Buddo
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Posts posted by Buddo
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If someone is putting something together of all these, then I think the piece where Bosa is heard talking to the Bills O-Line, and says (approximately) 'what am I supposed to do - the guy is freaking huge!' needs to be included.
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McDermott and Beane have talked about needing more speed on the team. Cutting Brown gives you less speed, unless you find someone as quick.
I think it would be a mistake to cut him.
I do, however, think it would be good to restructure his deal. That doesn't mean he gets less, but it will mean gaining cap relief.
Tbh, it might even be worthwhile extending him. This is a pretty good WR group we have, and there's a value to continuity.
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Terribly sad. Was a very good player too.
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Tbh, I've always felt that national anthems should only be played before major sporting events, i.e. Championship games, or genuine international ones.
Even then, some sports don't even bother to do that.
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On 2/12/2021 at 12:46 AM, Beast said:
Sean McDermott will be resting his palms for two to four months after excessive clapping throughout the season. Doctors anticipate surgery will be needed at the end of his career.
Clappal tunnel syndrome?
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Imho, Spotrac's player 'market values' are likely to be very 'off' in many instances.
While the 'elite' players will still get theirs, and those values are probably going to be in the right parish, after that, I'd say all bets are off.
Their 'valuations' haven't changed, as far as I can see, from projections pre-covid, and the assumption that the Salary Cap would go up as per usual.
Under those circumstances, they would probably not be far off, but we aren't operating under those circumstances.
The cap will be a minimum of $175 million, although the rumour mill seems to think it will end up nearer $185 million. Instead of going up by around $10 to $15 million, it will be reducing buy about the same amount.
In relation to what teams had theoretically planned for, that's a shortfall of $20 to $30 million.
That money has to be both saved, and used, a lot more judiciously, and solid players like a Feliciano, aren't going to command the same value on the open market as years previously.
The 'open market' won't be open for very long, and if teams who do have plenty of cap space (there aren't that many), use a bunch of it up on 'big' names, then the mid-tier guys, will be scratching around for crumbs, very quickly.
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6 minutes ago, reddogblitz said:
I love the line from the Joe Walsh song The Joker:
Cause I'm a picker
I'm a grinner
I'm a lover
And I'm a sinner
I play my music in the sunI'm a joker
I'm a smoker
I'm a midnight toker
I sure dont want to hurt no oneYou do know that's a Steve Miller song?
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With a 'normal' cap, Milano would definitely get paid handsomely. I would still question Spotrac's $14 million per valuation, as I think there aren't too many teams who would put his value at what I think is a 'high water mark'.
Tbh, irrespective of what we fans think, I believe the Bills FO wouldn't baulk at a number of $12 million per - again, in a normal year.
Milano's main problem this off season, imho, is that he is from the school of 'very good', but nowhere near 'elite'. This off-season, it's going to be the 'elite' who get paid, because teams with cap space will snap them up, and everyone else will be after scraps - and they won't have the money to pay guys that well.
I won't say that Milano won't get a good deal, but I think it's lot more unlikely that he will, as much due to circumstance as anything else.
I haven't tried to look deeply into this, but my questions about Milano getting paid, even aside from the cap issues, run along the lines of
'How many teams run a similar style of D to the Bills?
'How many of those teams have sufficient cap space?'
'How many of those teams have an opening for Milano'.
Answer all of those, and I believe (not know) that the eventual number is going to be pretty small (of teams).
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For all of the hype about Brady vs Mahomes, who was really that interested in that particular storyline?
Where is the 'underdog', or a different compelling storyline?
While lots of people likely had a preference of which team they wanted to win, how many were really bothered?
On top of that, for most regular watchers of NFL games, imho, you could see what was going to happen, by the end of the first quarter. KC O-Line was non existent, mostly because it was made up of nonentities.
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I wonder how the game would have turned out if KC had had any sort of functioning O-Line.
To me, the outcome looked ineviitable after just a few series.
Mahomes was literally running for his life all game.
For sure, the Bucs D played well, but they were barely challenged to do so.
Not only did KC have no recognisable O-Line, but another difference between the first game they played against the Bucs, was the fact that Vita Vea played in the SB, but not in the earlier game. KC, no O-Line, Bucs, better D-Line than before.
The Bills lines aren't anywhere near as bad as seems to be advertised. You don't get a 13 win season if your lines are the hot garbage some seem to make them out to be.
However, they do need to be improved, and if it's done well, then some of the other things people raise as problems, will be sorted out as a result, e.g. the run game, and also what we do with our LBers.
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Biggest issue for KC is their lack of tackles on the O-Line. Mahomes is having to try and keep plays alive while avoiding two rushers on most plays.
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I think talent aside, the thing that sticks out with the Diggs/Allen relationship, is that it starts with their desire to win. They both have it by the bucketful.
2nd best, simply isn't good enough for either of them, and they recognise that in each other.
I've watched all the interviews, and there are little things in all of them, that simply show how well they get on.
The one that made me smile the most, I think is in the PFT one. Diggs is talking about having to run multiple routes when Allen goes a'scrambling. The coaches keep on about going in the same direction as Josh is moving, as they don't want him throwing across his body. At the end of it, after much 'yes coach, yes coach', as they are breaking up, Josh gives a little smile and wink to Diggs, to tell him that if it happens, he'll get the ball to him.
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Thanks for posting that, was very interesting. Nothing earth shaking, but nice to hear a more relaxed McDermott.
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If the cap does go to $185 million, then you have 12 teams who currently would be over it. 2 of those teams would be over by less than a million, which is obviously very manageable.
At $175 million, you would have 15 teams who would be over the cap, or, in effect, half the league.
I think the extra $10 million, makes enough of a difference to where the NFL would prefer to see teams sit within the cap, for it to be highly likely that it gets there.
The numbers were got from Spotrac, and interestingly, they are basing their cap at $185 million now, whereas the other week it was at the floor of $175 million.
I've read somewhere, that most of the TV deals are due for renewal in the next couple of years, starting with ESPN after the 2021 season, then the other networks after the 2022 season.
I don't think that the NFL (hence Owners) will necessarily press too hard to get those deals done any sooner. Mainly because it could impact how much they will eventually get - and that might be numbered in the area of $100s of millions. .
.Having said that, much depends on the TV companies themselves, if they want to lock up their deals sooner rather than later, which might not be that far fetched, as having NFL games is very much part of their marketing for subscribers.
With the numbers being talked about (there's a Forbes article from the end of last year), the NFL looks set to raise their TV revenues by a huge amount by 2023, to the extent that they might actually double. Both Fox and CBS are paying a billion each for Sunday afternoon football per annum. It's reckoned the deal that gets done, will bump that to two billion per.
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4 hours ago, wvbillsfan said:
Depending on what we tender him at
Hes a solid player at a premium position
first or second round tender he won’t get an offer
Anything other than that and I think he does
I think that is very much the case.
Which is why I voted for the 2nd round tender. At just another $1million or so, it makes too much sense.
Even in this off season, where cap is tight, I could see him getting a better offer than that tender, and for multiple years.
In the past, I think we haven't been aggresive enough in protecting guys like Levi, who are UDFA originally.
As someone else has said, it also has an element of reward to it, and there's no doubt he's earned that over the last two seasons.
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I think we didn't get as much value out of Smith, as we shuld have this season - but that was no fault of his, it's down to coaches/schemes.
No penalties, blocked well, and snagged a couple of TDs (well at least one). If he played more/was used more, then at $2.5 million, he is being paid in the right area, and I wouldn't have a problem with him returning.
Should he decide to retire, then I wish him well - he's been a solid pro.
Knox has most of the physical attributes to be a good TE - decent size, enough speed, and looks 'built'. I question what's between his ears though, when he's on the field. Too many untimely drops, from simple catches, and missing blocks too often - some of which I believe is down to not knowing his assignments well enough.
I think he needs to take note of that classic Tomlin quote 'I expect guys to make routine plays, routinely'.
The 'angry run' and odd highlight reel catch, are all well and good, but if you don't do the basics right regularly, you are more of a liability than an asset.
In fairness, he didn't make the drops in the second half of the season, but he was still missing blocks, and he was rarely obviously 'open'.
For all the physical attributes, I see him as no better than a #2 TE, without significant improvement all round.
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You could try it.
I doubt it will work though.
The problem is that Kelce, while being a big unit, is also strong, and has WR moves if he needs them, to both get off the LOS, and open.
I do think that the best way to try and limit his effectiveness, is to harass him at the LOS, so you have a chance of messing up his routes, and the sort of 'normal' timing.
I also think that to do that, you need a guy with some smarts, speed and good size as well, and I'm talking LBer type size, not just a big DB.
That guy also needs to try and play 'man' on him, but with help in the backfield from a DB, in case he loses him.
Even then, you aren't going to totally stop him, mainly because of the understanding that he and Mahomes have when they need to go 'off script'.
I think that one of the keys to beating the Chiefs, is to actually run a genuine 4-3, with the extra LBer being there to try and disrupt Kelce.
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Milano has been a very good player for the Bills in McDermott and Frazier's defense.
He will certainly help any 4-3 team.
Trouble is, he isn't elite.
The elite FAs, will still get paid this off-season.
After that, all bets are off.
Milano needs two teams to be seriously interested in him (outside of the Bills), to have a shot at 'big' money.
I hope he does get paid by someone, as he does deserve to be. As a 5th round pick, he has comfortably out-performed his draft position.
It's a bit odd, but realistically, for a guy like Milano, who is 'undersized' relatively, he needs to get his best deal now, as he's not exactly earned huge amounts in a good career so far.
In an 'ordinary' year, with the cap going up again, I think he probably could easily get $10-12million per. It would be a 'going rate' for a good (not elite) LBer of his type.
This, unfortunately, isn't going to be an 'ordinary' year, and the guys I believe will probably get hit hardest, are those like Milano, who are 'good' FAs, as opposed to 'elite'.
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This might end up being filed under 'what goes around, comes around'.
"And now, for a localized aftershock: Stafford told the Lions they could send him anywhere but New England." (Quoted from the referenced article)
I think the 'cold weather, outdoors' thing might be overblown.
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45 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
Anyone know where we are currently at heading into the offseason with our cap space? How much cap space do we have right now?
Roughly around -$6 million, if the cap is at its agreed 'floor' of $175million. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/cap/
Tbh, I don't think the cap will be as low as $175m. For a variety of reasons, not least of which will be the NFLPA won't want it that low.
I've read somewhere, that a number of owners are more keen on taking an immediate 'bath' for the cap hit, so would like it to be at the $175m floor, but I don't think they will manage that. The current number was around $198m and about half the league is going to be comfortably over the $175m floor.
Get the cap to about $185 million, and it then gets only about 10 teams over it immediately.
Another reason why it might not hit the 'floor', is that a whole load of TV deals are coming back up for renewal, within a couple of years time. After 2021, Fox has to renew, and I think most of the other networks are the year after. That means that there will be increased resources available after next season.
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27 minutes ago, JMF2006 said:
The penalty is not reviewable........ only the ball being fumbled.
Sorensen should have been fined and suspended....but then it does not fit the script.
They do not beat the Bills with him suspended and Jones kicked out of the game.
Fair point - the 'penalty' wasn't given, so it's as you say.
However, perhaps it should be, as it was an illegal contact (helmet to helmet) that caused the play to need to be reviewed.
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The only sort of 'blockbuster move' we will have, is to manage to re-sign all the guys we want to.
I can see us trading around in the draft - Beane doesn't like waiting on guys to drop to him if we have got the value on them already.
I wouldn't put it past him to try and trade out of the 1st round either, if we get an earlier 2nd round pick as part of the compensation.
The biggest difficulty for any type of FA 'big' move, is we simply don't have the cap space to do it.
Apart from any 'done deals' for retaining guys, there will be the sound of crickets from OBD when FA opens.
Imho, FA this year will be 'feast or famine'. The top guys will get paid, still.
After that, there will be next to no 'mid tier' market, where we have reasonably successfully operated in the past.
I think you will see lots of cheap, but fully guaranteed deals, around the NFL, because that's all teams will be able to afford.
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It isn't certain that the Cap will be at the floor of $175 million.
Within a couple of years, there are going to be new TV deals negotiated with many of the networks, and with the ratings for the NFL being very good, if not great, there will be a lot more money available within about 3 years, and some of it will arrive sooner (after 2021 Fox will have to sign a new deal).
Imho, there are too many teams in 'cap hell', (or at least immediately over the cap) if the number stays at $175m , that the NFL will likely be prepared to come up some.
I also think they will be forced to, to an extent, by the NFLPA.
I don't think they will stick to this year's figure of $195m (iirc), but I can see them compromise to where it gets up from the floor to around $185m.
Without looking the numbers up, I think that that extra $10 million, will lift quite a few teams out of immediate 'cap hell', to a point where they will at least be able to largely maintain their rosters.
Imho, the Bills will probably be trying to do a fair few re-structures, in the first instance.
I would also say, that given this years success, there are a fair few guys who will view that favourably, assuming it is done in such a way that means they can't lose out from it. It would also be in their own best interests to do so, as I think FA this off season is going to be feast or famine. i.e. some guys will get some big bucks, but the 'mid tier' FA will be gone the way of the dinosaur for 2021.
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All 3 deserved to be fined.
$15000 for tossing the football at an opposing player?
Do me a favor, that's ludicrous.
As ever, the lack of consistency from the NFL, is a major source of the problem.
The worst foul that has gone unpunished, both in the game, and after, is the helmet to helmet in the Divisional game. Not only that, but it rewarded the guy who did it, as it prevented a TD. Why that wasn't picked up by TV review, I'll never know.
The Jones punch was shown on the TV. If we can see TV pictures of it, then they have got them also for review. I have no idea if Mongo did punch Jones in the body first - nobody has shown any conclusive evidence of that - but even if he did, and the Zebras saw it, they both should have been ejected. Jones should have been gone from the TV pictures alone.
I am not aware that Jones has been even fined. That is sort of less surprising, as it would mean the NFL would have to acknowledge that a mistake was made on the field, and what should then happen, as Jones should have been ejected. They aren't going to want to suspend Jones from the SB, that's for sure. All they could do would be to hit him with a big fine. Better to sweep that one under the carpet.
Imho, the NFL doesn't do enough as regards suspending guys in season, for foul play. You get straight up ejected for something (not the accumulation of personal fouls), then you should be sitting (suspended) the next game. That wouldn't have to happen very often for players to get the message.
Did you play football, at any level?
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Growing up in the UK, never had the oppportunity - too old by the time there were any sort of teams around. Started watching the NFL around the time games were first broadcast in the UK. First time I was 'hooked', was watching Joe Montana.
Played a bunch of sports at school levels, soccer, rugby, basketball and cricket. All ball sports. If I hadn't gone to college, I might have had an outside chance at becoming a professional cricketer, but it would have been an outsde chance, and no regrets anyway.
Continued playing cricket after a hiatus of a number of years during, and after college. Did play against some professionals, but also played against, and with, some guys who became professional.
One thing I have been always able to do, is catch.
The various sports I have played gives me some insight into the NFL, but the minutiae of the X's and O's aren't there. I understand tackling (through rugby) and other basics, and have a decent appreciation of positioning.
If I had grown up in the US, I'm sure I would have played -it's a ball sport
- but I doubt I would have played to much of a standard. My size and skillset, doen't really match up that well positionally, although I'm 6 foot, in my pomp I wasn't really heavy enough when fit, and although quick off the blocks, I had no sort of top end speed.