hondo in seattle
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Posts posted by hondo in seattle
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28 minutes ago, Ga boy said:
I’d like to see long completions too, but this staff wants to control the clock to limit the other teams TOP, which is fundamental to complementary football. Also, Dan Fouts played against different defenses.
I laugh as I wonder if this is a sly comment about my age because I remember enjoying watching Dan Fouts play quarterback.
And, indeed, teams back then tended to defend the run first. Now teams defend the pass first and have gotten very sophisticated about it. It's hard to throw deep these days.
Still, I don't count Brady as an elite pass X-and-O guy. Fouts was blessed with Don Coryell of "Air Coryell" fame as his HC (and the solid Ernie Zambese as his OC). In my lifetime, I'll probably never see a QB as talented as Josh under center for the Bills again. It would be great if he were similarly paired with a pass-game genius. "Air Brady" isn't a thing.
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1 hour ago, Billz4ever said:
Not buying that the Chiefs are the "new America's Team". If I recall, most of the country wanted the Eagles to win the SB last season. Lots of people, myself included, just like to see them lose.
People do like to watch Chief games, but not necessarily because they're rooting for the Chiefs.
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1 hour ago, Magox said:
Let's take a breath and look at what the offense is actually doing before we spiral over not getting a WR before the trade deadline.
Here are some facts that might help bring a little levity to the conversation:
Total Yards/Game: 385 – 1st in the NFL
Points/Game: 29.4 – 3rd in the NFL
Rushing Yards/Game: 161.5 – 1st in the NFL
Yards/Play: 6.1 – 3rd in the NFL
Passing Yards/Game: 224 – 14th in the NFL
Yards/Pass Attempt: 8.2 – 4th in the NFL
Yards/Rush: 5.0 – 4th in the NFL
Red Zone TD %: 67.74% – 9th in the NFL
Completion %: 69.9% – 7th in the NFL
Third Down Conversion: 45.65% – 5th in the NFL
These are damn good numbers. This offense is efficient, productive, and balanced. We’re top-tier in yards, points, and play efficiency. The passing game may not be flashy in total yards, but it’s highly efficient—top 5 in yards per attempt and completion percentage.
Could we have added a WR? Sure. But let’s not ignore what’s already working. This team is moving the ball, scoring points, and doing it with balance and precision. And the WR room gets better with Palmer back into the fold and I do think Gabe Davis will help on those scramble drills which seem to be missing this year.
Let’s keep perspective. The season is long, and the offense is already doing more than enough to win games.
This is a great post, and I agree we have an excellent offense.
You're clearly a glass-is-half-full kind of guy, and I respect that. But I'm a greedy mutha who doesn't want to appreciate the half glass. I want a full glass, gosh darn it!
We have an MVP QB and yet we're middle of the pack in passing yards. The immense arm talent of our unicorn QB is neutered, to an extent, by a weak receiving corps and an OC who doesn't excel at scheming a downfield passing game.
As well as Brady does with the run and short passing games, I daydream about what our offense would look like if we could develop a potent downfield aerial attack too.
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34 minutes ago, buffaloboyinATL said:
Now that Mathis has been added to the active roster, I am excited to see how he develops. He has a really high ceiling (former second round pick by the Commanders) but his development has been slowed by injuries. (calf)/meniscus) He has been called up twice, and now appears to be signed to the 53.
In his last year at 'Bama (2021) Mathis had 53 tackles, 9 sacks and 12 TFL's and was named 2nd team all-SEC. This kid has a lot of upside.
https://rolltide.com/sports/football/roster/phidarian-mathis/4653
Thanks for the update. I knew nothing about the guy except that he had a cool first name.
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5 hours ago, Irish Dave said:
It’s like he floats; it doesn’t even look like he’s running. I’ve never seen anyone run like that before.
I was trying to think of a Bills comp but Cook is completely unlike the best Bills backs of the past: Gilchrist, OJ, Cribbs, Thurman, Beast Mode, Fred Jackson...
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2 hours ago, WIDE LEFT said:
No and no. Not a McD “hater” here.. I recognize he brings a lot of positives to the team as a HC. But time after time his game strategy decisions are terrible, especially in the biggest games. In previous posts I have advocated for a strategy coach, an advisor who sits in the booth, away from the chaos of the sidelines, and is able, based primarily on solid analytics, to present options and recommendations. Take a look at the Bills sidelines during a game. McD clapping, totally engrossed in each play, now calling defenses etc etc. Like every NFL sideline - chaos. The WORST possible environment to make strategic decisions. Every NFL coach could use a strategy coach.BTW, Vrabel in New England employs one.
And he is not getting better at this. Last year, year 7 as HC, he made what ESPN’s Mike Greenberg called “probably not the worst decision we will see this year, but certainly the dumbest” by throwing choosing to throw 3 times at games end from his own one yard line, which handed Houston a win. McD then went on the to make the WORST decision of the year, calling a timeout with less than a minute to go with the Bills at the Rams one yard line. Brady, who was calling the game, reacted immediately, calling out what a horrible decision that was, as it left the Bills no chance to win, other than recovering an onside kick. And of course McD has a history of bad decisions - 13 seconds etc etc
Sunday McD strikes again. A strategy coach would have strongly advised against kicking that last field goal. A punt, a punt angled out of bounds ( to prevent any possible return) was the correct strategic decision. It’s virtually impossible for a team drive the ball down the field, 80 + yards, in 22 seconds with zero timeouts. It’s even unlikely a team could even get in position to throw a Hail Mary under those circumstances. Recall the 13 seconds game KC had all three timeouts and only needed a FG. Instead McD blunders again, and Mahomes second last pass was way too close to tying that game. These games are won on the margins, especially playoff games, and his strategic blunders have cost the Bills playoff losses in the past, and I don’t see any improvement in this area.Hire a strategy coach, not to make the final decision but to present best options away from the chaos that is an NFL sideline
It's fine if you think a punt would be the correct "strategic" decision. However, Eric Wood, Steve Tasker, and other knowledgeable NFL people agree with McD's decision.
So does math - depending on what probabilities you assign the variables. For example, you might logic it out something like this:~ Prater makes FG = 75%. Win if made ≈ 98%. Win if missed ≈ 40%.
~ Expected win if we kick = 0.81×0.98 + 0.19×0.40 = 87.0%.
~ Expected win if we punt ≈ 75.0%. It's unlikely but the Chiefs could score on a long drive in the time remaining. They'd already completed some long passes. Also, it's not only FGs that go wrong, punts can go wrong too: botched snaps, blocks, shanks, returns.~ 87% > 75%. Kicking was probably the better option.
Note: In his career, Prater's made 81.1% of his 50+ attempts. And he's made more 50+ FGs than anyone in NFL history. Trusting him on this was not irrational. 4 out of 5 times, he'll ice the game.
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Poyer in on 57% of the defensive snaps.
I didn't realize he played that much.
Maybe his presence & communication helped Cole be in the right place at the right time. -
5 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
The drop the Hawes one? That was on Allen he didn't need to fire that in. Probably his only mistake all day.
You're right. But having played receiver when young, I'm more prone to blame receivers. That ball was catchable - though Allen could have made it more catchable. I'll put half the blame on each of them.
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4 hours ago, BVBILLS said:
That game had some amazing execution by JA and accuracy. It was nice to see him throwing past 10 years with laser accuracy. lol
Also, the way Cook is running is amazing. He is very patient and shifty, just super impressive to watch. Not to brag, but I predicted he would have a big game. 👍
The national media seems to be focusing on our defense this week: Bosa, Cole, etc.
Kincaid and Cook are getting some love, too.
Allen's not getting a lot of attention. It almost seems like they simply expect him to shine. It's other guys stepping up that's newsworthy and something to talk about.But almost lost in all this is that Allen only threw three incomplete passes. One was a drop and another a throwaway. Pretty remarkable.
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2 hours ago, The Cincinnati Kid said:
That’s great, and does speak to some efficiency, but Yards/game isn’t a great stat to hang your hat upon. Usually doesn’t tell the whole story.
1st in ypg, 4th in ppg, and 5th in giveaways does collectively tell a great story.
To me, these achievements are all kind of mind-bending. I watch this offense and often think Brady doesn't know how to scheme a downfield passing attack, which is a shame when you have a QB like Josh.
Yet Brady produces where it matters: points & yards with a paucity of TOs.-
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17 minutes ago, DeepPass said:
I go to the VA in Buffalo. Where do you go? I find the treatment very good!!
San Jose (or sometimes Palo Alto, which is bigger). Just started this year and so far, I've been very pleased.
They've done lots of lab work, which gives me a pretty good sense of my health (cholesterol, triglycerides, etc. etc.) And they've proactively offered me free nutritional coaching, weight counselling, mental health services, eyeglasses, and so on.
My dad, also a vet, told me years ago to start using the VA. Not sure why I waited so long.
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The Chiefs were back, the pundits said. Offense clicking. Defense clicking. Best coaching trio (HC, DC, OC) in the league. Elite offensive roster, strong defense.
Meanwhile, our Bills? Paper tigers. Only beat garbage teams. Even lost to a garbage team. Pats were the kings of the AFCE now. We were has-beens. And our already-suspect defense was held together with duct tape.
That was the narrative.
Then we went out and beat the Chiefs.
Maybe McD, Babich, and Brady deserve some credit. They just beat the best coaching staff in football with a lesser roster.
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26 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
Here's the rub.
He's playing well enough that he's going to likely see a nice contract if he hits FA. Probably more than we will offer. So that leaves us with either paying a handsome contract or letting him walk and getting a possible 3rd or 4th round comp pick.
If it were me, I'd sign him. Something like a 2 year 26M deal. But Beane likes pick and especially if he makes some moves today or tomorrow, I could easily see him letting Bosa walk to recoup picks.
Agreed. And I like picks too because they're young and cheap but every pick is a roll of the dice, and those dice don't always land the way Beane wants them to. Think Elam, just to give one example.
Joey is, at this point, a proven commodity. Well, we don't know if he can stay healthy, but we do know he can play when he is. Pay the man. -
I screwed up my rituals on the days of both our losses.
Yesterday, however, I did everything right to appease the gods. I wore my Bills socks, Zubaz sweatpants, and #17 jersey. My pretty Filipina wife, who knows virtually nothing about football, wore Bills shorts and a Bills shirt. My husky wore a Bills bandana.At kickoff, I was sitting in my favorite chair, eating Buffalo wings.
Today, to give thanks, I'm wearing a Bills shirt as I'm about to leave the house for a VA appointment.
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I think if you look at man-games lost to injuries over the past few years, our numbers wouldn't stand out.
But if you could measure the number of games lost by injured key defensive starters, we'd lead the league. -
5 minutes ago, 1billsnut said:
“How do we dominate and it comes down to a hailmary?”
We basically won in every phase of the game……except coaching.
Too many bonehead decisions. 🤷♂️
Coaching is the reason we won in every phase of the game.
Brady called a good offensive game and his squad executed.
The defense was seriously banged up and still got stops and a pick against a more talented and (mostly) healthy Andy Reid/Pat Mahomes offense.-
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10 minutes ago, Simon said:
Didn't he also have a throwaway?
Yep.
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Brady schemed and called a good game today.
He mixed the pass and run well, mostly called the right plays at the right time, and I liked the no-huddle after big chunk plays. That seemed to catch KC off guard. -
1 hour ago, Einstein said:
He was masterful. One of his best games EVER.
88% for nearly 300 yards and 3 TD’s.
He played point guard, manipulated the pocket, delivered pinpoint passes, moved the defense with his eyes several times, and stiff armed a Chiefs defender like they were a toddler.
Incredible performance.
Only 3 incompletions and one was a drop. -
On 10/30/2025 at 1:10 PM, YoloinOhio said:
Our OL and RB are elite right now in the league: the key to this game is dominating the LOS bc we don’t match up in the skill positions. Also Josh’s legs. I think it’s possible at home but losing Oliver is just a huge blow. But if we can push them around in the trenches they’ve never been great at stopping the QB run when facing the Bills
Our OL is elite at run blocking. I do think, however, that Kromer has a lot to do with that. We don't have a bunch of road graders on the OL that knock people down. We don't get tremendous push on 3rd and 4th and one. But Brady and Kromer scheme up ways to make holes in other situations, and the OL executes well.I don't think the OL has been elite at passpro so far this year. I'm not sure what advanced metrics say but I see Josh often getting pressured quickly.
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On 10/30/2025 at 11:24 PM, DrPJax said:
All great points. Agree with the point made. However , I’m sure like me there are those on here that have watched the bills or football for 30-40 years. The eye test , your gut feeling, your basic football knowledge, intuition, whatever you call it is a real thing and probably just as valid judging a teams play quality by mathematical analysis or other metrics. You know when the Bills look good and have that swag.
This year it’s not there , at least yet. Yes we beat the ravens by 1 point , after they just did things to collapse and we did force some lucky turnovers. 9/10 times we lose that game but that night things went our way by ONE POINT after our d gave up 40! We all know giving up 40 usually is a loss. So in my eyes it’s a win , but that’s about all to say about it. Then we beat poor teams like the jets, saints , panthers. We lose at home where you normally are given a 3 point edge , to a qb just starting his second year , a new head coach just beginning to build his roster , and we looked bad on 0 , scoring what 20, after Beane baby chastised a radio host because we lead the league LAST YEAR SCORING 30 a game. Where was 30 that game Beane baby. First real evidence that take cook away and WRs can’t get open. Plus we saw a player Beane had praised be disciplined , fumble in the pats red zone , and drop passes while flailing his arms ! Not the true 50/50 , greatly improved guy we were told about in camp. Beane digging in on his delusion. We proceed to go to Atlanta. Everybody knew we had to stop 2 people , Robinson and the receiver. We gave up an embarrassing 335 yards in the first half and our offense looked terrible as cook was easily shut down. Josh looked confused as did the o line. Terrible game. Since the fins demolished the falcons as did another team and we saw how great the fins were tonight. Two bad losses when many on this lard touted an undefeated season or how it was a given for the 1-seed! You know who you are !
Every football analyst like Orlovsky , the nfl films guy on brownies bills show , even fitzy tonight on prime stayed the bills are not playing as goood as the chiefs or colts and it comes down to 3 things. Like Steve smith said , thus is a wr corp of 3’s and 4’s and Coleman is not that guy now , and is playing lazy snaps and so afraid to be hit he didn’t even look at the db on a slant , just caught the ball with his body and turtled rather than catch w his hands and get yac. They all state this wr corp is not sb quality. They all also point out Josh’s decrease in performance and no ones sure why tho a terrible receiving corp he lacks confidence in may play a role. Even Josh admitted his fundamentals are off. Finally , but not least , all who are honest know this d has been a mess until last game. But do you trust your analysis playing a terrible team with a horrible perfidy by dalton to say thus d is now good? I don’t. Dalton is no Mahomes , and Reid wasn’t coaching Dalton. My point is, trust your eye test and your bills knowledge. Reid is 4-0 against McD in playoffs , while we are 4-1 in regular season games.
This is not a typical regular season game. It’s critical in the standings first both. If we lose , kiss the 1 seed which Beane and Mcd stressed so much as the path to the SB all offseason! Pats will prob take the division based on schedule. We lose and KC , colts, ravens , pats are all suddenly looking to be peaking at the right time , November, and we are fighting for a wild card in all likelihood. So far we have beaten only poor teams except for the very lucky win against the ravens, and watching them tonight , if we play them again it’s likely we lose. They are getting more healthy , we aren’t and we are filling our roster with guys we previously let go over a year ago ( and they were also let go by other teams ) , and our starters like benford , Milano, our undersized mlb , Coleman , white are not living up to expectations as we wait to see if Hancock and Hairston can catch up. We even have a ? At kicker now. Palmer is out and Oliver is out , not good for a game we’re already overmatched talent wise ( an opinion by most analysts , and both sides of the ball). So , yes , we have a record of 5-2. BARELY! My eyes tell me this roster is not SB quality , and perhaps Josh can do enough if he plays better , to get us a wildcard birth and outside shot at the division should we lose against KC. I dint have faith in Beane doing anything but protecting his own reputation and pride. While the world calls for a wr addition like olave, I’m betting he does nothing to help Josh w a wr. He will point out Gabriel is on the way! He was terrible in Jax! Not all wins are equal. If so , we have the better record , playing at home ( yet we’re home dogs) so we should beat KC , right? Hey we could get a cowboys like running type win, but spags is no cowboy. What does your gut , your eye test of bills play say to you? Mine says if we get behind at any time by more than 1 possession, it’s over. My eyes also tell me it will lead to more losses with a wr corp that like Steve said , is poor and filled with WRs who scare no other team. Another wasted year of a superstars career that is half over or more. Quality of opposition, quality of wins is predictive of future play. If you dont believe that , then explain how Vegas sets odds and why they are so successful at attaining wealth ?
Can the Bills win Sunday ? Yes if they run well and win the turnover battle by 2 imo. My eyes also tell me we beat crap teams so far , KC is getting better and they have a larger margin to make mistakes and win. I think they pound this d , Brady abandons the run , and this wr corp can’t get open to make up any deficit. Bills possibly miss playoffs with a loss, while a win to me means they have embraced being a run team and they make Josh the superstar , a manager as Beane won’t get quality WRs. That’s not great to watch in all honesty but winning is all that matters now. Prior games have meaning and so far this roster looks below par being lead by a true star whose career is flying by. Beane is nice? I see him as arrogant. Happy Halloween!
I agree our WR corps is not SB quality. Neither are most of our defenders.
Then again, Trent Dilfer was not a SB-quality QB, and yet he won a SB. Anything can happen in the NFL and I'm still hanging on to hope while not expecting much. -
Considering how banged up our D is, I think McD is going to want the offense to eat up some TOP as per usual. So I expect to see a lot of Cook against the Chiefs' average run D.
I also expect Brady to dial up an underneath pass game relying heavily on Kincaid and, especially, Shakir. With Palmer out, I don't expect Brady to suddenly figure out how to scheme a downfield passing attack and am, sadly, not expecting much from our wideouts.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Josh run more this game - as in RPOs as well as scrambles.
I don't really expect a big game from anyone on defense though I hope I'm wrong. Bosa with multiple sacks, maybe, hopefully?
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8 hours ago, mannc said:
The Bills ALWAYS winning the turnover battle was a huge part of the offense scoring a lot of points last year…now that they are regressing to the mean, which was inevitable, Brady is being exposed.
I agree TOs were a big part of the story last year. I think fumbles mostly even out over time so your regressing-to-the-mean argument does resonate. But I do think some offenses, and some players, are more likely to turn the ball over than others. I think Brady probably preaches ball security more than some other OCs and generally runs a low-risk offense.
But here's the other thing: the Bills are 3rd in the NFL in offense despite having a subpar receiving corps that neuters the talents - to some degree - of our MVP QB.
Please don't think I'm a Brady apologist: he drives me crazy. I don't believe he's particularly creative and is below average at scheming a downfield passing game. But he hasn't been dealt a great hand, either.
For me, the perfect solution is to retain Brady but hire a talented, innovative passing game coordinator to help Brady get the passing game going. And, of course, for Beane to give him better guys to throw to.
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8 hours ago, Zerovoltz said:
I'm here for ultimately the same reason you are....it's entertaining....it's a fun robust community. I like it here. Best fans in the NFL...smart, passionate, engaged....great forum.
Zero, you're usually a good conversationalist with balanced takes. I appreciate you stopping by to provide a Chiefs perspective and educate us on what's happening in the Chiefs Kingdom.
But I am truly puzzled why you thought this post was a good idea.
In any case, I wish you a horrible Sunday but a great rest of your life.
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Perspective Matters: The Offense Is Producing
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I don't disagree with anything you're saying, but I do want to add a little context.
Mahomes faced pressure on more than half his throws, but only 2 times did the pressure come before 2.5 seconds. In other words, he faced coverage because the guys in the secondary were - amazingly enough - locking up their guys.
Chris Simms really liked the way the Bills mixed up their coverage calls. "They never played the same coverage in the same situation twice in a row."