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2012 NFL Regular Season Spreads


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I'm not trying to be an a-hole but I'm not following the argument.

 

Let's start with a premise we can probably all agree upon… the oddsmakers are trying to make money.

 

If we accept that, what is their strategy?

 

That is what I would like to understand.

 

yes they and we all want to make money LOL.

 

So strategy is pretty simple. Just like the casinos, bookmakers know the general public is typicall a loser on sports betting. There are times where the guy who runs a book is willing to make a bet agaisnt the public, and therefore even if 80% of the money is on one side, they will not change the line as they like the other side.Happens a ton with teams in one of two spectrums..

 

1) the team the public loves..IE Steelers, Packers and Cowboys are often overbet and books will take advantage of that.

 

2) teams like the Bills who get no respect from the betting public..never taking into account quality of opponant, luck of turnovers etc.

 

 

As mentioned in m earlier posts, there are now plenty of sights that track where bets are made, and percentage of bets on one side or the other. It is a great contrarian indicater, but as in most things in life, when you/I tend to use them they seem not to work :thumbsup::w00t:

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