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DapperCam

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Posts posted by DapperCam

  1. So assume the Bills lose vs the Pats tomorrow and then win the final 2 games...

     

    This puts the Bills at 10-7

     

    Teams that will make the playoffs no matter what practically speaking: KC, Tenn, NE (division pretty much wrapped with win tomorrow)

     

    That leaves the following contending for 4 playoff spots :

    IND (LV, @JAX)

    BUF (@NE, ATL, NYJ)
    CIN (BAL, KC, @CLE)
    LAC (@HOU, DEN, @LV)

    BAL (@CIN, LAR, PIT)
    PIT (@KC, CLE, @BAL) 

    (I left out 7-7 teams LV, DEN, and MIA although they could possibly win out and have a chance)

    I'm going to assume Indy doesn't lose out and Pitt doesn't win out. That leaves 3 playoff spots for: BUF, CIN, LAC, BAL.

    Here are some scenarios:
    - If any of CIN, LAC, or BAL go 1-2 or worse, we're in.
    - If we end up in a 3-way tie with CIN and LAC (with BAL winning AFC North), we're out
    - If we end up in a 3-way tie with BAL and LAC (with CIN winning AFC North)
        - If the BAL loss is to LAR, we're out
        - If the BAL loss is to PIT or CIN, we have the same conference record and it drops to common opponents
            - If BAL loss is to PIT, we're in
            - If BAL loss is to CIN, it comes down to strength of victory which depends on a million things
     

    CIN and BAL play each other, so our big hope will be that the losing team in that match up loses again. For CIN our best chance would be KC. BAL will have 2 more tough matchups in LAR and PIT. I personally think we should root for CIN this weekend, because BAL has a tougher remaining 2 games and are more likely to drop another one IMO. This all also applies if the Bills win vs NE, but drop the final game vs NYJ (because that would be pretty Billsy).

    So, depending on how things break we could be going into the final game of the season praying CLE or PIT win (or I guess JAX if IND drops their game next week).

  2. 6 minutes ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    Really?  Here's the stats so far:

     

    Allen

    20+ yard completions = 47

    40+ yard completions = 8

     

    Murray

    20+ yard completions = 42

    40+ yard completions = 7

     

     

    Didn't Murray miss a bunch of games? He probably is better on a per game basis. FWIW I think Allen's deep ball has been fine.

  3. 5 minutes ago, Negan said:

    And he said if Sanders doesn't have a big game Bills lose.  Guess he forgot Allen is the biggest chess piece.

    That didn't even make sense. I can see a lot of paths to victory that don't include Sanders having a big game. For example, what if Knox and Diggs have big games? Or Singletary? Or Josh Allen rushing the ball? Sanders might not even play much.

    Irvin is a clown

  4. Just now, Billznut said:

    The Colts aren’t catching the Titans after last night. Titans up by 1.5 games plus the head to head tie breaker. Colts will be a wild card if they get in. Need them to lose today to hurt their chances. 

    I don't think they will lose to the Jags or Raiders, but you never know! They pretty much need 2 losses to miss at this point.

     

    Maybe they will lose to those teams if they have no oline...(sounds familiar, lol)

    • Agree 1
  5. 6 hours ago, No Place To Hyde said:

    The false bravado on this thread is almost Vrabel-like.

     

    Yup...not good. 10 wins and had been missing their top 3 playmakers for over a month. Beat playoff caliber teams. Won close ones. And oh by the way...their biggest playmaker (who they were running the risk of over using and burning out before the playoffs) should be back soon...healthy and fully rested. Their defense was though to be amoung the worst in the league in the preseason but plays solid. It's a tough football team led by a guy who...while I can't stand him personally....coaches aggressively and is not afraid to take chances. 

     

    There is really no reason to discredit another team to boost your own. As much as I dislike that team they have the toughness McD dreams of and have over come a lot this year. Are they beatable? Absolutely. Every team is this year. But give them some credit. It will mean that much more when/if we beat them next month.

    Titans are 2-3 in their last 5, so it isn’t like they are lighting the world on fire.

     

    A lot of their wins have involved some luck as well. An OT win against the Colts, won on the last play of the game against the Bills, basically won on the last play of the game against the 49ers last night. 
     

    They don’t pass the eye test, and will be one and done in the playoffs in my opinion. Henry is a big wildcard in all this, but I don’t think you can pin your hopes on a RB coming back from missing months and carrying your offense.

     

    Baltimore is another team like that. Horseshoe up their butt all year.

    • Like (+1) 2
  6. 5 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:

     

    He probably didn't think any QB could throw that well in such weather.  He knows his QB isn't Josh Allen.   His plan was to run as long as he had a lead (which turned out to be the entire game) and let the Bills spin their wheels trying to pass their way back (50% completion for only 145 yards, only 3 points after the 1st Q).

     

    Big armed QB in a passing game plan in that weather was a poor decision.  McD should not have trusted Josh to pass them to victory.  

    If anything he should have trusted Josh to pass more. He was the only effective thing about the offense all game.

  7. 5 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said:

    KC as of now, has no room for error in pursuit of the 1 seed.  It's entirely possible they will have it wrapped up before week 18 in which case they'd rest guys and maybe take the L VS Denver, but otherwise KC will be motivated to win.


    It’s a matter of desperation. KC will make the playoffs no matter what. The other teams they play need to win out or they are done.

     

    Not saying there will definitely be upsets, but it gives a small opening.

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