CFP - Who should make it

[GASabresIUFan]

The regular season is over. Who is in and who is on the bubble?  There are 13 teams competing for the 11 slots that will go to power 4 conferences. The 12th slot with go to JMU, Navy, Tulane or N Texas depending on who is ranked the highest.  

 

Who is in?  
1. Ohio St - best wins - Texas, Michigan. Next game vs IU in the Big 10 Championship game.  Winner no. 1 seed

2. Indiana - best wins - Oregon (on the road)  Illinois

3. Georgia - best wins - Ole Miss. Tex, Tenn, - Loss - Bama.  Next game: SEC Championship vs Bama

4. Texas Tech - best wins  - BYU, Utah - Loss ASU (without their starting QB).  Next game - vs BYU in Big 12 championship game.

5. Texas A&M - best win - At ND - Loss at Texas

6. Mississippi - best win - at Oklahoma - Loss at Georgia

7. Oregon - Best Win - USC - Loss to Indiana at home

 

Likely in but not sure why but could still be forced out

8. Notre Dame - Best wins USC and Navy - Losses - At Miami and home vs Texas A&M - The loss at Miami should put them in the next category especially with mediocre good wins.

 

Who is still competing for a spot? (most of these teams are 10-2)
Alabama - Best Wins - At UGA, Vandy, Tenn. - Good loss - Oklahoma - Bad Loss - At FSU - Next game: SEC Champ vs GA - Win and they’re in (top 4?); loss they maybe out.
BYU - Best Win - UTAH - Loss vs Texas Tech - Next game vs Texas Tech in Big 12 championship.  Win and they’re are in; loss they are possibly out

Oklahoma - Best wins Bama, Michigan & Tenn. - Losses at HOME to Ole Miss and Texas - Probably in, but ….

Miami - Best Win - ND - Losses SMU & Louisville. If Duke wins ACC - Committee probably puts Miami in to represent the ACC.

Virginia - Best Win - Louisville - Losses NC State & Wake.  Next Game - ACC championship vs Duke - Win and they’re in and lose and they’re out, likely kicking Miami to the curb

 

Other teams with an argument for a slot

Utah (10-2) Best Win - ASU - Losses to BYU & Texas Tech

Vandy (10-2) Best Win - Tenn - Losses to Bama & Texas

Texas (9-3) Best Win - Texas A&M - Losses Georgia, Ohio State - Bad Loss - Florida

 

If BYU, Bama & Virginia win their championships, the committee will have to decide between ND and Oklahoma for the last slot.  I’d choose Oklahoma because of better wins.

 

[YoloinOhio]

I think even if bama loses they will get in. The committee doesn’t seem to ding a conference championship loss the same way as a reg season loss and they already beat Georgia