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hondo in seattle

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Posts posted by hondo in seattle

  1. 4 hours ago, Buffalo Boy said:

     

    Taking Josh or Mahomes out of the equation, if they had any other QB , what would your percentage be?


     

     

    I think McD is a solid HC though not elite.  I'm not sure about Brady as an OC.  With 32 teams in the NFL, the average team has about a 3% of winning the SB.   McD and his staff get us to 5 or 6%.  Josh gets us to 10%.   

     

    As I see it, not many teams get above 10%.  KC is the current unicorn.  

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  2. Andre Reed, Eric Moulds, Bobby Chandler, Lee Evans, Elbert "Golden Wheels" Dubinion...

     

    Minus that, I'm good with Kirby.  But being in Cap Hell sucks.  We have too many holes to fill, including at WR, and not enough money/picks to do everything we need to do.   It's hard to imagine how Beane will fix all this.  He's the one who got us to this dire point.  Let's see if he can get us someplace better by September as he says.   

  3. 21 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

    Beane alluded yesterday that he had been in communication with Allen and informed him that there were calls about moving Diggs and it wasn't off the table. So, Allen knew this was a possibility. 

     

    I don't believe that Allen would object because he understands the business side of things by now. I think Allen would like to have him on the field, but is also used to new faces and moving on. Change has been consistent in his career. Be it Beasley and Brown or even now with Diggs and even Gabe Davis...the ship sails on and he knows that 

     

    My most likely take on his "feelings" on the matter is that he will miss the good that came with Diggs being here...but is also ready to move on and stop having to answer questions about their relationship and what's going on with Diggs 

     

    Beane said publicly that he informed Allen that teams were inquiring about Diggs.  But Beane also said that there are certain things that need to remain in-house.

     

    I wonder if one of the in-house things is that there were more blunt conversations about Diggs between Allen, McD, and Beane.  Maybe Allen was unhappy with Diggs' attitude.  Or maybe Beane told Allen that they intended to unload Diggs and Beane wanted to know how Josh felt about that.  We'll probably never know the full truth.  

     

     

  4. I am just pondering here...

     

    We know Diggs is an excellent route-runner.  Yet we all saw that he didn't get separation with consistency last year.  Somewhere I saw a chart showing Diggs as below the NFL average in separation yards in 2023.  And Josh's passer rating when throwing to Diggs (or Davis) wasn't good.  Were teams defending Diggs differently last year than they did in the past?  Did he lose a step?  Was it poor play design and calling?  

     

    When we first got Diggs, he was a deep threat.  Yet last year Josh didn't connect deep a lot with Diggs.  Because of 2-high zones?  Or is the anonymous NFL coach who said Diggs is not a deep threat any more accurate?  

     

    Too often last season Josh had nowhere to throw the ball.  Either our receivers sucked, or our OC sucked, or both.  I tended to blame our OCs,  but - with the Bills jettisoning both Davis and Diggs - I'm wondering how much Beane and the coaches blame them instead?  

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  5. I think Beane and McD are good enough to give us a 10% chance to win the SB in any given year.  I'm just hoping it happens sooner rather than later.  And/or I underestimate them.  

  6. I think the potency of the 2024 Bills depends more on Brady than it does on Diggs' replacement.

     

    I don't think this receiving corps is great, but I don't think it's impotent either.  Shakir's okay - not elite.  Samuel is a multipurpose tool with some speed.  Kincaid and Knox are an excellent TE duo.  Cook can be a good threat out of the backfield if learns to hang on to the ball.  

     

    Somewhere I saw a chart that showed that both Davis and Diggs were below average in separation last year.  I wondered how much of that was their fault and how much was the fault of the OC (i.e. scheme and play-calling).  I think both were to blame.  So I'm going to be very interested to what Brady does this year with an offseason to implement his own offense.  I expect he'll follow KC's lead.  With so many teams playing 2-high against strong-armed QBs (and with Cheetah gone), the Chiefs started throwing more quick-hitting, underneath stuff.  I get the impression that Brady is the kind of OC who wants to take what the D gives him.  Hopefully, he does a better job scheming guys open than Dorsey did.    

     

    I still think we need another quality wideout.  But as Beane said more than once in his presser, it's not September yet.    

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  7. At the presser, Beane said, "Certain things need to be kept in-house."

     

    That leads me to believe Brooke Kromer (Aaron's daughter) knows what she's talking about when she tweets: "Good riddance.  There's always a reason & always a plan."

     

    There's some behind-the-scenes drama with Diggs we may never learn about.  

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  8. 1 minute ago, jkeerie said:

    Or that the rest of the teams in the NFL have watched Diggs decline and disappear later in the season and realized Diggs isn't worth more than that.

    I think because this draft is so deep at wideout, Beane judged that it would be best to move on this year, get his replacement in the draft and lower the cap moving forward.  As much as I like Diggs, in thinking about this move, it makes sense.  

     

    I'm hoping Beane already has a deal in place to move up and get a good wideout who we can enjoy on a rookie contract for a while.  

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  9. I'm surprised by how binary this conversation is.  Most folks are either applauding the move or criticizing it.  Pro or Con.

     

    I'm ambivalent. 

     

    I don't like the cap ramifications.  And I want Josh to have better weapons this year than last, not worse.  With both Gabe and Diggs departing - whatever their shortcomings - we've lost a lot of receptions & yards.  I'm sure Beane has a plan to replace the lost production with Samuels being part of that plan but we can't see the whole plan yet which makes me wonder how solid it is.  

     

    On the other hand, Diggs had attitude problems, wasn't much of a deep threat anymore, didn't thrive under Brady, and, given his age, the clock was ticking on his Buffalo career anyway.  

     

    Neither happy nor sad, I'm just curious.  What's Beane going to do with limited resources to get Josh the targets he deserves?  

    • Like (+1) 6
  10. 1 hour ago, Shaw66 said:

    Reid DID become a better coach, little by little, year by year.  Yes, he needed luck, but his success now came from years of hard work and improvement. 

    Because success in football is complicated. 

     

    Shaw, you're probably right.  Reid probably did become incrementally better with experience.

     

    But I stand by my point.  I think commentators are too quick to judge that a coach or player can't win the big one just because they haven't yet.  

     

    An average team has a 3% chance of winning the Super Bowl.  A very talented coach or player might elevate the chances to 10% or so.   That's it.  No matter how talented a coach or player might be, they might not reach the SB.  Too many other variables are at play.  

     

    I thought the Eagles were crazy when they sent Reid packing.  No rings - at the time - but the skill was undeniable.  I don't think Allen's lack of trophies means anything other than all the necessary conditions haven't fallen in place yet.  

  11. 1 hour ago, Mikie2times said:

    Reid was 11-13 with no Super Bowls prior to Mahomes

    Reid is 15-3 with 3 Super Bowls after Mahomes

     

    Why do people try and complicate things.  

     

    Not complicated.  Just saying that the narrative that a coach or player can't win the big game just because they haven't yet is wrong-minded.  All the conditions have to be right.  For coaches, QB is one of the conditions.  

  12. 58 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

     

    My dad was stationed in Korea and I lived there for a few years.  Yongsan?

     

    I was at Camp Casey in Tong-du-chon (aka Dongducheon), about an hour north of Seoul.  I visited Yongsan a few times.  It was where the 8th Army was headquartered.  

     

    In 1988, before credit cards were commonly accepted in Korea, you had to carry cash.  One time - long story - I found myself broke in Seoul on a Sunday evening with no way to get back to Camp Casey.  So I went to Yongsan, where there was a cashier's booth where I could maybe cash a check, hoping and praying it would be open late on a Sunday.

     

    From what I understand, the U.S. garrison that was once there is now gone.  I loved serving in Korea and still love Korean food.  That was one of the best years of my life.  What was it like to live there as a kid?

  13. 15 hours ago, Doc Brown said:

    I never gave it much thought but why not snap it 10 or so yards on shorter kicks if blocks are a problem?  Mess with normal rhythm/routing of the snap/kick?  Make it more likely for the defender rushing from the edge to block it because he has a better angle?

     

    I think you have to standardize it so you can perfect it.  Do thousands of reps at 7 yards: snap, hold, kick... snap, hold, kick...  

  14. Andy Reid coached for twenty years before reaching the Super Bowl.  The book on him during that stretch was that he was a good regular-season coach but didn't have what it takes to succeed in the playoffs.  Now he practically owns the Lombardi.

     

    Reid didn't suddenly become a better coach.  He's the same coach he was when he supposedly wasn't good enough in the playoffs.  Making a playoff off run culminating in a Super Bowl win is hard and the stars need to align: good coaching staff, good roster, good health heading into the playoffs, maybe some luck with calls and bounces...   

     

    Allen will be the guy who can't win big games until he does.  It's not his fault and it's not factual.  It's just how sports commentary works.  

     

     

  15. 39 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

    I am going to announce it in Korean and no one will know until the name banner comes up.

     

    In the army I hated calling cadence, the call-and-response songs we sing to keep soldiers in step when marching or running.  So once when I was stationed in Korea, I learned some Korean cadences from the Korean soldiers serving with us.  Korean cadences sound odd and unrhythmic to an American audience.  And that's what I sang when the commanding officer called on me to sing cadence.  He never called on me again.    

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  16. If we're going to do anything revolutionary on special teams, let's get rid of our punter, bet on our offense, and never punt the ball.  

     

    Our scoring would go up.  So would our opponent's scoring - we'd just have to outpace them.  

     

    We could use the extra roster spot on DL - McD loves to rotate there and keep guys fresh.  

  17. On 3/29/2024 at 8:50 AM, Ethan in Cleveland said:

    Now can we put an end to the doom and gloom regarding the cap.

     

    And can we stop believing anything Beane says. He lies on purpose all the time. Every year he says they don't have money and don't expect any moves.  And here we are with a very good WR and multiple other solid role players. He jettisoned old and injured or in the case of Davis inconsistent players. They are still too old on the DL but I am convinced they will draft an Edge in round 1 or 2. 

    Only move I really dislike is signing Epenesa.  Never liked the draft pick and he has done nothing to impress to warrant a second deal. 

    I would have used Epenesa money on another safety. 

     

    It's not like we went on a big spending spree.  We lost some players Beane probably wanted to retain and signed mostly marginal starters and depth players.  The challenges of managing the cap are real.  

     

    Of course, Beane doesn't publicly telegraph his offseason strategy.  But he never said we wouldn't make any moves.  He just acknowledged there were limitations to what we could do.  Signing a big-name WR, RB, DE, or CB wasn't in the budget.  

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  18. As a war veteran myself, I have a huge soft spot for those who served, especially those who served and paid the price.  

     

    I think about Kelso every Memorial Day.  He could have gotten a deferment and didn't.  Wanted to serve and truly cared about his men.  I'm proud he was a Bill.  

     

    I'm so happy to see he's got a statue.  Kalsu is exactly the kind of person that ought to be honored with a statue.  I never liked seeing statues dedicated to Confederate, slave-holding traitors.  And I'm not happy with some of the people we lionize and valorize these days.  As a country, we need the right heroes - selfless, caring, honor and duty-bound guys like Bob Kalsu. 


    Btw, I love BBFL's idea about a special section at Canton for players who served.   

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  19. Most expensive sports stadiums in the world...

     

    1.  SoFi, $5.5 billion

    2. Allegiant, $1.9 billion

    3. MetLife, $1.7 billion

     

    Tied for #4 at $1.5 billion are Wembley, Mercedes Benz, AT&T, and Yankee stadiums.

     

    And, of course, the new Bills stadium when complete.  


    Even when you adjust for inflation, the Bills stadium will be in the top twelve or so.  

     

    I think it's pretty cool that the Bills will have such a nice home in a city that doesn't even rank in the top 100 in the world in population or GDP.  

     

     

     

     

  20. 4 hours ago, CheshireCT said:

    There are more factors to signing a player than just what you see on tape. Beane has friends inside the Panthers he trusts, which is why the Bills sign players from the Panthers. Just because the Panthers are a bad team, doesn't mean every player coming from them is worthless.

     

     

     

    The average NFL career is 3.3 years.  An average NFL player, during his short tenure in the league, will play for 2.4 teams.  Roughly 1 in 7 players will sign with Carolina at some point.

     

    There are 32 teams each with a 53-man roster.  1,696 players start the season on a 53-man roster.  But those rosters change and evolve over the course of the long season.  Let's estimate that 2,100 different players are on NFL rosters at some point during a season.  Roughly 300 will have Carolina somewhere on their resumes.  When Beane goes shopping, there are a lot of ex-Panthers to choose from.

     

    Additionally, a vet with more than 3 years of NFL experience will rotate typically rotate through more than 2.4 teams.  Williams, for example, has been on 6 professional football rosters including a short stint with the Stampeders.    Our old friend, Fitz, played on 9 different teams before hanging up the cleats.  The chances of an experienced vet having been at Carolina at some point are fairly good.  

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