CFP - Who should make it

[GASabresIUFan]

The regular season is over. Who is in and who is on the bubble?  There are 13 teams competing for the 11 slots that will go to power 4 conferences. The 12th slot with go to JMU, Navy, Tulane or N Texas depending on who is ranked the highest.  

 

Who is in?  
1. Ohio St - best wins - Texas, Michigan. Next game vs IU in the Big 10 Championship game.  Winner no. 1 seed

2. Indiana - best wins - Oregon (on the road)  Illinois

3. Georgia - best wins - Ole Miss. Tex, Tenn, - Loss - Bama.  Next game: SEC Championship vs Bama

4. Texas Tech - best wins  - BYU, Utah - Loss ASU (without their starting QB).  Next game - vs BYU in Big 12 championship game.

5. Texas A&M - best win - At ND - Loss at Texas

6. Mississippi - best win - at Oklahoma - Loss at Georgia

7. Oregon - Best Win - USC - Loss to Indiana at home

 

Likely in but not sure why but could still be forced out

8. Notre Dame - Best wins USC and Navy - Losses - At Miami and home vs Texas A&M - The loss at Miami should put them in the next category especially with mediocre good wins.

 

Who is still competing for a spot? (most of these teams are 10-2)
Alabama - Best Wins - At UGA, Vandy, Tenn. - Good loss - Oklahoma - Bad Loss - At FSU - Next game: SEC Champ vs GA - Win and they’re in (top 4?); loss they maybe out.
BYU - Best Win - UTAH - Loss vs Texas Tech - Next game vs Texas Tech in Big 12 championship.  Win and they’re are in; loss they are possibly out

Oklahoma - Best wins Bama, Michigan & Tenn. - Losses at HOME to Ole Miss and Texas - Probably in, but ….

Miami - Best Win - ND - Losses SMU & Louisville. If Duke wins ACC - Committee probably puts Miami in to represent the ACC.

Virginia - Best Win - Louisville - Losses NC State & Wake.  Next Game - ACC championship vs Duke - Win and they’re in and lose and they’re out, likely kicking Miami to the curb

 

Other teams with an argument for a slot

Utah (10-2) Best Win - ASU - Losses to BYU & Texas Tech

Vandy (10-2) Best Win - Tenn - Losses to Bama & Texas

Texas (9-3) Best Win - Texas A&M - Losses Georgia, Ohio State - Bad Loss - Florida

 

If BYU, Bama & Virginia win their championships, the committee will have to decide between ND and Oklahoma for the last slot.  I’d choose Oklahoma because of better wins.

 

[YoloinOhio]

I think even if bama loses they will get in. The committee doesn’t seem to ding a conference championship loss the same way as a reg season loss and they already beat Georgia 

[SoonerBillsFan]

3 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:

The regular season is over. Who is in and who is on the bubble?  There are 13 teams competing for the 11 slots that will go to power 4 conferences. The 12th slot with go to JMU, Navy, Tulane or N Texas depending on who is ranked the highest.  

 

Who is in?  
1. Ohio St - best wins - Texas, Michigan. Next game vs IU in the Big 10 Championship game.  Winner no. 1 seed

2. Indiana - best wins - Oregon (on the road)  Illinois

3. Georgia - best wins - Ole Miss. Tex, Tenn, - Loss - Bama.  Next game: SEC Championship vs Bama

4. Texas Tech - best wins  - BYU, Utah - Loss ASU (without their starting QB).  Next game - vs BYU in Big 12 championship game.

5. Texas A&M - best win - At ND - Loss at Texas

6. Mississippi - best win - at Oklahoma - Loss at Georgia

7. Oregon - Best Win - USC - Loss to Indiana at home

 

Likely in but not sure why but could still be forced out

8. Notre Dame - Best wins USC and Navy - Losses - At Miami and home vs Texas A&M - The loss at Miami should put them in the next category especially with mediocre good wins.

 

Who is still competing for a spot? (most of these teams are 10-2)
Alabama - Best Wins - At UGA, Vandy, Tenn. - Good loss - Oklahoma - Bad Loss - At FSU - Next game: SEC Champ vs GA - Win and they’re in (top 4?); loss they maybe out.
BYU - Best Win - UTAH - Loss vs Texas Tech - Next game vs Texas Tech in Big 12 championship.  Win and they’re are in; loss they are possibly out

Oklahoma - Best wins Bama, Michigan & Tenn. - Losses at HOME to Ole Miss and Texas - Probably in, but ….

Miami - Best Win - ND - Losses SMU & Louisville. If Duke wins ACC - Committee probably puts Miami in to represent the ACC.

Virginia - Best Win - Louisville - Losses NC State & Wake.  Next Game - ACC championship vs Duke - Win and they’re in and lose and they’re out, likely kicking Miami to the curb

 

Other teams with an argument for a slot

Utah (10-2) Best Win - ASU - Losses to BYU & Texas Tech

Vandy (10-2) Best Win - Tenn - Losses to Bama & Texas

Texas (9-3) Best Win - Texas A&M - Losses Georgia, Ohio State - Bad Loss - Florida

 

If BYU, Bama & Virginia win their championships, the committee will have to decide between ND and Oklahoma for the last slot.  I’d choose Oklahoma because of better wins.

 

OU beat 5 top 25 teams,had the hardest SOS in the SEC and 7th in the nation.   They definitely deserve the spot

[GASabresIUFan]

2 hours ago, SoonerBillsFan said:

OU beat 5 top 25 teams,had the hardest SOS in the SEC and 7th in the nation.   They definitely deserve the spot

OU’s biggest issue is that the committee has ND ahead of them.  I have no idea why.  As I wrote above, I’d choose OU over ND.  I’d also ND behind Miami and Miami won head to head and ND best wins are meh. If I were you, I’d be rooting hard for Texas Tech and GA.

[SoonerBillsFan]

13 minutes ago, GASabresIUFan said:

OU’s biggest issue is that the committee has ND ahead of them.  I have no idea why.  As I wrote above, I’d choose OU over ND.  I’d also ND behind Miami and Miami won head to head and ND best wins are meh. If I were you, I’d be rooting hard for Texas Tech and GA.

OU is ranked 8th and ND 9th I thought.  

[GASabresIUFan]

1 minute ago, SoonerBillsFan said:

OU is ranked 8th and ND 9th I thought.  

You’re right, I had it backwards.  No worries then.  I’d love for ND to knocked out.