep.  Derek Carr did this Thursday and looked like an idiot.  
     

    All QBs look like he does most of the time.  They’re trying to keep their emotions in check.  
     

     

    Plus since he doesn’t run anymore he is by logic going to seem a little less intense.  

    Allen was picking fights with LBs last week.  I think he'll be fine if we can get somebody who can devise a competent gameplan.

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  10. Allen certainly isn't playing with the same edge he used to play with, but then again our defense just gave up 29 points to Matt Jones so it's not as if it's just him.  This whole team is playing as if they won the SB against a Miami a few weeks ago. 

     

    Without being in the building and actually seeing what's going on, it's impossible for any of us to diagnose exactly what the deal is, but the Bills have not been right basically since last year's bye.  There were a dysfunctional mess down the stretch last year, which a lot of people blamed on the Miller injury, the Hamlin situation, and a bunch of other things, but they were clearly underperforming and had this weird culture about it where they expected everybody to pretend like everything was fine when it clearly wasn't.  After the last three weeks, it's not possible to pretend anymore. 

     

    At a rock-bottom minimum, I have seen enough of Ken Dorsey to feel confident that he's not the answer.  There are people out there who would step over their grandmother for the opportunity to coach this offense.  We should move on after this season, and it should be an outside hire, not internal.  

     

    I'm less certain about this next part, but I am also inclined to say that this experiment with McDermott running the defense is also not working.  Part of that is me (over?)reacting to yesterday's game, but a bigger part of it is that when a team is this out of sync, maybe they need a full-time HC and not a guy who's just doing this in his free time. 

     

    My real concern though is that something has happened that caused McDermott to lose the locker room.  No idea what that might of been or why this happened, but the play on the field looks very much like an extremely talented team that is just going through the motions.  Probably McDemott is fine and this is a problem that can be solved with some staff in the offseason, but two months ago "We may need a new HC" wasn't even on my radar screen, so that fact that I can see like a 15% chance or so of this happening is getting alarming.

  11. At this point it has to be on the coaches.  Dorsey is not working out.  We also need a real DC, which creates an issue at HC.  Honestly, it feels like this team needs a fresh start, but I know that's rash.

  12. 8 hours ago, BRH said:

    I feel like a lot of people here who are ragging on the Bills’ struggles don’t watch enough of the rest of the NFL.  There’s a LOT of bad football being played right now.

     

     

    Counterpoint: Many of us watch most games most weekends, we know bad football when we see it, and there's something wrong when your team gets shut out by the New York Giants for three quarters.

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  13. After the last two weeks, I'd say Dorsey needs to 100% get this offense turned around without further delay.  I would not object if the Bills decided to part ways with him regardless of how the rest of the season goes.  We can't afford an OC who throws away games against inferior opponents during our franchise QB's prime.

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  14. I expect we'll win the next few games fairly easily.  

     

    Unfortunately, our path to the super bowl was going to require that we beat some teams a mite bit better than the Giants, and we can't realistically expect to win three consecutive games against those teams given the injuries that we've had.  Having said that, and knowing what the NFL is like, we'll probably go undefeated the rest of the way and cruise to our first championship.  But much more likely is a one-and-done.  Hopefully we can Kincaid integrated into the offense, see what we've got with some of our younger players who are getting some additional snaps, and hope for better injury luck next year.

  15. 5 hours ago, John from Riverside said:

    I just want the bills to destroy them because of what happened the last time that they played them

    I'm still salty about their fan base's amateur-hour reaction to our playoff game a few years back.

     

    We were all happy about the drought being snapped.  The 2017 Bills did not belong in the playoffs, they lucked their way into a WC berth despite voluntarily trying to make Nathan Peterman into a starting QB, and if there was ever a team and a fan base that was "just happy to be there," it was the 2017 Bills. 

     

    The Jaguars were the better team on paper, but we arguably outplayed them.  IIRC, we got came up short in the red zone a time or two, and we ended up with a 10-3 loss that in no way embarrassed our team or organization considering the circumstances.  But for some reason, their fans strutted around like they just blew out 2007 Patriots.  I know they have an irrelevant team that struggles to fill their own stadium, which is why they outsource so many games to London, and I get that they have to savor their victories where they can find them, but come on.  

     

    I would like to drop 50 on them and let their fans see what a real team can do.

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  16. Poyer and Hyde are going to go down as two of all my all-time favorite Bills players.  Two guys who were each undervalued assets, signed at approximately the same time, at the very beginning of the rebuild, who ended up being plug-and-play cornerstones in the secondary.  Plus they both just seem like good dudes.  

     

    I know their time in the defensive backfield is drawing to a close.  Just glad they were able to build careers here.

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  17. I have been pleasantly surprised with McDermott's performance so far.  I didn't expect him to fall on his face or anything like that, but there has been a clear improvement in the defense IMO, without any obvious corresponding drop-off in other areas.  Good for him.

     

    Of course, this was against three sad-sack teams.  Let's hold off on the ticker-tape parades until we see how this defense holds up against the Dolphins and Chiefs.  

     

    Also, one of my biggest fears here is not that McDermott will fail as a DC, but that his DC role will cause him to fail as a HC.  Specifically I am thinking ahead to a divisional playoff game against the Dolphins (or whoever) where we face 4th and 2 late in the fourth quarter nursing a 1-point lead.  Is McDermott going to be willing to put the game and a potential trip to the AFCCG in the hands of Josh Allen and Ken Dorsey -- who he cannot directly control -- or will he punt and put the game in the hands of his own unit?  We won't know the answer to that question until we get there.

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