90sBills
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Posts posted by 90sBills
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12 minutes ago, chris heff said:
So if you beat one good team you’re great, got it.
Yeah that’s exactly what that means. Guess that’s 1 more than the Bills so it makes sense. -
1 hour ago, Rew said:
In this case he seems to feel that Bal winning straight up is a lock, and the bills +8 is a lock. In this scenario the "main bet" for him is probably the Ravens straight up, but he "teased" it with Bills +8 to improve the payout for what he feels to be little additional risk.
Teasers are a little different than parlays. You don’t win exponentially to your bet amount. It’s like a single bet where you’d have to lay juice. The benefit you get is 6pts to your bets. Both teams have to hit for you to collect.
With this teaser I had Bal to win straight up against Miami on Thursday plus Bills getting +8 pts.
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1 hour ago, dcinmuncie said:
Do you mind explaining what you mean by this? I’m not following
Balt already won so I need Bills to win or lose by 7 or less to collect. That’s a lock to me.3 hours ago, chris heff said:But beating the Giants, Raiders and depleted Commanders does?
No, but add in Det and it sure does.-
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49 minutes ago, RichRiderBills said:
I hope Josh is not up late watching this baseball game.
Mahomes is for sure. Advantage Buffalo! -
16 minutes ago, BillytheKid said:
Teams just like the (Chiefs tomorrow) who have won 3 straight home games and cover the spread in all 3 of them by double digits, then have to go on the road as a very small favorite (-1.5 or -2) versus teams that have a .700 (Bills) or better win percentage, don’t usually win so I would say the Bills have a great shot at winning tomorrow. This scenario doesn’t happen very often.
Public perception is all huge recency bias and the books know that and they have already shaded the line an extra point towards the Chiefs.
Nothing is guaranteed but having made a living handicapping Sports for over 30 years this is a spot usually the home underdog covers and wins outright.
We shall see how tomorrow goes but Bills definitely won’t be blown out. At least 95% Chance they won’t.
Most likely what happens in the worst case would be Chiefs win by 2 or 3 points.
Best case Bills win by 7+ points which has happened plenty of times in this scenario before.
what most likely happens in most cases it comes down to a one possession game and the Bills win.Just how these exact set ups go very very very high percentage of the time historically.
Bills 65% chance of winning this game tomorrow based on this set up historically. Better chance than what most of you probably think.
I’m counting on this. I have a big teaser with Balt + Bills (+8). It’s guaranteed money in my book.-
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47 minutes ago, Mailman said:
What an absolute joke. After 4 weeks, the Bills were the class of the AFC, and the Chiefs were flailing. 4 games later, and this is the narrative? Makes me sick.
Losing to Atlanta will do that.-
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5 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:
I mean we used the Sammy Watkins decoy thing for years to say why he's not putting up stats lol just wasn't what we thought
And the bills throw to 8 different guys.. end of the day they have the same stats
I think Coleman has more 100-yard games in the regular season 2 after a year and a half in the NFL
It’s hard to say Worthy isn’t a big part of their offense when they instantly became dynamic when he came back. I think he has a bigger impact to KC’s offense than Coleman is to ours right now.-
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18 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:
Considering they both average 38 yards a game... I don't think there's much difference besides one's fast and one's not
There’s more contribution than just stats. Worthy usually requires a safety to shade his side leaving space for others.-
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19 hours ago, Buffalo716 said:
Well I'm saying him and worthy are both equally disappointments so it's not like one's a better weapon than the other
Do you really think Worthy is a disappointment for KC? He was a spark to their offense when he came back.-
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9 minutes ago, SCBills said:
Not all.. only Rice missed all of the year.
Am I supposed to be moved by that?.. especially when they’re constantly the healthiest team in the AFC Playoffs?
Last few years we’ve lost:
Prime Tre for the year.
Post- Super Bowl monster Von for the year.Milano & Jones for the year.
Oliver for the year.
This year… Oliver done. Rapp IR. Sanders IR. Strong IR. Milano in and out. Bernard in and out. Brown missed a game. Kincaid in and out. Palmer in and out. Samuel in and out. Jones in and out.
Heading into KC week..
Down DT Oliver (year), DT Sanders, DT Jones, S Rapp (year), LB Shaq, CB Strong, WR Palmer, potentially NCB Taron.
Wasn’t meant to move you. Just pointing out that injuries happens. Some teams can handle them better than others.-
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30 minutes ago, SCBills said:
What does KC do? Because aside from Rashee Rice last year, they rarely face the injury bug like other teams.
They haven’t even had their bye yet and they’re only down Pacheco and Simmons, Simmons not even injury related.
Meanwhile the Ravens were decimated up until this past week, we’ve been a triage unit most of the year.. Jacksonville has Travis Hunter on IR after a practice injury. The Bengals can’t keep any QB healthy. It goes on and on.
They lost Rice, Hollywood, Pacheco, Watson, Moore for most, if not all, of last season. No NFL team is immune to injuries. -
14 minutes ago, Gregg said:
Different sport but as an Islanders fan nothing will ever top 5 straight trips to the SC Finals. 19 straight playoff series wins which is still a record that stands today. 4 straight SC championships. With that said that was a lifetime ago just like the Bills 4 straight trips to the Super Bowl. I don't really think about either of those achievements anymore especially the Isles as they currently suck.
What the Islanders did was incredible. As for the Bills I still get random flashback moments of those 4 Super Bowls and they still hurt. lol-
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18 minutes ago, ChronicAndKnuckles said:
You think the current AFC QB crop is better than Kelly, Elway, Marino, Moon ? I’m not so sure. This is before my time, but AFC QBs seem pretty damn weak to me considering Daniel Jones is running the conference.
The AFC was significantly weaker than the NFC at that time. -
35 minutes ago, The Jokeman said:
I hope KC doesn't make 4 in row so can claim our Bills did something that likely never happen again.
Oh don’t worry about that. Regardless of what KC will do those Bills teams did something that will never happen again. That I have the utmost confidence in. -
2 hours ago, Success said:
The teams they've beaten.
We're their only good win, and that was a silly kind of game w/ the turnovers & penalties. Any other ref crew & that's a Bills win (imo).
I’m not sure we should use sos logic. NE is the only good team we’ve played and well you know.I don’t think their resurgence is imaginary. But I’m with you in that they can, and will, lose more games. Bills will end up winning the division and they’ll be the wildcard.
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6 minutes ago, FireChans said:
I fail to see how this is much different than us relying on Coleman, Samuel and Moore to step up?
15th/16th in points/yards is like bang on average. If that’s “functional” with one of the best QBs in football, I’m not sure what your definition of dysfunctional is.
Well, the season is not over so I’m holding out hope that our guys would not be as bad by season’s end.
How is average not functional? Because they do have one of the best QB they were still able to be successful. If you think KC was dysfunctional, yet made it to another Super Bowl then the AFC should just give up. They lost 1 game in the regular season. lol.
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13 minutes ago, FireChans said:
That’s not what happened with Mahomes FWIW.
after his stellar 2022 with a less than stellar supporting cast, their offense just took a step back relatively speaking. For 2 years in a row. And that was with Andy Reid calling the plays
Yeah it did. But there were circumstances that led to it.2023 they relied on guys like Toney and Moore to step up and become starters. They had a serious case of the dropsies and flamed out. Fortunately for them, they also drafted Rice who came on later in the season to filled the void. Of course Kelce was still serviceable as evidenced by him running all over the field in the divisional game against us.
2024 they had the injury issues at wr that, again, curtailed their offense. Yet they still managed to have a functional offense.
This year those guys are back and we can see how their, Mahomes and Reid, experience attacking this offense has paid off when they have all their arsenals.
Imo, Bills offense is in this stage of figuring out how to best attack it. Yes, more talent at receiver would help. But I have faith they’ll figure it out as the season wears on. One advantage they have over KC is a great running game. That’ll make things easier.
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23 minutes ago, FireChans said:
The media was being silly, like they always are.
You don't have to tell me about what the 2022 Chiefs did and how it was similar to the 2024 Bills.
What you are missing is the 2022 Chiefs had Travis Kelce put up one of the greatest TE seasons in history with 110 catches, 1300 yards and 12 TDs.
And Mahomes was throwing for 300 YPG and had 5500 yards total and 45 TDs.
Yes. The stats were great because they learned how to attack that defense is my point.
Getting an upgrade with the receiving corp would be great. But if Beane can’t get any deals done I have faith in the offense, specifically Allen and Brady, to adjust and improve on how to attack defenses imo.
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51 minutes ago, Sojourner said:
Offense, Coleman. Yes I said it lol
Only if they make the db covering him wear skates.-
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2 minutes ago, FireChans said:
Probably had something to do with their defense allowing 29, 36, 30, 30 and 38 their first 5 games.
they had a bad loss to the Titans. They were still awesome basically the whole year, as evidenced by being awesome statistically all year. The meme of the cover 2 boogeyman has gone too far
The media literally said Mahomes was ‘broken’ during that stretch. That the league has figured him out.
I agree somewhat with your view of the 2 high safeties overreaction. In KC’s case I think it did took them a little while to adjust. Especially Mahomes. He had to learn to take what the defense gave him.
That transition led KC to trade away Hill that offseason and picked up JAG’s like MVS and JuJu the following year with the spread the ball around mentally. Sounds familiar? They were the top offense that year and won the Super Bowl.
It worked for them because they adjusted and thrived. Bills’ offense employed the same strategy last year with great success. The receiving corp hasn’t changed that much. I think they will also adjust and thrive. Specifically Allen. I have a feeling he’s going to have a very good game this Sunday. Everyone will relax afterwards.
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9 minutes ago, Chaos said:
I did not watch the Dolphins/Falcons game. What happened there?
Atlanta’s offense didn’t explode. -
29 minutes ago, FireChans said:
Stymied into having the #1 offense in points per drive and yards per drive and 4th in total points overall?
Stymied as in starting off the first 7 games with a 3-4 record that included blowout losses to our Bills and the Titans. Then they adjusted and went on a run.Yes we need better receivers. I believe Allen will also adjust and be better. Maybe starting this Sunday.
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3 hours ago, FireChans said:
Mahomes and Reid couldn’t figure out their offense when they had garbage weapons. Now they have better weapons and they suddenly have miraculously figured out cover 2.
That’s not true. They got stymied for a big stretch of the ‘21 season when Hill was still there along with prime Kelce.
They’ve gotten better against that scheme since.
Did losing to the Falcons save the Bills season?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Season was never lost to begin with.