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Orlando Buffalo

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Posts posted by Orlando Buffalo

    Well, another worthless stat..total QBR

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    On 9/10/2025 at 6:00 AM, eball said:

    I know some people hate using W-L record as a measuring stick for QBs but it matters.  Lamar played a technically and statistically great game, but he didn’t make any plays on their final three drives to win the game.  I’d be willing to bet if you asked him he’d say the same thing and give Josh the credit.

     

    I have a couple students who agree that Lamar is rarely, if ever, the man down the stretch but both don't remember him failing often. They both think that Harbaugh generally just goes run once they have a double digit lead in the 4th

    Charlie Kirk shot in Utah (Pronounced Dead)

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    28 minutes ago, Roundybout said:


    Sure is weird we do this for Kirk and not the two Minnesota lawmakers that were murdered in their beds by a right winger. 
     

    Wonder why. 

    it is almost as of Kirk is a much more important person than either of those two Dems. It is almost as of his positive impact was felt all over the country, where those Dems did not impact anyone. But keep going down whatever conspiracy theory you want, it just shows how mentally ill you must be to support the Dems.

    • Agree 2

    Henry Ford vax vs Unvaxxed

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    1 hour ago, ChiGoose said:

     

    There is no link because the study was unpublished. It was also heavily flawed.

     

    RFK Jr. ally’s ‘smoking gun’ study on vaccines and chronic illness is fundamentally flawed

     

    • "The most glaring problem is detection bias, which occurs when one group gets examined more frequently than another, leading to more diagnoses regardless of actual disease rates. In the Henry Ford data, vaccinated children had substantially more health care visits than unvaccinated children. Conditions requiring clinical evaluation to diagnose — ADHD, learning disorders, speech delays, ear infections — will inevitably be recorded more often in the frequently seen group. Yet the authors never correct for this gap. Their only check was to drop children who never had a single encounter with a health care provider, which still leaves one group averaging seven visits a year and the other averaging two. That doesn’t level the playing field; it simply bakes the bias into the results. What they’re measuring is exposure to medical observation, not the effects of vaccines."
    • "Take the claim of a six- to eight-fold increase in ear infections among vaccinated children. This is medically implausible but perfectly explained by detection bias. A child who rarely sees a clinician won’t have “otitis media” coded in their record, even if they’ve had ear pain. While untreated ear infections can resolve on their own, they subject children to unnecessary pain, potential hearing damage, and risk of complications like mastoiditis or meningitis. The study repeatedly conflates absence of diagnosis with absence of disease."
    • The statistical red flags accumulate. The authors report near-zero cases of common conditions like ADHD and learning disabilities among thousands of unvaccinated children. Data show these conditions affect roughly 11% and 9% of children, respectively. Finding essentially none suggests these conditions went undiagnosed and unrecorded in children who rarely saw doctors. In several categories, hazard ratios can’t even be calculated because all cases occur in the vaccinated group — exactly what happens when diagnoses are missed in the comparison group.
    • Properly conducted vaccinated-versus-unvaccinated comparisons look very different from the Henry Ford analysis. A 2014 meta-analysis of more than 1.25 million children published in Vaccine found no link between vaccines and autism. Denmark’s nationwide registry studies found no association with type 1 diabetes or autism. A study published in the Journal of Pediatrics confirmed these findings. Germany’s nationally representative KiGGS study of 13,453 children, including 94 completely unvaccinated, found no meaningful differences in chronic conditions when appropriate methods were used.

    Rinse and repeat: US vaccine hearing on unpublished study debates same myths

    • Zervos and the other authors of the study were not present at the hearing. The study, which has never been peer-reviewed, is not currently available to the public as a pre-print or in any other form.
    • Scott went on to explain that “the study reports zero ADHD cases among 1,000s of unvaccinated children. How is that possible with a national prevalence at 11%? That’s highly unlikely, unless conditions went undiagnosed.” Scott noted that the study also claimed a six to eightfold increase in ear infections among vaccinated children, but there is no plausible scientific explanation as to why vaccines would increase ear infections.
    • This finding is consistent with past research showing that parents who do not vaccinate their children are also less likely to have their children treated for health conditions in the medical system. Conditions that were not diagnosed or treated would not have shown up in the study, which relied on medical records, according to hearing testimony.

    • As a point of comparison, Scott referenced a Danish study published this July in Annals of Internal Medicine which investigated whether childhood vaccines were linked to 50 different conditions, including many of the same conditions from the unpublished study, like ADHD, autism, asthma, food allergies and eczema. The Danish study looked at outcomes in over a million vaccinated children and 15,000 unvaccinated children, while the unpublished study looked at 18,500 vaccinated children and 2,000 unvaccinated children, according to hearing testimony.

      The Danish study found no statistically significant increase in risk for any of the conditions investigated, and that vaccinated children experienced lower rates of certain conditions, like ulcerative colitis.

    • Some graphics that Johnson shared left out critical information. For example, a line chart he introduced accurately showed that measles death rates had already begun to decline significantly before vaccines were introduced in the 1960s, due to other factors like improved sanitation, healthcare access and nutrition, but the chart stops in 1960. After vaccines were introduced and widely adopted, both measles cases and death rates declined to nearly zero.

    • Measles was effectively eliminated in the US in 2000, but cases re-emerged when vaccine adoption decreased. There have been 35 measles outbreaks in 2025, according to the CDC. At least two US children and one adult have died of measles this year.

    This is actually the kind of think I was looking for, I have seen the underlying numbers and doubt they are truly accurate but would love to see a proper accounting of another study done properly. As I stated to hide numbers like this would be almost impossible.

    • Like (+1) 1

    Henry Ford vax vs Unvaxxed

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    The study is clearly indicating that giving  vaccine is to children at this point is a terrible decision. At this point my next time of concern will be when I have grandkids so I have not delved into the details. I am curious what is wrong with the study because the numbers they are producing are not something that could be easily hidden if true. 

    Measles is a 'heat-seeking missile' experts warn as Florida outbreak grows

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    10 hours ago, pennstate10 said:

    Sorry Lando, fema and nuclear energy have nothing to do with cdc. Completely different entities. I think you’ve moved the goalposts a tiny bit. 
     

    I have no idea who the “hhs leader that was pretending to be a man “ is or was, and I’ve worked for hhs (nih, not cdc) for the past 25 years. My best guess is this was an hhs employee who made some noise, but was not a hhs leader, especially during the Covid pandemic. 
     

    CDC for the past 50 years has been considered the gold standard for epidemiology and public health throughout the world. It was well run. If you have friends or acquaintances who work in infectious disease, ask them about cdc reputation prior to Covid. 
     

    They made one serious error during Covid pandemic — diagnostic kits were faulty.  All other errors during the Covid pandemic were due to being overly cautious during a novel pandemic.  It’s hard for me to score them overly hard for trying to save lives when it was unclear how lethal this virus was. In retrospect, yes, masking, social distancing, etc were probably too stringent. But in real-time, CDC was thinking of Covid in the context of two other 21st century new corona viruses, SARS and MERS, both with mortality rates of 10-40%. 
     

    Go Bills!

    "Rachel" Levine was second in command at the HHS under Biden. My point is if HHS is well run I would be shocked. I have seen no evidence that the government is well run in any of the departments at any level or even knows what it's job is functionally. One place we actually agree is that the US dept are more competent than other countries, but that is an extremely low bar, seeing as half of the world's governments are openly corrupt. We won't agree on this because I find the waste and political manipulation surrounding COVID to be appalling  The requirement of children to get the shot immoral, and yes that is the proper word. I do appreciate your thoughts and honest discussion, because often this place gets just name calling and I am trying to be better about that.

    A Thank You to the designers of TBD

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    14 hours ago, WhitewalkerInPhilly said:

    I did a brief tour around PhinHeaven and Russel Street Report for some schadenfreude. However I always forget how eye bleeding their formatting is. I mean geez I remember the days of free Invision and Proboards and how do you make your forum look worse than that?

     

    Meanwhile TBD is clean looking, easy to navigate and read and has reactions. To thank you to all who keep it going.

    This place has been well designed for at least 8 years, how have the others not improved? Good post.

    Measles is a 'heat-seeking missile' experts warn as Florida outbreak grows

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, pennstate10 said:

     

    Hi Lando,

     

    I think you have a couple of misconceptions on how the CDC works.

     

    1)  Vaccine recommendations have historically been set by the Advisory Committee of Immunization Practices (ACIP).  this committee has historically been composed of true experts on vaccines, including pediatricians, immunologists, infectious disease physicians.  They generally have at least 20 years experience post graduate or medical schools, and are highly respected full professors at academic medical centers.  

     

    Here is the list from the 2019 Trump administration, so nothing to do with Biden administration.

    https://archive.cdc.gov/www_cdc_gov/vaccines/acip/committee/members-archive/members-2018-oct-2019-jun.html

     

    Contrast that list with the misfits appointed by RFK, only one (Meissner) has a current academic appointment and could be considered an ID/vaccine expert.

    https://www.cdc.gov/acip/membership/roster.html

     

    So these arent CDC employees sitting in an ivory tower; historically, ACIP has consisted of true experts.

     

    2)  I have no doubt that some CDC employees are true pencil pushers who never leave Atlanta.  But other CDC employees are boots-on-the-ground epidemiologists, who are among the first experts at an outbreak scene, whether a cluster of lead poisoning in Wisconsin, or Ebola in Liberia.  So not just textbook understanding.

     

    All of this is in flux as RFKjr and Trump proceed to destroy American health care research.

    I I have dealt with FEMA and they were incompetent 20 years ago and have gotten worse. As I stated I personally know two of the government nuclear experts, and they are not experts, one of the last leader of the HHS was a mentally man pretending to be a woman. If you believe it was well run over the past 20 years after watching it botch COVID in every way possible I will never convince you. And your point about some of them being boots on the ground type of guys does not make them competent people and especially does not mean there input is ever used 

    • Disagree 1
    • Thank you (+1) 1

    Josh's pass to Palmer that (more or less) won the game

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    41 minutes ago, Low Positive said:

    Palmer also put a move on Alexander. Almost made him fall down. That makes me really happy because what we lost with Diggs is that elite route runner who can create separation with skill.

    That is a good point, Palmer did his job well, but other than Josh and a few others the ball won't get there fast enough to make it in time 

    • Agree 1

    What Does "Due Process" Mean?

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    1 hour ago, nedboy7 said:

     

    You said to me I stand up for criminals. With zero proof cause I have never said anything of the sorts and I have many times agreed with the right about absurd liberal ideas.  And I am attacking you?  Its not possible to have a conversation with you all.  Get the ***** away from me.  Go worship your pedo criminal idiot.  

    yes of course you always rip apart liberals,  you can't show a single example ever, but I believe you. I can show where I have disagreed with Trump this week but go ahead and say I worship him, you don't sound like you have TDS. 

    What Does "Due Process" Mean?

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, nedboy7 said:

     

    You are a joke.  You stand with a 34 times indicted rapist who is shielding human traffickers.  You dont care about children dying all over the world.  Get the ***** away from me. 

     

     

    I asked a simple question and you immediately attacked me, sounds like someone knows he is lying. 

    • Haha (+1) 1

    Measles is a 'heat-seeking missile' experts warn as Florida outbreak grows

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    44 minutes ago, pennstate10 said:

    Do your numbers come from the real CDC -- pre-2025 -- or from the Trump / Kennedy CDC?  Obviously, the Kennedy CDC numbers are suspect, as they are generated and massaged by people who have no medical experience whatsoever.

     

    Here are a few articles on link between chronic hep B, cirrhosis, and liver cancer.

     

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMra1713263

     

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa013215

     

    https://www.hepb.org/blog/link-hepatitis-b-liver-cancer/

     

    https://www.mdanderson.org/prevention-screening/manage-your-risk/hepatitis.html

     

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK220039/

     

     

    You may have no respect for subject matter experts; i differ.  I might read a book on nuclear weapons, and understand the concepts of enrichment and implosion, but I couldnt produce a nuclear weapon.   I can read a book on safely piloting a 777, but I dont think you would want me flying one.  As opposed to an expert. 

    Your pilot situation is a good example of my expert vs governments. I would prefer the guy who has been flying a777 for 15 years into and out of 100 airports to tell me what is happening with it. Government experts have read about it, sometimes not for that long, and understand in a textbook world but that does not exist. also I get the issues with Hep B, but for an illness that comes from specific situations, fluids from infected people, it does not need to be mandated. I have never been in risk of it and making it mandatory is inappropriate.

    Measles is a 'heat-seeking missile' experts warn as Florida outbreak grows

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, pennstate10 said:

    image.jpeg.133f8b986b099e7d82d2bf68418344ce.jpeg

     

    You and Aaron Rodger’s doing your own research eh?  Smarter than 100s of pediatricians, microbiologists, and ID specialists who have devoted their lives to studying vaccines, eh?  And in just 5 minutes!,  incredible!

    Seriously, I don’t know where you got your #s from, but they’re wrong. Maybe you’re looking at acute vs chronic hep B?

     

     

    on an earlier topic, you’re 100% correct.  Vax hesitancy used to be the province of the wacko libs. Now it’s been taken over by the wacko maga. Still wacko idiots with no medical knowledge or training. 
     

     

    My numbers came from the CDC, you are welcome to show me what I need to know. you and I do differ in one place, I don't respect government experts abilities to understand the implications of what they do. Too many government experts are not experts at all, I personally know 2 people who are now government "experts" on nuclear weapons, to the point they speak for the US in negotiations  with other countries, and they are bright guys but not experts by any reasonable standard. 

    • Thank you (+1) 1

    Measles is a 'heat-seeking missile' experts warn as Florida outbreak grows

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    32 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:

    Yes, you do seem to be smarter than liberal morons. Good for you and your family.

     

    I saw Rand Paul on one of the Sunday morning news shows. He said something like this about the CDC:

    "they think they know better than you about vaccines."

     

    Yes! They do! They know better than the average person because it is their job to know better than the average person. You know who knows better about the dangers of nuclear materials than you or me? The Nuclear Regulatory Commission experts. You know who knows better than you or me about acceptable levels of arsenic in drinking water? The EPA!

     

    We're no longer in the Question Authority bumper sticker world. We're in the Dismiss Authority or Assume Authority Wants to Make Us Subservient to Something or Other world. It's a good thing to encourage debate and to question the advice of official boards and commissions; it is foolhardy to dismiss it, or even worse to ascribe some kind of sinister motivations to it. And that's where we are.

     

    Most annoying: we know Trump doesn't believe his own Administration's bs. We know that he believes Operation Warp Speed was a great achievement (it was!). But he's more concerned about retaining power (or holding off another RFK Jr challenge to his anointed successor) than he is about telling the truth here.

    So I disagree with some of this because I just saw a report of how little doctors understand of the math of vaccines and the tests that they use to diagnose things. I believe 99% of doctors try to be right but the health world is so large now and since each medicine is presented in the numbers that make them look best they don't have time to be correct all the time. I need to learn about my conditions and how to deal with it. As for politicians not believing their own BS, of course we know that, it is why they were exempted from the disaster of Obamacare but that is why we need less mandatory rules.

    Measles is a 'heat-seeking missile' experts warn as Florida outbreak grows

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:

    I just said all this nonsense started with granola types.

    So are you proud that you're following their lead right off the cliff?

    Actually I just spent 5 minutes doong a little research. The Hep B rate prior to the vaccine was 10 per 100k and it is now 5 per 100k. this never should have been required. Most people don't have behaviors that make it likely they will get it even if they come into contact with people with Hep B. That does not even mention the fact that less than 20% of people with it even have symptoms. On a different note I have been for parents having the right to opt their kids out of vaccines, I got my kids vaccinated on everything recommended up to age 10, but I am smarter than liberal morons. 

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