[closed]Stop with the "should have picked X QB" complaints

[BisonMan]

There has been a lot of postings around here lately about how the Bills should have picked Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick or Russell Wilson. I say hindsight is 20/20. There are lots of QBs that have been picked in the last three years that everyone would have screamed about had the Bills "wasted" a pick on them as other teams have done in the first 3 rounds. They include:

 

2012

(1) Brandon Weeden: much worse numbers than Fitz

(2) Brock Osweiler: hopefully learning from Peyton Manning but will not see the field for years

 

2011

(1) Jake Locker: not showing he's NFL caliber

(1) Blane Gabbert: about to be replaced by...anyone

(1) Christain Ponder: can't even succeed with 11 guys in the box to stop AP

(3) Ryan Mallett: likely behind Brady until his contract runs out

 

2010

(1) Tim Tebow: about to be cut, deservedly

(2) Jimmy Clausen: not NFL quality

(3) Colt McCoy: backing up Weeden...ouch!

 

I personally think that once NFL defenses catch up to the spread option, both Kaepernick and Russell Wilson will see their production fall off. Even so, of the QBs the Bills could have picked in the last three years under Nix, 9 are not either very good or even starters (and/or unproven) and 3 (Dalton, Kaepernick and Wilson) are successful so far. In my opinion, only Dalton has enough starts to evaluate reasonably.

 

So, the odds were only 25% of picking a passable starter and none of the ones they passed on are yet considered "elite". So, if you don't feel really good about a QB, you are setting your franchise back years by picking the wrong one. Missing on a CB, DL or other position doesn't hurt you as badly.

 

Of course, you don't win the lottery if you don't play. I think the Bills were right in focusing on their many other areas of concern before taking risks on drafting a QB.

[Beerball]

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