Chilly Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 So, I wanted to take a look at how 3-3 teams have fared the past few seasons. ==== 2004 ==== 3-3 teams(4): -------------- Houston San Diego Cleveland Seattle Made the playoffs(2): --------------------- San Diego (Won Division) Seattle (Won Division) Stats ------ 50% of all 3-3 teams made the playoffs. 100% of all 3-3 teams in the playoffs won their division. 16.67% of all playoff teams were 3-3 teams. ==== 2003 ==== 3-3 teams(7): -------------- Green Bay Cleveland Washington Buffalo Baltimore Philadelphia Tampa Bay Made the playoffs(3): ---------------------- Baltimore (Won Division) Green Bay (Won Division) Philadelphia (Won Division) Stats ------ 42.8% of 3-3 teams made the playoffs. 100% of all 3-3 teams that made the playoffs won their division. 25% of all playoff teams were 3-3 teams. ==== 2002 ==== 3-3 teams(10): ------------- Carolina Dallas Buffalo New England New York Giants Kansas City Jacksonville Baltimore Atlanta Pittsburgh Made Playoffs(3): ------------------ New York Giants Atlanta Pittsburgh (Won Division) Stats ------ 30% of all 3-3 teams made the playoffs 33.3% of all 3-3 teams that made the playoffs won their division 25% of all playoff teams were 3-3 teams ==== 2001 ==== 3-3 teams(12): -------------- Atlanta Baltimore Cincinnati Denver Indianapolis Minnesota New York Jets New England New York Giants Philadelphia Seattle Tampa Bay Made Playoffs(5): ----------------- New England (Won Division) New York Jets Baltimore Philadelphia (Won Division) Tampa Bay Stats ------- 41.6% of all 3-3 teams made the playoffs. 40% of all 3-3 teams that made the playoffs won their division. 41.6% of all playoff teams were 3-3 teams. ======= Overall Stats ======= Over the past 4 years, there have been 33 teams that have been 3-3. Of these 33 teams, 13 teams have made the playoffs. - Which means, over the past 4 years, 39.40% of all 3-3 teams have made the playoffs. Of the 13 teams which made the playoffs, 8 of them won their division. - 61.54% of all 3-3 teams that make the playoffs win their division. - Which means only 38.46% of 3-3 teams that make the playoff don't win their division. Over the past 4 years, 48 teams have made the playoffs. - Which means that 27.08% of all teams that made the playoffs over the past 4 years were 3-3. ====== In Conclusion ====== Being tied for the lead of the division really bodes well for us. Without that, our chances of making the playoffs would be significantly less. The majority of the teams which make the playoffs are teams that win their division. Seeing as how the playoffs are only made up of around 1/4 of 3-3 teams on average, being in that majority is important. If you look at just the past 2 years, ALL of the teams that were 3-3 and made the playoffs won their division. In short: If we don't win the division, we have an extremely bad shot at making the playoffs. While its possible, its doubtful. If you're 3-3 and you don't win the division, you pretty much don't have a shot at the playoffs. Basically, this big long post does one thing: Confirms what we already knew about the playoff chances for the Bills - Win the division, or die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USMCBillsFan Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 That gave me a headache... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chilly Posted October 17, 2005 Author Share Posted October 17, 2005 That gave me a headache... 477632[/snapback] Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fezmid Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 Haha 478088[/snapback] If you spent as much time looking for a way to record line-in as you did with that statistical recap, I'd have some audio for the games CW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRH Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 - 61.54% of all 3-3 teams that make the playoffs win their division. 477592[/snapback] And 66.7% of all teams that make the playoffs win their division. I'm no mathematician but it seems to me that that means a 3-3 team that makes the playoffs is more likely than the average playoff team to make it as a wildcard instead of as a division winner. Did I say that right? Dan? I hope so. And if that's so, then would that not seem to put the lie to your exhaustively researched premise that we need to "win the division or die"? I have a headache now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Brady Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 You are getting waaaaaaaaaay ahead of youself.........:-) It was MIAMI and the JETS............... Didn't we pencil these in with Losman a couple of months back???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OGTEleven Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 100% of 3-3 teams finished with records of 3-13 or better. 100% of 3-3 teams finished with records of 13-3 or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeBill Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 You can't depend on history... to see the future. Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chilly Posted October 17, 2005 Author Share Posted October 17, 2005 If you spent as much time looking for a way to record line-in as you did with that statistical recap, I'd have some audio for the games CW 478092[/snapback] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chilly Posted October 17, 2005 Author Share Posted October 17, 2005 You can't depend on history... to see the future. Sorry 478215[/snapback] But history does repeat itself, so you can use history to judge what likely scenarios are for the future. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dundy249 Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 67.3% of people reading this message now have a headache. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin in Va Beach Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 Just win baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachChuckDickerson Posted October 17, 2005 Share Posted October 17, 2005 100% of 3-3 teams finished with records of 3-13 or better. 100% of 3-3 teams finished with records of 13-3 or worse. 478201[/snapback] BRILLANT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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