Reks Ryan
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Posts posted by Reks Ryan
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3 hours ago, TheWei44 said:
I may be wrong about this but I think the 54% is the probability of winning the first round (every % in the table is the probability of winning in said round). So our chances of making the playoffs would be higher than that.
It's not showing any % about performance in the playoffs, only the seeding entering the playoffs.
Each place is the probabiltiy for each seed. Ex. it shows the Bills with 6% chance to get the 1 seed, and 10% chance to get the 5 seed. It has the Dolphins 57% chance to wind the divison and the Bills only a 29% chance.
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5 hours ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:
Another excellent site:
Interesting that this one only gives the Bills a 54% chance to make the playoffs. And shows both the Colts & Steelers w higher probability to get in.
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2 hours ago, DabillsDaBillsDaBills said:
Robert Woods and Stephon Gilmore both walked the same offseason we brought McD in. Both guys were good in Buffalo and even better after they left.
Maybe Woods was going to walk regardless, but we could've franchise tagged Gilmore. We also butchered the comp pick formula so we didnt even get 3rd rd comp picks out of them.
Gilmore was the first guy I thought of, but wasn't sure if he counted as McD era. He's by far the most productive player post-Bills in the last 10 years. Defensive player of the year, mulitple All-Pro seasons, SB.
I didnt remember that Woods left the same year. He had a couple outstanding years with the Rams.
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2 hours ago, Buffalo619 said:
Couldn’t even play last drive when we needed a stop. He sat there with his baseball cap on.
He had a baseball cap on from mid 3rd QTR until the end of the game. I don’t think he played a single snap in the 2nd half. I was at the game and watching him on the sideline, I wondered if he was injured. Or the coaches saw he was ineffective and not ready to go?
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27 minutes ago, SectionC3 said:
Saddle up and move on. The pass rush is elite when 50 56 40 57 and 91 are available. O line is solid. 17 and 14 are healthy. Keep on grinding and we will be good.
What about 92 on the pass rush? Was a huge difference w out him today, compared to the first 4 games
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On 10/1/2023 at 9:38 PM, Process said:
I'm on record saying Burrow is the most overrated player in the league.
Is he as bad as he is playing right now? No of course not.
Is he a good QB? Yes he's good
Is he's elite? No, and he never has been.
I'm all for hating on rival QBs. Burrow does seem full of himself. But IMO there's no question he's an elite QB
in 2021 and 2022 he basically averaged 4,500 yards, 35 TDs, just shy of 70% completion rate, plus 3 Rush TDs / year. And he lead his team to the SB and AFCG. Those are 2 pretty awesome years. He's been bad so far in 2023, but I'll give him the benefit of the doubt playing through an injury. It's a long season.
And he was voted #6 overall and #3 QB on the latest NFL 100. Anyone in the top 20 is Elite in my book.
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I saw a random stat on ESPN after the Raiders game, that Allen was the first QB in history to have 3 games with an 80%+ completion rate and at least 3 TDs before the age of 30. After the dominant performance against Miami he's now done it 4 times at the age of 27.
For several years, Allen's been capable of blistering hot streaks where he's very accurate and nearly unstoppable. His play style makes it difficult to keep up 74% game by game. IMO he'll go through some ups & downs through the season and finish the year around 70%. As long as he keeps producing TDs and limits the TO's it's OK if his complettion % dips from the currnent rate.
In addtion to the factors mentioned above, I think his improved pocket presence have helped completion % the last 3 weeks. Less scrambling around and throws on the run or throw aways.
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5 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:
Obviously Allen Diggs and the entire D so…
McD
Dorsey
O’Cyrus Torrence and the Oline- did Wilkins even play?
Love your comment on Wilkins. Only time I noticed him, was when he got in Allen’s face after a play was over
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Josh Allen!!!
Stef Diggs
Greg Rousseau
Jackson
McDermott
Dorsey
O-line
12th Man
man, it’s great to have superstars in a big game
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Bills. 34
Fish. 31
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2 hours ago, Goin Breakdown said:
I'm assuming Miami is going to almost score at will.
Why would you assume this? In the last game the Dolphins played in Buffalo with Tua (week 14 last year), they didn't score at will.
Dolphins had 10 drives - 3 TD's, 3 FGS, 4 punts, no turnovers. McDermoott now has more experience against the other McD as the Miami coach. The Bills are a good D, they should be able to hold them to punts or FGs on at least 1/2 their drives and at least 1 TO.
in that game Bills had 11 drives - 4 TD's, 1 FG, 5 punts, 1 TO. Good clock management allowed Bills to get 1 more posession and kick winning FG at the buzzer.
Based on recent history, good chance Sunday's game will be a close game wiht the winning team scoring somewhere between 27 - 35 points. My prediction 34 - 31 Bills.
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We had our share of games in OP during the drought years, with plenty of tix available in the $20's or less. Although that was usually after Thanksgiving and Bills officially eliminated.
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13 hours ago, Chandler#81 said:
They’ve scored just 1 more point than us through 3 games. I’m confident we’ll beat them twice this year. Their coach is a weird alien and I’ve hated their franchise since the 70’s. Knock Tua on his ass and he’ll be on IR for at least a month.
They’ve scored 130 and Bills have scored 91.
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Kind of amazed how much praise the fish are getting in this thread. And also surprised how so many are writing off the Bengals after only 2 losses.
From a Bills fan perspective, I would rather play Miami than Cinci in the playoffs, assuming teams are healthy. The Cinci D has been able to control the Chiefs, Dolphins, and Bills.
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17 hours ago, Aussie Joe said:
Was this from FilthyBeast?
Haven’t seen him the past 2 games
You'll see him soon. It's Miami week, he can't resist
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5 hours ago, Freddie's Dead said:
Gabe "Welcome Back" Davis - Huge catches all day (we'll overlook the drop) and with his TD, the rout was on. Gabe is having hisself a season so far.
Huh? The TD catch for Davis was big. But that was his only catch of the day. Allen was 0'fer on all other passes attempted to GD.
Game balls for the entire D-Line
of couse Bernard
Bass-o-matic
Diggs. Did you mean, Diggs had huge catches all day?
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OP - I loved watching the 2 games you have at #1 & 2. Celebrating the end of the playoff drought in the Dolphins stadium once the Ravens lost,was an all time great memory. Although, I would put the domination of NE at home in the playoffs as #1 in the McDermott era.
Even though it clinched the division, not sure about 2020 Denver game as a top game. It would of been shocking if they lost that game. You could put the 2020 SF game up there instead. For me one of the most fun and entertaining games was the snowball game last year agains the fish. And it was well mangaged by McD & co to run down the clock and kick the game winning FG.
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Feel terrible for Diggs, and it’s a big loss for Dallas. But I don’t think it dooms their SB chances. They have such a deep talented roster on D, and a solid veteran QB w weapons on O.
The Bills lost Tre White in 2021, were 7 - 6 and still made it 13 seconds from perhaps a SB. And they didn’t have anyone close to the talent level of Stefon Gilmore to fill in as CB1.
I have SF & Philly ahead of them, but the Cowboys are right there.
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Does anyone know which Sideline is the HOME SIDE / Bills sideline in London? Don't have tickets yet and would prefer to be on the Bills side
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59 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:
Wallace played well last night. He’s not great but he’s a decent starting-caliber corner.
Did you watch the whole game? Watching the game, I must’ve said to my wife at least 3 times, Wallace is having a rough game. He dropped an easy interception, lost contain on a 70 yard run, gave up multiple 20 yard completions, and I think had a penalty.
I really liked him with the Bills, and still root for him. But he was clearly the weak link on the Steelers D against Cleveland.
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3 hours ago, Coach Tuesday said:
What!? No one has mentioned this above.Here’s an excerpt, “ Trotter did "not hear the alleged Pegula remark firsthand" but "reported the account of someone else who did.".
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20 hours ago, BobBelcher said:
its just weird how lately when things start to unravel with Allen, the unraveling begins at a time when he is playing well and we actually have control of the game, but then he will keep unraveling until we have inexplicably lost our lead altogether and only THEN end does he seem to snap out of it,
It's a good point, but not just lately. I think this pattern has recurred thoughout his career. Allen is 0 - 5 in OT and several of those games were similar.
In the Houston playoff game the Bills were up by 16 and the Vikings game last year the Bills were up by 17. In both games and Monday night Josh had a meltdown where he made spastic boneheaded plays, turned the ball over and the team gave up huge leads and got behind in the final minutes. Only for Allen to lead them down the field to tie the game in closing seconds and go to OT. All 3 games, the Bills had an OT posession did nothing, punted away and opposition won the game on next possesion.
During the 4th QTR and OT on Monday night, I kept thinking we have seen this movie before.
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Trotter didn't even say that he heard it directly. Supposedly, Someone else told Trotter that Pegula said it. It's hearsay and gossip from Trotter
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6 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
The actual comparison is I own a convenience store and I used to allow customers to buy a bag of potatoes for $1. Then I decide I am not going to sell my potatoes in bags because I can earn more charging individually for them at 20 cents per potato. It is same product. The individual potatoes are no better than the they were in the bag. I have just decided I want to make more money.
If I am that store owner and someone who can no longer afford the potatoes for his family runs in grabs them and runs out that is my fault not his.
Not a good comparison. If a store overprices goods they open the door for a competitor to take their business. The customer who is willing to pay $1.00 for a bag of potatoes, but can't afford $.20 each, can go the grocery store and buy it by the bag, or perhaps a new covenience store. If there's a market to make a profit on $1.00 bags of potatoes with a little effort consumers will be able to get them. They dont need to steal, just don't give your business to the overpriced store.
The NFL has a limited anti-trrust exemption and is essentially a monoply. Of course, customers can choose not to consume NFL football. But unlike potatoes, you don't have a choice to legally buy it somewhere else.
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TNF: Jaguars at New Orleans
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Ronnie Harmon