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Green Lightning

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    The Bills are on the clock: Pick 33

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Clearly Beane is in rebuild mode. More bodies on rookie deals while eating massive dead cap. His sights are set on 2025. 2024 is build but be competitive, but we don't have the horses to compete with the elite AFC teams. That and we just gave our nemesis another cheetah.

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    Oof - the penalty for being good, but not good enough

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    5 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

     

    Whiiiich is why I'd rather trade the first for him than trade up! :lol:

     

    My preference in order:

    1. Trade Down
    2. Trade First for a proven WR (Aiyuk, Higgins, someone)
    3. Stay put and draft BPA

    In no circumstance to I trust Beane's ability to pick the right guy after trading the farm to move up, and I just don't think a guy like Thomas is worth it.

     

    1. Trade Down (ehh, maybe)
    2. Trade First for a proven WR (Aiyuk, Higgins, someone) Not happening. Beane wants younger and cheaper
    3. Stay put and draft BPA 👍

    interesting piece in Washington Post about likely movement of vet WRs

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    19 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

     

    Yeah AJ Brown has separated from Metcalf but DK is still really good.     If they could get him for a second round pick...........that would be a great get, IMO.    If the draft were to go the way the mock community expects then the part of the WR group that drops way off by 60 is definitely the boundary WR.    DK is a legit boundary option and he's been a better player in the playoffs than the regular season.   Likely because of his physicality.   Good fit for late season games in Highmark stadium, IMO.

     

     

    I doubt they do anything until after the draft. Likely most teams are in that mode. If DK is available afterwards, that may be a great get depending on who we draft.

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    interesting WR scenario posed by a friend

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    8 hours ago, dave mcbride said:

    In the wake of the Diggs trade, a friend had this reaction and came up with the scenario below. Curious to know what people think because it actually seems genuinely plausible to me, and I'd love it:

     

    "A bunch of you know, I've been hoping since February that Beane would trade Diggs for a 2nd or 3rd rounder. The fact that he was able to get what should be a high end #2 in 2025 is great.


    What Beane did was jettison the 4 receivers that caught the ball at a 63% clip & kept the 3 guys that collectively caught it at an 82% catch rate. Shakir, Cook & Kincaid we're all top 30 in the league in that category [incidentally, Cook was 81.5 percent for 8.2 yards/target]. Even after these 3 guys sign their 2nd contracts, they should all remain good values for most of the remainder of Allen's career.


    Here's 4 relatively conservative projections for 2024

                        Targets          Yards      Yards/Target
    Kincaid          110                 800             7.3
    Shakir             80                800            10
    Samuel           90                750             8.3
    All RBs            80                650             8.1 

    That equates to 3,000 yards on 360 targets. Allen has averaged 36 attempts per game over the past 4 years. 36x17=612 which leaves 252 targets for Wr1, Wr2, Wr5 & Knox. Allen has never thrown over 4,600 yards in his career. If he were to average 7.9 yards per attempt on the remaining 252 attempts, then he would have thrown for 5,000. Just for perspective, Shakir led the league in yards/target last year at 13.6. Aiyuk was 2nd at 12.8 & Diggs was a pedestrian 7.4, unlike 2020 when he was 9.2

    For me, ideally Beane couples pick #28 & our 2025 2nd round pick to either trade for Aiyuk, or move up to get Brian Thomas Jr. Then, if he took our 2025 first round pick to trade back into the 2nd round to grab either Legette or McConkey, that would be nice. We'd have the fastest & most dynamic set of skill players in team history.


    It sounds like we can easily create North of 60 million in cap space for 2025 & free up a bunch more room in 2026. That's a fantastic kicker to this Diggs trade, because it'll allow us to target multiple pro bowl free agents in the next couple of years.

     

    All of these factors combined, will allow us to compete with KC for the next 8 years & we'll be able to view this trade for what it is ... a prelude to a parade!"

    Do we like this? Asking for a friend...

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