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given that Oakland wants kaepernick, would you make this trade?


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I'm glancing over the past few drafts for similar trades. None are right on point, of course, but here's the ballpark:

 

 

2010

30 --> 34 netted Minnesota a swap of 4ths (moving up 28 spots) and a 7th.

 

39 --> 42 was worth a 5th.

42 --> 44 was worth a 6th.

47 --> 58 was worth a 3rd.

51 --> 62 was worth a 3rd.

 

2009

37 was worth a 2010 1st.

40 --> 47 was worth a 4th and a 6th

51 --> 75 was worth a 4th.

 

So I think our trade down expectations would have to be a bit skimpier. The best option is swapping out for a 2012 first, I think, though Oakland didn't have a first this year and probably wouldn't want to trade out again. OTherwise, we could get a 3rd, and maybe a late round pick. Don't expect more, and thus, I think it's probably worth standing pat.

As others have pointed out, the second pick of the second round is almost like a first round pick. I wouldn't want to part with a pick like that unless the price was right.

 

I fully expect Oakland to have a losing record this coming season; which means their first round pick in next year's draft will probably be in the top-15--and likely the top-10. If the deal on the table was to trade away our second round pick, straight up, for their first rounder in next year's draft, I'd do it.

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If the Raiders give up their second and next years first I would do it. Having two first rounds next year would greatly increase the chance of landing a franchise quarterback next year if they do not like any of the remaining QBs this year.

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