TPS Posted October 10, 2011 Posted October 10, 2011 The prediction in quotes below is from my "Bills will be a turn-around team" thread; so right now I am guaranteed of that outcome, and there is a very good chance that the Bills will be 5-1. Here's my best guess going forward... How to get 10 wins? I think the Bills can go 4-2 into the bye. Wins: KC, Oak, Cinc, and Giants (toughest). Losses: Pats and Philly. Remainder of games: Wash W Jets L Dallas W Fins W Jets L Tenn W SD L Fins W Denver W Pats L While I think the Bills can beat NYG, we may see the "flip" that happened with the Pats-Bengals outcomes--I expected the Bills to lose to Philly and beat the Gints. For the rest of the games, the biggest change from my perspective is that both Jets games are now in play. There will of course be unexpected losses (and wins), but this change now makes the chances of making the playoffs more likely. The biggest worry I have at this point is the WR position. The Bills lack a deep threat and teams will crowd the box and take away Stevie. I think the offense will move to a more power-oriented running game like this last game. I don't think we have a choice. On the bright side, the Bills have 3 weeks to get Jones healthy before the Skins game. I see the biggest change happening on defense. I think the defense will tighten up, especially once McGee and Williams are back. I really liked what I saw from some of the young'uns yesterday--Carrington, Moats, and Shep. I think Merriman is actually playing really well. And Barnett...what can you say? Once the CBs get some reinforcements, the D will start to shut things down. One of the reasons I Billieved they could be a turn-around team was that they would have a swing of 7-8 points per game this year; that is, the O would score more (18 avg last year), and the D would give up less (27 last year). The O is scoring 15 more/game (33) and the D is giving up 3 less (24). I think we'll see both of those #s come down, which still translates into wins. I think 11 wins is now very doable, but the D will have to transform from depending on the TOs to stop teams, to just plain stopping teams. I think they have the personnel to do this. Go Bills!
RyanC883 Posted October 10, 2011 Posted October 10, 2011 The prediction in quotes below is from my "Bills will be a turn-around team" thread; so right now I am guaranteed of that outcome, and there is a very good chance that the Bills will be 5-1. Here's my best guess going forward... While I think the Bills can beat NYG, we may see the "flip" that happened with the Pats-Bengals outcomes--I expected the Bills to lose to Philly and beat the Gints. For the rest of the games, the biggest change from my perspective is that both Jets games are now in play. There will of course be unexpected losses (and wins), but this change now makes the chances of making the playoffs more likely. The biggest worry I have at this point is the WR position. The Bills lack a deep threat and teams will crowd the box and take away Stevie. I think the offense will move to a more power-oriented running game like this last game. I don't think we have a choice. On the bright side, the Bills have 3 weeks to get Jones healthy before the Skins game. I see the biggest change happening on defense. I think the defense will tighten up, especially once McGee and Williams are back. I really liked what I saw from some of the young'uns yesterday--Carrington, Moats, and Shep. I think Merriman is actually playing really well. And Barnett...what can you say? Once the CBs get some reinforcements, the D will start to shut things down. One of the reasons I Billieved they could be a turn-around team was that they would have a swing of 7-8 points per game this year; that is, the O would score more (18 avg last year), and the D would give up less (27 last year). The O is scoring 15 more/game (33) and the D is giving up 3 less (24). I think we'll see both of those #s come down, which still translates into wins. I think 11 wins is now very doable, but the D will have to transform from depending on the TOs to stop teams, to just plain stopping teams. I think they have the personnel to do this. Go Bills! I agree. Esp. if the D makes the transformation you desribed above. I would like to see the TO's and the stops. That would make them a SB contender.
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