Artful Dodger
-
Posts
223 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by Artful Dodger
-
-
Apparently, the politics of Joy isn't all it's cracked up to be.
This is a rejection of four years of terrible progressive policies, the establishment, and the mainstream media, not necessarily in that order.
-
1
-
-
It's probably time to bring this golden oldie back from 2016. It never gets old.
-
1
-
7
-
-
20 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:
When you're losing on the issue of democracy to a guy who refused to accept the results of the 2020 election, you know you've got a problem. A little introspection for the Democrats might be order here. On the other hand, Trump is not running against the president; he's running against Vice President Harris.
-
1
-
-
11 hours ago, BillsFanNC said:
Due to the tied vote, there's news reports that both sides in Dixville Notch have started to riot over the results.
-
1
-
2
-
-
5 hours ago, Tiberius said:
Yeah. I can't believe this. I've been waiting for months to see who Nicky Jam would endorse so that I would know who to vote for. Once he endorsed Trump, I mailed in my ballot and now he's backed off. So now what am I supposed to do? 😐
-
1
-
3
-
-
Perhaps there are some very good reasons why so many Puerto Ricans live in Pennsylvania and not in Puerto Rico.
-
1
-
-
I strongly doubt there will be a civil war, but if there is, it will be over quickly. Most soldiers come from the red States, and red state citizens have more guns. More importantly, the red states would have internal lines of communication, while the blue states are mostly on the coasts, separated by 3,000 miles of red state counties. Also, even in states like California and Oregon, most of the areas outside of the major coastal cities are deeply red. The red States could deal with the blue states and blue enclaves within the red states in a piecemeal fashion.
-
13 minutes ago, Thurmal34 said:
you dont like the free market anymore?
I have no idea how you came up with that one. To the point of this thread, the Biden Administration blamed the rise in prices on "corporate price gouging" without ever bothering to explain why the so-called price gouging didn't start until the Biden Administration.
-
1
-
-
6 minutes ago, Thurmal34 said:
uHHHHHH economy much?
us has lowest inflation rate in the world
Your information is out of date. Most of the large OECD economies now have a lower inflation rate than the US.
My main concern is that I'm paying about 35% more for groceries than I did when Biden took office. Perhaps that doesn't bother you, but it does bother me.
-
1
-
-
The endless gaslighting about all the bad policies, including the open border, overspending which caused runaway inflation, crime, the $2 trillion and rising deficit, the catastrophic Afghanistan withdrawal, etc. According to the Biden/Harris Administration, they're not responsible for anything that's happened on their watch. The constant lying about everything is a big issue for me.
Just to be fair, the single greatest thing that makes me not want to vote for Trump is that he's a drama queen. And he also lies constantly, though his lies tend to be reflexive and more personal and less deliberate. It's just who he is.
-
In CNN's defense, at the time of the debate, the FBI's numbers showed that crime was down. But someone ought to look into why a variety of different agencies have been getting their data numbers wrong so consistently. Another example would be the recent vast downward revision of the number of jobs created over the last several years. However, one should never attribute to a conspiracy what can be explained by incompetence.
I just got back from a west coast trip, where I drove along the Pacific Coast and visited Seattle, Portland, and San Francisco. No one visiting those cities could possibly conclude that crime and disorder are not a problem. In Portland, during the day in the downtown area, "normal" looking people outnumbered the homeless and obvious drug users and crazy people only by about 3 to 2. I saw a woman walking around with open sores on her face. It was positively medieval. in San Francisco, I walked from the waterfront area up Market Street to the former HQ of Twitter to see if the city was the "dystopian hellscape" that Elon Musk described. It isn't quite as bad as Musk said, though if nothing changes, it's easy to see that it could get there. On the way up Market Street, I passed the Harris/Walz campaign HQ. There was literally no other occupied ground floor retail on the same block. Everything was shut down.
When government agencies publish false information that clearly doesn't jibe with reality, sensible people will always choose reality, which is why it's so dangerous for government agencies to produce false and misleading statistics, whether deliberately or (more likely) through incompetence. They lose their credibility.
-
3
-
-
I'm not a fan of Harris, but I thought she did OK, especially given that this was one of the first interviews she's had where she was asked some difficult questions. While she didn't answer any of the questions directly, she appeared to be tough and serious, and she pushed back successfully. At least she didn't giggle inappropriately like Dr. Hibbert on The Simpsons. The worst moment for her was when she said, "You know what I mean" and Bret Baier, speaking for all of us, said, "I don't know what you mean." She has to defend her administration's mostly failed policies while somehow being an agent of change, which puts her in an impossible position.
-
1
-
-
I have heard there's an opening on the Cleveland Browns... 😑
-
1
-
2
-
-
As a reminder to all the skeptics, on average SpaceX is launching a rocket into space once every three days.
-
1
-
-
On 8/17/2024 at 5:20 PM, 4th&long said:
I definitely appreciate the fact that he is running Twitter into the ground. And if you have Tesla stock sell it!
According to wikipedia, X was the 6th most visited site on the internet in July. And with 1/10th the number of employees it had when he bought it less than two years ago. Twitter is doing just fine.
Edit: Should note that Twitter was #9 in 2022 when Musk bought the company.
-
1
-
1
-
-
Mild recessions are a necessary part of the business cycle and are not a bad thing. They shake out the bad companies in the economy and push capital, labor, and resources toward more productive companies. On the other hand, severe recessions are a bad thing and inflict a lot of pain.
What's interesting is that the US is currently running a $2 trillion deficit at a time of close to full employment. During recessions, deficits go up due to automatic stabilizers and fiscal stimulus. I can't imagine that there's room for much more fiscal stimulus that would increase our current $2 trillion in deficit spending. We've been stimulating the hell out of the economy for the last four years and we may be getting a recession anyway. At some point, the bond markets will revolt. We're on pretty shaky ground right now.
-
1
-
1
-
-
It played like the special teams' equivalent of three yards and a cloud of dust.
-
After watching tonight's speech, I would say that the verdict is still out.
-
1
-
1
-
2
-
-
Wait. That was USA Today's prediction from 1969.
-
3 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:
Let's say the election plays out like Dems feared it would about a week ago.
Trump wins.
The Republicans increase their majority in the House, and they retake the Senate.
How long will it take for Senate Republicans to kill the filibuster? I'd give it a month or two.
What happens to medication abortion with an anti-abortion activist put in place at the FDA?
Will Trump really refuse to sign a 15-week abortion ban that sails through the House and Senate?
I see what you're saying. The issue is not front and center with most voters now. But I also think you need to game plan this through... it will be Kamala's job to make the case. We will see whether she is able to do it.
There's never been any evidence that the Republican Senate has desired to kill the filibuster; most of the calls for that have been from the Left. Perhaps now that Mitch McConnell's gone that may change, but there's no reason so far to think that it will. Unless there's a Republican landslide this fall, which seems very unlikely, there won't be enough support in either the House or the Senate for an abortion ban. As I've suggested, most legislators know that's not what their constituents want.
I think you have a better case with your point about an anti-abortion activist in place at the FDA. But recent Supreme Court rulings have greatly diminished the power of administrative agencies to issue regulations and make laws without legislation. That ruling applies to Republican governments as well as Democratic governments.
You do make an excellent case for divided government. Neither party can be trusted.
-
There were more abortions in America in the first post-Dobbs year than in the year before Dobbs.
And if this ruling did little to stop abortions, it becomes an even less salient issue, except for extremists on the right and on the left as a way to get the base riled up. Restricting all abortions is unpopular, even in red states. For example, both Kansas and Ohio held referendums where voters established a constitutional right to an abortion. And once that's done, the issue was off the table in those states. Many politicians are not bright, but they do have a keen survival instinct, and they want to be where most of their voters are. There's no chance any legislation will succeed on the national level. I completely disagree that this issue is not going away. It's already going away, which is why only 5% of voters consider it the most important issue.
The polling data suggests that the country knows that it has much bigger problems to worry about. To me, centering one's campaign around this issue either illustrated the essential unseriousness of a candidate or else the fact that they know they can't win on other more important issues.
-
2 minutes ago, Tiberius said:
Good, so there is a difference between the parties. Harris should push for this national right. Trump will of course oppose this right. We have a choice!
Good, that's what elections are about
I guess it will gin up her base who are included in that 5% of people who think that abortion is the most important issue and who are already in a frenzy to vote against Trump. But most of the rest of the country wants to hear what she's going to do about the cost of living and uncontrolled immigration and so on. Insofar as she's talking about abortion, she's not talking about those things.
-
1 minute ago, Tiberius said:
Are you for a federal law giving women the right to their own choice on reproductive rights? Or are you against it?
No. I think that it should be in the hands of the states. After all this shakes out, I suspect that most or all of the states will have laws that make abortion legal through four months or so, which is comparable to the status quo in most European countries and is where most voters are. It will be messy getting there, but when it does, the issue will cease to be controversial and will no longer be politically salient for either party.
But, frankly, it's not an important issue to me. And the polling suggests that compared to inflation or immigration or health care costs, it's not an important issue to most Americans.
-
According to Statista, from a YouGov survey, the most important issues to voters in the 2024 election are as follows: inflation, healthcare, immigration, the economy, climate and the environment.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1362236/most-important-voter-issues-us/
The eight most important issue is Abortion rights, which is the most important issue to 5% of voters. All those voters were going to vote for Harris anyway, whether Roe v. Wade was repealed or not. Trump has also said that he's not in favor of imposing restrictions on abortion at the federal level.
So you may want to think twice about making this your party's main issue.
-
1
-
A Few Random Thoughts About the Election in No Particular Order
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
Great post!
1. The election was a thorough repudiation of progressive governance, the mainstream media, and the establishment, not necessarily in that order rather than an embrace of a new Republicanism. The liberal consensus in this country has been shattered. However, Trump doesn't have a coherent ideology, and he never will. However, we may get a good immigration bill, finally. I hope so.
2,6. Trump is exhausting and people will get tired of him fairly quickly as they did during his first term, and the Democratic Party will come roaring back in the midterms. The Democrats will be strongly favored as the Not Trump party in 2028, whether it has a coherent ideology or not and the Republican candidate is forced to defend the last four years.
4. The abortion issue is obviously a loser for Republicans. Eventually nearly every state will settle on legalizing abortions through four months or so which is similar to most European countries. Once we reach that point, the issue will be largely off the table. Not sure how long that will take.
8. Come Inauguration Day, there will be riots in some blue cities including Washington, DC. Since the riots will be characterized as "mostly peaceful," maybe they won't be too destructive. But it may be that this movement has exhausted itself and been discredited and hopefully it won't get another boost from Trump's election.