
sherpa
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Posts posted by sherpa
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2 hours ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
When was the last time a 30 year T bill promised 5%? Make a case as to why it's nonsense. You're clearly interested. Can't make that excuse.
Gasparino is Fox senior business reporter. Not exactly a liberal.
False premise, as always.
Your link suggests nothing of a 5% 30 gov bill.
By the way, I'm not sure you are familiar with this subject, but you posted it.
You might want to educate yourself on the difference between a bill and a bond.
Show me a 30 year fixed yield of a reasonable provider, (not junk), let alone the US gov, that is 5% per your claim.
I'd buy it today.
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6 hours ago, Trump_is_Mentally_fit said:
This means it will be more expensive to finance a house as mortgage rates increase, credit card rates, too
This is not going to end well. Enjoy the prosperity while you can
Yup
Pure nonsense, as always.
The bond market, also known as the fixed income market is just fine.
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4 hours ago, That's No Moon said:
It's not just NIL, it's the transfer portal that goes with it. The major programs scout the mid-majors more than they scout HS kids. The days of Loyola of Chicago making a run are over. The players they had to make that run will get pilfered away before they get to that point.
Head Coach Tony Bennett's surprise decision to retire at Virginia was the canary in the coal mine signal.
Stating the reason as the changing landscape of college basketball was code for the portal and NIL.
They spend all their time recruiting and raising money.
Such a shame.
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The NPR hearing with Katherine Maher was an absolute TKO.
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50 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
Horse sh it. If Biden and his team did this the crying on the right would go on for months. Hell you guys are still cryingabout things they did! Biden was senile and his administration wasn't near the clown show trump is running.
Just stupid
42 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:Two pilots' names are listed here. Seemingly they were honorably discharged and satisfactory as pilots. so it' not really about finding someone on the internet making a claim I want. It's about people with similar qualifications and experience coming to vastly different conclusions than you.
You can find any comment you want.
Not interested.
Find someone on the strike who had any concern, or better yet, find someone who claimed that it mattered or effected anything.
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2 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
clearly, the pilots quoted above had much greater concern over the incident than you did. So let's not pretend yours is the only informed position.
I'm not pretending anything.
I understand their concern as it was a major screw up and needs to be fixed.
You can find anyone on the internet to make any claim you want.
But what happened?
Nothing.
I taught Soviet anti air systems and am familiar with the basics of these, which are derivatives.
You could tell the Houthis that we were going to strike this target at this time using this weapon and this delivery maneuver, and it wouldn't matter.
Any successful shot would be pure luck, and surely not the result of what this foolish leak was about.
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16 minutes ago, nedboy7 said:
I thought you were an independent thinker. You have said this over and over. Yet you have zero ability to criticize your ***** cult.
I have criticized it over and over and over.
Maybe you can't read.
What I am claiming is that the threat is being exaggerated for political reasons.
Are those two views hard to understand?
Further, I am not part of any cult, and whenever that claim is made, it marks the claimer as a goof.
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3 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
My point is it increases the risk of a jet being shot down by a finite amount of exactly what that amount is I don’t know but analysts seem to agree it’s not zero.
The odds is losing an airplane over Yemen are far greater if it is from mechanical issues.
This entire thing, as a threat to US forces is ridiculous and purely political.
For the fourth time, it was was stupid and needs to be fixed, but the claim that it was a threat to US forces is grossly exaggerated.
Previous policy pf tolerating drone and missile launches resulted in the friendly fire destroying of an F-18, and nearly two, but for the rapid action of an LSO on the back of a carrier who saw it an transmitted to make the second missile stupid.
Make it political. I don't really care, bit it is nonsense.
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7 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
One rarely hears of fighter jets going down but they certainly do. Say the chance is 1/1000 and giving this info increases it to 2/1000. You good with that?
I'm not sure what your point is here, but if the US lost a fighter, (and "jet" is a senseless redundant), it would be known.
I'm not good with the leak, but in my humble view, the consequences, which amount to ZERO, have been grossly overstated for political reasons.
Clean it up and move on.
Existing policy re the Houthis is way better than it was three months ago, which resulted in getting an F-18 shot down, and very nearly two.
The stupid, ungodly expense of simply defending against missile and drone attacks was idiotic, not that the commander in chief was even aware of it.
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16 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
Many military experts disagree. The houthis have formidable anti aircraft weapons.
Ya.
So how'd they do, and I am quite aware of their air defense weapons.
Answer....
Zero.
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46 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
No. D's are absolutely correct in keeping this issue in Americans thoughts. R's are absolutely wrong in not admitting the seriousness of this event and pulling all levers to stop it from happening again.
I agree that every every effort should be made to eliminate the possibility of this happening again.
What I would disagree with is overblowing the danger to US forces on these strikes.
We are talking about coordinated strikes in Yemen.
That area has very limited, and easily overcome air defenses.
You could tell them a day in advance that a strike was planned, and without naming targets, I wouldn't feel threatened.
As background, I have no idea what ships from foreign nations are watching the Truman Task Force.
I do know that it is operating in international waters and might well be being watched by people sympathetic to Iran and the Houthis, if not from those nations specifically.
When we deployed, the carrier was always tailed the second day out of Pearl Harbor through the entire WESTPAC cruise by Soviet intel ships, usually within 15-20 miles.
Carriers are not invisible. Getting information on an impending strike is not hard. The F-18's with their visible weapons would have been very visible.
Doing simple math, one could easily predict time on target. Twenty minutes to tank, 350 to "feet dry," then 450 knots or so so to the the target.
Heck, when the US launched the attack on Baghdad in 2003, I wrote on another website the time when if would occur, four hours prior.
It wasn't hard. I saw a report that a number of B-52's had launched from a base in the UK. I knew what they carried and I know the times/distances. I was exactly correct, actually the stuff started hitting Baghdad 8 seconds after I predicted.
This stuff isn't hard.
Again, this is a sloppy, major mistake, and needs to be corrected, but any threat to US forces is exaggerated.
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3 hours ago, Trump_is_Mentally_fit said:
I have no idea what you are talking about here, or your accusation.
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1 hour ago, The Frankish Reich said:
It will "work" in that it exposes the clownish lack of experience and judgement of Trump 2.0's version of the "best people." This didn't happen with Mattis, Kelly, McMaster, etc. Remember "my generals?" Now we have "my Fox weekend commenters."
I have a completely different view on this.
The issue is a major screw up. No doubt about it.
Admit it. Fix it.
But, the strike was successful and the mistake had no consequence.
On the other hand, the strategic policy of defending against drones and missiles at massive cost, instead of launching an offensive strike to eliminate the threat, to the point of the US military being concerned about inventory, was an idiotic policy, as expressed by the on scene commander.
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46 minutes ago, SectionC3 said:
How do you know that? Who is the senior R who said that the Chinese/Russians had the info in advance? How do we know they didn’t tip them? And how do we know it can’t be used against us in the future? Loose lips sink ships.
How do I know it?
I don't, but I am extremely comfortable and confident in my view.
The Houthis are a nomadic group of lunatics completely dependent on Iranian support.
The time frame of this would not permit any Iranian support, as that takes time, and based on results, they knew nothing.
Still a stupid mistake, but non consequential tactically.
Merely an exposure of something that needs to be cleaned up.
1 hour ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:Trump is now dropping bombs all over Yemen.
Not true.
Ill informed and stupid.
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2 hours ago, SectionC3 said:
No he just leaked strike plans. We’ll never know who might have escaped. Indefensible by any objective measure. Just because someone else did something wrong doesn’t mean that this foolishness and breach of trust should not result in termination. Loose lips sink ships, right?
The information was not leaked to the Houthis, at least not by any credible report, so it had no impact.
The strike was extremely successful.
It was a clear screw up, but conjecture without evidence, ie., any real harm, is being used for political purposes.
I give them one major screw up.
But....The major screw up was not getting offensive re the Houthis in the first place, and that was entirely on Biden Inc.
Requested by the fleet commander and refused, so we defended $300 drones with $1 million missiles, to the point of drawing down those weapons to dangerous levels.
Eventually, an F-18 was shot down by our own forces, and it was damn near miraculous that a second one, in close trail, was not.
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19 minutes ago, SectionC3 said:
I’ll shift focus on this to Hegseth. Lost in all of this is the point that he looked like a hotheaded, foolish amateur when he spoke to media about this yesterday. That temperament is not something that our SoD should have. He shouldn’t have been there in the first place, he screwed up, and now for the good of the country he should go back to TV. Get a level headed adult in there.
A major screw up, but not something that can't be resolved.
He wasn't lost in Puerto Rico with nobody knowing where he was or what was going on.
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3 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
Not concerned about my view? Hahahahahahahahahahahaha. You had a melt down about it yesterday and I'm just going to guess about 30 posts about it in this thread. Personally, when I'm not concerned with someone's view I don't respond. But again, thank you for your service. I do have a lot of respect for service men and women.
As a service man what is your view of the major ***** up yesterday. And being glad they hit them bastards doesn't count. Two separate issues.
I had no "melt down," and I am not really that interested, certainly not in you, or any other moron that would repeatedly post haha.
The disclosure was a major screw up that resulted in no harm to anyone and no loss of effectiveness re the strike.
Clean it up and don't make the same mistake.
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2 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
If that is indeed you and you did Serve thank you. I have a lot of respect for service men. Both my brothers fought in the first Iraq War. But that is part of why I doubt you served. First you were to quick to dismiss the major ***** up that could have cost service men their life. My brothers still consider service men their brothers! Second I can't believe they would put someone so mentally weak in a fighter jet. I guarantee you would not become a cop being that mentally weak and they only carry guns. Insult me all you want, but it was very easy to play you.
Oh well, I'll have to somehow survive with your condemnation.
That is not a problem.
But, two deployments to the WESTPAC as a Naval aviator/officer carrier pilot, going through TopGun and serving as an adversary instructor, then doing an airline career which included being a check airman on the 757/767, certifying folks from my company on domestic and international routes, I had the approval of people with billions at stake, I am not concerned about your view.
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21 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
I wouldn't trust you with a pop gun. With how quick you melted down yesterday you would get yourself and those around you killed!
Well, the US Navy trusted me with a one megaton nuclear weapon, along wit scores of other weapons.
What you think is completely uninteresting to me.
I think you are significantly intellectually challenged.
By the way, and since you are clearly ignorant, I will inform you.
The missile I am resting my arm on is a HARM.
The fat weapons are cluster bombs, called Rockeye, and the missile above my head is a Sidewinder.
Also for the uninformed, the yellow stripes on those weapons indicate they are real warheads.
The picture is after preflighting the alert 15 airplane on Kitty Hawk.
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3 hours ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
I, for one, believe you. I also understand your frustration at having to defend credentials that were hard earned. But if it's that important to prove it, copy your license, cover identifying info on it and post it. or don't. There's no doubt however, that your posts have veered far right recently.
Your response begs the question.
Why would I spend the time copying and then providing personal information simply to appease some guy who can't put together a single sentence on this forum?
Further, why would it matter?
I have posted many times on matters that apply to the subject, and if that is not evidence, I want my charities to be paid for my time.
I'm glad to do so, if the accuser is willing to put up the same money I am.
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25 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
I thought you were going to post your proof? What the hell you waiting for tough guy? I offered you $100,000,000.
You thought wrong, as always.
There needs to be a bet that you would abide by for me to spend time copying licenses, logbook entries, US Navy Officer fireps., pics etc.
I don't work for free, nor am interested in some goof unless it would be substantial and for charity.
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30 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
Sure let's see what you can copy and paste from Google. $100,000,000.
So I guess your response is you won't take up the challenge.
Another goof, with goofy accusations.
You would benefit from restraining from accusations unless you are willing to back them up.
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10 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
Yawn. Your boring me. You exposed yourself already, you are not a pilot. I'll add another reason you are not. If you were why would you care what someone you don't know on a message board has to say? Now you just seem to desperate to prove it.
Then take the bet.
It's $10,000 for your favorite charity.
If not, shut up.
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1 minute ago, 4th&long said:
Let me guess what your weak minded dumb ass bet would be? The loser leaves the message board forever. Dumbest ass thing ever on a message board is a bet. You are weak. It took me two posts to figure you out. Devonshire not a piolt. To weak and emotional. You would get yourself and wingman killed.
Go ahead google and copy and pat some piolt certificate. Just make sure it doesn't say sherpa on it.
No.
Let's make it $10,000.
If I can't prove bona fides, I donate that amount to your favorite charity.
If I can, you donate to mine.
Want to engage?
Bond Market in Chaos Now--Yields Jumping As Investors Flee American Market
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
So, being so convinced of this nonsense, why did you back down from a $10,000 wager regarding this?
By the way, I get that processing language is not your strength, but I never claimed to be a "winemaker."
Enology, or often spelled oenology, is the correct term, but never claimed that.
I grow and sell a French Bordeaux red wine grape in the Monticello AVA, and have done so since 2008.