Dr.Sack
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Posts posted by Dr.Sack
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You can't miss FGs in the playoffs. Bills were lucky to survive 2 misses. We need Bass to become the man.
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1 minute ago, UKBillFan said:
Opposite Tucker, not very confident. Opposite Fairbairn, he might have a chance.
Texans kicker is a liability. But so to is Ravens OL.
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If Tyler Bass is your kicker in a game like this, how confident are you?
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Only thing that concerns me is what if Martin needs to run out for a FG hold as time is expiring and we don’t have the ability to stop the clock?
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I want home games so go Texans. If it’s the Ravens so be it. Texans are heavy underdogs and probably will give the Ravens a game.
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10 minutes ago, newcam2012 said:
It doesn't matter at all. Why would you go here when you could just look at what happened when the two teams played each other. It was literally a play or two that made the difference. They were down Pacheco and I believe Nick Bolton. If memory serves me right they were pretty banged up.
The they didn't play anyone theory is right out the window here.
Both these teams are elite with QBs that are amazing. Both coaches will have their teams ready to play.
The real advantage for the Bills is the home field. It's a huge difference than playing in Arrowhead.
I give the Bills the slightest of edge to win.
One of greatest advantages in this game is homefield.
There are other advantages to like, the fact the Bills at home average 29.7 points per game and give up 15.
The Chiefs on the road score 20.7 and give up 17.7.
The Chiefs “greatest” defense of all-time has created 7 turnovers in 9 road/neutral site games. Wow 7!
The Bills “injury” ravaged poverty defense has generated 15 turnovers.
Speaking of greatest defense, the Bills have given up 9 3rd quarter points all season at home.
The Chiefs Tackles are not good.
The Bills Tackles are good.
Mahomes completion % drops 7% in Super Bowl’s vs Arrowhead.
Travis Kelce is 34 and probably is strongly considering retiring.
Nick Bolton’s wrist is badly injured.
Sneed was banged up vs Miami.
Rashee Rice was banged up too.
Mahomes hasn’t looked comfortable all year.
Pacheco has been banged up recently.
Chris Jones is likely gone.
Give Kansas City a dose of the 12th Man and an aggressive physically dominant performance and they will collapse. Bills win, but not by the slightest of margins.
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2 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said:
He's not playing, he's still limping. Give him another week.
Expect the Bills to use a lot of their Safeties / Corners as LBs this week. Historically teams that commit 6-8 men to coverage do well vs the Chiefs, including the masterclass performed by the Bengals the past 2 AFC Championships. 3-2-6, 3-1-7 exotic looks depending on personnel. The idea is speed is more important to coverage. To that end some guys who might fill positions are Lewis, Neal, and Hamlin. While a not ideal replacement for Bernard, there likely will be scenarios where Klein & Dodson come off and lighter personnel is used.
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Brady doesn’t want the job. He will have way more clout in 4 weeks.
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1 minute ago, njbuff said:
KC will not be overwhelmed.They have been in plenty of hostile environments before. It hasn’t been in the playoffs, but they’ve won two SB’s and have been to another.
The Rich Stadium environment will help the Bills more than it will overwhelm KC.
Good point.
Regarding the moment not being too big yes KC has been in bigger games in bigger moments. The Super Bowl is a corporate event and not very loud with the opposing teams fans comprising 30% of the stadium. In the Tampa Super Bowl only 24,000 fans were in the stands and that was 1st responders.
Regarding hostile environments they’ve never been in such a loud environment under win or go home pressure.
In 2023 KC has gone 7-2 on the road and the neutral site game in Germany vs Miami, losing at Green Bay 19-27, and Denver 9-24.
Those are the toughest stadiums and environments they’ve played in 2023. And not surprisingly they lost both games.
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Lamar has a ton of advantages including home field. Stroud has the advantage of no pressure. Not many expected the Texans to make the playoffs let alone win a game. Now Stroud has as many career playoff wins as the QB he is facing. The pressure is clearly on Lamar. If the Texans jump out to an early lead the Ravens could unravel.
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3 minutes ago, Airseven said:
Fun stats. But he’s got one AFC championship game appearance on his resume. As you say, he needs to win not just compile more rushing TDs.
What about passing TDs?
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What pit is complete without a Rancor?
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Bills 27
Chiefs 17
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17 hours ago, Maine-iac said:
If he's cut after 6/1 it spreads the cap hit out over 24 and 25 so we save 10 mil in 24. I imagine it will depend largely on who we intend to bring back or sign. I'd love to keep White around but given he's likely not the starter week one next season and possibly not even after he's fully recovered it's hard to justify 16 million for someone who has played 34 of the last 67 games. Maybe there's a restructure that makes everyone happy.
From Sportstrac it says post 6/1
2024 Dead Cap: $6,234,918
2025 Dead Cap: $4,134,918
2024 Cap Savings: $10,208,819
The way I see it, the decision is to eat $10m to save $22m or pay him $32m over the next two seasons.
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3 minutes ago, Maine-iac said:
Just saw the 4 year out. Everything makes more sense now.
10m dead cap, or pay him $16m. So the question is he worth $6m? I think there is a 50% chance that will retain him and target a mid-2024 return.
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This guy is from Kansas City. He can't change a tire. Soft as Charmin.
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Keys to the Game.
#1 Score. The Chiefs are 0-4 when they give up 21 or more. 2-2 when they give up 20, including 0-1 vs Bills.
#2 Turnovers. In their 6 losses KC has committed 13 TOs to 4 takeaways.
#3 Run. KC can be run on, teams that commit to the run & rush for 118 yards are 6-2 vs the Chiefs.
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Haack and Bass can’t lose us this game.
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They looked old when Tyreek burnt them in the 13 second game. But in retrospect that dude would have done that to any safety. They are savvy veterans and Poyer and Hyde will be 33 next year. That’s not incredibly old. I’d try to keep Hyde back for another season if possible.
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1 minute ago, LABILLBACKER said:
We don't have a dlineman fast enough to catch Mahomes. The spy would have to be Dorian. I'm concerned about our pass rush which wasn't exactly dominant against Rudolph.
Mahomes isn’t fast, what he does have is top-level change of direction speed. Look at his 3-cone drill. His ability to juke is next level. Sam Hubbard is no more the athlete that Floyd, Rousseau or Epenesa is. The key to containing Mahomes is not buying the pump fake, or juke, and not running at him full speed, rather setting a wide base and getting wide on the toes and diving and wrapping up one of his legs or waist.
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30 minutes ago, Brand J said:
Chiefs fans say the Raiders ran a 5-2-4 and beat up their OL all game. They don’t think Buffalo has the horses up front to replicate that success, namely one Maxx Crosby.
I like the 5-2-4 because it dictates to Mahomes he won’t have all day to throw the ball.
I still like a 3-2-6 Cincy Bengals alignment, using Epenesa/Rousseau/Floyd as the Mahomes spy. Rush 3 spy with most athletic DL.
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Bass sucks. Bring in a big leg kicker and pair him with Araiza for the next decade.
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We all were saying the same thing, until Fitzpatrick bounced off Allen.
Ravens vs Texans
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Either the Texans pass defense has dramatically improved since Cleveland, or Jackson and his WRs are not as good as advertised.