Lothar
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Posts posted by Lothar
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just a suggestion
I'm just playin' ... don't take me too literally. There are no bad suggestions, just people who make too many of 'em.
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With the bills wheeling and dealing this will be a young rebuilding year. With some other guys out there, this is the opportunity for the Bills to get on the Free Agency Board. With the majority of the Linebacking core gone Lavar Arrington could be a nice fit in there at linebacker resulting in one less need for the draft. Then you go into the draft and take Paul Posluszny with the 12th pick. There you go Posluszny, Arrington, Ellison pretty good linebacking core. Heck even JoePa might come and coach the team.
Oh yeah, Lavar would be great!
And by great I mean "gawd no!"
I'd rather have a recovering Spikes than Arrington ... worlds of talent, unable to play within a scheme, and costing at least as much as all our prospective draft picks put together. Yah that should work.
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I hate to be a stickler about terminology, but if Spikes was 80% of his former self, he'd maybe qualify for a moderately decent high school team. If you lose more anything more than 5% of your ability in the NFL (speed/strength/agility/leaping ability), it usually means that you're going to end up on the street.
And if you were the half the person I thought you were before your response, I'd be angry ... or at least pi$$ed ... possibly even perturbed.
Jeez, look what you made me do for my 500th post - hope you're happy. I'll have you know I was planning a diatribe worthy of Pyrite Gal but noooooo, someone's got to be a total ^&%$ - sheesh.
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Pro Football Weekly Interview with Jaworski
I respect Ron Jaworski and awful lot. He's really the only analyst who I think calls it straight and ignores the hype. However, he thinks the Bills are the biggest loser in FA. Frankly, I can't disagree. I don't have any problem with the reasons behind why we lost or got rid of the players we did, however I don't see how they are being replaced. We can't do it all in the draft, and we don't have the players on our roster that can immediately step up and get it done. There's no LB on our roster that makes up for our two LB losses. One DT doesn't equal two LB losses, especially in a rotational system.
I think the Bills are headed in the right direction, but I was hoping they would make a run for the playoffs this year, and I just don't see it with all the losses without a net gain.
Todd, I hate to say it but I agree with him as well. If you asked most NFL scouts who were the 10 most talented players we had on our team last year, I'd reckon most people would include Fletcher, Clements in that group. Spikes, if he has recovered to even 80% of his 2004 talent, would probably also be in that group. McGahee, even with his problems, would fit there as well. I don't blame Marv for doing what he's doing - but make no mistake, this is a rebuilding year and we should not expect to be any more than a .500 team.
My primary beef with the Bills front office is what we paid Walker and what we paid Kelsay - this resembles the Peerless signing last year - not bad moves per se, just way more than market value for their skill level - and these signings limit what we can pay potential game changers like Evans and (possibly) Losman. What I'm surprised at is the overwhelming number of knowledgeable fans on this board who have a hard time admitting that we will probably be worse before we get better based on our moves this offseason. Who knows, maybe we'll strike lightning in a bottle and Lynch (or Peterson or whoever in this weak RB class) becomes a capable performer instantly - or better yet, Willis or Poz is an impact starter that vastly improves our run D - or Youboty or Hall becomes a solid corner in short order. Overall, I expect our offense to improve a bit if we get Lynch or Turner but I don't see our defense looking better no matter who we draft. I'm a diehard fan but it's hard to deny we've lost an awful lot of leadership and talent over the last couple months.
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What's missing from your analysis. The FA moves are not done and the draft hasn't happened yet. We have two 3rd round picks and may add another day 1 pick with the Spikes move. To assess where we are "right now than we were going into the offseason" is senseless and pointless. The offseason has bardly begun. We'vew done most of the purging, we are in the process of reloading. Judge the job Marv does AFTER he does the job.
There is nothing wrong with disagreeing with one, of all, of the Bills moves. But to judge the process before the process is anywhere near complete (and I mean this offseason;s process...not the entire rebuilding process) is just not fair.
The question is are you prepared to give Marv and his team the benefit of the doubt and delay judgement until the roster is named before the season starts?
Has Marv improved the team's W-L record in his short tenure?
Does it seem as if the attitude of the organization has improved since Marv has taken over?
Does Marv's past performance with the Bills give you some confidence that he has a plan and knows how to implement it?
I think the answer to all these questions is "Yes" and I'm willing to wait for the offseason to play out before I judge Marv's moves. Of course, you may have a different answer to those questions.
Fair enough.
More importantly though, that doesn't explain your perpetually changing icon ... I know I check in to the Wall just to see the latest creative knockoff.
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Hey lips - I think you're getting beaten up a little unfairly here. There's nothing wrong with expressing doubts about the moves we've made this offseason. Sometimes, the herd mentality around here - whether good or bad - just can't stop. Often times it's scarily deserved (like ICE's implosion) but sometimes people simply have trouble with negative opinions. I have my own issues with what's going on at 1 Bills Drive but let's look at the offseason as a whole (with apologies to Pyrite Gal for the length of this post):
1. McGahee - I know we all hate him and his anti-Buffalo stance but I just happened to re-watch several of our early games this season and Willis was a horse - remember he was leading the league in rushing a quarter way thru the season. He also made some spectacular blitz pickups (check out the Miami game when he stuffed 2 rushers - including Gandy's man) and allowed JP to pick up a key 1st down. All that said, he was clearly not the same back after the 1st month of the season - not sure if it was bad blocking, bad attitude or injuries but things weren't the same. Unfortunately, this move had to be made - and based on recent trades, we probably got all we could. I do think he can become a very good back in Baltimore - if he's happier and motivated.
2. Clements - I'm coming around to Marv's side on this one. I thought we should have tried to lock him up last offseason but he came off an awful year and I'm sure most of the front office had doubts. I also think that when Fewell made adjustments midseason to keep Nate on the best wideout, we suddenly became a decent defense - and that's no accident. However, the numbers he received from the Niners are preposterous, even by today's standards, and it sounds like a good cover 2 (which we don't yet have) shouldn't rely on lockdown corners.
3. Dockery - big signing (literally and financially) - I loved this move even if it seems the dollars are a bit high. Subsequent signings of Steinbach and Davis indicate it's the going rate for quality guards in the new market. Left guard has been a position of need for years and DD seems a good fit.
4. Walker - I'm scratching my head on this one. I assume McNally and Fairchild really think that ALL of his problems in Oakland came out of the blocking schemes Art Shell was implementing. Otherwise, 5 mil per year seems silly. In effect, is Pennington/Butler at RT that much worse than someone who absolutely WAS a turnstile last year in Oakland. Of all Marv's moves, this is the one I struggle with. Based on comments from pundits and scouts, people expected Walker to sign with someone for a fraction of what he did (I actually saw one scout comment that he expected LW to sign for not much more than the vet minimum.)
5. Whittle - good depth pickup, reasonable contract.
6. Spikes - salary dump, bad apple purge, injury question - I don't know about this one either. If folks are convinced that he is worse than anyone else left on the FA scrap pile, maybe it makes sense to trade him. However, Julian Peterson's return to Pro Bowl success 2 years removed from an achilles injury should be a testament to keep Takeo. Otherwise, even if we draft Willis or Poz, having Spikes' leadership is not something to easily ignore.
7. Kelsay - awful lot of money for "less than Denney" numbers but he's young and supposedly getting better.
What were our weaknesses going into the offseason?
1. OG
2. Maybe DT, I know McCargo's hurt but we're still lacking a run stuffer (no surprise that Indy ended up trading for one in midseason)
3. CB - expecting to lose Clements
4. Red-zone wideout
5. MLB - thinking we could lose Fletcher
Where are we now?
1. LB - 2/3 of our starters are gone - I like Ellison a lot but it's a big difference between fill-in and starter
2. RB - after watching tape of early season games, I think people underestimate how much Willis did behind a crappy line. But I do think RB by committee with a draft pick and an experienced Thomas as insurance will get us 80% of the way there.
3. DT - I liked the McCargo pick but he needs to show some massive improvement in year 2 plus it still doesn't give us a big body. I really would have liked to pick up a 2nd tier FA or even trade for someone - this is not something we'll quick fix in the draft like RB.
4. CB - I'm actually ok with Yobouty, assuming our run defense gets fixed. If it doesn't, Clements' departure will stick out like a sore thumb.
5. Red zone wideout - too bad we lost Nance to Minnesota.
All in all, given what we lost and gained - and if we take emotion out of it - I think we're worse right now than we were going into the offseason. If Marv's plan is to remake the team with his own type of players, I guess I can't begrudge him another year till we get more playmakers. But if we get worse (or even don't improve) at stopping the run - and I know "the offense will be better at controlling the ball" argument MAY come into play, this whole board will be singing a different tune by mid-season.
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The only other option for us would be to just draft one in the first 3 rds.
While Turner is an interesting option, I'm of the belief that Fairchild wants a complete back. In that case, Lynch (maybe due to these back injury rumors - which sounds kinda fishy to me) or even Leonard may become viable options in the 2nd. The reason I invoke Leonard's name is that, though he's no Thurman, his versatility would be a good fit for this team - especially since next year's class will have better true HBs.
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Some interesting comments prior to McGahee trade + his take on available backs ... nothing earth-shaking here except his high praise for Brian Leonard, also said that Lynch is way better than Arrington.
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Oh I agree that it's not a good measure of success, but the fact that the guy wanted to quit (if true) is yet another sign that he lacks motivation. I watched every single Michigan game this year - Branch never took over a game that I saw. He has Richard Seymour-like natural ability, but no heart. I'm telling you, he'll be a bust.
I've heard he was a "dominant tackle" comments from Michigan alum as well though he didn't stand out in the two games I saw. I'm assuming our scouts will ferret out the whole story. The fact that he seems to have been out of shape at his pro day and comments like yours does give one pause. To be fair, though, even Bruce Smith took a year or 2 to get himself in shape - sometimes the motivation of having a job can do wonders.
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http://www.profootballtalk.com/rumormill.htm
POSTED 12:14 p.m. EDT; UPDATED 12:26 p.m. EDT, March 17, 2007
KRUMRIE BEATS UP BRANCH
Word trickling out of the Michigan Pro Day is that Chiefs defensive line coach Tim Krumrie roughed up defensive tackle Alan Branch in one of Krumrie's one-on-one slap fights.
Per a league source, Branch looked winded before he even got to the patented Krumrie spanking machine. At one point during his session with Krumrie, Branch appeared to be ready to quit.
Gil Brandt of NFL.com corroborates this in his Pro Day updates: "Tim Krumrie worked Branch hard during the position drills, and the scouts there said Branch did not look like he was in very good shape."
Krumrie, better known to most fans as the guy who got Theismanned during Super Bowl XXIII, is a legend in league circles for the no-pads hand-fighting test, to which he subjects many of the linemen he is scouting.
"It's Gladiator stuff," said one league source.
For Branch, who is projected by many as a top-ten pick, the end result apparently was thumbs down.
If this is true, it's yet another sign that Branch is the Mike Williams of defensive linemen - great natural ability, no heart. He'll be there at 12 when the Bills pick, and I hope to God they don't take him.
This was dicussed a few days back - with the end result being that the whole wrestlemania slapfight is not really a good indicator of success. As you may remember, the guy who performed the best at this was our own Timmy Anderson ... it may test endurance but I don't think it factors key features like explosion and foot speed. Branch may not be in the best shape but if he has the other characteristics, he may yet be worth a shot at number 12.
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http://www.newerascouting.com/index.php?c=33&a=103
Here is their disclaimer:
And here are the players the Bills have allegedly shown interest in:
One caveat in all this is - and correct me if I'm wrong here - I don't think the Bills even talked to Whitner at the combines or later - they knew what kind of talent he was. I believe that during the Donahoe era, we were much more likely to tip our hand with comments but I just don't think we can read all that much into our first round selection process from the meet and greets. However, some of the potential later picks are probably being looked at in this manner so it does bear watching.
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One other aspect that I'd like to add is that it wouldn't surprise me if San Diego were to draft RB Michael Bush with their 1st rd pick (#30).
now come on - are you really Tipster? You used to provide interesting insight on a variety of Bills issues. Some of the stuff you're spouting now reminds me of the way Ice used to throw up all over this board.
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to me this is an indictment of management ... you know the cap is going to jump big in a year - why not sign your top players with guaranteed contracts (most of the money deferred to this year and later) and not have to deal with paying the Langston Walkers of the world outrageous money.
Wouldn't a little foresight have come in handy? And I'm not talking just about the Bills ... though we left 20 million on the table by the end of the year. Arrgggh - I'm no financial whiz but isn't this just basic money management 101?
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I must be the only one, but I honestly thought Ryan Denney was better last year. He got sacks, but more importantly forced so many crucial turnovers and made crucial plays at the right time. I love that we have Kelsay back, but I guess I'm just shocked at what it took. I guess this means he is the clear cut starter? i dont know.
I'm with you. If we are so cash strapped, why spend such a chunk of money on a part-time DE who was 2nd best at his position on the Bills mediocre D. I'll give this admin the benefit of the doubt but jeez - this is kinda like the Price signing last year. I can think of about 40 DEs better than Kelsay and 2 play on our team.
The most troubling thing to me is we knew the cap was going up by 25+ mil after the new TV contract - why the hell didn't we take advantage of that fact and sign our best young players to long term deals then - I'm glad we got Peters done but we left a stack of money on the table that should've been used to lock up Evans and others before all the inflated salaries kicked in starting this year
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Everett has played one season since blowing out his knee......not everything is about today. I do think both Fletcher and Spikes will be gone, and Ellison will move to the middle
whaaa?
Ellison would be the smallest middle linebacker in the pros + practically all Division 1A schools + some women's pro leagues and even a couple jacked-up mighty mite teams.
I think rather that Spikes or Crowell would be moved into the middle if we didn't get an adequate replacement in free agency.
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Unlike last week when the talk was about how good we were after beating Miami, I like our chances this week. I wanted to post before the Jets game but I really thought we were getting set up for a letdown. I was worried about Pennington's short passing game, the ludicrous accolades the team got for beating an overrated Miami and the general over-optimism, not just from the fans but the players. And while I think Minny is a better team than the Jets, I just think the Bills will be better prepared for what's coming.
To be honest, I was pleasantly surprised at how well the team played overall, but I didn't like our defense against the short passing game. I'm guessing Fewell will be more aggressive against a similar Minnesota offensive scheme. I can't see a scenario where the game won't be within 10 points either way and while Johnson has an edge in end-of-game heroics, JP may as well start this week in winning late. And I agree with several people on this board - that we'll know JP has "arrived" when he leads a 4th quarter drive to tie or win the game.
Why not JP? Why not now?
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if that title isn't the ultimate "LAMP" post ...
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I'm not saying getting 3 yds is bad. And if it was a QB sneak where the ball was hiked to Chad and he ran (more like a QB draw), then that wouldn't even be an issue. But from what I saw (and granted I could have seen it wrong), it was a short yardage QB sneak. Ya know with where the QB just dives into the center/gap and gets the yard needed for first down.
The reason that was horrible, as I saw it, was the play is designed to get a yard or 2; and in no way will ever gain more than a few yards. Why not call a conventional run or something? Even if its designed to only get a few yards, the running back might break it and get much more.
I think that call is an audible that every team has - if the QB sees something with the middle wide open he can just take the snap and run. I even remember Bledslow doing that once or twice with the Bills. I think the idea is that you can get more than just a couple yards on the play but it doesn't always work that way.
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The Hill people live just 3 miles from Jax - have to admit I haven't been there since I got Sunday ticket. On a side note, I was walking into my workplace with my Bills sweatshirt on and someone stopped me and mentioned he lived out of state but was a member of PUBS - now that's commitment.
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You said - and I quote -
"but my father said that WGR 550 Howard Simon show was saying that they believe Willis McGahee was only joking about teh 4th down play being 3rd down "
I just linked you a 2-day old article with direct quotes from Spikes' interview - and it's something discussed ad nauseum around here the last 2 days. I'm not trying to be an a$$ - I was simply teasing that you missed the half dozen threads talking about it.
If the issue was Howard Simon's opinion - my apologies, I misunderstood - not that I give a damn what Howard thinks.
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I was somewhat surprised at training camp a year ago that Haggan and Stamer survived the cuts - primarily due to their special teams prowess. I've always felt - and heard Marv quote something similar - that your backups better be pushing your starters or else be great special teamers. I think Stamer and Haggan are good special teamers - the only backup Bill I would consider close to great would be Sam Aiken - I've seen him make game changing tackles and he is also a good blocker on returns.
My point is that assuming the guys behind Takeo and Fletcher rarely got to see the field in the regular season, having special team talents at the expense of linebacking ability was a luxury we lived with at those positions. Given our current starters' age and (at least in Spikes' case) injuries, however, it's rather sad that a 6th round rookie is markedly better than our veteran options. In fact, I'm a little surprised that Ezekial - who had at least shown glimpses of talent the last 2 preseasons - was let go in favor of the incumbents.
Whether or not Fletcher stays here beyond next season, I'm pretty sure we'll spend draft picks or sign free agents to be more secure at that position. Now that we're fast(er) and speed(ier) on the lines, I imagine a top notch backer - along with the obligatory OL and DL prospects - moves near the top of our "need" list.
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welcome back - the internets are lovely this time of year
2 days ago ...
How About Lavar
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
actually being 2 years removed from this injury is a big difference - see Julian Peterson