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Flip Johnson

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Posts posted by Flip Johnson

  1. The rule changes are a major factor here as well. It is hard to bring down a big, fast QB in the open field without getting flagged. Defenders are definitely thinking about the possibility of a flag before they hit the QB full speed.

     

    Trubisky (who has a similar body type) and Allen are running for 7.1 and 6.8 YPA respectively which leads all QBs in YPA who have a meaningful number of attempts. It isn't just that they're fast and have good escapability. It's just really hard to stop a big QB in the open field in today's NFL. 

    • Like (+1) 3
  2. 2 hours ago, Dr.Sack said:

    Bills mafia makes us relevant we might be in the midst of a 3-13 season & our fans the elite 10% who are nothing more than drunken hooligans have the social media worlds attention. 

     

    The fan base, the uniqueness of the stadium experience, and the possibility that the Bills have a franchise QB keep the Bills off this list.

     

    Miami is near the top for me. All they have is their history, nothing has happened down there for decades.

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  3. Unnecessary.

     

    The Bills don't lack playmakers in the secondary and if they invested money into the defense in the offseason it will probably be in the pass rush.

     

    If they played from the lead more consistently they could be top 3 in the league in takeaways with the guys they already have. Plus they aren't going to take Tre's money to pay Jalen Ramsey.

  4. Everyone keeps saying "it's too early to tell..."

     

    Josh Allen is good and is worth what we paid to get him.

     

    It's not too early to tell that Josh Allen:

     

    - has elite athletic ability that goes beyond his arm strength - his overall athleticism was underplayed because all anyone saw was the cannon arm - it is much better than many pundits realized.

    - loves football the way you would want your franchise QB to love it.

    - connects with his teammates and the fans

    - does not have the fundamental accuracy issues that many claimed he did. He needs to grow in experience, touch, timing, but that is different than basic inaccuracy.

     

    He is probably 20% as good as he is going to be. It's too early to tell what his exact upside is, although personally I think it is in the stratosphere. But he is giving the team a chance to win with a mediocre supporting cast as a rookie. They are 3-2 in his starts, 1-4 without him, and the result of the Texans game is probably 50/50 had he stayed healthy.

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  5. On 11/22/2018 at 10:25 PM, Call_Of_Ktulu said:

    Defense is dying, soon 70% of the cap will be on offense with only 30% going to defense. Holding from O-Lineman are not being called anywhere, I think it is pointless to invest money into the defensive side of the football.

     

    This is actually not remotely true.

     

    The cutting-edge Rams are paying most of their big salaries on defense. Suh, Joyner, Donald, Brockers, Talib. The Chiefs are paying huge dollars to Justin Houston, Dee Ford, Eric Berry.

     

    Defense is changing, but if you think that means the best teams are investing dollars more heavily on the offensive side you need to be able to demonstrate that.

     

     

  6. The thing about Clay and his alleged disappointing play is that Whaley gave huge dollars to a player already in decline. The blame should go completely on Whaley.

     

    Clay had a big year in his 3rd year in the league in 2013 where he had over 100 targets. I believe he would occasionally line up as a FB and he got named to the NFL Network's Top 100 that year. In his 4th year his targets and catches declined - not a good sign for a 25 year old who should have been entering his prime. 

     

    Whaley paid him huge dollars like he was an elite TE which he never was. His first three years with the Bills were almost exactly the same from a production standpoint and he toughed his way through a number of nagging injuries, but the Bills paid huge $$$ to a guy who has one season out of eight that was above league average production.

    6 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

    I think TE is a huge underrated need for next year. I wouldn't mind taking one in the top 2 rounds, admittedly I don't know what the prospects look like this year. I would go into next season with Croom, a rookie, and bring in competition for Logan Thomas.

     

    Croom will stick - he is under contract and has big upside.

    Thomas takes a baby step each year but never looks like more than a depth guy. The true #1 TE is not on the team.

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  7. 1 hour ago, jahbonas said:

     

    They made it a priority   - Decastro & Pouncey were drafted in 1st round (18th & 24th) and Marcus Gilber is 2nd rd......   compare to us - Dawkins 2nd rd  & Miller 3rd & Teller 5th rd....

    You dont need every Off lineman drafted in rd1  -  but Pitt 'gets it'  with 2 #1's  and a #2  as the core of their 5

     

    We should right this ship by drafting OL  in rd1  and rd2   - then we got something - every skill player benefits and suddenly looks better

     

    Bills Off Line in Kelly era  -  Jim Richter rd1,  Will Wilford rd1,  Ruben Brown rd1, John Fina rd 1 Joe Devlin rd2

     

    One of the biggest draft mistakes we made - 1994 we had a #1  and 3 #2's.....we take Jeff Burris, Lonnie Johnson, Bucky Brooks , Sam Rogers (ignore off line)  while Dallas walks away with powerful OG Larry Allen in rd2,

     

     

    Your point about the Kelly era does not really hold - those guys were drafted over a 20 year period and did not all play together. Devlin (76), Ritcher (80), Wolford (86), Fina (92), Brown (95). The O-line in the prime Kelly years thrived on low picks like Hull and Ballard who developed into great players. 

     

    Regardless, I would like to see the Bills add at least one starter through the draft this year by investing a pick in the first couple rounds. If the Bills continue to draft at least one core offensive lineman each year, they will also stagger when they have to pay those guys which could be smart from a roster building standpoint. 

     

  8. I thought this was a fascinating note in Albert Breer's MMQB article.

     

    The Pittsburgh Steelers have managed to keep their offensive line together over the years and have developed massive continuity. This has to be part of what allows them to plug in James Connor, and allows Big Ben to keep thriving while losing top tier players like Bell.

     

    Look how long their current o-lineman have been with the team.

    - Ramon Foster - 10 years

    - Maurkice Pouncey - 9 years

    - Marcus Gilbert - 8 years

    - David DeCastro - 7 years

    - Alejandro Villaneueva - 4 years

     

    It's an interesting note as the Bills decide how to allocate their money and draft picks in 2019. Most of us are clamoring for WR/TE to take top priority. They have invested picks in Dawkins and Teller and those guys have the potential to anchor the left side for years to come. More offensive lineman might not be as exciting, but could turn out to be shrewd roster building.

     

    Whole article is here:

     

    https://www.si.com/nfl/2018/11/12/nfl-news-notes-rumors-ronald-darby-sidney-jones-cooper-kupp-josh-reynolds-teryl-austin

     

     

     

     

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  9. It's not good yet.

     

    I'd say we have 2 WRs we can bring back next year - Zay and Foster

     

    We have 1-2 TEs - Croom and Thomas (who is UFA at the end of the year). It seems like time to cut bait with Clay if we can get out of his deal. Finding a versatile TE will not be easy - you can end up overpaying like we did for Clay. 

     

    We only have the left side of the O-line in Dawkins and Teller. Maybe they talk themselves into one of the other 3 lineman, but we need at least 2 starters.

     

    I am good with a Josh Allen/Barkley situation, although as Thad Lewis proved a backup QB can fall of the map in the offseason. 

     

    I don't see much changing in the backfield and think Murphy could break out next year. 

  10. 3 hours ago, IgotBILLStopay said:

    I have always been a glass half full guy when it comes to Bills' playoff aspirations. Throughout the playoff drought, I would identify one game in the season, when I definitively said goodbye to any playoff aspirations. The only two instances where I had hopes going into the last game were the year we lost to the Steelers and, of course, last year. For this season, it was the Patriots game last week. I felt getting to 2-7 pretty much sealed our chances. 

     

    But I am having second thoughts now. This appears to be a strange season for the Bills. While our SOS was high, all but one of those "tough" games are behind us. We face the Fins twice, the Jets again, the reeling Lions and Jags, and the Patriots. 8 wins looks very realistic folks without the Pats game. If I give us a 20% chance to win against the PATS (they likely would have clinched the division and wild card home court by week 16 and likely will not get a first round bye this year - so they may rest their starters), I could see us going 9-7 with 7 wins against AFC foes and the tie-breaker over the Titans. Obviously a lot of Ifs, but the steady defense and the weak schedule does appear to give us an outside chance. Just saying.

     

    When all is said and done, I still think that stupid Houston game debacle is going to come and bite us in the foot .. but, maybe, just maybe, I jumped the gun a bit too soon in writing off P chances this season.

     

    Flame away peeps.

     

    It was the first thing I thought of.

     

    The actual odds are probably less than 1%. 

     

    But if you look at the basic ingredients:

     

    1) One of the best defenses in the league

    2) A relatively healthy team

    3) Soft schedule

    4) 4 of 6 at home

     

    Then IF you get the fifth ingredient - competent quarterback play -  we are going to see a run ... not saying it will be 6 straight, but let's take it one at a time.

    • Like (+1) 1
  11. 26 minutes ago, RalphWilson'sNewWar said:

    Going to read some names

     

    Wade Phillips

    Greg Williams

    Dick Jauron

    Rex Ryan

    Sean McDermott

     

    Defense, Defense, Defense.  ALL Defensive Minded/Philosophical coaches whose approach permeates from the top bottom.

     

    now the other two Head Coaches? 

     

    Doug Marrone, a Offensive Sided Coach, but who is almost just as conservative and Defensive Minded as any Defensive Coordiantor in the league.  I mean...Coach Marrone was quoted as saying he NEVER WANTED TO THROW.

     

    That only leaves Chan Gailey as being the only true Offensive Minded Head Coach to have control in Buffalo.  And while Chan did have some things he was far from progressive or innovative and really was Used Goods.

     

    and Mike Mularkey who frankly i just recalled because another poster pointed it out.  If I try all I recall was McGahee running the bills to the 9-7 record.

     

    1 of 2 things will happen.

    1.) Allen will be good and his abilities will mask all of McDermott’s conversativeness.

     

    2.) Allen wont be good and he and McDermott will be removed.

     

    IF that happens, we need to hope/plead that the Pegulas will finally identify a YOUNG, PROGRESSIVE, INOVATING OFFENSIVE MINDED HEAD COACH.

     

    We can all agree that McDermott comes from a defensive background.

     

    However, people who laugh at McDermott when he talks about 'controlling the line of scrimmage' or 'winning physical battles' don't understand what they are talking about. The Rams, Saints, Patriots, and Chiefs dominate the line of scrimmage (at least on the offensive side). They may do it with 3 or 4 wide or spread personnel, but that doesn't change the reality.

     

    It is not like McDermott's vision is to line up in the I-formation with two TEs and just slug the ball down the field. I think that really is what Rex or Marrone wanted to do. 

     

    The issues on offense are many but scheme or philosophy is not the problem. It's everything else that made an offense we knew would be weak turn out historically bad - dead money, lack of talent, unexpected injuries on the O-line, poor planning at the backup QB, brutal schedule, etc. 

    • Like (+1) 2
  12. 4 hours ago, Dablitzkrieg said:

    I disagree, at least 2 concussion.  2 weeks ago and one in London I vividly remember, I'm sure there are more, but 1 is 1 too many.

     

    He looked horrible on MNF

     

    I would absolutely trade him for picks.  The more picks the better chances of hitting on the picks.  They need to turn the crappy roster over and this would be part of the rebuild.  He's not getting any younger and his numbers are horrible!

     

     

     

    They weren't getting multiple good picks, he had six catches for 82 yards on MNF, and if the Bills got rid of every player on the team who had a concussion they wouldn't have a roster.

  13. 1 hour ago, Dablitzkrieg said:

    I'm probably in the minority here, but, considering the place this team is going this year and next (nowhere fast), they should have traded him while he has a little bit of value.  Given his performance this year (albeit ***** show of talent around him) he won't be worth anything going forward.

     

    Shady has not taken a lot of hard hits and still displays top level agility. He is also still a great pass catcher.

     

    He is still under contract and would not have garnered more than a mid-round pick. We have enough holes to fill in 2019 already. He is a captain and a leader and his legal situation seems to have largely blown over.  

     

    I'm willing to say that he is on the back nine, but that is as far as I'll go. Why would you trade a blue-chip player for a pick that will turn into an extra linebacker or a backup safety?

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