Cash
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Posts posted by Cash
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I'm sorry, but your outta your gorde. As I (and many others on TSW) have said, we had the perfect **** storm working against us last year (Jauron, bad luck, injuries, fired OC) and still managed 6 wins. Considering the NE and CLE games, we easily are 8-8.
There is no way that we finish worse than we did last year. NO WAY. I actually have faith in Nix and Chan. Maybe we won't have the best O line in the league, but I have to believe that they think our O line is good enough to keep us in games. Spiller will mask a lot of our woes.
Defense is switching schemes & formations - every defensive front 7 holdover has to learn a new defense and a new position. New DC's resume is less impressive than Fewell's, so a possible downgrade on that front.
Bell is coming off an ACL tear, and thus likely to be even less effective than last year.
With Cornell Green's penchant for penalties, there's a decent chance that he's actually a downgrade from the turd sandwich we had at RT last year.
This year's schedule may wind up being tougher than last year's.
You want to give us credit for close losses, but then you need to also take away credit for close wins. The Jets threw 6 INTs and we still only barely beat them in OT.
Jauron's no-balls style was very bad at winning games, but it did have one merit: it made it very tough to lose games. By not taking chances, playing as conservatively as possible, playing bend but don't break on D, etc., Jauron put the team in a position where it was usually a close game at some point in the 4th quarter, even though we were usually getting outplayed. When the other team screwed up, Jauron-ball often led to wins. A more aggressive (which would be better, don't get me wrong) style, where the team played to win instead of just playing not to lose, is also riskier, in that you're more likely to get beat badly, even if the opponent makes some mistakes. A steady diet of checkdowns and runs up the gut won't lead to a lot of points on either end. Actually trying to move the chains and score touchdowns can lead to a lot more turnovers.
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Would you like to join my fantasy league?
+1. Nothing beats having a couple of crazy homers to beat up on. Back in maybe 2002-03 or so, a Steelers homer in my league drafted Korbel Stewart in the first round. Spiller in the first round wouldn't be quite as bad, but still pretty bad. When the coach who just drafted the guy says he wants to give him about 15 touches a game, that's a #2 back at best, regardless of the other circumstances.
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Keep in mind also that the drafting of Rivers at #4 overall served as a wake-up call for Brees, driving him to work harder and raise his game to new levels. Brees has specifically brought that up in interviews.
I don't see the drafting of Levi Brown at #209 overall as having the same effect.
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Come on Gailey, Nix, & Whaley. How can you expect Bell to be your front runner at LT when he's coming off that kind of injury. What happened to the comment of the QB's always throwing on their back. You have to bring someone else in. How about Gaither? Please get the Bills a good starting left tackle. Thank you.
Remember, we've heard ad nauseum for the past few years that "it takes TWO years to fully come back" from an ACL tear. This is why players who tear their ACLs always stink the following year. Or sometimes they're just never the same.
In Bell's case, considering how bad he was before the injury, penciling him in as the starter is crazy and disturbing.
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If I was a DC, I'd definitely put 8-10 guys in the box on most downs.
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Rivers was definitely not considered a reach at the time. There was quite a bit of speculation that SD would draft him at #1 overall, since Eli famously did not want to play there. Instead, they drafted Eli, prompting the Giants to draft Rivers in order to facilitate a trade.
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You're wrong in one respect.
Mel Kiper probably makes more money than all but a few GMs in the NFL.
He most certainly makes more money than any scout, Director of College Scouting, etc.
Yeah, people need to realize that Mel Kiper basically does the work of a regular scout or maybe head of scouting, but with an extra digit on his salary. The only reason for someone like that to try to get a job with an NFL team would be to try to work his way up to being an assistant GM in a few years, then being a GM a few years after that.
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Edwards is a kitty and isn't what Nix and Gailey said they wanted in a QB. He will end up being the one cut.
They know what they have in Fitz, solid #2/#3.
They drafted Brown to develop him, watch the post draft presser. You can tell by how they talk about him they expect good things.
That leaves Brohm. I still have a really tough time putting any faith in someone that can't even make a roster and who wasn't brought onto a team from Green Bay's practice squad except Russ Friggin Brandon.
That said...as much as I don't like Brohm, I am more than willing to see what happens in the competition between him and Brown and will back whomever of the two Gailey picks.
but someone please give me something besides friggin college stats to make me feel better about Brohm.
Not possible, unless someone has some bootleg practice footage where Brohm looked really good. If we stick to his NFL career, the facts are that he's played pretty badly in both of his preseasons, gotten beaten out by a lower-drafted rookie in year 1, got beaten out again in year 2, was cut & cleared waivers, and looked really bad in his only start.
But I agree with you that I'd rather see him in the mix for the starting job. We really have to give him a pass on the Atlanta game because he was so new to the team.
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We totally need Richard Dickson to complete our penis-themed Offense.
Remember how Gailey said his offense doesn't have a name? Well now it does.
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It is not like the Buffalo Bills need a QB or anything...Raiders making much stronger picks and picking up a solid QB.
San Diego gets a NT in Cam Thomas that is arguably BETTER then Trouple 3 ROUNDS later.
Bills could have grabbed Clausen in Round 2 and STILL got a NT.
Simply unbelievable.
I can really say, even the Lions are having a great day, Buffalo is now the cesspool of the NFL when it comes to organizations.
This is the lowest of the low.
Meh. Campbell is a mediocre NFL QB, not a good one. Yes, he'd be an upgrade over the bad NFL QBs on our roster, but I don't see him taking this team to the playoffs. I'd rather hold out for a GOOD quarterback.
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Plus, this time last year, we were talking about Snead being a Top 10 pick and dying to get him.... Now look at him, UDFA signed by Tampa Bay.
In fairness, most college QBs get better every year. It's rare to get a case like Snead's, where he just fell apart in his last year as a starter.
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I think you're misinterpreting.
They like Brown as a developmental QB prospect, but I don't think anybody at One Bills Drive is pencilling him in for the 2012 starting QB. They took a flier on a guy in the 7th round who has some coachable qualities and they're going to give Gailey a chance to develop him. But there is just as much likelihood that Brown spends the 2010 season on the Bills practice squad. It's a 7th round pick. He is a project.
He could certainly develop into a starter. Anybody has a chance. But I doubt anybody there is counting on it.
QFT
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Anyone else concerned about all the Conversion LBs the Bills have on the roster now?
They were already converting Schobel (if he doesn't retire), Kelsay, and Maybin from DE to OLB and today they add 2 more via draft (Moats and Batten)
Not particularly. So few colleges play a 3-4 that it's rare you'll be able to draft a true 3-4 OLB. And most 4-3 OLBs project to ILB in a 3-4, so that means if you want to draft a 3-4 OLB, you need to look at 4-3 DEs.
Not every 4-3 DE can make the position switch, but since this is a rebuilding year anyway, it's a good time to find out which ones can and can't.
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Another small-school DE that will convert to LB. Unlike Moats, I really see Batten staying on the outside. I'm still obsessed with short shuttle times and vertical leaps:
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/nfl-draft...ducing-sackseer
And Batten's are good. 32.5" vertical is nothing impressive, but it's not really horrible, and his short shuttle is an insane 4.05s! That's elite for sure. I guess Batten has short arms, which is kind of a hindrance for outside contain, but has anyone been able to track down an actual measurement? I haven't. How short are we talking here? Does he need an extender to wipe his butt?
I always talk myself into way overrating all our late-round picks, and this year is no exception. (The exception was last year, when we went with a gonzo late run on DBs.) I really like both of these LBs in the 6th. LB is a position where good players frequently come out of the late rounds (along with C, OG, & S), so I don't think I'm totally crazy in thinking that at least one of these guys might wind up being a steal.
And yes, I am getting excited about two 6th-rounders just a couple hours after posting about how you can't get either angry or excited about anyone drafted this late. Big whoop, wanna fight about it?
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Fwiw, I heard him on Sirius NFL Radio and Moats stated that there were 3-4 defenses interested in him as an ILB prospect.
Makes a lot of sense. Physically, he's built better for ILB than OLB. Usually you like your OLBs taller than 6'0.5":
http://espn.go.com/blog/afceast/post/_/id/...-for-model-olbs
But I've always liked the shorter ILBs. London Fletcher, Zach Thomas, Sam Mills - none of them particularly over 6', all of them great players. Going past the height thing, we can look at his vertical and short shuttle times, which are the two measurements that best predict pass-rush success:
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/nfl-draft...ducing-sackseer
36.5" vertical and a 4.37 s short shuttle seems pretty solid, but unspectacular (the short shuttle looks below average, the vertical looks probably above average). I won't be disappointed if he's moved inside.
I love the fact that Moats was the I-AA DPOY. I feel like the best defensive player in I-AA in any given year is going to be able to make it in the NFL. Of course, sometimes the best player doesn't win the award, and it's not like I saw any I-AA games in any case, but still. I'd usually rather have the small school or I-AA cream of the crop than a BCS conference player who has ideal size, but stunk his whole career. In the late rounds, anyway.
Moats was clearly a notch or two above his competition athletically, which is a good sign. Definite special-teamer right now. Might be a legit player down the road. Or he might never make an NFL roster. That's the problem with these late picks.
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No, because I prefer watching football in bars so it's a social experience as well. Plus I don't want to get DirecTV. Plus I don't think the Bills will be worth it next year. But reasons 2 and 3 don't really matter, because reason 1 trumps all.
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which is exactly why he should remain on the team....he's a really good runningback, people seem to forget that.....hey, we have a good stable of backs, what's wrong with that?
+1. Sounds like they're planning on using Spiller on kicks & split wide around half the time anyway. So we've really got 2.5 backs, not 3. That's not really a logjam. Worked fine for the Saints last year & for the Giants in 2007. And the Raiders last year, actually. Bush, McFadden, & Fargas all split time and their overall running game was decent, even though the rest of the team was a shambles.
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I think you see some signed tonight, and a bunch more tomorrow. Teams usually start trying to sign UDFAs during the latter part of the 7th round. I don't see why that would change now that it's earlier.
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do we line up.. levitre, wang, then wood? or is it levitre, wood, then wang?
If Wang starts at LT and Wood moves to C, we'll start with Wang, then add Levitre, then get to full Wood. One UDFA I like at RG is this guy Myron Ejaculate. Got a good feeling about him.
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Positives: Addressed D-line early, especially at NT, the most important position. Got the consensus best player at one position at #9, & wasn't considered a reach. Did attempt to address O-line to some extent, although it may have been too late to make much of an impact.
Negatives: Passed a potential franchise QB twice. Passed on some potentially solid starters at LT (Davis, Bulaga, Staffold) once, passed on another (Brown) twice. May have reached for a couple of picks; probably could've traded down & still got their guy(s). Ignored positional value and long-term rebuilding strategy by going RB in the first round.
It's really a wait & see, of course. If Buddy's bizarro vision turns out to be true, and the presence of Spiller transforms our 30th-ranked offense, led by Trent Edwards behind Demetrius Bell, into a good offense, then this is an A+ draft. If none of the OTs that they passed on pan out, that would also help the grade. Clausen busting would be a major boost to the grade.
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I like the Calloway pick, McKinney was a free agent after last season and was not retained. They do lack a backup for the center position.
Gotta think Wood would slide over to C if they have any confidence in the primary backup at OG. We'll probably see a C or two brought in as UDFAs, though. Possibly a late UFA signing of a McKinney/Whittle type.
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Dude has pretty good size, arms on the short side but proably still long enough to play tackle. Same as teammate Bulaga, I think. NFL.com certainly likes the pick, based on their grading system. It'll be interesting to see whether the Bills see him as more of a tackle or a guard. I'm sure it'll come up in the introductory press conference. For a 7th-rounder, this guy probably has an excellent chance of making the team as a rookie, especially if they like him as a guard. Do we have any backups at OG right now? I thought McKinney was gone, and I can't think of any others (who don't also double as OTs) off the top of my head.
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You know, I consider myself one of the best serial bitchers on this board, and even I am growing tired of your act.
Who's bitching? Nothing wrong with the Brown pick. Or anyone at this point, really. But also no one worth getting excited over. If you get a good player in the 7th round, consider yourself lucky.
Overall, the Bills draft is a little disappointing to me, because it really showed how many holes we have, and how there was never any way to fill them all in one offseason. I can't say I'm very happy with the guys they passed up, but the guys they wound up taking look to be fairly solid. The only picks I can question on their own merit are the skill position guys, Spiller & Easley. But honestly, Spiller at least has the potential to shut up me and the rest of the haters. Easley not so much, but whatever, he's a 4th-rounder and should be a good special-teamer anyway.
And as I type, the Bills grab another OT. Solid. Could be the next Terrance Pennington or Demetrius Bell. Or better. Or worse. Definite crapshoot at this point.
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We sure love small school prospects this year.
Back in our heyday, most of our best picks were undervalued small school guys.
Slot WR's
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Evans, Parrish, and Spiller are all gonna be lined up in the slot? I'm not really into these 5-wide formations, unless you've got a QB who's a threat to run.