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D. L. Hot-Flamethrower

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Posts posted by D. L. Hot-Flamethrower

  1. 2 hours ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:

    Obviously the bills game is in all reality the only game that really matters…there are lots of other AFC match ups today to keep tabs on:

     

    Jaguars vs. Browns

    Texans vs. Jets

    Colts vs. Bengals

    Broncos vs. Chargers

     

    With all the negativity and frustration surrounding this team, it’s important to keep perspective that our boys are still in the thick of it, and we only have a handful of weeks guaranteed left to enjoy.

     

    Instead of harping on the head coach, or ragging on the roster or its construction, enjoy the ride and find some entertainment in the game and the circumstances, although we can agree they aren’t ideal. 
     

    Go Bolded but mostly, GO BILLS!

    So we want the Bengals and not the Colts?

  2. McDermott was the guy who engineered the turnaround in 2017-19. That doesn't mean he is anything more than another one  of the many others who've come down the pipes and couldn't transition. He'll either figure out how to get to the playoffs and get this thing headed in the right direction again or he won't. Even the most ardent McDermott supporters should realize that the trend is not good, and this could continue for a couple more years. If he doesn't figure out where things have gotten off track and correct he'll be gone in time!

  3. 40 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

    Lazy analysts and media pundits look at something like a "total" and do not consider the context of that total like volume of passes.  The more passes you throw then statistically the more INT's you will throw, that is just mathematical probability.  And these comparisons to Brett Farve are just lazy and inaccurate, you will see the evidence below.  

     

    If a player A throws 3000 passes and player B 1500 passes, then the statistical probability is that player A will likely have more INT's, but it doesn't also mean he is more likely to throw an INT on a given play.  

     

    It is true that Allen has the "most since" and you can pick any year since being in the league and that statement is true.  Most in 2023, most since 2022, most since 2021, etc etc.  But does that really mean he is the worst at throwing interceptions?  No it doesn't directly indicate that, to know that, you need to know more context.

     

    There is only one true metric to understand a QB's frequency that he will throw an interception, and it is NOT totals, it is INT % rate...How often he throws an INT for every pass attempt.  So how does Josh stack up against other great QB's of recent year and all time?

     

    Josh's careen INT % rate is 2.4% and here is how that stacks up against QB's that are amongst the most prolific or best of all time:  

     

    Aaron Rodgers 1.4%

    Patrick Mahomes = 1.7%

    Tom Brady = 1.8%

    Drew Brees = 2.3%

    Josh Allen = 2.4%

    Matt Stafford = 2.4%

    Ben Roethlisberger = 2.5%

    Joe Montana = 2.6%

    Steve Young = 2.6%

    Phillip Rivers = 2.6%

    Peyton Manning = 2.7%

    Cam Newton = 2.7%

    Dan Marino = 3.0%

    Troy Aikman = 3.0%

    John Elway = 3.1%

    Kurt Warner = 3.1%

    Randall Cunningham = 3.1%

    Brett Favre = 3.3%

    Warren Moon = 3.4%

    Jim Kelly = 3.7%

     

    Allen as you can see stacks up better than most and in the top 5 of this list all time great QB's.  And we can see why Farve comparison is BS and lazy as Brett was MUCH more wreckless with the football.  

     

    Josh Allen also has a career TD to INT ratio of 2.9 to 1 which is insanely and historically great.  For comparison sakes, lets look where he ranks among some of those all time greats and his common comparison, Brett Farve.

     

    Tom Brady:  3.2 to 1

    Josh Allen:  2.9 to 1

    Drew Brees:  2.4 to 1

    Peyton Manning:  2.2 to 1

    Brett Farve:  1.55 to 1

     

    It is absolutely lazy and atrocious to compare him to Farve, Allens TD to INT ratio is practically DOUBLE Farves.  In todays NFL, he is 3rd behind Rodgers and Mahomes for those with at least 2 seasons played.  

     

    NOW...doesn't mean Josh can't improve on the INT's, doesn't mean he has not made some poor decisions or forced too much.  What it does mean is that Allen has been the Bills offense and he has had to carry this team more than he should and with that comes volume and with volume comes increased totals.  But give me a QB who scores 3 TD's for every INT thrown 10 times out of 10 because there are NOT many better than that in NFL history.

     

    So make your own opinion...would you take the most TD's of all time with an INT % rate of just 2.4% which is better than most the all time great QB's?  For those of you who have been talking about moving on from Josh...good luck with replacing that, as that is historically good and not likely to be upgraded upon in our lifetime in Buffalo. 

     

    Couldn't agree more and have been saying the same things myself.

  4. 47 minutes ago, JohnNord said:

    Ben Johnson is too run heavy

    Interesting. But, looking at the numbers doesn't bear this out. Bills 332 rushes and Lions 328. Bills have about a pass or two more a game. Yardage is not significantly differently. Evidence doesn't bear this out, and you never know how a coordinator will adjust with the QB talent he has. Allen vs Goff could yield a very different product.

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  5. 12 minutes ago, Brandon said:

    There's nothing wrong with him.  I agree,  he's not having his best season,  but today he had one blocked and missed a 48 yarder in a downpour.  That's not something I'd panic or worry about moving forward. 

    He was awful today don't give us that crap

  6. McDermott was the right coach in 2017, he's clearly not at this juncture. He's had many chances to prove he's not a Schottenheimer/Knox clone.

     

    The Refs and Rules in this league are trash, have been for a long time and only get worse.

     

    Bass let us down bigly.

     

    It would be nice to not give up a 30 spot in the second half of a game you're leading by 10 points and your offense puts up 17 in the second half.

     

    How can some franchises be so goddamn unlucky- a 60 yard FG in the rain-come on man

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  7. The more I hear McD this season the more he sounds like a politician. If the offense goes on under Brady and plays better and Josh performs better, and they still miss the playoffs. It'll be we cant dig hole a for ourselves to start the season. And, of course the ready made injuries on defense, but that we performed heroically. We being the operative word, he's part of the defense, not the offense because they just haven't complimented the rest of the team by playing his style. News for Sean the Special Teams have arguably cost 2 games. And the defense hasn't been able to protect alead 2x in the fourth Qtr. NEWS FLASH Sean ! It's whole team and you're the boss so act like it, not like a coordinator turned politician.

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  8. I think McD was happy to talk about how it all starts with him when we were winning. I've seen a McD this season who acts like he's in a self-salvation mode. The losing and pressure are apparent in this whole organization right now. And, I see a leader who is playing to a mantra of the "buck stops below me". Sorry but's that what I take, not just from his comments this year, but moreso the actions.

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