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BLeonard

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Posts posted by BLeonard

  1. 4 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:

    Not sure who I’m rooting for tonight. Part of me wants Denver to knock down the Chargers with another loss as I believe they are the better team. However, the other part wants the Chargers to win to keep pressure on KC. 

     

    Personally, I'd rather Denver win.  Gives the Chargers their third loss and they've already lost to KC.  Broncos also have the Jets next week.   If they can get on track, their games against KC are both after Thanksgiving.

  2. 4 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

    Bolded is not true. It is only true for AFC East games vs other divisions. All other divisions actually do rotate home/away games within those two years when teams play opponents with the same ranking. However, they do not rotate the way I would expect it, i.e. H/A/H/A, but rather H/A/A/H, which means that it in fact might not be an actual rotation based on specific teams played at home and on the road in those years when teams play complete opposite division. The way it works:

     

    East vs South, East vs West, East vs North:

    Home, Home, Whole Division, Away, Away, Whole Division, rinse repeat

     

    South vs North, South vs West, North vs West:

    Home, Away, Whole Division, Away, Home, Whole Division, rinse repeat

     

    As follows from the above, even teams from other divisions can play same opponent 3 times in a row at the same place, but it is not guaranteed - it depends on specific opponent. In case of AFC East, it doesn't matter - as long as end up being at the same place in division as any other team, you'll play them 3x at home and 3x on road.

     

    I didn't check NFC, but I guess it works the same there.

     

     

     

    Well, this is an interesting theory. I appreciate that you did some research and tried to understand how things work. I have 3 comments:

     

    1. Like I said above, rotation is different between various divisions. East is the only division in the AFC which does not rotate games at all.

     

    2. I think you are wrong in the blue statement. They couldn't rotate. I played with it, and I don't think you can make all divisions rotate. Try it and let me know :) That is why I think it is actually not working this way - it is impossible to do it.

     

    3. Certainly an interesting theory. But I think you ask good question in red and there is an obvious anwser - you'd want to rotate home and away games. It really seems a stretch to me that such thing as you describe would be relevant. How does it matter that you can't host any AFC West team in the same year you play AFC North? It seems really minor to me. Actually, if this was the case, then they should also change how they schedule years when you play complete divisions. We always play Chiefs and Chargers either at home or at road, so we never have a chance to play Chargers on road when we play Chiefs at home.

     

    To sum it up, it still remains mystery to me why they use this formula. If you find something out, let me know :)

     

    I looked at this a bit further and, yeah, the whole idea of flipping the alternate years wouldn't work, it screws up the rest of the divisions.  I was just viewing it through the AFC East's lens, which obviously the NFL doesn't do.

     

    So, I did a new sheet for 2018-2023, covering the entire AFC.  To simplify, I used last year's division winners to represent the matchups, as I found it easier to work with actual teams than A,B,C,D.  Using that, you can see where, in theory, every team could host another for three seasons in a row.

     

    Bills Host KC in years 1-3 (H,H, Whole West), KC Hosts Bills in years 4-6 (H,H, Whole East)

    Bills Host Ten in years 5-6 & 1 (H,H, Whole South), Ten Hosts Bills in years 2-4 (H,H, Whole South)

    Bills Host CIN in years 2-4 (Whole North, H, H), CIN Hosts Bills in years 5-6 & 1 (Whole North, H, H).

     

    1113302904_Schedule6Yrs.thumb.jpg.b64ddaadeeeec239ee91a460c879d047.jpg

     

    I also don't think there's much they can do about it, either, especially since we're talking about 2 random games that may or may not happen, depending on where teams finish in the standings.  The rest of the formula is about as balanced as you can ask for.  Certainly better than what they had in the past.

     

    O/T:  Bit of Bills schedule trivia for anyone that cares.  When Jim Kelly retired after the 1996 season, there were 30 teams in the league.  During his career, he played against 28 of them.  Besides the Bills, which team did Kelly never play against? (PS, not thinking of the Ravens here, they had just started in 96).

  3. 1 hour ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

     

    Assuming both teams finish in 1st place, else it can vary.

     

     

     

    Understand the whole formula thing and agree no conspiracy going on however per your comment above

     

    Last year AFC East played the AFC South and KC did host.  So you sure about what you wrote??

     

    Yes.  In 2021, the AFC East Played the AFCS (B), meaning the Bills hosted the Colts and Texans, while on the road at Tennessee and Jacksonville.  The Bills hosted the AFC North team that finished in 1st (Pittsburgh) which is Column E on the graph.  They were on the road at KC, who finished first in the AFCW (Column G).

     

    Columns I and K are just me flipping the alternate years (highlighted in yellow) to eliminate the whole "2 year rotation" that people were discussing.  They aren't part of the actual schedule formula.  I included those to show that, if the NFL switched (thus eliminating the "2 year rotation") the issue would occur that whenever a team played a certain division, they would NEVER have the chance to play in one venue or the other.

     

    To illustrate, looking again at 2021, if the NFL didn't have the "2 year rotation," the Bills would have played the AFC South (B) like normal, had KC at Home and been on the road at Pittsburgh.  The problem is, if you look at 2018, the last time the Bills played the AFC South (A), they would have also had the Chiefs at home, with Pittsburgh on the road.  Under that scenario (Eliminating the "2 year rotation") anytime the Bills (and the rest of the AFC East) would play the AFC South, they would ALWAYS play on the road of the AFC North team and ALWAYS host the AFC West team.

     

    Long story short, the "2 year rotation" allows for teams to host and visit teams from the other two divisions, provided they finish in the same place within their divisions.  Without it, teams would either be hosting or visiting the same division every time.

     

    That's why I'm guessing that the league prefers to use the "2 year rotation," so that they aren't, for example, locking the entire AFC East to have to go on the road to the AFC North every year the schedule has the East playing all four teams in the South.

     

    Hope that makes sense.

  4. The easiest way to explain this is to look at the schedule in six year chunks.  I didn't bother to include the NFC matchups.

     

    Below, I started with Josh's rookie year and went through 2023.  Columns E and G show the 2 year rotation on the games that are created by teams finishing in the same place within their divisions (1st from the East hosted 1st from the West in 2018, 2nd East Hosted 2nd West and so on).

     

    In columns I and K, I flipped the alternating years highlighted in yellow to eliminate that 2 year rotation, since from what I've read, your major question is "why is the two year rotation not a 'home and home' rotation?".  If you look across the rows under that scenario, you'd see that the Bills would NEVER have the chance to host the Chiefs in a year where the AFC East played the AFC North.  KC would also NEVER have the chance to host the Bills any year the AFC East played the AFC South.

     

    It boils down to, which would you rather have?  A chance at playing at the same place 3 years in a row, or knowing that anytime the Bills play the AFCN, they CAN'T host ANY AFCW team.

     

    So, they could they rotate every season, but my guess is, the NFL would rather have the 2 year rotation instead of locking teams out of ANY chance of playing at a given location every time they play a certain opposite division.

     

    239510803_ScheduleExplanation.thumb.jpg.05e26da47edbcae588a29ccd96745882.jpg

  5. We've done that in the past, MM and Jauron, 3 years and out, didn't work.

     

    Wrong. If you're going to try and defend the "continuity" BS, at least back it with some facts.

     

    Mularkey quit after his second season... My guess is, he saw the dysfunction in the organization (specifically, the Front Office) and said "No thanks."

     

    Jauron got a 4th season, as you're suggesting with Gailey. Jauron was then fired midseason.

     

    The last Bills Coach to get 3 years was Gregg Williams and he was 17-31 in those three years. Chan Gailey would need to win these final two games to even get to that mark.

     

    At least Gregg Williams and Mike Mularkey were "hot coordinators" at the time of their hire and at least Jauron had held a Head Coaching job in the 21st Century before becoming the Bills Head Coach. Gailey was out of football after being fired by Kansas City as an Offensive Coordinator.

     

    Gailey has a worse record as Bills' Head Coach than Williams, Mularkey and Jauron. It could also be argued that Gailey has had more talent than all of those three coaches had during their tenure as well. He definitely has more talent than Jauron ever did, yet, Jauron has a significantly better record as Bills head coach than Gailey does.

     

    The problem isn't "disrupting continuity." The problem is not hiring the right guy to get positive continuity from in the first place. Unfortunately, those guys usally cost a bit more money and, well, the TV contracts don't pay for coaching staffs and front offices, like they do the players... That all comes out of the owner's wallet.

     

    -Bill

  6. Toronto has stated that they have other commitments this summer.... one baseball game and one other "possible" event. Thus no preseason game in Canada.

     

    Well, it'll be interesting to see when that day comes... Especially if nothing is going on at SkyDome that day.

     

    I'm still of the opinion that Rogers actually loses money on the Toronto Series (especially the preseason games). I'll bet you that if they were turning a profit, this "scheduling conflict" wouldn't have been an issue.

     

    If they do renew the series (which I have my doubts, regardless of what Rogers and Russ Brandon say) I'm betting it won't include any preseason games.

     

    -Bill

  7. Preseason comes out before the regular season, examples from just the past two years...

     

    2010 - Preseason released March 31st, Regular season released April 20th

    2011 - Preseason released April 12th, Regular season released April 19th

     

    So it's possible they already know the preseason schedule, and are trying to work out a date that works for Rogers. I think the Bills will play at Detroit in week 4.

     

    I submit Exhibit A: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/02/21/bills-wont-play-in-toronto-this-preseason/

     

    The Bills’ claim that there’s a scheduling conflict is surprising considering that the preseason schedule hasn’t been set yet, and considering that a preseason game in 2012 was part of the original deal with the Rogers Centre that the Bills made five years ago. It’s probably safe to say that if the last two Bills preseason games had done big business, the team and the stadium would have figured out a way around the scheduling conflict.

     

    But preseason games in Toronto have not done well: The Bills drew just 39,583 fans for their preseason game against the Colts in 2010. That was down from an announced crowd of 48,433 for their preseason game against the Steelers in 2008.

     

    So, the schedule hasn't been set as of yet... also, as the article mentions, this was planned 5 years ago, when the deal was made.

     

    Like I said before, my guess is, Rogers would lose less money by not having the game, as opposed to having it.

     

    It'll be interesting when the schedules come out to see if SkyDome is available on either of the dates that the home games end up being on.

     

    -Bill

  8. Sorry, bur Russ also tweeted this:

    Russ Brandon @RussBrandon

     

    We are currently working with Rogers Communications to extend our agreement to play #Bills games at Rogers Centre.

     

    Yeah, did you see what the Season Ticket email said? It's in the first post of this thread...

     

    General Manager Buddy Nix and Head Coach Chan Gailey have done a great job developing the nucleus of our team. We will continue to add talented players through free agency and the draft.

     

    Do you believe that too?

     

    Meanwhile, Buddy and Chan are 10-22 in two seasons, while our #1 WR is an UFA with contract talks going nowhere fast.

     

    I couldn't care less what Russ Brandon says or tweets... Until words become action, it means nothing.

     

    BTW, I'm currently working on getting a threeway with Katy Perry and Anna Kourniova... I will provide more information once terms are finalized.

     

    -Bill

  9. How can there be a scheduling conflict when you have a month of dates to get the game in?

     

    IMO, the "scheduling conflict" is an excuse... Think about this:

     

    1: The NFL schedule is a good 2 months away from even being done. Preseason schedule comes even after that.

    2: Rogers has already paid for the game. If you paid for something, why would'nt you get what you paid for?

     

    My guess is: Rogers would make more money (or, more accurately, lose less money) by not having the game, as opposed to having it. If they have the game in Toronto, I assume that Rogers would be responsible for paying the parking attendants, ticket takers, concessions staff, ushers, security, etc. If they aren't making anough money on the game and the residuals to pay these people, that means they're losing money.

     

    This tells me that the Toronto Series is done after this year. Rogers obviously isnt making money on it, so, in order for them to want it, the price tag would have to be lower... But, if Ralph doesn't make money off of the deal, there's no reason for him to agree to it, either.

     

    -Bill

  10. I am getting confused by two things.

     

    On the original question I am wondering who technically is in possession of the punt in the air once it crosses the line of scrimmage. If it is Team A or the receiving team, game over, if it is team B, kicking team then a muff occurs, team B wins. If no team is technically in possession then ???????

     

    As for your point about the pick how can it not be an opportunity? You see DBs say in pressers after the game "I really missed an opportunity there" when they dropped a pick. They play the game for a living so I doubt they are wrong.

     

    As said above, once the ball crosses the LOS, the posession for one team becomes the "opportunity to posess" for the other. Thus the game would end when the ball crosses the LOS.

     

    A missed INT is not an opportunity to posess, because the rule clearly states that "The opportunity to possess occurs only during kicking plays."

     

    In literal terms, yes the DB may have had the "opportunity to possess." But, not according to the NFL rule, which I'm sure is what they would go by.

     

    -Bill

  11. So if on third down of the initial OT possession a DB drops an obvious pick six and Team A then kicks a field goal on 4th, the game is over?

     

    No, a dropped interception is not an "opportunity to posess." The opportunity to possess occurs only during kicking plays, as stated above.

     

    Now, if the DB intercepts the pass, then fumbles it back to the offensive team, THAT would be a posession by the intercepting team.

     

    -Bill

  12. Ok I honestly didn't know the rule about advancing a muffed punt, and I know they can't recover a fumbled punt return because of possession change but......what if the punt is muffed and bounces all the way to the end zone on its own before being recovered?

     

    I would still think Team A would win the game... Once Team B punts the ball away, their posession is over. Since they didn't score during their posession, the game would end before the muff, or the recovery.

     

    -Bill

  13. Ok this is an almost impossible scenario but what if.......

     

    Team A wins the OT coin toss, drives down the field and has to settle for a field goal.

     

    Team B has a good run back on the ensuing kickoff and starts their drive at mid field.

     

    Three holding calls, two incomplete passes and a sack later it is 4th and 50 from the 10 yard line. Team B figures they have a better shot at recovering a muffed punt than hitting a 50 yard play so they punt, and not only is it muffed but they pick it up and run in it for 6 points.

     

    Team A is obviously very stupid for even attempting to field the punt but they did.

     

    Which team wins?

     

    Well, since you can't advance a muffed punt, I would assume that Team A would win.

     

    Even if you could advance a muff (which you can't) Team B punting would constitue in ending their posession and, as a result, the game would be over, again, with Team A winning.

     

    -Bill

  14. I'd be all for it. I understand that Wilson has consistently refused to hire former players on the dubious theory that "if you hire one you have to hire all of them". Um, no Ralph, you don't actually.

     

    So, was this before or after he brought Marv Levy back as the GM...?

     

    I also thought that Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas currently work for the Bills in some capacity.

     

    I'm also pretty sure Darryl Talley was a Training Camp last year, working with the Linebackers...

     

    -Bill

  15. note to TBD: how about buying some of the comeback DVDs for sale the camp tent (since you have been playing them inside when you walk in) or are you afraid that fans will see the good Bills of yesteryear and realize even more how bad today's Bills are? You would think that the Bills would own the rights to their own game and would be able to stock some DVDs - right? :wallbash:

     

    Or, you could do a 10 second Google search: http://www.amazon.com/NFL-Game-Archives-Buffalo-Playoffs/dp/B000VAHQYM

     

    -Bill

  16. The column you want to sort by using that chart is the first PCT. column... That will tell you what percentage of the seats are sold.

     

    While the Bills are ahead of NE on average attendance, NE's attendance is 100%, while the Bills' is 94.5

     

    Bills sell more seats because of ticket price and the fact that RWS capacity is bigger than Gillette Stadium.

     

    -Bill

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