hondo in seattle
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Posts posted by hondo in seattle
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Only about 50% of 1st round QBs become solid starters in the NFL. I would guess that this year the odds are longer. None of these guys seems like a sure-fire hit. Do we really want to spend #3 on a 3 to 1 long shot? And then spend 3-4 years fooling around with the guy because we want to give him every chance in the world because he's a #3?
I realize most franchise QBs are picked early but this is not the year to go QB at #3.
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Kaepernick is a major project with upside. Reaching for him in the 1st round would terrible. He's 2 years away minimum from being able to produce in the NFL imo.
Why do you say he's two years away? Poor footwork? Bad mechanics? Can't read defenses? Immature?
Unless you defend your opinion, it's meaningless.
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accuracy and brains. shocking
Obviously any coach - or fan - wants accuracy and good decision making. I think the news here is that Chan did not say anything about mobility.
Some coaches are thinking the Vick model is the wave of the future. Chan's apparently not on that bandwagon - if we can believe what he's currently saying and this isn't just part of the Bills deception plan.
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Just a little fun
On April One
Should have disguised it better
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I think there have been some interesting hints from Nix-Gailey regards draft philosophy.
First of all, they talk about “risk-reward.” Obviously someone like Cam Newton offers a big reward but at a big risk. Unfortunately, there are no “can’t-miss” QBs in this draft. As Nix says, this might be his only chance to draft as high as Number 3. I don’t think he’s going to gamble on a QB when there are some “can’t miss” defensive linemen available.
Nix-Gailey also talk about evaluating how much the draft pick would be an upgrade over the current starter. We know that Gailey thinks Fitz is a serviceable QB. Our defensive line is abysmal. Again, it seems that they would lean toward a defensive pick at #3 because we'd achieve greater upgrade there.
I think the Bills will take a QB in this draft, but in the later rounds. And I have a preference.
A little-heralded kid named Brady Thomas who didn’t put up amazing numbers but has a lot of upside I think. As a late rounder, he’s low risk. Here’s the scouting report:
Positives: Good height to see the field. Very poised and composed. Smart and alert. Can read coverages. Good accuracy and touch. Produces in big spots and in big games. Has some Brian Griese in him and is a gamer. Generally plays within himself. Team leader.
Negatives: Poor build. Very skinny and narrow. Ended the season weighing 195 pounds and still looks like a rail at 211. Looks a little frail and lacks great physical stature and strength. Can get pushed down more easily than you'd like. Lacks mobility and ability to avoid the rush. Lacks a really strong arm. Can't drive the ball down the field and does not throw a really tight spiral. System-type player who can get exposed if he must ad-lib and do things on his own.
Summary: Is not what you're looking for in terms of physical stature, strength, arm strength and mobility, but he has the intangibles and production and showed great Griese-like improvement as a senior. Could make it in the right system but will not be for everyone.
The negatives sound a little worrisome but nothing a year in the weight room as a back-up wouldn’t cure. I’ve seen the guy play and would love him in a Bills uniform.
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Three out of four simulations have us taking K.J. Wright in the 3rd.
Two out of four have us nabbing Mallet in the 2nd.
My grandmother's maiden name was McElroy. Wonder if I'm related to the "smart, midround QB" in simulation #2. ????
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Von Miller put his name on the anti-trust litigation officially making him persona non grata. why would anyone draft this malcontent. all of the talent in the world will not make up for this slap in the owners face.
So you wouldn't want Brady or Manning as our QB? They signed the filing. Just asking.
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5.4 is inebriated 3-legged hippo slow. Not only do I wonder about his ability to escape the rush, but how hard he prepared for the combine. If he just jogged three times per week, he'd be faster than 5.4. What kind of work ethic does he have???
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Buddy Nix in a recent interview listed DE, CB, ILB,QB, and OT as najor needs. OLB is not listed as he said he is happy with Merriman, Moats and maybe Maybin. So here's what the bills draft might look like, he said he doe'nt like to trade down either.
1. Patrick Peterson, LSU S/CB. Best Player in the draft, listed as need by Nix. This pick is assuming that Newton was selected by Carolina.
2. Akeem Ayers, UCLA ILB. One of the best ILB in the draft.
3. Andy Dalton TCU, QB. career stats Project QB to back up Fitz. Risng up the charts and Galley knows him.
4a. Lance Kendricks TE Wisconsin. Bills get lucky and this guys slips to 4th round.
4b. Marcus Gilbert Florida OT, can challege foe starter and adds depth.
5. Lawrence Guy Arizona St DE. Depth at position. has good size 6'5" 300.
6. Josh Bynes Auburn ILB. More LB Depth.
7. Graig Cooper Miami RB. Best Player on Board. Depth behind Spiller and Jackson.
It's not my favorite draft, but the Bills never draft what I want or expect.
I'm sure I couldn't come up with a projected draft as probable as this one. Yet, I can't help but comment that I think it's unlikely that the Bills will wait until the 5th Round to draft a defensive lineman. This is a good year for DEs and there will be good options available in Rds 2-4. Considering the Bills poor run defense and lack of pass rush, I got to imagine they'll take a DE earlier than Rd 5.
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Hard to consider Cousineau a draft bust when we traded him and ended up with Kelly.
And Terry Miller wasn't a traditional draft bust. We didn't do a poor job evaluating this guy's pro potential. He was a beast in college and looked like he'd become a star in the NFL when he rushed for 1000+ yards at 4.5 ypc his rookie year with the Bills. But as I recall, he then developed some wierd disease and lost his peripheral vision. Still a great athlete, he couldn't see his way around the field and his career was pretty much done.
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So Dareus and Quinn aren't elite
? We have been drafting skill players all decade its time to address the line.I'm not sad to see Brohm go. But I do think it's curious we once cut Brown and kept Brohm. Now we cut Brohm and keep Brown. What changed?
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is this about Paea or Austin?
If Paea is there in the second he would be a steal, has first round talent and dominated opponents but has been dinged up so maybe he falls to us.
How'd the boxing go?
I guess better than football. He's 12-0, winning most by KO/TKO - though he's never fought anyone any good. All but one of his opponents have losing records.
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Remember Leif Larsen?
He was a bench press beast, but unfortunately he couldn't play football.
As I recall, Larsen did 45 reps at the combine and maybe 50/51 once in college... Then became a boxer after failing with the Bills.
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Lol... this is "logical"? What if my Defense overpowers your Offense? Now where is your arguement?
Um... I was joking about the logic...
It's just silly to argue that Defense wins games and not see the game holistically. A good Offense makes a Defense look bad and vice-versa. If you have a bad Offense, every opposing Defense will be good (comparatively) and you'll lose a lot of games.
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I've never bought the old saw that Defense wins games.
Let's make it into a logical argument:
Defense wins games.
My Offense will overpower your Defense so your defense won't win the game.
Therefore Offense wins games.
It's best to see a game as three battles: Our O against their D. Our D against their O. Our ST versus their ST. Ideally we need to win all three contests. If we win but two, we probably win the game.
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According to STATS Inc's "New York Life Protection Index," the Bills are the 20th best at protecting the QB.
This is a new stat so we can't compare our showing to last year but clearly an improvement.
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If we had a good O Line, Trent would be my choice at QB. He's accurate and plays well when he has time and can get into a rhythm.
But we all know our line sucks. Given this, Fitz may indeed be the better option.
But he's no savior. Dree Brees would have trouble producing many points behind this line.
The only thing that can save this season is the O Line starting to mature and gel.
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Please delete if a repost
Go Bills!
I realize that Donte isn't as good as we would hope from his draft position. But he plays hard and is loyal to the Bills organization. This guy isn't just a Bills player, he's a Bills fan. And I'm glad he's confident and willing to show it. If Donte came in as an undrafted FA, I think he'd more popular here.
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I can't take how lame and negative some of these hack articles are that come from the Buffalo News. I was literally laughing out loud by myself at this latest article by Mike Harrington that talks about how Miami is just another team and there is no rivalry anymore, and that "The Bills are completely irrelevant so they can't even have a rival"
At first he starts with this line, taken from the Jerry Sullivan School of Gloom: "It's Miami Week. Squish the Fish, right? Are you pumped? Didn't think so."
Oh you didn't think so? Why because YOU'RE not pumped for the home opener against Miami you lame-o? Wanna ask my kids or my friends that have been talking about this Sunday for months? I personally cannot wait for this game to start and its killing me that it's only Wednesday right now.
You're not pumped to watch our new guys play their first real home game in Buffalo. Not pumped to see Spiller and the new plays Gailey has in store for Miami that nobody has even seen yet? You shouldn't have a job in sports if you aren't Christmas-morning excited for this game.
So speak for yourself Harrington, maybe next time just say that you're not pumped, but don't speak for me or the sold out stadium thank you.
I swear I would take the top ten posters on this board over every one of these hack writers (except Wilson).
Here's the kicker: he goes on to write: "Fans can't hate the Dolphins anymore. Who's the quarterback? Who's the coach? You barely know."
Really? I barely know? Wait you mean YOU barely know. I follow the AFC East because I'm a Bills fan, you obviously don't. I watched them go from 1-15 in 2007 to division champs at 11-5 the following year. Didn't you? Sorry dude but not only are you stretching a weak point, why don't you bring up game-relevant stuff like this:
Dolphins left tackle Jake Long has hurt knee and linebacker Channing Crowder are both serious Miami contributors that are hurt right now.
Cornerback Vontae Davis also has a hurt ankle, Will Allen got placed on IR for the SEASON. So that means CB jason Allen is going to start against Buffalo. I wonder how that might affect the gameplan for us? What about Ronnie Brown is he 100% from that surgery? That would be nice to know.
Stop writing weak off season 6th grade articles five days before the home opener please and use your locker room badge to dig a little deeper.
I've said this before here, but Warren Buffet has said that he would close down the Buffalo News because it's not profitable, but that he's keeping it alive simply because he thinks it's a valuable community asset. I disagree.
The STADIUM WALL is an asset baby! Warren send us some cash for a TaILgaTe PaRtY !!!!!!!!!!!!!
Webster, I'm with you brother 100%! Couldn't be more pumped. New offensive scheme. New defensive scheme. New coaches (love Chan so far). A new TE??? I'm super excited. Go Bills! Squish the fish!
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I think 9 or 10 wins are possible if the stars all align, but I'm predicting 7.
I do think the Bills will be much better than last year. But the schedule works against a much better record.
I'm also especially worried about the O Line. The starting 5 aren't impressive, I expect Gailey to scheme and play-call in a way to hide some of their deficiencies. O Line injuries, however, could put us in world of hurt.
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oh, since i'm off the hook then, 0-16.
jw
John, I will grant you "expert" status IF you change this to, say, 11-5.
(I want to someone, anyone, from the media to show the Bills some love).
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Die Hard,
Sorry to see you go. And thanks for the blood, sweat and tears you gave to the Bills.
Although there are good people, players and fans elsewhere, I have no trouble talking trash about Miami, NY, or NE. Football is war, after all. But I don't understand us attacking our own Bills players or fans. The only justification for attacking a Bills player is that he quit in his heart but still suits up.
We may wish TE, Maybin, Whitner or whoever were more talented, but they aren't. I wish I was as talented as them and could contribute to the Bills organization in whatever humble capacity. But since I'm not good enough and too old to play, I'll root for anyone who wears a Buffalo on his helmet.
I'm a Bills fan through and through and wish well for anyone who has ever fought on the gridiron for a Bills victory.
So good luck to you, Die Hard. Hope you change your mind.
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This board continues to amaze me. The guy had ONE decent game and now "hes a different man" and you're "very confident with him as our starter." Why do you guys do this to yourselves? STOP GETTING YOUR HOPES UP. Reality: Trent is an average QB with the ability to be very subpar on any given Sunday. Our defense is going to struggle mightily as it is apparent we don't have the personnel for the 3-4. Our o tackles are no better than the previous two years. Wake up, you guys are acting like a bunch of children.
Not sure why you respond to optimism with hostility. While I understand your pessimism, I politely disagree. First there is the empirical evidence. Last year, the first string offense produced just 3 points in 4 preseason games with TE at the helm. This year the first string offense has been scoring and moving the ball down the field with some proficiency.
Then there is the coaching. Last season, AVP tried to perform the duties of Off Coordinator and QB Coach. He was clearly under-prepared and over-whelmed by the challenge. Gailey and his staff will give TE a far better game plan and have him far better prepared.
Finally there is the O Line. Your concerns are warranted. But the line should at least be better than last year. Bell, Wood and Levitre will all likely be better in their 2nd year as starters. And, at least for now, the O Line is healthy. (Cross my fingers).
Even a child can find good reason to be hopeful for an improved TE and Bills offense.
MODRAK FIRED!
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I know we all like to blame RW but Modrak's draft record has been abysmal. I was surprised Nix retained him but it would have been tumultuous to fire Modrak at first and Nix probably wanted time to evaluate his work and the work of the whole scouting department, not knowing how much might be blamed on Wilson and Jauron. Now with a year-plus of evaluation, it's time to say goodbye. It would have been too disruptive to terminate Modrak before the draft though I suspect the decision was made weeks, if not months, ago.
I doubt if RW does his own scouting. If he did indeed make bad draft day decision (and I've never been convinced he was all that involved), it was because Modrak system of evaluating talent and presenting those evaluations to RW (and Jauron) was flawed. This isn't a popular sentiment but I don't think Jauron's win-loss record was that bad considering what Modrak and Brandon gave him to work with.