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Bills Analyst

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Posts posted by Bills Analyst

  1. 4 minutes ago, Buffalo ill said:

    Were there very  many people cheering for the colts?  On tv I noticed some noise when the bills were on O.  Josh even did the be quieter gesture at one point.  Is he spoiled by a lack of crowd noise in previous games, or are Bills fans just that dumb/drunk, lol?

    I didn’t see a single colts jersey.  It was very quite when the colts scored.  It was nice to see 100% bills fans.  I saw josh ask for quiet on the first drive, but I think it was just everyone’s excitement seeing the. On O for the first time.  The rest of the way it seemed quite while the were on offense.

     

    what struck me the most was on the Hail Mary play.  It was very loud leading up to the throw.  And then when the ball was in the air, it got very silent.  Maybe it was all in my head,  but it seemed like a movie sequence.  Slow motion, quite and then An explosion of joy when the ball hit the ground.

     

    if you can go, I recommend going.  It’s not the same as a full stadium, but it’s one of those things you just have to make sure you experience.

    • Like (+1) 2
  2. 1 hour ago, row_33 said:

    the Blue Jays dumped Bobby Cox when they made the playoffs, realized he was a total zero as a manager in the playoffs, made the change and won 2 titles

     

    Except they replaced cox with someone who never was a manager.  Williams lasted 4 years never winning the series.  And then when they replaced Williams they won.  So your example of Cox is not a great one.

     

    And Cox took ATLANTA to many World Series.  I think 5.  So not so bad.

  3. 24 minutes ago, Virgil said:


     

    How is Cleveland eliminated with 7 wins?  We could still go 9-7 and they'd have the tie-breaker over us?

     

    Personally, I think I'd rather see Oakland win that division as I don't want to play the Wildcard game in KC.  Ultimately, I want out playoff path to go through the AFC South, then the Pats, then home against the 6 seed ?

     

    I was just responding to what would need to happen this week to ensure we clinch a playoff spot assuming we beat Pittsburgh.  That would be our 10th win.

     

    Ideally I would want the scenario that gives us home field.  But figuring out what could clinch a playoff birth with a win in week 15 is a game I like playing.  It’s much better than figuring out what needs to happen to clinch something week 17 assuming we win out

    • Like (+1) 1
  4. 2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    Only if a load of other results go for us. What I am more interested in is even if we lost to Baltimore then in what scenarios does a win at Pittsburgh in week 15 clinch? Cos those are the scenarios I want to root for. 

    If we lose to Baltimore I think a win vs PITTSBURGH clinches a playoff spot under the following scenarios this week.  This scenario assumes we lose the rest of the games as a worst case resulting in us having a 10-6 record and 7-5 in conference.

     

    there are 5 teams that can catch us,but two have to have a better record and tiebreakers.

     

    the teams are 

    Pittsburgh

    cleveland

    oakland

    tennesee

    indianapolis

     

     

    Pittsburgh beats Cleveland.  This Eliminates Cleveland with 7 losses.

    Tennessee beats Indianapolis.  This give so indy 6 losses and 6 losses in conference and we beat them on that tiebreaker.  Eliminated. But Tennessee still has 5 losses.

    Oakland loses.  This gives them 6 losses. Not eliminated yet.

     

    No now it gets trickier.

     

    oakland and Tennessee play each other the week we play Pittsburgh.

    if Oakland wins, the. Tennessee has has 6 losses and we would win with head to head over Tennessee and pisstburgh.we still could end up 6th seed,  but we are in.

     

    If Tennessee wins, Oakland has 7 losses and they can’t catch us.

     

    i think the only way it could be delayed is if either Tennessee/Indy tie of Tennessee/Oakland tie.

     

    I also didn’t check to see if Houston or kc collapse and another team takes the division.  So I would say root for Houston and kc,  but there may be scenarios where things can get complicated.

     

    So I think rooting for is the way to go.

    pittsburgh over Cleveland

    tennessee over Indy

    KC over Oakland.

    houston over new england*

    • Like (+1) 2
  5. 2 minutes ago, DCbillsfan said:

    The Bills called a timeout after 3rd down.  They let the play clock run down to 1 second and there was 19 seconds on the game clock when they called timeout.  Then they punted into the end zone.  Jets 1st and 10 at their 20 with 12 seconds to go and no timeouts.  McD played it right.

    It was the right sequence,  but why take the time out?  Let the extra second run off the clock, take the 5 yard penalty and still kick it out of the end zone.  

    • Like (+1) 1
  6. 54 minutes ago, Joe in Winslow said:

     

    Your inner fanboy is showing here. Name me ONE other NFL team that operates like this. Think Steve Grogan  came and held young Tom Brady's hand? Think Joe Namath is out there sharing sage advice with Darnold? How about Marino with Rosen?

     

    Well there is this one as well.  

     

    “Rodgers said that Bart Starr, who led the Packers to victories in the first two Super Bowls, has served as a mentor to him.

     

    “It’s a privilege,” Rodgers said. “Bart has been incredible to me — in the last three years especially — with the e-mails and conversations that I’ve been able to share with him. He’s an incredible man and a guy I’d love to model my career after.””

     

    https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/02/01/rodgers-gets-advice-from-starr-warner-young-but-not-favre/

  7. 17 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    That's an interesting question.

    I looked back at 'Cog's twitter, and he never tweeted that.

    He retweeted something Vic Carruci tweeted after interviewing him.

    So to me, it was different than the rest of the twit-fest he pulled back in April.

     

    If it was a tantrum, he sucked a respected journalist into it, then SI picked it up

     

     

     

    https://www.si.com/nfl/2018/04/10/bills-richie-incognito-announces-retirement-twitter

     

    I would certainly think that any team offering Incognito a contract would want to be thoroughly reassured on those points.

     

     

  8. 3 hours ago, plenzmd1 said:

     

    This seems to have never been an issue in college, why do you all think it would be dramatically different in the pros?

    Because college QBs are less accurate and thus there are fewer situations where a corner is on top of the receiver who may make a catch deep.  The odds are generally better that the QB will either miss the target or the receiver will drop it as college receivers as a group are not as good as NFL receivers.

     

    You also have receivers gaining more separation from the dbs in college, so it's harder to intententially foul.

     

    the NFL defenders are better and thus are closer to the recite era, so they would be in position to foul more frequently.

  9. 7 minutes ago, JR in Pittsburgh said:

    What’s interesting is that a win this sunday makes it less likely that we get in the playoffs. We either need to win out or make sure our 1 remaining win is at miami. Very strange.

    A win Sunday makes it more likely that we get into the playoffs.  No doubt about it.  However,  if you are going to assume we win one and lose one,  then beating Miami does give us a better chance.  So we need to beat Miami and then a win this weekend nearly assures us the playoffs.

  10. 8 hours ago, transplantbillsfan said:

     

    8 hours ago, transplantbillsfan said:

    Think it'll work against Tom Brady on Sunday if we manage to go ahead by a couple scores? :flirt:

     

    Well you if we are up by 10 anytime in the 2nd half,  then something is going surprisingly well.  So it just might work.

     

    Even if it didn’t,  this “strategy” will still be 3-1 which I would take.  As long as they can get up by 10 which is a huge challenge  He way this years team has been playing th first quarter.

  11. On 11/29/2017 at 11:27 AM, Watkins90 said:

    Most teams run the ball when they are up two scores in the second half. Didn't everyone kill the Falcons last year for throwing too much in the second half of the Super Bowl which allowed the Pats time to get back in the game?

     

    I mean, we should probably throw a little more than we do when up by two scores, but that mostly just comes down to the offense being super obvious. LIke Dennison only throws the ball on third and long in the second half. It wouldn't be an issue if our rushing attack was better. 

     

    While you might call it conservative, doesn't running the ball also wear down the defense? Aren't they trying to move the ball while also keep the clock running? I just don't by the assessment you are making. I'd like to see some other stats of other QBs, and how often they throw in the second half up two scores. 

    And if I counted correctly, the bills are 3-0 this year when they were up by 10 and used this approach.  So it might not be exciting and it certainly can be stressful, but if it works, it's a good strategy.  Now if they can only get out to a big lead quickly, we are gold n.

  12. 3 hours ago, transplantbillsfan said:

     

    Nononono...

     

    You misunderstand what I meant.

     

    Matty Ice is a Franchise QB now, but it's thanks to all those circumstances I mentioned.  Him being a franchise QB wasn't inevitable in the same way those Tier 1 guys were.

    I'm not so sure Brady was inevitable either.  Brady only got his shot at starting due to an injury to Bledsoe.  At the time bellickick had a career 41-57 record and wasn't the perceived genius he is today.  So if Bledsoe wouldn't have got hurt, he likely would have finished the season as the starter.  Would billy boy have had the support to start a third year 6th rounder over a 3x probowler who was a #1 overall draft pick.  

     

    And if he didn't start him, then where would Brady have gone after his rookie contract was over?  Buffalo?  Would he have been the same guy here?  I'm not so sure.

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