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TPS

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Posts posted by TPS

  1. That's an amazingly stupid post.  Like policies kick into effect in days or weeks with regard to the most complex economy in the world.  You are much smarter than that.  SHAMEFUL.

     

    FLIGHTSUIT!

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    That's the point isn't it? Actually, of all of the comments so far, I agree mostly with chef's: presidents have less to do with overall economic growth than people give them credit or blame for. My original post with the data was an attempt to show that point. Can anyone remember any significant economic policy Carter enacted? Just as Clinton was the beneficiary of long term positive economic changes, Carter was in office at the start of long term negative economic changes (deindustrialization) and another OPEC embargo.

     

    The right wants to give credit to Reagan for an economy that was relatively average on the one hand, but they won't blame either Bushes for terrible economic performance on the other. They blame Carter for poor performance on the one hand, but won't give Clinton credit on the other. Which is it? Can a president make a significant impact on the economy or not?

     

    I would say that policies enacted by administrations have a greater impact on the distribution of income than income growth in general. Tomorrow I'll post some data to this effect.

     

    As far as remembering the past, I did just fine during Carter's term.

  2. Any credibility you may have ever had is instantly shot when you try to defend the Carter economy.  I doubt even the staunchest libs on this board will try to defend you on this one.  If I'm a right-wing homer then you surely are a left-wing lunatic.

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    What would you say are the most important economic statistics when measuring economic performance?

  3. I was six when Carter took office, but even I remember double-digit interest rates, inflation, and unemployment late in his term. 

     

    But I guess that doesn't matter.  It must have been one grand old party in America with a simple four-year average GDP growth of 3.4%...  ;)

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    Maybe you are mixing your memories with Reagan's term. Yes, after the second OPEC oil embargo (Carter's fault?) inflation and interest rates increased, especially toward the end of 1979 and into 1980. However, UP never was never higher than 7.8% under Carter, whereas it hit over 11% under Reagan.

     

    As for GDP, those are real growth rate figures. That means even though inflation was relatively high (I don't believe it reached double digits), most people's incomes kept pace, and even grew faster than prices.

     

    No, it wasn't like the 1960s or 1990s, but when you compare most statistics that we use to measure how well the economy performed, Carter ranks in the middle with Reagan. The difference is there was a lower average UP rate under Carter, but a lower average inflation rate under REagan. Real GDP growth was about the same, as I posted.

  4. Carter put his foot in his mouth on this one and I am frankly disgusted with the man for giving credibility to blatantly crooked elections for "peace's sake" and then questioning our elections.  Jimmy Carter --  :I starred in Brokeback Mountain: .  You'll couldn't even carry Reagan's jock and you never will be able to.  We had enough misery during your 4 years as president.  You did us up the rear in N. Korea.  You are a walking, talking foreign relations disaster.  Enough already.  Just leave us the heck alone.

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    Another rightwing non-fact checking homer.

     

    Real average growth rates of GDP under the last six administrations:

    Nixon/Ford= 2.6%

    Carter= 3.3%

    Reagan= 3.4%

    Bush1= 2.1%

    Clinton= 3.7%

    Bush2= 1.9%

     

    Such misery under Carter. Looks like we need the prosperity the Bushes offer....

  5. I think it will be a close game, with the Bills actually squeezing out a win this time.

     

    Two things:

    1. The Bills running game is better than most think. They ran the ball decently against two of the best run-stuffing teams in the league. Jaxsonville gave up their first 100-yard rush game in 15 games yesterday. Oakland has Ted W, maybe the best run-stuffing 3-4 DT of all time.

    2. NE's D is only adequate against the run. They gave up 200 yards to Indy at home.

     

    Of course, it's only a prediciton...

  6. You're reminding me of why I didn't go back for my masters degree Sue.  In this excercise, are you allowed to consider anywhere in the world as a place to manufacture the product? Or are you restricted to US vs. Western Europe?

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    You also need to consider exchange rate risk if you are going to manufacture in the US and primarily sell in Europe (part i).

  7. John,

    I think an important question to ask you first is, what are your sources of news? If you are a FOX news watcher, you are going to get a very biased view of Kerry. Not saying that I support Kerry, but I have read and seen him give (parts of) speeches about different issues. I'm sure FOX paints him one way only, just like they paint Bush with one brush.

     

    Personally, I am not voting for either candidate.

  8. I think is's unlikely to happen, flat tax or NST, bcause it would be antagonistic to one of the most basic tenets of American politics, which took firm root during the FDR administrations:

     

    "If you rob Peter to pay Paul, you can be relatively certain that Paul will vote for you".

     

    Benjamin Franklin was right when he stated, "When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic."

     

    If Congress cannot favor this one and punish that one via taxation, they lose a lot of their ability to perpetrate extortion, and without that, not many folks would be knocking on their door with bags full of loot or treating them to fact-finding junkets to h*llholes like Monte Carlo or Aruba to discuss

    "vital"issues of deep national import. <_<

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    Seems to me there's a bit of a contradiction in your argument. I assume you mean that those in the lower classes who would end up paying higher taxes wouldn't support either the flat or vat?

     

    If so, how is it that congress was able to pass a tax change that cut taxes on dividends and eliminated the estate tax, when almost all of the benefits of these accrue to the top 2% of households?

  9. Just restore them to being a military state with someone other than Saddam as their leader- that will allow them to protect t hemselves from the insurgents, and allow us to leave.

     

    Amazing that neither Kerry nor Bush can come up with such a solution, maybe instead of checking into their military backgrounds, we should check into their academic backgrounds, as I'm quite sure a number of skeletons would pop up in their closets.

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    It's pretty simple why they can't push this solution: since they didn't find WMDs, the excuse for war has been "we got rid of a ruthless dictator who killed his own people, and we restored democracy."

     

    If you install a dictator and have no democracy, then why did we invade the country?

  10. I guess we should explore your definition of "most often."  Is the defense of Bush a blind defense of Bush, or a defense of Bush knowing that the leading alternative is worse? 

     

    I'd say that the blindness is an affliction of very few who post here.

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    By your logic, no matter what this administration does (or does not do), one can support them because the alternative is worse. What a sad state of affairs it is in this country....

  11. While I believe Bledsoe is a flawed QB (ability to make quick decisions), I do believe he is good enough, and this team is good enough, to post a winning record and possibly make the playoffs.

     

    In 1998, the team started out 0-3, then went on to post a 10-6 record and make the playoffs. While there is no Doug Flutie waiting in the wings, I do think the teams in general are similar. That Bills offense averaged just over 17 points per game (if memory serves), and had one of the best defenses in the league. I think this offense has the capability to do the same thing, and so does the defense.

     

    It's a long season, and just like everyone proclaimed we were a championship team after starting 2-0 last year, too many people are willing to jump ship too early this year.

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