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HardyBoy

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    Kicker Lucas Havrisik signed to PS

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Mark Vader said:

    No, ours.

     

    I know, I'm making a joke that it takes the opposing coach to help you get in position to make a last second long field goal as time expires...

     

    You're saying our coach needs to be better to get a kicker into those situations, and I'm saying we actually need an opposing coach to help us get in those situations.

     

    Which, is tongue in cheek on my part, but adds a nice layer to the joke

    Von Miller outlook implications from the Cooper trade

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    24 minutes ago, Chaos said:

    Apologies for the awkward title. 
     

    I love the cooper trade. It will make the games more fun to watch. Having said that I felt the Bills were going to win the AFCE without Cooper. And we we would bow out of the playoffs in the divisional round.  
     

    Adding Cooper does not move the dial on those expectations.  
     

    But I don’t think Beane would make this trade unless he thought the dial will be moved.  And the main thing I see they could move this dial is a return to 2022 form for Von Miller after he returns from his suspension. That plus cooper definitely would up my expectations.  

     

    My hope is they start looking like they did from the second half of the Cardinals game through Jags game, but against basically all styles of defense, because they now have an answer to win on the outside in press man, single high when the middle of the field is shut off...and not just have an answer, but a receiver that can absolutely torch you for making that mistake.

    • Like (+1) 2

    Buffalo trades for Amari Cooper! (for a 3rd rnd pick and a late round swap)

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, NoSaint said:


    essentially diggs for cooper and moved up a round but lost the offseason - cap a wash more or less 

     

    I know, part of me wonders if Beane always had this in the back of his mind when he did the Diggs trade in the first place.

     

    Plus the potential to get the 3rd back as a comp pick, where if the Bills have a good season, a 3rd round comp pick after the 3rd and before the 4th isn't all that different from where they'll be picking had they kept this third (granted a year later), especially since there are so few 3rd round comp picks.

    Excellent video breakdown of the Bills poor production on offense vs. Houston

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    47 minutes ago, Einstein said:

     

    Sorry for the confusion. I’m using normal bell-curve distribution as a model to represent the distribution of people’s beliefs or judgments about correctness. Aka, not on whether a player played well. μ represents the average opinion or belief about a topic (like Allen’s performance), while the standard deviation (σ) measures how spread out those opinions are. This doesn’t find how many standard deviations from the mean a player is. It shows how the majority’s opinion might cluster around an average belief, regardless of its correctness. Thus, probability of being correct in a majority.

     

    Now, as you may be wisely picking up on, and as I mentioned in the original post when I posted the model, one of the problem with it is the assumption of correctness being inversely related to the density of the distribution. It’s a good starting point though, if you’d like to improve on it.

     

     

     

    Is this why with the power of the masses approach (or whatever it's called when you have a jar of jelly beans and ask people to guess and then average the amount and you tend to get the best answer)...is what you're saying why you use average instead of median?

    Who was Josh gonna throw to on the “flea flicker” ?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:

    Why would you take Samuel as the wildcat and have him run toward Josh knowing you're bringing all the pursuit to Josh.  At least let Josh do an end around mis-direction throw. That play design was pure LSD.

     

    I wasn't looking at the TV until right before the ball was snapped on that play...seeing Samuel in shotgun and then watching that play go down without having any context whatsoever...definitely felt like pure lsd a bit

    Who was Josh gonna throw to on the “flea flicker” ?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, BarleyNY said:

    Who I haven’t seen discussed is the player with the worst performance on that play - Dawkins. He completely whiffed on his block and his assignment blew up the play. It prevented Allen from running back across the field to his right, which looked to be the design. It not only took away that option, it forced a quick throw and got him hit. 

     

    Writing the same thing at the same time, but you got there first...ugh, Monica had to call me about something for work or I would have been first :)

    • Like (+1) 1
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