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Billl

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Posts posted by Billl

  1. 3 hours ago, FireChans said:

    We lived the drought and pre-drought.

     

    The smart teams invest a lot more than the Bills do in the WR position, this is a fact.

     

    The Bills have not been forward-thinking in regards to the WR position, this is a fact.

     

    The Bills have their value of drafting RB’s completely contrary to the market value, this is a fact. 

     

    Josh Allen spent his last playoff game throwing balls to Trent Sherfield, which is not good, this is a fact. 
     

    There are obvious flaws here. We’d all be better off admitting it.

    When Beane was building the roster 6 years ago, he had a very clear plan that he stuck to religiously.  Now, there’s a glaring lack of intentionality in seemingly everything he does.  He clearly didn’t intend to trade Diggs.  His hand was forced.  Then when it was time to replace him in the draft, he traded back twice.  

     

    Even if Coleman turns out to be a superstar, it was a bad move for Beane to let three more teams take WRs before Buffalo drafted him.  BB just seems a bit lost at the moment.  It’s easy to say in hindsight that he’s trying to get bigger and stronger on offense and that’s why they drafted Coleman, but that’s nothing more than shooting an arrow and then painting a bullseye around it.  SF could have just as easily drafted him.  Then if Buffalo took McConkey or Pearsall, the same people would be saying that Beane is clearly trying to do (insert whatever narrative would have applied to the player he picked instead of Coleman).

    • Haha (+1) 1
  2. 8 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

    rounding has nothing to do w it...if you walk through 5.25 parking spaces you are in the 6th space

    You’re not looking at this correctly.  His average cap hit over that stretch is 5.25, but that makes him easily one of the top 5 cap hits overall during that period.  It’s not like whomever has the highest overall hit is going to be the top hit every season, thus averaging 1.  If a player had the highest cap hit in the league 3 times and the second highest hit once over a 4year period, he’d average 1.25, but he’d still have the highest overall hit.

  3. 2 hours ago, eball said:

     

    Weaker than Baltimore and Detroit?  Come on.  St. Brown is a slot receiver.  Baltimore’s offense is always shut down in the playoffs.

     

    KC got better with Worthy but who knows when Kelce starts slipping (and Rice is a ?).

     

    It’s not an uphill battle at all.  As many have noted, Buffalo’s problem in the playoffs hasn’t been offense — it’s stopping Mahomes and Burrow.

     

    Every team on that list has at least 2 pass catchers better than anything Buffalo has.  

  4. 19 hours ago, SoCal Deek said:

    At the end it got to the point where if Gabe caught the ball anywhere BUT at the sideline I’d be screaming for him to “go down”! He seemed desperate to stop, turn inside, and then put the ball on the ground when defenders surrounded him. He never learned. 

    What do you base this on? Davis has 3 career fumbles and he recovered one himself. 

  5. 43 minutes ago, NewEra said:

    Put your money where your mouth is.  I’ll bet you up to $500 that mckonkey plays a higher percent of snaps from the slot than Coleman does. 

    Who said anything about McConkey?  Where he plays has nothing to do with Coleman.  Keon is better suited as a big slot WR than he is an X.  He’s going to have to play primarily outside in Buffalo due to the lack of other options, but it’s not like Franklin would only have been an option in the 3rd if Roman Wilson had been drafted instead of Coleman.

     

    The thread was about who you would have taken at each spot.  I would have gone with Johnny Newton in the first.  He’s an impact DT who would start day 1.  Then I’d have gone with Wilson in the second as a pure slot WR with Franklin in the third as a true X.  Franklin is a bit of a boom or bust guy who is honestly more likely to bust than boom.  Hell, Newton is boom or bust as well.  I just think that it’s time for Beane to take a few swings at stars.

     

    Everyone here loves to criticize McDermott for not winning the big one, but this team is sorely lacking in true difference makers.  It’s the GM’s job to find superstars, and it’s the coach’s job to coach up and scheme around the JAGs so that the superstars can do their thing.  Beane swung for the fences with his first ever draft pick and hit it out of the park, and he’s proceeded to play small ball ever since then.  

     

     

  6. On 4/28/2024 at 1:02 PM, NewEra said:

    Imagine if we took a slot WR before an X?  But knowing that Franklin was available with our 3rd pick allows you to add yet another slot WR before the X.

    Not sure what this means.  It should probably read “imagine if we took an X after taking a slot WR”.  Coleman is more of a slot than an X.  I just took a different slot WR and added an X later in the draft.

  7. There’s no way to evaluate the outcome of the trade at this point because we don’t know what the players will turn out to be.  You can, however, evaluate the methodology used to get to this point.  The Chiefs gave up the draft value equivalent of a late 4th rounder to move up while the Bills gained that and a tiny bit more to move back ultimately to 32.  

     

    It’s impossible to know for sure if Worthy would have been taken before the Chiefs were able to draft him, but we do know that he was the first WR taken in a run on WRs that saw 6 taken in the next 10 picks.  Given that knowledge in hindsight, it was a smart move by Kansas City in terms of ensuring they got the one they wanted.  

     

    Conversely, the Bills could have taken the 5th WR off the board at 28.  Instead, they traded back to 33.  3 WRs were taken in that 5 pick window, and they wound up taking the 8th WR.

     

    Ultimately, it will depend on the players taken, but I understand why people would have strong opinions on how each team handled it.

  8. 26 minutes ago, Putin said:

    Let’s see who will be more productive this year Shakir or Diggs , I can live without 3 receptions for 15 yards Diggs had in the biggest game of the year 

    Vegas has the O/U on yards for Diggs at 1050.  There’s no line for Shakir.  Do you think he exceeds that total?

  9. 6 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

    Super. 

     

    Again, what do their medicals (which he does not have access to) look like? What about their interviews with teams? How deep does he dip into each players background and interview past teammates? 

     

    A draft analyst looks at film and gives his perspective based off that (which is subjective). 

     

    We are in the 150s. If his opinion was shared by the teams those players wouldn't have gotten passed over. Obviously, for whatever reason 32 NFL GMs disagree.

    Then why in the world didn’t Beane trade all of this 5th round picks to move up?  I guess I don’t understand your position.  Do you really think there are no players left who will make NFL rosters or have solid careers?

  10. 2 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

    Cool. What team is Brugler working for?

     

    As we all should know by now media and "experts" draft boards are very different than actual teams draft boards. Bet Brugler had T'Vondre Sweat and AD Mitchell taking up spots on his board as well. I can say with confidence that they (along with many other players) were off of team boards like every year. When experts say they have "150" draftable grades, it's not taking into account medicals, behavioral issues, scheme specific gradings. Many teams boards are much smaller 

    Brugler is one of the most respected draft analysts in the business.  If you don’t have his top overall Safety as a draftable player then you’re doing something wrong.  Brenden Rice is still on the board, and that’s his 103rd overall player.  Gabriel Murphy is his 127th overall, and he’s still available.  

  11. 1 hour ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

    I'm starting to think if he makes moves, it's for 2025 picks and sliding down or out of the round. Very rapidly hitting that threshold where their board is likely running thin on draftable grades 

    Jaden Hicks was Brugler’s #1 Safety, 39th best player overall, and he went 133rd.  There’s plenty of draftable players still out there.

  12. Was looking at the 2013 draft and noticed something interesting (to me, anyway).

    The Bills drafted:

    EJ Manuel

    Robert Woods

    Kiko Alsonso

    Marquise Goodwin

    Duke Williams

    Jonathan Meeks

    Dustin Hopkins

    Chris Gragg

     

    The following players were drafted by teams other than the BIlls:

    Star Lotulelei

    Matt Barkley

    AJ Klein

    Micah Hyde

    David Quessenberry

    Latavious Murray

    Jordan Poyer

    Sam Martin

     

    That second set of players made a much larger impact on the Bills than the first.  (And that’s not even counting honorary Bill, Zack Ertz.)

     

     

     

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