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jwhit34

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Posts posted by jwhit34

  1. Gronkowski and Hernandez had 1,327 and 910 yards, respectively in 2011, their best year. If Allen throws for 4,500 yards (265 yards/game), here's a possible breakdown:

    • Diggs 1,250
    • Kincaid 850
    • Davis  800
    • Knox  500
    • RBs 550
    • Other WR 550

    I don't know if Kincaid gets to the record (and keep in mind it's in more games). I think this is a reasonable distribution, maybe Allen goes for 5,000...

  2. 17 minutes ago, HamSandwhich said:

    Why must it always be a race thing? Why? What bout this then? Percentage of the US population is 13.6% black, 32 teams / 3 = 11%, so it's just about the right mix, you can argue one more but it's give or take one. So, what's the big deal here? Why are the teams so predominantly non-white? Because it's all about meritocracy, the way its SUPPOSED to be! My goodness people are not smart, just go along with the diversity narrative. 

    There are 6 non-white/mixed race: Tomlin, Bowles, Ryans, Salah, Rivera, M. McDaniel

     

    Your comparison to the entire US population is not a valid one. The more relevant analysis would be how does the racial makeup of coaches compare to the racial makeup of the players, since pretty much every coach has played the game (at some level, at least college). 

     

    To that point, about 56% of players are Black/Hispanic, 11% Mixed Race/Bi-Racial, 25% White and the remainder other or non-disclosed. 

     

    The point is that the NFL has 6 of 32 or 18.75% of head coaches are non-white while the players they are coaching are at least 67% non-white. 

     

    The NFL still has a long way to go. I'm not saying 2/3 of coaches should be of color, but it still is not where it should be by a long shot. 

     

    By contrast, about 72% of NBA players are Black and half the coaches are Black. By HamSandwhich logic, there are too many Black coaches in the NBA (since only 13.6% of population is Black) and that clearly is not the case. 

  3. Signing a player who has played very well vs. Bills is part of Beane's MO. 

     

    Pending the contract details, which given what Singletary got would probably be a $1.7-2.5 million salary with incentives and that would be good, this is exactly how you play the RB game. Draft players in rounds 2-4 a majority of years, don't give them a 2nd contract, pick up 1-2 vets to round out the RB slots on cheap, 2nd contracts because (a) they are interchangeable and (b) when you are a pass first offense and have Allen (who is probably going to get 500-700 rush yards) keep the investment in the position at about $6 million on the cap. 

     

  4. Wait until all the contract restructure stuff happens. Lots of things will change:

    • If they pull the contract levers for Allen and Miller, either cut or restructure Hines and then restructure 1 or 2 big contracts (Dawkins and/or Milano) they will be around $30 million under the cap. Do a couple other things (release McKenzie, extend Daquan Jones) and maybe it's more like $35 million.
    • Like the Miller contract from a year ago, they can sign a couple guys to pretty big money and still only count around $7-8 million on the cap.
    • The bottom 10 players on the cap now average about $850k so a signing at a cap hit of $7 million is really adding a little more than $6 million to the cap.

    I think they will re-sign Edmunds but his '23 cap will be around $7-8 million. They could opt for a couple more with cap hits in the $7-9 million range and then fill with $1-3 million/year players.

     

    Bottom line: the cap situation isn't that bad, it is just something that every GM has to deal with each year. 

  5. OJ in '73 and '75 as many have stated is on the list. I do think the '75 season for total yards from scrimmage and TDs is the better season.

     

    Pick a Hasek year the Cup run for what he meant to the team plus the stats makes sense.

     

    I like including McAdoo, his '74-75 MVP year was great.

     

    The only other one I would add to consider is the LaFontaine/Mogilny '92-93 season. LaFontaine was 53-95 for 148 points and Mogilny was 76-51-127. 

  6. 4 hours ago, thenorthremembers said:

    Best to ever do it.  Maybe the greatest champion in the history of sports.  

    I agree Brady is the best QB all time. 

     

    Greatest champion? I would say Bill Russell and Michael Jordan have him beat, and from coaching, John Wooden. 

     

    In terms of football champion, I think you have to consider players from the Steel Curtin SB run and Joe Montana won 4 in 9 years. Brady beats them in longevity and volume though. Montana's Super Bowl stats are amazing (4 games):

     

    4-0 in games

    83-122, 1142 yards

    11 TDs, 0 Ints

    17 rushes for 107 yards and 2 TDs

     

  7. The lights are a good idea, the other thing they should do, like the NBA and NCAA basketball, is show the tenths of the second in the last 5 seconds of the play clock. I think now when the play clock goes to zero there are actually .9 seconds left. The combo (lights and tenths) would alleviate all these debates. 

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  8. 2 hours ago, The Frankish Reich said:

    Yes, it has demonstrated success for about half a century.

    - Lynn Swann and John Stallworth (Steelers dynasty)

    - Fred Biletnikoff and Cliff Branch (peak Raiders)

    - Jerry Rice and John Taylor (49ers dynasty)

    - Isaac Bruce and Tory Holt (Greatest Show on Turf Rams SB winners)

     

    Ahh, to be young ...

     

    How about Bills history: Andre Reed and James Lofton, Jerry Butler and Frank Lewis, and for one season Eric Moulds and Peerless Price.

     

    That said, 4 of the 6 were drafted by the Bills so I would say use a 1 or 2 in draft for a WR. Draft one OL in first 2 rounds and maybe another in 3rd or 4th. TO sustain, they are going to have to consistently hit on the middle round picks

  9. Three are already fired (Denver, Indy, Carolina). How many more? I think it will be 4 out of these 6:

     

    Cleveland

    Tampa Bay

    New Orleans (does Payton go back?)

    Arizona

    Las Vegas

    LA Chargers if they don't make the playoffs

     

     

  10. Going into the season, a lot of the buzz about the offense was about Gabe Davis "taking the next step" and becoming a big time WR2. Now, a significant portion of fans say he is a disappointment. 

     

    I think a fair expectation going into the season to be considered a top end WR2 would be a season with 60-70 receptions, 900-1,000 yards and 7-9 TDs. 

     

    Davis missed 1 game due to injury, so in the 10 games he has played he now has 33 receptions, 650 yards and 5 TDs. How does that compare to expectations?

    • He ranks #22 in receiving yards per game, and the only WR2s ahead of him are Waddle and Higgins.
    • Only 10 WRs have more TDs
    • At 65 yards per game, that extrapolates out to 1,105 over 17 games. If he averages 65/game the rest of the year, it would be 1,040 in 16 games.
    • He has 5 TDs in 10 games played so if he keeps up that pace he will have 8 TDs.
    • The receptions are lighter, he would end at 53 at 3.3/game

     

    Yes, the drops are not good, but if you were asked before the beginning of the season would you take a 53-1,040-8 stat line for Davis this year? I am guessing almost everyone would, especially if you said Diggs was going to also have the year he's having. 

     

    I have thought for a long time a lot of Bills fans overvalued Don Beebe, whose career highs with the Bills were 40 catches ('94) and 554 yards ('92). Davis is moving into undervalued territory.

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  11. A lot written about Gabe Davis and "not taking a step" this year. It's not all about stats, but:

     

    2020: 16 games played, 35 receptions, 599 yards, 7 TDs

    2021: 16 games played, 35 receptions, 549 yards, 6 TDs (yes, huge game in playoffs)

    2022: 9 games played, 29 receptions, 612 yards, 5 TDs

     

    Diggs-Davis combo this year (rec-yds-TDs): 105-1,645-13

     

    Other elite combos:

    Hill-Waddle: 132-2,026-10

    Higgins-Chase-Boyd: 136-1,896-13

    Jefferson-Thielen: 117-1,585-6

    D. Smith-AJ Brown: 101-1,345-9

    Metcalf-Lockett: 102-1,221-9

     

    KC has Kelce, so that's a different comparison, but Schuster-Scantling-Hardman-Moore: 118-1,540-7

     

    Hill-Waddle are the tops, and Chase's numbers are down because he has missed 3 games, but Diggs-Davis' numbers are better than everyone else. And Davis' numbers compare real favorably to all #2s other than Higgins and Waddle, and he missed a game (and probably played injured in at least 1-2 others). 

     

     

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  12. 48 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

     

    I would absolutely love Singletary as a 2nd RB. As a workhorse he gives us a decent baseline but zero upside. I hope Cook figures it out soon. He's the kind of RB that could, in theory anyways, punish defenses for conceding the short areas of the field.

    Singletary is the Bills' RB2, RB1 is Josh Allen, right?

     

    A better run game is a nice to have at this point, not a necessity. If the Bills elevated Duke Johnson, as many have suggested, I would be good with that even if it meant waiving Moss. Antonio Gibson is interesting though. I wonder how willing Beane would be to trade with Washington after the McKissic incident. And I think Cook gets a few more opportunities. With weaker opponents on the horizon (at least on paper), that may present some opportunities for Cook to gain experience. 

  13. They were showcasing James Cook yesterday for a trade (tongue somewhat in cheek).

     

    It is probably a little far-fetched, mostly because trading Cook triggers $2.3 million in dead cap. 

     

    But I'm wondering if they would trade Cook and a 4th for McCaffrey. It would be like trading a 2nd and a 4th for McCaffrey, a late 2nd for that matter (which is where Cook was picked). 

     

    I would be okay with it. If Cook works out good for them, just like Justin Jefferson worked out for the Vikings. 

     

     

  14. There's not much else they can say.

     

    I question the conventional opinion on Tomlin at this point in his coaching career. He has been a very good coach, as many have noted he has never had a losing record. However, he has not adapted to how the game has evolved. A few from yesterday:

    • Down 24-3, 3:39 left in first half, 4th and 5 at Buffalo 15 he opts for a FG into the wind instead of going for a first down. 
    • Steelers get the ball back with 4L19 left in 3rd down 31-3 at own 20. Per game log he goes no-huddle 2 times. The 10 plays take them to end of quarter, which on the last play of the quarter...
    • Down 28 points 4th and 13 at the Bills 27, he tries a FG and again misses. 

    Irony: after he tries that last FG, what do the Bills do to start the 4th? Pass to Diggs for 41 and a 24 TD run by Cook. Bills go 65 yards in 57 seconds while up 28.

     

    Tomlin seems to like to punt and kick FGs vs. going for it when the situation call for it. With the game out of hand it was a good opportunity for him to give Pickett experience in those situations (run no huddle, go for it on 4th) with really no pressure. 

     

     

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  15. Admittedly it seems a bit blasphemous to pose this question. Add up Von Miller's performance, mentoring, leadership and the attention he draws from the opposition and he is probably the slam dunk answer.

     

    However, Greg Rousseau has played very well in the first four games: 4 sacks (Miller 3), 5 tackles for loss (Miller also 5), 15 total tackles (11 solo, 4 assists, Miller 7 solo 0 assist). My guess is Miller has more QB pressures. 

     

    It's not just a stats question of course. So far, so good, Miller's playing very well and Rousseau has made a nice leap so far this year, partially thanks to Miller. 

     

    So I'll say it's Miller, but Rousseau is pretty close.

     

    Honorable mention to DaQuan Jones, he's been pretty darn good too. 

     

    And I can't wait to see what happens when Ed Oliver is back in the lineup...

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  16. The Bills' 4 opponents so far this year are a combined 9-6 (with Rams to possibly go to 3-1 on MNF). Excluding the games vs. the Bills that makes them 8-3. That is impressive and speaks to how difficult the beginning of the schedule has been for them. Add in that as Super Bowl favorites they have a huge target on their back and all the injuries and it is even more impressive.

     

    The icing on the cake to me is listening to the leaders on the team. I watched the post game pressers for Allen, Miller and Diggs and I know it's just a press conference and they have definitely studied the McDermott and Crash Davis playbook on how to deal with the press, but their leadership and maturity is clearly evident. 

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  17. 15 minutes ago, Buffaloflash said:

    He'll be gon like the turkey through corn if he's placed on the practice squad. So, if that's where he ends up, that means there was nothing the coaching staff could do to save him.

     

    This is the most talented group of rookies and free agents on the Bills I've ever seen!

    The group hasn't played a game yet, they show promise but we will see. 

     

    I would take the 1985 draft class over this one:

    Bruce Smith

    Derrick Burroughs (unfortunate that injuries curtailed his career)

    Chris Burkett

    Frank Reich

    Andre Reed 

    Dale Hellestrae (over 200 games as a long snapper)

    Hal Garner

    Ron Pitts

     

    They also picked up UDFA Scott Norwood

     

    1987 was also very good:

    Shane Conlan

    Nate Odomes

    Roland Mitchell (ended up in the Leonard Smith trade)

    David Brandon

    Jamie Mueller

    Leon Seals

    Keith McKellar

    Howard Ballard

     

    UDFA Mitch Frerotte

     

    Bill Polian had a 4 year run in the draft (1985-88) that was amazing. 

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