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Dibs

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Posts posted by Dibs

  1. Fair enough, but look at the people with the most "concerns" in this thread and then go back a month. Read their thoughts from then and try to differentiate the 2. The people involved in this thread (in many cases) have been waiting a month to throw out the "I told you so." I simply responded by saying the guy is completing 75% of his passes, has led 8 scoring drives and has played above average (using QBR). He isn't the problem right now but a certain group wants him to be. The defense has been atrocious, scheme was pathetic and they committed a ton of penalties. 4 TDs a game should be enough for this team to compete for championships but instead they are .500.

    Yeah, just please be careful not to tar everyone with the same brush.

     

    My biggest concern with TT, and has been all through preseason, is that he hasn't shown that he is capable of pulling the trigger on downfield throws from the pocket....at least not at a regular enough rate. When the Pats were stifling our offense through most of the game(keying the run and underneath routes), this ability from TT was sorely needed.

     

    I am hopeful that it is a confidence thing(and not a skill thing) and TT will quickly develop....but if he doesn't he will not make it as a longterm QB starter in the league IMO.

  2. Go back and read all of my posts on the topic. I believe that a lot of people want to pin it on Tyrod because he wasn't the guy that they wanted. However, I supported my thoughts with stats.

    ....

     

    I did that Kirby....and I figure you were a little hot under the collar with your initial comments.....but they happened.

     

    You stated:

    The most inevitable thread ever.......If a segment of the fanbase wasn't so butthurt that their guy didn't win the job we wouldn't have these conversations.....

     

    I regret not starting a TT thread myself(which I did consider doing as there was no discussion thread on TT for several hours after the match). I chose not to start one because I didn't feel like being attacked by some of my fellow Bills fans directly after a bad loss.

     

    My point is that these conversations certainly would happen regardless of whether the EJ fans are butthurt or not because there are many non-EJ lovers who have strong concerns over aspects of TT's game.

  3. Taylor looked over-matched and severely limited till the last few drives when Roman opened up the offense and McCoy got going a bit as well. Overall I liked how he snapped back throwing that TD to Sammy. You can claim that the first two TD drives were pseudo garbage time against a soft defense that was up 37-13. But at 37-25 with about 4 minutes left the Pats* were for sure trying to stop the Bills and close that game out. Not only did the Bills drive up for a TD to make it a 5 point game but they did it with two plays and a quick strike. That drive gave the Bills a legit shot to win that game. Hell they actually had the ball with some time left (1:36 not a whole lot of time but enough time) and down 8 points. So overall there were some positives in that late push even if it ended in undramatic fashion.

    I don't think that Roman suddenly opened up the offense. I think perhaps it was TT who stepped up towards the end of the game and started throwing a couple of the type of passes that earlier in the game was unwilling to throw(instead opting to either check down or scramble). Above everything else he brings to the table, this concept gives me hope for his future as the Bills QB.

  4. Pareto Analysis is a simple technique for prioritizing problem-solving work so that the first piece of work you do resolved the greatest number of problems. It's based on thePareto Principle (also known as the 80/20 Rule) the idea that 80 percent of problems may be caused by as few as 20 percent of causes.

     

     

    A. Do some on here really believe that changing QBs or focusing on TT as the cause of 80% of the teams problems is the right course of action.

     

    or

     

    B. Have a different agenda other than being a bills fan, like being right in your own little mind.

     

     

    IMO having a better game plan on both sides of the ball would help alot more!

     

    The coach's know and deserve the lion's share of the criticism for the game.

    If this thread was about the reasons why we lost the game you would have an excellent point. As it stands however, you are pretty much saying that we can only discuss the merits of those perceived 20% of things. Personally I would like the ability to discuss all aspects of my beloved Bills on the Bills forum.

    I guess the point is what do we expect? Currently our starting QB has played 2 games in his career. He has led the offense on 8 TD drives in 2 games has a QBR of 57.5 (50 is average). The game plan that he was handed yesterday was appalling and they still managed 32 points. He completed 76.6% of his passes and had 2 balls tipped where diving picks were made.Are we shocked that a guy struggled against a Belicheck defense in his 2nd career start? Go look at what others have done against Belicheck in their first few starts. What is it that we should reasonably from him after 2 games? If you think that a guy completing over 75% of his passes that has led 8 TD drives in 2 weeks isn't playing well enough I don't know what to tell you. If I told you before the start of the year that the Bills offense was going to score 4 TDs a game what would you have anticipated the record being? The QB did not play particularly well yesterday but he was not the reason for the outcome.

    Here you are discussing the situation...which is great. Unfortunately your earlier post was accusing all those who wanted to discuss TT's perceived flaws as being butthurt EJ fans (sic).

  5. Read the post above this one

    You obviously missed the point. Sure, there are some here that are madly in love with EJ and that drives their particular narative....but there are many like myself who would like the opportunity to discuss the relative merits/weaknesses of our starting QB without posts like your earlier one inferring that we are all rabid irrational EJ lovers.

  6. Another good post, Bill. I like #7. That sure wasn't a Jim Schwartz defense out there. They gave Brad way too much time to scan his reads. And that's with some rookie O linemen in from of him!

    ....

     

    Actually the D from the first Pats game last season(under Schwartz) was pretty similar to yesterday's performance.

    Brady 27-37-361-4-0, 2 sacks for 15

    3rd down percentage was actually a lot better with the Rex D against Pats.

     

    (Note: I am in no way defending the bad play of Rex's D this week....merely pointing out that the Schwartz D was comparable.)

  7. Tyrods not seeing over the middle from the pocket. And not just passing lanes but rushing lanes too. He's better out of the pocket because he doesn't have to try and look past his blockers.

    I have been getting a strong feeling of deja vu regarding TT. I think he is seeing the field fine...but is suffering from EJitis. It seemed like every time he dropped back to pass, he would look, decide not to throw, and then would either dump it short or the pocket would collapse. He really needs to just trust what he sees(and his talented WRs) and throw the ball downfield IMO.

  8.  

    Fact:

     

    Rex past 4 years against the Pats**(**): 1-7

    Bills past 4 years against the Pats**(**): 2-8

    2 wins and 8 loses....in 4 years? That's an interesting fact.

     

    Whenever I see a cherry picked time cutoff I assume adding just one more year will likely change the statistics dramatically.

     

    Lets have a look at 5 years:

    Rex past 5 years against the Pats: 3-8

    Bills past 5 years against the Pats: 2-8

  9. I think Colts fans have the wrong villain. It's not Pagano, it's Grigson and Irsay. I usually don't pay attention to Stephen A. Smith but he made an excellent point this morning. That the Colts are wasting Luck by not building around him. They act like they are all set with their franchise QB and don't have to add anything like a run game or defense to win. (Oddly similar to what I've read here. "They have Luck. They're set!")

    Similarly to finding a Franchise QB, one cannot simply go out and add a run game or good defense.

  10. Age-wise, that's a salient point.

    I do think that Mario (a) has less wear and tear on him, and (b) is physically more likely to hold up over time. I also think he's the tougher player to replace. Lastly, a new contract for Mario may pay out more cash up front, but it also pushes his cap hit down the road further and more effectively than a restructuring would IMO.

    Hehe...he's undoubtedly the tougher player to replace.

     

    I'm hopeful that both men will play at probowl levels till at least 2017(along with Dareus and Hughes)....that would truly be fantastic.

  11. I'm not sure either will be good in 2018 but they are not comparable as athletes so being 1-2 years older and a lesser talent is significant.

     

    Yeah, I personally would be wary about extending Mario unless we really need the cap relief. One just doesn't know however when players will hit the wall. Kyle might be making probowls at the age of 35 while Mario might lose a step at 31....or vice versa.

  12. Right...I was fully ignoring a restructure for Clay and a new contract for Mario (bonus cap space as far as I'm concerned).

     

    I also was taking for granted that Gilmore's contract won't change his cap hit (he's probably in the $10M/year range any way you slice it).

     

    I'm planning that Glenn will get $10M/year (he better given that Costanzo and Solder both got that much), and I expect Bradham will be $5M/year. I don't know what the cap hits will be like for those deals, but I think space will be at a premium.

    Yeah, 1st year cap hits can be kept low if one wants to do it that way.

     

    Regarding your Mario extension/restructure point....and relating it to your comment upthread about Kyle Williams age...

    Kyle is only 1.5 years older than Mario. Kyle becomes a FA in 2018...Mario in 2019....6 months differnce in age when hitting FA. It seems odd that you would think to cut Kyle before that time....yet extend Mario past that time.

  13. It's worth remembering that those figures don't account for the $11M rollover, and also that an additional $22M in cap space is probably coming with the (likely) release of:

     

    Kyle Williams

    Eric Wood

    Leodis McKelvin

    Manny Lawson

    Percy Harvin

     

    That doesn't account for cap impacts from new deals for Glenn, Gilmore, Bradham, and very likely Mario Williams and Corbin Bryant as well. It'll be complicated, but it's not a terrible cap situation.

    According to Spotrac.....rounding numbers to nearest $0.5M....

     

    We have $7.5M left for rollover.

    We are $4.5M over a projected $150M cap for next year(I expect it will be $3-8M higher).

    Harvin is stated as a 1 year deal, though they list his full cap hit....will be $8M savings if he is let go.

    Clay's restructure will save $7.5M.

     

    That means...on the assumed $150M 2016 cap we will have $18.5M in cap space(plus the extra guessed $3-8M of cap increase).

    That should be easily enough to re-sign Glenn and Bradham(Gilmore will already be earning $11M+ in 2016). I would be astounded if we cut Kyle Williams as we have just given him a pay rise....unless his play drops dramatically. It seems to me that the plan is to keep our 4 star DLmen as a unit through 2017.

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