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Mojo44

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Posts posted by Mojo44

    Drafting Jameson Williams will make us unstoppable

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

     

    While the logic makes sense, its not Beanes style to look into a position as must draft at this spot, he is a strong believer in BPA on his board.  Now...that being said, people take BPA way to literal around here, its clearly not ever purely BPA, I mean we aren't taking a QB if that is who is BPA at our pick.  Needs are always baked into their grades on their board, and when they say BPA, its based on their board grades, not peoples mock drafts or anything.  

     

    But if Jameson is graded higher than what ever DB they have the highest grade on at that spot, I have no doubt he would take Jameson.  

     

    HOWEVER:  Beane has also said (what should be common knowledge, but again people take BPA way too literal) that if there are 2 players that are "closely" graded, then things like depth of that position in the draft can come into play too.  So if Jameson is the top guy on their board, but the CB had a similar grade, then the draft being very deep at WR could influence them to take the CB instead if they felt the fall off was greater in the next rounds at DB.  

    The last paragraph in this post is exactly how this process works. BPA versus need is not an either/or proposition.  It seems to me, and maybe I’m wrong, but many posters here seem to look at it as either/or.  If there is a CB available at 25 who is rated at the same level as the best available WR I could see them going with the CB. Free agency could change this. 

    • Agree 1

    Daboll wasn’t happy with McDermott?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    We have no idea. 

     

    If I were Schoen, and I wanted to be the GM and wanted to hire Brian Daboll, the LAST thing I would do would be to suggest to my new employers that maybe they could hire someone other than My Guy, and still recruit him as OC, so it doesn't seem likely to me.

     

    Personally, I think all these HC and HC candidates have big egos.  They may pat dogs on the head and help little old ladies cross the street when outside the facility, but inside it they are determined that What They Want to Do is Correct. 

     

    I think that McDermott probably generally tries to sit back and stay out of the offense and Let Daboll Cook, and to be "growth minded" and positive when he does weigh in, but I also expect that after the Jacksonville game, then after the Indy game, McDermott held a Come to Jesus meeting with Daboll about the state of the run game and it was blunt and ugly,  and neither of them were very happy with the other in the aftermath.

     

    But in fact, the run game improved and it helped us finish the season strong and get to the Division round, which helped Daboll land a HC job.

     

    So it's probably Yesterday's newspaper.

     

    Look at the actual tweets that are quoted.  McDonnell (the NYG pro personnel guy) is quoted as saying "he HEARD" that Daboll wasn't happy and might leave even if not HC.

     

    In other words, it's HEARSAY

    Hearsay is exactly what this is and nothing more. There isn’t one shred of “evidence”!

    Bills request to interview Tee Martin for OC Job

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted · Edited by Mojo44

    12 hours ago, ßookie_tech said:

    I saw Tee Martin in the season opener at the Carrier Dome in 98. 

     

    Sounds like he may have a bright football mind and thought of highly in that organization. I actually didn't even know he was coaching. 

    I was also at that  game. As I remember it, Syracuse with McNabb made a great comeback to take the lead. Then after a questionable PI call Tennessee kicked the winning field goal with a few seconds left.  Then, I believe Tennessee went on to win the national championship.

    • Like (+1) 1

    Divisional Round: Buffalo at KC Sunday at 6:30

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted · Edited by Mojo44

    15 minutes ago, wjag said:

    Of course I watched him.  It was John Madden's game seemingly every week.  I never said he doesn't belong in the HOF. I said we don't need to open EVERY broadcast with that reminder.  

    Fine if that’s what you really meant. Then why did you  quote all those statistics and his losses during his rookie year? When you compare him to, of all quarterbacks, Baker Mayfield. I think anyone reading that post would have to ride the same conclusion I did. Your post was a mixed message in that respect

    Divisional Round: Buffalo at KC Sunday at 6:30

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    58 minutes ago, wjag said:

     

    <rant on> Joe Buck ALWAYS saying "and that's the Hall of Famer, Troy Aikman" is like nails on a chalk board for me.  Yeah Joe we know.  Yeah I'm still bitter.  I admit it.  But Aikman broadcasts like he never made mistakes on the field.  How quickly he forgets/ignores on how absolutely brutal he was as a rookie (0-11).   And when you compare his stats to guys like Mahomes, Allen, Brady and Rodgers, he can't hold their jock straps.  If he wasn't gifted a great OLINE, Michael and especially Emitt, he would be Baker Mayfield.  His best statistical year was 3400 yards passing, 23 TDs and 14 Ints. <rant off>

     

    I now bring you back to your regularly scheduled discussion.

    Disagree strongly!  Aikman was a terrific QB who absolutely belongs in the HOF. The numbers you quote are not relevant to his being in the hall. It was a different era for these kinds of things. And his rookie season was no different than Peyton Manning‘s rookie season. I have to wonder if you ever saw him play. If Mayfield was the Dallas quarterback back then they would not have won anything let alone a couple of Super Bowls.

     

    However he is a boring color analyst

    • Agree 1

    Analytics vs. Heuristics-Decision Making in the NFL

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    There is definitely an over reliance on analytics in football. Several posters of already noted the small sample size in most of the statistics which significantly limits any predictive value. I would also like to see standard deviation measures in football analytics. I’m guessing the standard deviation will be quite high making it even more difficult to predict in a specific situation. A nomothetic approach doesn’t work with a small sample size. In this case an idiographic or situational approach is better. 
     

    The only place in sports where analytics seem to work well is in baseball regarding the infield shifts. And this is only because most hitters are unable or unwilling to change how they hit. 
     

    also, keep in mind that when a coach makes a decision based on the situation and not on analytics this is not just using his “gut”.  These decisions are usually based on accumulated empirical information gained from experience.
     

     

    • Thank you (+1) 1
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