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Posts posted by DC Grid
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let's see.
A dominating front 7 player where are biggest weakness is our front 7 on d.
Or a project QB that is looking terrible tonight where the performance of our QB is passable. Fitz makes our offense better (especially our line). A project QB will not do that.
Amen. Fairley helps us beat the snot out of Brady and Sanchez every time we play them and gives us a better chance in those games. Newton helps us lose by 30 two years from now.
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Win a big game? At Alabama this year? SEC Championship game? Those are pretty big games. Come from behind? Auburn has come from behind in 8 games to win but the biggest was likely the Alabama game after being down 24-7 to win it 28-27.
He is a once in a generation athlete who set an NCAA record for passing effeciency who is 6-6 250 and run a legit 4.4 40.
Passing on him for anyone else will be the equivalent to teams passing on Michael Jordan for Clyde Drexler and Sam Bowie.
He instantly gives this team a chance to win every game, he has no character issues and is a born leader.
His pro day, combine and BCS performance tonight will likely push him to the no. 1 pick with Luck being out. You prolly don't believe that but it's true.
So wrong it's scary. Dude is like Jamarcus Russell, Vince Young, and Ryan Leaf all rolled into one.
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In today's article, Mark Gaughan has a straightforward indictment of Tom Modrak's job running the drafts. Of all the problems plaguing this front office, none have had the impact of systematic errors in scouting and draft day execution. If it were one or two misfires on first round picks, you could blame it on Ralph's meddling or Modrak being overruled. But this is a sustained, systemic inability to identify players able to perform at a high level in the NFL. Some have also been blinded by the late round success, arguing that Modrak "sucks at the top of the draft but finds steals in late rounds." This perception is due to a failure to remember all of the late round and UDFA failures. If you measure the few successes relative to all of the guys who get invited to camp each year, you'd realize that Modrak's not particularly good here either relative to the rest of the league. (The Packers yesterday got huge performances from 2 UDFAs at RB and CB).
2. Draft picks stunk.
Aaron Maybin. Marshawn Lynch. Trent Edwards. John McCargo. James Hardy. Chris Ellis. Those are six picks from the top three rounds who either left the team this year or produced nothing. Meanwhile, it appears Donte Whitner will leave without justifying his lofty draft selection. First-rounder Leodis McKelvin still has a long way to go. Rookie first-rounder C.J. Spiller didn't do nearly enough. The lack of home-grown quality veterans is the reason the Bills are at the bottom of the barrel.
The draft picks you listed somewhat cut against your / his point.
Maybin -- It was my understanding that this pick was a classic overrule. Leading up to the draft I remember the word being Bills FO LOVED Cushing and thought decently of Orakpo, then when the selection of Maybin came down it was said it was Juaron's call.
Lynch -- They wanted Patrick Willis, he was taken directly in front of them. They needed RB help so they picked the best one on the board at that time. I have a hard time seeing Lynch as a failure. He seems like a solid RB and far from a bust even given being picked at 12th overall. They got rid of him this year as drafting Spiller meant they had 1 too many backs, but you can't blame that on Modrak as Chan Gailey made the call on Spiller.
Trent Edwards -- Guy was a 3rd round pick and if he hadn't gotten his head scrambled he looked like he had potential. He showed enough in the early going that if he was just a little tougher he might be a starter in the league. I can't see how this pick can be trashed AT ALL.
John McCargo -- Big mistake no way around that.
James Hardy -- Ditto, though he might have made the team if Modrak didn't so effectively pick winners late in the Draft like S Johnson, or find UDFA gems like Nelson.
Chris Ellis -- again a 3rd round flyer. I have a hard time slamming a FO for missing on a 3rd round pick, especially when in that same draft they knocked it out of the park by finding both Bell and Johnson in the 7th.
In all looking at these draft picks seems to indicate that the owner and HC meddling is the biggest reason Modrak hasn't done better.
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Reading an article on ESPN yesterday had Buffalo as the most likely landing spot for Young. I say sign him and let him compete with Fitz. He has to be an upgrade as a backup anyway.
Link?
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I really hope the Bills don't go anywhere near Gabbert, even in the second round. People talk about how everyone is high on him, but the reality is all of the positive press is coming from only two places, Mizzou or McShay. McShay and the ESPN Scouts.com crew love this guy, but in the 2 games I watched of him this year (I know limited sample size) this guy was awful. In the Iowa game in particular he exhibited almost nothing you'd like to see in a pro qb. He had happy feet, was inaccurate and error prone on his throws that were over 10 yards.
He captained a 12th ranked team to a loss against the unranked opponent throwing two picks along the way, and plays in a spread system that exagerates his stats. He physically is nothing like Daniels, but the reality is he hasn't done much better in the same system. Add to that the fact that he's lost every big game he played in, and I just can't see why McShay is pimping this kid so hard, and / or why so many people seem to be falling for it.
The Bills already have a system Qb on the roster that they don't need in Brohm, they should be looking to replace him with someone much better, and not just another guy who will fail in the NFL.
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No interest in VY under any circumstances.
Fisher...you would think this means he'll be back.
Please don't look this up...I'm really interested in everyone's answers without googling...
Fisher has been the HC of the Oilers/Titans for 16 full seasons. How many times did his teams make the playoffs?
I don't think it's been that many. I'd guess 4.
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No way they get even close to that. Id say a 4th at best, and probably not even that. Broncos must have forgot the only moron in the NFL who would come even close to making such a dumb trade, was just fired. BY THEM.
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Maybin, Stroud,Ayodele, and McCargo are done.
I know I'm probably wrong, but I just don't want to see them cut Maybin. I know there is about a 99% chance he will remain a total bust, but for that 1% I'd keep him. Give him one more year to make it at OLB, or at least give him the preseason. But I have no problem handing McCargo and Stroud their walking papers this afternoon.
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The offseason starts today for the Bills. The mock drafts are already flowing and fights over who the Bills need to add via the draft and free agency have already begun. But before the Bills front office can go out filling holes and working to improve the team it has to first fully evaluate the roster it already has. Part of that process is cutting the dead weight and moving on. So who would you cut from the Bills who is under contract for 2011?
The first cut that came to my mind was Stroud. Simply put, this guys appears done. I would love it if the Bills took the non-gaurenteed money they are scheduled to pay him next year and try to get a better DE for the 3-4 or add it to a pile of cash and throw it at a true NT like Solari.
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....the Buffalo Bills select.....?
Who do we want?
On the plus side it is actually impossible for them to draft Maybin again, so rejoice.
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I don't see Mckelvin on the roster much longer unfortunately. I don't think chan is the type to put up with That many mistakes.
Obviously Gaither has been injured much of this year, and might have long term back issues, but part of me is really wishing Nix would have accepted the Gaither for Mckelvin offer.
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BTW The Current Strength of Schedule is Buffalo 140-100, and Cinci 139-101.
So if you add the division games in for this week, counting a loss for Cinci and Buffalo its 148-106, 147-107. If somehow Cinci pulls out a win obviously this all moot and Buffalo moves up anyway.
It was my understanding that SOS only came into play if two teams had the same record and didn't play each other that year. Bills beat Cin, so all that moves buffalo up is a worse record.
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Give Tebow more than two starts. Next season won't go well for him.
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So where do you get this bullsh*t from? If you don't want him, that's fine. But why the bullsh*t comparison??
Obviously Cam doesn't have the same mechanical problems VY did coming out, and he has offield issues unlike VY when he came out of college, but statistically the comparison isn't crazy.
Both are physically large QBs who are mobile and known for leading their teams to big victories. Both played in the BCS championship in their 3rd year of eligibility, and their stats are below:
VY 3,036 yards, 26 TDs, 10 ints, 1,050 rush yards, 6.8 avg, 12 TDs.
Cam 2,589 yards, 28 Tds, 6 ints, 1,409 rush yards, 5.8 avg, 20 TDs.
How could you ever compare two completely different qbs? What basis could there possibly be?
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Not really. He wasn’t asked the question straight up. He actually went out of his way to say how smart the kid is when it comes to defensive football. He talked about his football IQ like it was superior to his athletic ability.
I was never a fan of drafting Newton until now. Im not sure if he will like Buffalo or not (prob not) but if he is a player we should grab him. I actually do have confidence in Buddy Chan being able to assess a QBs mind. They knew to go after Tebow and to stay away from Clausen when most everyone was leaning the other way, and the only explanation would be those two guys mental understanding of the game.
PS Newtons arm is not stronger than Tebow whoever said that. You may not like Tebow but the dude throws lazers. He had some throws in the Houston game (60+ yarders on a frozen rope while rolling out) that only Vick or the 1998 Farve could have made. Even I was surprised he could do that. Newtons is not weak, but Tebow is in the top 1% in terms of arm strength.
A lot of people talk about how Tebow has a strong arm, but I don't buy it. Long passes tend to turn into ducks on him and he seems to have to loft anything over 20 yards. Maybe it's just his bad mechanics, but Ive always chalked up throwing a bad deep ball to a lack of arm strength. Fwiw, in ESPN's pre draft breakdown they said Tebow had good nor elite arm strength and graded his arm strength as being in the second tier.
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Balderdash! Give me the wins and let the scouting department find some players. Its all about winning.
Here here! And let's only play the starters in the preseason. Every win is a must, consequences be darned. Bills should also forfeit their first founders from here on out. Let's really make the scouting department earn their keep.
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Can anyone name a QB like Newton who has had long term success in the NFL? Long term being defined as sustained high quality play and at least a modicum of post season success.
The ONLY one I can think of is Steve Young. Guys like Vick, Randall Cunningham, VY,and Tebow just don't work out in the NFL. Even Steve Young had his career cut short because of his running, and only had success while surrounded by an amazing supporting cast. Take a look at Vick this year. His best year as a pro, he's missed games because of injury and appears to be wearing down right in time for the playoffs.
But I do have to admit, watching Cam play, I wouldn't hate it if the Bills took a chance on him. Cam is like Tebow, except better in his mechanics and physical attributes. Assuming he will put in the time off the field, maybe he could buck the trend.
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The difference maker that this secondary needs is a defensive line that can get to the quarterback, plain and simple. Make it so that these DBs don't have to cover guys all day long and you'll see a remarkable improvement in secondary play.
I generally agree with this, but if there isn't a clear elite contributor who can play in the front seven when the Bills are on the clock, I'd rather they take an elite cover corner who could shutdown every other teams top receiver. A lot more info will pour in before the draft, but right now there appears to be 4-5 elite front 7 guys. If they are gone, Id rather see them grab a corner than reach for a QB, or take an elite WR like Aj green. I don't see this as too likely unless the Bills win this Sunday and drop to the 9th pick.
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please go through the nfl draft history for the past 10-12 years and identify all the top three picks (because remember, we just HAVE TO HAVE A TOP 3 PICK THIS YEAR OR WE'LL NEVER BE GOOD!!) who have proven to be studs and transformed bad teams into good ones. i did notice ryan was taken 3rd by the falcons in '08, so there is one check in your column. but as i scroll back through those lists, i see mostly guys who were drafted by sucky teams who have continued to suck. which supports my view that we don't have to have a top3 pick to turn this team around...what we need is guys who can draft.
meanwhile there are as many productive players in the 4-8 spots, where we'll wind up drafting if OMYGOD SHEER AND UTTER DISASTER STRIKES and we win sunday.
link:
http://www.nfl.com/draft/history/fulldraft?season=2009&round=round1
<edited for content> Beerball
Fact is, a win costs the Bills 4-5 draft spots in every round. That is often huge not only in the 1st round but also the second. Often times teams picking high in the second get a shot at 1st round talent that fell for no reason but the position needs of the teams that drafted in the last 3rd of the first round.
Also let's put this "win" into perspective. A win won't get the Bills into the playoffs. A win could provide a psychological benefit if it came against a team in the Division that was actually at full strength, which is precisely why I was hoping the Bills would pull out all the stops and beat the pats last week. But if the Jets are pulling starters, what does a win against them achieve?
For all those who think it's stupid to believe the Bills are better off losing against the Jets backups, what is the quantitative upside to such a win? The downside is clear, the Bills draft position will be significantly hurt. Are those who hope for a win against the Jets backups also disappointed when the Bills don't play their starters for every minute of the preseason?
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If Luck actually was there I assume Gailey would take him.
Assuming he isn't going to be you have to take the next best impact player for the team and that is a beast DT/DE that can stop the run and pressure opposing QBs
Round 1 Any of these will do:
Nick Fairley
Marcell Dareus
DaQuan Bowers
Round 2 Best Linebacker on their draft board that can come up in run defense and yet cover a TE.
Akeem Ayers
Bruce Carter
Von Miller is a beast rushing the passer, but with Moats and Carrington I figured we needed someone who can come up in run support yet skate with opposing TE's when needed.
Round 3 True Strong Safety. If Mark Barron drops due to his injury and declares he is more in the mold of a SS that puts fear into the hearts of opponents, a ferocious hitter that creates turnovers - something I don't think we get with Whitner. He may not be that great in coverage, but neither was Donte.
The rest of the rounds we need to get an impact TE, a mauler at RT, and you can't get enough Defensive Backs.
Round things out with a Guard/Tackle for depth.
Round 4a TE or CB
Round 4b CB or TE
Round 5 RT
Round 6 G
Round 7 Tom Brady
If it was up to me Id draft Brady ahead of more interior line help. But I can't argue with a lot of the rest.
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Completely agree. If they lose Sunday, the worst the lowest they draft is 4th, but if they win, they might be drafting as low as 12. Yes, no draft pick is a guarantee, and yes the Bills could draft another mike Williams, but playing the numbers game, there are a lot more impact players taken at 4 than 12.
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If the Bills are going to continue to attempt a 3-4 or a hybrid, Ryan Kerigan probably belongs on the list. He looks like a game changing OLB.
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Shawn merri will take far too much for the bills to sign relative to his likely worth. Is give him around a 90 percent chance of being completely done.
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I like Mallet, and think that he could be a franchise Qb if he was allowed to learn behind Fitz for a year or so. But I don'treally want to see him taken this high (3) as like all qbs he has a high bust potential. I also get nervous that watching him a number of times this year, he's somewhat a product of his offense. In the Alabama or Lsu game (i forget which) he was knocked out and his backup came in and looked just as good, which is often a bad sign.
Right now the Bills are drafting 6th and failing any upset wins by them or teams in the top 5 that's where they'll be come draft day. At 6th Mallet would be less of a reach as likely the top QB, DE, and DT would all be off the board and taking any of the OTs would be a big reach, and trading down is never really that easy to do. Additionally, the Bills couldn't trade too far down and still hope to get him as I don't see mallet, or whoever is deemed the 2nd best Qb in this class, lasting too far into the teens, given all the teams with Qb issues. Min, Sea, Cin, Ari, Was, Car, Cle?, Mia?, SF?.
I'd also say if there was an OLB on the board with Clay Matthews potential they should just grab him and maybe go for a guy like Locker in the 2nd.
OK Newton. make me a believer!
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
It's the coaching staff newton looks to the sideline every play for the audible call. He is literally only a body out there. No thinking allowed for any players on aub's offense. I've never really seen something like this.