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SACTOBILLSFAN

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Posts posted by SACTOBILLSFAN

  1. 11 hours ago, Buffalo716 said:

    Lol It is an extremely tough profession to make it in

     

    Sharps have to be mathematicians, Efficient in analytics, And watch an extreme amount of The sport they bet…

     

    They also need to have the patience To know when not to bet And wait for the right line to play

     

    It’s pretty wise to always follow the sharps


    This hasn’t been true this year, because the NFL has been seeing more variance this year than any year in memory. Also if you don’t directly interact with actual big money players you’re relying on media sponsored by the books to tell you where the “sharp” positions are. Not to mention how important it is to know when sharp money comes in, because if it’s early in the week around a key number it could be respected money simply grabbing a number or even trying to head fake the books into moving to the other side of a key number right before limits increase on Thursday. 

  2. Lines that move between +2.5 through the 0 out to -2.5 are pretty inconsequential moves because it doesn’t touch the biggest key number in the sport of 3 on either side. There’s not a big chance for a middle position from professionals. There was some money that came in on Buffalo from professional groups but not a ton. 

    9 hours ago, Neo said:

    Vegas doesn’t bet.  It takes bets.  Vegas matches its book and cares not how you bet.  If the line’s moving as you report, it’s because bettors are selecting the Bills.

    Books absolutely do not do this. They don’t balance their books, and they’ll take massive stands on numbers because if they simply moved their numbers based on just total money on a side they’d get smoked by professionals who would dummy line moves constantly. 

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  3. 1 minute ago, Johnnycage46 said:

     

    Tell me you are watching this current Bills drive and you are thinking, Super Bowl, deep playoff run, etc.  They look like garbage.  How about that second straight missed FG?  But sure, the Chiefs almost lost to Houston so its ok. 

    The chiefs also put up 550 yards of offense and allowed 230. It was only close because of luck.  

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