mjt328

Our best chance to ever win a Super Bowl is for the franchise to move, then we can start over with an expansion team. It worked for Baltimore.

It would be easier to say what isn't wrong. Our defense isn't just playing below expectations. It isn't just playing bad or struggling. It isn't just playing horrible. It is setting NFL records for how poorly it is playing. No defense in league history has been run, passed or scored on as much as the 2012 Bills defense.

We have been on a constant cycle of rotating from offensive coordinators to defensive for the last 10 years. > Gregg Williams - defense > Mike Mularky - offense > Dick Jauron - defense > Chan Gailey - offense It makes absolutely NO difference what side of the ball they have expertise in. If they suck at the head coach position, they won't help our team. In my opinion, Gailey has gotten great production out of our offensive talent. Fitz, FJax, Stevie, Chandler, Pears, Urbik, etc. - All of these players are mid-late round picks that have been better under Gailey than under any other NFL coach/coordinator. Gailey's downfall is that he has shown NO ability to handle the defensive side of the ball. His assistant coaches (Edwards and Wannstedt) have been bad. And as the head coach, his team seems unprepared to play (slow starts, sloppy, out of rhythm) about 25 percent of the time. The players also seem to quit on him whenever they face adversity. i don't think I've seen this team play 4 quarters of good football since he's been here. We need a GOOD head coach, plain and simple. I don't care if he's offensive, defensive or special teams.

This team NEVER plays 4 quarters.... NEVER. Even when they start hot and get up big, they coast through the second half. Yesterday, the team quit about half way through the third quarter. With the exception of quarterback, I think the talent level is enough to compete for a playoff spot. But the passion, fire and attitude on this team is absolutely pathetic. They let themselves get pushed around -- and honestly, I don't think they even care.

I cringe everytime Fitz steps back to throw.

Here is the problem. Fitz is an extremely limited quarterback. He has a below-average arm for an NFL starter. His deep ball accuracy is horrific. His decision making is spotty, especially when he is pressured or his initial reads break down. Chan designed this offense to hide these flaws and take advantage of the strong point Fitz does possess - specifically the ability to make pre-snap reads of a defense. That is whey you see the spread 95% of the time. It give Fitz the ability to scan the defensive coverage, audible if necessary and then make quick-short throws with very little pressure. And for a handful of games last season, this was a very effective strategy. Defenses started catching on after about 3-4 games and it's been downhill ever since. The book is out on the Bills offense. All they have to do is clog the short passing lanes and dare Fitz to beat you deep. He CANNOT do it. His receivers cannot gain separation and he cannot put the ball in a catchable position. It's easy to SAY that Chan should do something different. It's entirely different to expect success with something different. People say we should simply run the ball more, because Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller are our best players on offense. That sounds good on paper. But it's not so realistic when you consider the overall talents of our offensive players (and not just Fitz). Our players are just not suited to a power running game. > Can FJax and Spiller CONSISTENTLY gain 4-5 yards - between the tackles - when the defense knows it is coming? I have my doubts. Spiller has a history of dancing at the line of scrimmage. Jackson was an average NFL runner until last year, when he found his niche in the spread offense. > Is our offensive line physical enough to consistently outmuscle the opposing defensive line? Without a strong push by the guys up front, Fitz will be facing a lot of 3rd & 7 or 3rd & 8 (which is almost impossible for him to convert). > You just can't run the ball 20-25 times a game out of shotgun. A successful running game would require us lining up under center more often. That means less receiving options and a 3-4 step drop for our quarterback. This would limit Fitz's pre-snap vision of the defense and force him to make decisions in the pocket. This completely plays against his strengths. If you think he is bad now...

Better than a 18-35-1 career as a starter, or 71:68 TD-to-INT ratio... (Fitzpatrick's stats)

Simple mathematics in Sunday's game. The Bills almost never blitzed - sending 4 rushers on almost every play. The Jets protection plan called mostly for the tight end or running back to stay and help - leaving 6 blockers on almost every play. That left 7 Bills defenders against 4 Jets receivers... Almost double coverage on EVERY receiver. On top of that, the Jets used mostly 2-3 step drops, meaning receivers only had a few seconds to beat coverage. Yet the Bills managed to leave receivers WIDE OPEN on virtually every play. It might have been the worst performance by a secondary that I have ever witnessed in 25+ years of watching the NFL.

Quarterbacks today have all the rules catering to them. When Jim Kelly played, wide receivers actually had to fight off the line of scrimmage to get open. Cornerbacks were allowed to use bump and run coverage. There was none of this illegal contact crap. Want some proof? Just look at one of today's "elite" Hall of Fame quarterbacks (who some are now calling the best ever). He has spent his ENTIRE career throwing 90% of his passes to slot receivers and tight ends. His claim to fame is throwing the ball 5-7 yards over the middle and watching his receivers to the rest of the work. Do you honestly think that DINK and DUNK garbage would have been successful in the NFL twenty years ago? Not a chance. Half of the guys on your list would have been BELOW average in Kelly's era.

The Jets were playing vanilla offense.

The Nail on the Head. A lot of posters on this board only like to look at Fitzpatrick's final season stats - which admittedly were pretty decent (minus the 23 picks). Mistakes are a killer in this league. The problem is that for stretches, Fitz will look like a Pro Bowler - quickly finding the open guy and rifling perfect passes. Then all of a sudden, he will terribly underthrow his receiver or lob a lame-duck into coverage. He has a terrible game like Week 11 against the Dolphins - 209 yards, 51% completion, 0 touchdowns and 2 picks Then he has a great game like Week 12 against the Jets - 264 yards, 67% completion, 3 touchdowns and no picks. Everybody has a bad game once in awhile, but these up-and-down numbers are too common with Fitz. In my estimation, he was good in about 5 games last year, bad in about 5 games, and a mixed bag in about 6 games. That just can't happen.

Exactly. I'm not a big Fitz supporter by any means. But I like our QB situation as much, if not better, than the Jets and Dolphins.

Every team has its own system. Some don't even have a general manager. On a team like New England (Belichek) or Washington (Shanahan), the personnel decisions pretty much start and stop with the head coach. On others - such as Oakland when Al Davis was alive - the owner seems to have the final say on all player movement. The most successful teams seem to split duties between the GM and Head Coach. I get the impression that our setup is currently very similar to this. It's hard to tell whether Ralph is still pulling strings in the background though.

In my opinion, success is when a team can be a legitimate SUPER BOWL CONTENDER for at least five years. Obviously, the ultimate goal should be winning the big game. But the early 90's Bills was one of the best the NFL has ever seen. Even without a championship, I would still consider it a successful run.

My thoughts exactly. Old habits are hard to break. But if Fitz can consistently improve his game, he's still got a lot of years in front of him. Maybe he could become the next Rich Gannon?

I've broken down the Bills schedule several times. If the team completely underachieves and doesn't improve much from last season, I think we should STILL at least be heavy favorites to win 6 games: - Kansas City (home), Cleveland (road), Miami (home), Indianapolis (road), Jacksonville (home) and St. Louis (home) I also believe the following 5 games are also VERY winnable: - Arizona (road), Tennessee (home), Seattle (home), Miami (road), New York Jets (home) This is the easiest schedule our team has had in years. I think an 11-5 record is certainly attainable... even if we are only marginally better from last season. Now, if you go strictly by potential playoff spots: > New England has to be the favorite to win the AFC East > Houston should be the favorite to repeat in the AFC South, especially with Shaub and AJohnson coming back from injury > Denver will likely win the AFC West now that it has Peyton Manning. > In the AFC North, it's usually a dog fight between Pittsburgh and Baltimore. But personally, I think Baltimore is going to fall-off big time this season. Terrell Suggs might be gone for the season. Ed Reed is threatening to retire. Ray Rice is threatening to hold out (which almost always results in injury). Ray Lewis is another year older. The whole team has to feel a let-down after that crushing loss in the AFC Championship. So I'm sticking with Pittsburgh. For the remaining wild cards, I think it will come down to 5 teams. And I like our talent better than all of them: Buffalo New York Jets Cincinnati San Diego Kansas City

The Packers let Nick Barnett go last year, and he was a pretty good late addition to our team. Our current starting tight end, Scott Chandler, was also waived several times before landing on our team. From what I understand, the biggest issue with Winslow is his contract. He also apparently got into it with the new coaching staff for not working out with the team in the offseason (a pretty standard issue for ex-Hurricane players).

I was going to make a post exactly like this. I would add: Darrell Talley/Shane Conlan >>>>>>>>>> Kelvin Sheppard/Kirk Morrison Keith McKeller/Pete Metzelaars >>>>>>> Scott Chandler Jim Richter/Howard Ballard/John Davis >>>>> Andy Levitre/Erik Pears/Kraig Urbik and... Frank Reich >>>>>> Fitz If they reach their potential, the current roster might bost a better secondary than the Super Bowl teams. Right now, I think they are about even.

100 PERCENT CORRECT No matter how great of a job Nix is doing, quarterbacks of Brees caliber don't exactly grow on trees. I can't believe anyone would vote 'No' on this poll. If you asked Fitz, I would bet he would vote 'Yes.'

1. The main goal of a team should be winning the Super Bowl 2. The Saints stand NO CHANCE of winning the Super Bowl without Brees. 3. With Brees under center, they should always be a contender for the championship - even with the bounty scandal, etc. Replacing a quarterback like Drew Brees is easier said that done. Just ask Buffalo, who has been trying to replace Jim Kelly for over a decade. Or Miami, who is still trying to replace Marino (good luck with Tannehill). Denver finally got it. After messing around with Brian Griese, Jay Cutler and Tim Tebow - they finally threw all their money at an injured legend with only 3-4 years left in the tank (at best). Why? Because it's better to be a Super Bowl contender for 3-4 years than spend DECADES trying to find a decent franchise quarterback.

I don't think Fitzpatrick's biggest problem is arm strength. It's accuracy - particulary on the deep ball. He goes through spurts where he zips balls through the tiniest windows and makes some of the prettiest passes you've ever seen. Look at the Cincinnati game in 2010, which might have been his most impressive performance. Then he goes through spurts where his accuracy and decision making are pathetic.

I'm not sure how good T.J. Graham will be. He's never played an NFL down. Neither have Justin Blackmon or Michael Floyd. And I can't say that I was a fan of trading Evans (I wasn't). One thing is certain. As a player ages, speed is the first thing to go. If we are going to have a one-dimensional speed guy, you can't fault the front office for wanting a guy fresh out of college vs. a guy who is 31 years old.

Prior to the draft, Chandler Jones was a late riser who had moved up to consideration as a borderline first/second round pick. Donte Hightower was considered a late first round pick. The Patriots had two first round picks, so getting both guys was just about what should be expected. But of course, since it was Belicheck drafting them - Jones all of a sudden became the best DE prospect in the draft and Hightower became the top LB prospect in the draft. That is the way people in the sports media see it. In contrast, Stephon Gilmore was generally considered a Top 10/Mid First Round Pick. Cordy Glenn was considered a mid first round pick. Both of Buffalo's top draft choices were rated HIGHER than New England's. So who gets the better draft grade?

Wide receiver was and still is a huge need. We have a lot of decent guys, but nothing special outside of Steve Johnson. I wouldn't mind grabbing a veteran QB or two to compete with Thigpen for the backup spot. Pretty sure we still need a backup center, in case Wood goes down again. People keep saying we need a tight end, but that's just not a big position in Gailey's offense. I think Chandler is a good fit for what we need. And shockingly, that's about it. I think we've got one starting position that isn't solid (imagine if we had gotten Meachem) and a couple places that could use some depth.

Based purely on consensus projections, we drafted two SURE starters, with the potential for this draft to yield four or five starting caliber players. Depending on how our team plays out, I think all of our top seven picks could get significant playing time. Stephon Gilmore was projected by most to be a Top 10 to Mid-First Round pick. He will almost certainly contribute big this year and he should be starting next to Aaron Williams by the start of next season. Cordy Glenn was projected as a safe, middle of the first round guard. The Bills see him as a left tackle. Even if he never wins that job, he will eventually start somewhere on our offensive line. Many considered Zebrie Sanders a second round prospect, also with starting potential. He will start as valuable depth and could leave us with an EXCELLENT tackle rotation with Glenn, Pears and Hairston. Nigel Bradham and Tank Carder were both considered third round talents, with the potential to eventually become solid starters. There is a good chance that one of these guys will eventually unseat Kirk Morrison. Maybe the other will be a replacement for Nick Barnett someday. Ron Brooks could eventually become our nickle corner. With the number of 3-4-5 receiver sets that teams run, that's almost as good as being a starter. TJ Graham was a reach. But in the spread passing attack, it's clear Buffalo wasn't looking for an "all-around" receiver. They wanted pure speed, even if he's a one-dimensional player.