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BrooklynBills

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Posts posted by BrooklynBills

  1. *I'M NOT A DOCTOR*

     

    IMO the only reason you'd get a 2nd opinion is if:

     

    a. Rehab vs. Surgery

    b. Career-threatening injury.

     

    We know that Hyde went to the hospital. Very conceivable that they did precautionary/exploratory scans/MRIs and something pre-existing injury popped up and they are advising Hyde that he can't play anymore.  Much like the Eric Wood situation.

     

    Hopefully it is not that but serious neck issues can be nebulous and can go undetected.  He could have a minor injury but a serious risk could have been detected.

    • Agree 3
  2. 1 hour ago, Virgil said:

    I love Knox and glad he’s staying.  Money seems a bit high, but it’s not my money.  
     

    I think it’s interesting that he signed before Poyer, Edmunds, and Oliver, for whatever that’s worth 

    When you factor in the current contract that he's on for this year, this puts Dawson Knox's overall contract at 5 yrs, $56ish million, which is just over $11 mil per year average. This slots him under Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry. 

     

    This is an extension so I would be surprised if they didn't add some money to this season and the bonus is spread out over the 5 years starting with this season.

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  3. 14 hours ago, Rochesterfan said:


     

    Using Spotrac which is pretty good - the cutdown to 53 (keeping Tre on the roster and cutting some higher profile guys like Howard) I got 10.7 million after the restructure.  Then taking 4.5 for practice squad drops you to about 6 million.  That is right about where they like to be.

     

    That level drops even more if they put White on PUP and keep another player - as I suspect.  It also drops further if they put Stevenson on IR to “protect” him.  In that case it knocks another 1.4 million down to 4 and 1/2 million left for mid season signings.

     

    They may have a Knox extension in thought, but if that was the plan I would expect a different - larger restructure.

     

    I forgot about PS guys counting against the cap, but I think 4.5 million is a little high. Also, there is no requirement to have vets on the practice squad so the Bills can get to as low as 2.6 million against from the PS.

     

    I have the Knox extension around 4yr - 50 million.  It makes very little sense to not extend him before the offseason if they are close on value because moving money into this current season by way of the prorated signing bonus and guaranteed salary is one of the primary benefits to Bills in terms of re-signing him.

     

  4. With likely cuts to get to 53, we'll be roughly 8.5 to 10 million under the cap for this season.  That's a huge cushion to take on a pretty good year 1 cap hit for an extension.

     

    My money though would be on a Knox extension.  They can give him more money up front and raise his cap hit this year which can make his deal alot more team favorable in the long run

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 8 hours ago, Nelius said:

    I don't see us moving up much for CB with this team's ability to develop defensive backs. They could take 3 starting in Round 4 and make something out of it.

     

    Moving up for offense, so WR since it's the 1st, or just a couple of spots for CB makes the most sense. I'm buying into the Jameson Williams chatter, I really think they go WR in the 1st.

     

    Does the Will Fuller comparison come with the PEDs? I'll take a healthy, hulked up Will Fuller streaking down the sideline. You can't get that nowadays with the real Will Fuller of course. Shenault is broken or too slow for the NFL, there's a reason beyond Jacksonville's ineptitude that there's no real interest from anybody.

     

    Sure, they could try to develop a mid to late round pick. But if you could send a veteran player about to be let go in a year(Poyer or Edmunds) and two 1sts (both likely to be mid to late 20s) for a cost controlled, under-paid top flight CB for 5 years, would you do that? I think I might.

     

    We are a team now that is going to be at the salary cap every year. So I could see the rationale in using picks to try get cheaper, more sure fire talent. 

  6. 12 - right now i think this might be the base offense. Davis, Diggs, Knox, Howard. Maybe even with 11 with McKenzie coming in for Howard.

     

    22 - in Kromer's 4 years in LA they did not have a FB. Gilliam came out of college as a TE so I think he'll still have a role but i could also see us drafting a more traditional TE in the 3rd/4th round and not having any formations with a true FB

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  7. 35 minutes ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

     

     

    They aren't cutting Matakevitch either. He's maybe our best Special Teamer. And in losing Taiwan Jones on that side and A.J. Klein on the LB side, we're a little thin at both the roles he provides. 

     

    Cody Ford isn't going to be released with Kromer coming in. They made a large investment in him and they'll hope that Kromer can bring more out of him. And especially not when we're thin at O-Line depth already and might be losing Ryan Bates too.

    I'm just saying these are the only real moves to be made to free up space(other than more restructures or extensions).

     

    Ford and Bates combine right now for almost $5 million. I don't think that's the plan moving forward.

  8. 52 minutes ago, No_Matter_What said:

    As far as I understand it any re-signing will not help with those void years.

     

    I think any contract can be restructured. Hyde still has 1 "regular" year remaining after this one.  They can simply extend his contract into the future tearing up those "void" years.  It's only locked in if they intend to simply let the contract run out after the 2023 season.

     

    I think.

  9. 1 hour ago, No_Matter_What said:

    Hmm per sportrac they spread it over 5 years, creating 3 void years with dead cap §1.1M each.

     

    https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/micah-hyde-12440/

     

    Not sure I like this. 

     

    But like I said I will judge once FA is over.

     

      

     

    Well it is not all we are doing. We are also creating lot of dead cap for future years. I am not saying we shouldn't do it but it is important to note.

     

    I would imagine that they have every intention of re-signing Hyde after this season which would essentially tear up those void years. 

  10. 2 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

    Yes, but the whole $12.7m thing will make this impossible.  He’s not gonna sign for less than $12.7m per year 

     

    So he's gauranteed 12.7 million for this year.  That doesn't mean that he won't sign for less than that on a long term deal.  Can easily structure something so that he gets more money up front or over the first 2 years AND it lowers his overall cap hit early on.

    • Agree 1
  11. 17 minutes ago, ArtVandalay said:

    Does that space account for the $6 MM or so needed to sign draft picks? 

    No. They will need about 5ish mil or less depending how the top 51 contracts play out.  They can likely get that by cutting guys who are likely to lose jobs in camp, etc, depending on how the draft goes.  Wouldn't worry about this.

  12. IMO McKenzie re-sign indicates that the Bills are likely going WR in RD2 or RD3, although RD1 is not out of the question. He is essentially on a 1 year deal and he's a proven commodity and has comfort with the offense.  This allows them to either (a). draft a 2nd round WR and not force him into being a starter which also allows them to not pass a high end CB or DL if one falls to them at 25 OR (b). draft Jameson Williams at 25 and not havbe to worry about rushing him into the lineup too quickly.

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  13. 8 hours ago, junior said:

     

    Are or were? As Sal points out here, there's speculation that Dorsey wants to run more 12 personnel. If that's the case, then paying for two solid TEs makes sense.

     

    Kromer's last two years in LA they also ran a ton of 2TE sets.

     

    Knox being a true TE allows them the possibility of using Engram as hybrid TE/WR. Draft a 2nd day WR and your weapons are in a good place moving forward for a few years.

  14. 23 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

     

    No disrespect, but I don't think you are thinking about this correctly in terms of free agency.

     

    Kirk is going to be more in demand than Cooper, Robinson and Williams.  These three are going to be more expensive despite being highly inconsistent as receivers most their careers even while playing mostly in productive offenses with good or very good QB's (especially Cooper and Williams).  Less teams can afford what they will be looking for, and there is a legit argument if they are even worth what they are going to be seeking given how inconsistent they have been.

     

    Who is hot in Free Agency isnt always about who is perceived to be the most talented or accomplished.  Adams for example won't have as many suitors because he is too expensive, less people can afford him even though he is night and day better than anyone on this list and arguably the best in the NFL.  Godwin is coming off a major injury too and while he likely is back in 2022 barring setbacks, there is no guarantee he comes back and just gets back to his old form early, might take time to get there.  How many teams can afford what he will be seeking, and how many are willing to give it to him before he gets back on the field is a legit question with him.

     

    Kirk will be a priority or top tier target for a lot of teams because he is perceived to be young and on the rise breaking out, meaning they can get a guy they believe is capable of putting up numbers like some of these other guys in a featured role while paying him considerably less money than several of those other guys will get.  

     

    So if you want to list these guys in tiers based on their resumes, sure, you can make a case for your list.  But if you want to grade as a free agency tier, Kirk will likely have the biggest market for his services than anyone on that list making him a higher tier free agent.  

     

    I hear what you are saying, but I'm thinking in terms of tiers of market value. I understand that you are saying Kirk at around $12 mil/yr is going to attract more teams, maybe many more, than the top tier talent. And maybe that inflates his final number.

     

    But if he's so in demand that he gets above market value, let's say aggressively $14/yr, wouldn't that drive those teams to the higher talent anyway? Why pay Kirk $14 mil/yr when you can pay Robinson, Cooper, or Williams $16-17mil/yr?

     

    Couple that with the idea that teams could get a legitimate starting WR in the draft from picks 20-50 and i think you might see a hard ceiling for the guys in that $10-12 mil/yr tier.

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  15. 52 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

     

    I think then you will be surprised to see the market for Kirk.  He certainly wont be a "3rd tier" FA WR, and will widely seen as one of the better FA WR's on the market this year. 

     

    Davante Adams

    Chris Godwin

     

    Amari Cooper

    Allen Robinson

    Mike Williams

     

    OBJ

    Kirk

    Gallup

    DJ Chark

     

    He's either top of tier 3 or bottom of tier 2. Not to mention that he's got at least 4 guys in direct competition with him at his own price point.

     

    $7 mil/yr is obviously way too low. But I think 4yr/40-45 mil with like 30%-40% gtd in the 1st 2 years is where I'd be willing to go. Then you essentially decide between Davis and Kirk after 2 years.

  16. On 2/24/2022 at 11:52 AM, Alphadawg7 said:

     

    WR is a deep position in this draft, so I don’t expect any pricey WR free agent additions this year, especially with Davis seemingly ready to emerge and start.

     

     

     

    This will also bring down values in the 2nd and 3rd tier of FA WRs, which is where Kirk is.

     

    Deep WR draft won't affect the top WRs but you could see some value suppression as all these teams are going to be thinking the same thing about getting WRs in the draft round 1-4. Difference is that the Bills want to win now now and other teams who are still building could see the advantage of drafting a WR.

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