tornado681 Posted October 20, 2008 Share Posted October 20, 2008 The theme of the season thus far for BUF's O-line has been something like this: good pass blocking and subpar run blocking. I was at the game yesterday and after Lynchs 9 yd TD run, i thought that it seems BUF runs much better when inside the opponents 25 then when not. So rather than making this anecdotal statement, lets back it up with some stats. Through 6 games, BUF is averaging 3.6 yd/carry on 165 attempts. I went through the stats for each and documented each running play BUF ran inside the opponents 25 yard line. Through 6 games, they have run the ball 25 times for 118 yds, which works out to a 4.7 yd/carry. Lynchs numbers: 16 for 76; 4.75 yd/carry Jacksons numbers: 8 for 40; 5.0 yd/carry other (Losmans) numbers: 1 for 2; 2.0 yd/carry So, BUFs yd/carry average is over 1 yard/carry higher inside the opponets 25. DEN has the best yard per carry average in the NFL at guess what? 4.7 yd/carry. Conclusions: BUF runs the ball much better inside the opponents 25, and their yard per carry average within this region ties them with the top overall rushing team in the AFN (DEN). This, IMO, is the area when a team needs to be a good rushing team. You always hear the saying thrown around that good teams run the ball effectively in the red zone. It appears BUF is doing that. Perhaps we are being somewhat harsh on the BUF running game since they are running it well inside the OPP 25. The question is why are we running it so much better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Endless Ike Posted October 20, 2008 Share Posted October 20, 2008 The question is why are we running it so much better? that's a pretty dramatic change...i wonder if play calling has anything to do with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alton Posted October 20, 2008 Share Posted October 20, 2008 I noticed that we ran better when we pitched it. The touchdown run was off a pitch, it seems holes are there every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornado681 Posted October 20, 2008 Author Share Posted October 20, 2008 I noticed that we ran better when we pitched it. The touchdown run was off a pitch, it seems holes are there every time. yeah that play is what got me thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ganesh Posted October 20, 2008 Share Posted October 20, 2008 Haven't the bills also had a couple of 20+ but < 25 yards rushing TDs...May be those TDs are skewing your numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StupidNation Posted October 21, 2008 Share Posted October 21, 2008 Haven't the bills also had a couple of 20+ but < 25 yards rushing TDs...May be those TDs are skewing your numbers. Not really since it's part of the game. Good rushers average 4.3-5+ per carry with 15 TDs so it's part of the stat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colin Posted October 21, 2008 Share Posted October 21, 2008 it seems like our o line can run, and our wrs and backs and TEs block well upfield, but we just can't get any push up the gut. i think that's why our sweeps pwn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UB Bull Posted October 21, 2008 Share Posted October 21, 2008 That's only 24 carries inside the 25. Not enough to be statistically significant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robkmil Posted October 21, 2008 Share Posted October 21, 2008 The theme of the season thus far for BUF's O-line has been something like this: good pass blocking and subpar run blocking. I was at the game yesterday and after Lynchs 9 yd TD run, i thought that it seems BUF runs much better when inside the opponents 25 then when not. So rather than making this anecdotal statement, lets back it up with some stats. Through 6 games, BUF is averaging 3.6 yd/carry on 165 attempts. I went through the stats for each and documented each running play BUF ran inside the opponents 25 yard line. Through 6 games, they have run the ball 25 times for 118 yds, which works out to a 4.7 yd/carry. Lynchs numbers: 16 for 76; 4.75 yd/carry Jacksons numbers: 8 for 40; 5.0 yd/carry other (Losmans) numbers: 1 for 2; 2.0 yd/carry So, BUFs yd/carry average is over 1 yard/carry higher inside the opponets 25. DEN has the best yard per carry average in the NFL at guess what? 4.7 yd/carry. Conclusions: BUF runs the ball much better inside the opponents 25, and their yard per carry average within this region ties them with the top overall rushing team in the AFN (DEN). This, IMO, is the area when a team needs to be a good rushing team. You always hear the saying thrown around that good teams run the ball effectively in the red zone. It appears BUF is doing that. Perhaps we are being somewhat harsh on the BUF running game since they are running it well inside the OPP 25. The question is why are we running it so much better? Good work on the stats. Even though we don't have a huge number of yards--we still have a serviceable running game. but it could just explode soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornado681 Posted October 27, 2008 Author Share Posted October 27, 2008 BUF averaged 4.4 YPC overall for the MIA game. BUF rushed 8 times when inside the MIA 25 for a 4.1 YPC average. The most disturbing stat, however, was this. Jackson ran 7 times compared to 1 Lynch run. Jackson averaged a paltry 3.1 YPC on 7 carries. Look for Lynch to start getting more of the red zone carries from here on out. This is the first game I wasnt happy with the play calling. I would have liked to have seen more runs, especially with the success we had with the 1st drive in the 3rd quarter. Also, I wish Jauron would have gone for it on 4th and goal at the 1 in the first quarter. The decision only makes sense if BUF has less than a 43% chance of converting. I believe they get a TD at least every other time. Thus it makes sense to go for it. Not only that, MIA would have been pinned at the BUF 1 even if we didnt not make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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