EmotionallyUnstable
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Posts posted by EmotionallyUnstable
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I’m looking at last year as a bit of a launch pad for him.
weeks 1-8 he played a minimal role (20% roughly of snaps)
week 8 on he played significantly more, taking snaps from 60-80% of plays.
In average he got around 53% of snaps. I expect this number to be much higher in 2024 and more in line with the end of year which hovered around 75%.
That said, I do think he plays a larger role but I am not sure how much or where. I think it will be interesting to see how much 12 personnel Brady plans to run and if it is a lot, which WR is generally going to be subbed out for Knox. It was him last year, and I don’t expect Coleman to come off the field all that much (like Davis at 90% plus snaps).
Are they going to take Samuel off the field or Shakir leaving the other to be the Z? I feel they both can play in this role
random stab at production based on last year and current roster:
5-6 targets per game, 60-850-4
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2 hours ago, Logic said:
Nico Collins is, in my mind, sort of the best case scenario for what Keon Coleman could become.
He's 6'4" 215 lbs and offers uncommonly good RAC for a guy his size.
Sound familiar?
Admittedly, Collins is faster with a 4.45 to Coleman's 4.61. Then again, Coleman is probably a bit better above-the-rim than Collins.
Collins got off to a modest start in the NFL with 446 and 481 yard outputs in his first two seasons while also struggling with injuries. Last season he had a true breakout with 1297 yards and 8 TDs in 15 games.
I don't know if Coleman's first couple seasons will be as modest as Collins' were, but I think it's reasonable to hope and expect that he can reach (or exceed) the production that Collins just posted in year three.
Many people have drawn this comparison also because some of the advanced statistics are similar. Specifically in that they weren’t favorable. I may be incorrect but my gut tells me it was YPRR and separation were similar, and in a not good way.I would agree about the projection.
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About 120 years ago, some schlubs were sitting around a campfire eating pork and beans out of a tin can thinking “hey how can we make this game better”
Dave: How about we throw the ball forward?
I propose to have the saying changed from the best thing since sliced bread, to the best thing since the forward pass.
This has been your free crash course in questionably rooted history. Essays are due Monday (make it Tuesday with the holiday)
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On 5/21/2024 at 8:27 PM, Buffalo716 said:
They get paid more than centers now.. it's tougher to play guard in the modern NFL than center
They physically take on more one-on-one blocks... Center gets more combination blocks and there are very few physically imposing zero techs who play that technique every snap
Guards take on dominant three techniques one-on-one
You’ve previously expressed the opinion that Sedrick VPG needs to put on weight before being ready for action but I see your bolded comments as reasons why it might not matter and in fact, who be more beneficial to have McG at Guard. -
Are the golden troughs installed yet, or do they have to wait to collect all the PSLs?
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Storylines like these rarely work and are now so tiring.
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11 hours ago, Mat68 said:
Gregg Cosell and Chris Simms. Using them because they are the known film watchers out of the media talking heads. Both said last season teams stopped playing Diggs like a top 10 wr. They were not double teaming him or worried about him getting deep. Shakir will be defended differently but is versatile to be moved around and may or may not be the primary read on any given play.
I respect Simms a lot.
That said, the perspective that teams often dictate and double cover receivers is very much overblown from fans and media. In qualifying plays, even the most elite players are seeing a variation of bracket or double coverages on roughly 30% of routes. I can’t find the most recent data, but in the previous few seasons, players like Justin Jefferson (31% in 2022) and Cooper Kupp (37% in 2021) will still see plenty of opportunity. It’s not triple teaming Calvin Johnson in the EZ every play. A lot of it comes down to when that happens, and how the play selection, QB, and surrounding cast can respond.
The Bills went from putting all their eggs in the Diggs basket to having multiple guys they think can win 1v1, and let Allen take advantage of working the personnel and coverages to find his most desirable match up.
I think we’ve seen this transition begin last season with Kincaid, and continue with the acquisitions of Samuel and Coleman. We have no true dominant receiving force, but do have numerous pieces that can be utilized in different facets (from the back field, contested catches, RAC, etc).
Right or wrong remains to be seen. Beane and company realized having 1 alpha didn’t get it done, because when he was taken away or didn’t execute, the supporting cast wasn’t good enough to win their match ups either.
Regarding the bolded statement, I really don’t see why Shakir would demand any special coverage. Teams don’t want to double cover receivers unless they truly need to. Just because he is assuming a larger role, you of course can estimate he’ll more often see a teams best defensive back. He’ll also see more routes, more targets and more opportunity. As I listed above, it is entirely about match ups. The current state of the pass catchers plays well into the “distribute the ball, honor your progressions and let your players feast” pholosophy. Let’s just hope that the surrounding cast can win enough of those 1v1s
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21 hours ago, YattaOkasan said:
Why would take taron Johnson off the field on obvious passing downs?
Good catch on this.
My intention was to go smaller/more athletic but I miscalculated on the back end. The 3-4 would look more like:
Groot - Oliver - Von
Soloman - Bernard - Milano - Johnson
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3 hours ago, GoBills808 said:
The issue is you can't project in a vacuum
Last years WR3 got WR3 attention from DBs
Asking him to be as productive against better quality corners isn't a given
My issue with this is that NFL defenses don’t often work in this capacity. Yes it is true a superstar may garner some extra attention, a coverage a certain way or have their top DB travel with them. This is not a given.
Many teams admittedly do not play this kind of defense. I would think that Shakir can continue and do his thing, and it is up to the staff to find ways to create match ups.
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23 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:
McDermott has never ran any semblance of a 34
I wouldn't expect it now... He can and has ran 43 unders and overs which can give a slight 34 look
They’ve used Groot in the interior in that look. This is much more a conversation on the personal than the alignment, regardless of what you want to call it IMO from a fan perspective. You can discuss what technique the DL are aligned (where is the nose shaded, where are you “tackles” such as 3T vs 4i, etc) but at the end of the day, I think the sentiment is to get a more athletic group of players on the field who can get after the QB of obvious passing downs.
I couldn’t get into the specifics about gap responsibility and how this could translate into bringing different rush packages…maybe you have some info on this. I do think we’ve seen a variation of this where they’re trying to get more athletic/quicker up front in these 2nd/3rd and longs.
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2 hours ago, ChevyVanMiller said:
Next level comeback.
Next level thinking here. I love it
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On 5/10/2024 at 11:24 AM, Warriorspikes51 said:
absolute potential to be an immediate pass rush specialist
I'd love to see some 3-4 packages with Solomon and Von lined up at OLB and rushing the QB
Groot-Oliver-CarterSolomon - Bernard - Milano - Von
On an obvious passing down I love it
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1 hour ago, BADOLBILZ said:
If the Bills were to use Coleman as a big slot like KC did with Rashee Rice then I could see that.
But that doesn't appear to be their plan. Beane said Coleman will be used outside (X) which is the much more difficult path.
You mentioned Cobb......the Packers weren't going to give Adams those easy-button routes because those belonged to Cobb. So they had to patiently wait for Adams to round into form as a technician outside.
What I do expect......if the Bills WR corps remains as currently constituted........is more condensed formations to help Coleman get open easier.
They love this for the ground game anyways. I expect it regardless -
Pretty cool.
unfortunately not much wiggle room at LB these days on the 53, but maybe he shows enough to get a PS deal or can get looks with another franchise based on what he shows in TC or Preseason
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Disappointed to see all the commentary about Frank Gore Jr, and nothing about Ray Davis
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I can remember the last time I listened to a game on the radio. Cardale Jones was at QB and we lost to the Jets week 17 roughly 2016.
Does anyone listen to games anymore?
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3 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:
Christmas: SF at BUF 4:30
Don’t do this to me.
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Keon Coleman
Chase Claypool
Treylon Burks
We are only a Yao Ming and Shaquille O’Neil away from winning the big one.
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On 5/2/2024 at 3:12 PM, GASabresIUFan said:
CB - Top 4 set in stone. Lewis' versatility also makes him a lock. The question is can Hardy and/or Ingram show enough to earn a job.
On 5/2/2024 at 4:55 PM, GunnerBill said:Lewis will make it but as the 4th safety behind Bishop, Rapp and Edwards. Hamlin will be cut.
This is the path to keeping both Hardy and Ingram IMO.
We currently only have 3 boundary corners that are locks (Kaiir, Rasul, Christian). I think with Hardy likely in the mix on specials, and allowing Lewis to be a bit of a Swiss Army knife, Damar becomes expendable.
They’ve kept Ingram around for the past few seasons, and much like Lewis, must like him in their system.
The only curveball here is if we get a late addition, a la Micah Hyde, who could come in and shake things up.
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6 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:
It's possible that McD will use more 4-3 this season.
But the long-term trend in the NFL is toward more Nickel and Dime defenses. It would seem weird if McD reversed himself.
Certainly possible.
As previously discussed in numerous threads, the trends of the NFL offensive and defensive chess match is constantly ebbing and flowing.
As soon as teams started with the full on aerial assault, defensive moved back into the two she’ll look.
As a counter to the 2 high, teams are becoming increasingly comfortable running the ball into those looks.
Transitioning back to a more traditional 4-3 on certain downs could be a reality. Especially considering the type of players they’ve invested in at LB over the last few years (Bernard, Dorian, the new kid) I could see them wanting to have the LB depth to feel they can be more versatile out of the 4-3 base.
That said, I highly doubt we see it as something that takes over. This would mean taking Taron Johnson out of the game for extended snaps. He is one of the best nickle corners and doesn’t get nearly enough credit for mixing it up in the box in the run game as he deserves.
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Big fan of our Blackstone. Just fired it up this past weekend. For steaks I used my grated propane grill. I love the mid-way 90 degree turn to get the perfect cross hatch grill lines.
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That 2021 class was rough
43 minutes ago, balln said:I think this qb class sucks. On par w the Zack Wilsons a few years back. I wouldn’t just say if I’m one of these teams. Welp let’s draft a blue chipper. And “tank” and hopefully set up for a qb next year
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18/32 first rounders in the 2021 draft had their 5th year option picked up. At 56% seeing that extra year and Groot being one of them, I’d say he has been about what you want from a “floor” stand point. Let’s see if he can turn it on and reach the ceiling.
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How do you envision Khalil Shakir being utilized in this years offense?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I am in agreement with the bolded.
That said, I’m not sure you see my point in that Shakir/samuel won’t be on the field together, as I was solely discussing 12 personnel.
Your point about Beasley and Brown playing on the field at the same time makes me think you are referencing them in 11 personnel (which they lead the league in back in the day…they really didn’t run much 12). Maybe you’re flat out disagreeing with me which is fine; but incase I was unclear, I mean specifically in a particular personnel grouping….depending on how much they utilize two tight ends, there is really only room for 2 WRs on the field. I believe Coleman will often be one of them. His build, skill set, and stengths are much different than the other two. Pairing this with his draft investment, and the history in the way they’ve used Davis in that role, I imagine he will get a ton of PT.
It’s certainly possible you could see 12 with Cook, Kincaid, Knox, Samuel, Shakir. It just isn’t my vision for how they’ll look in this personnel because Samuel/shakir has similar builds and strengths.
Certainly