beebe
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Posts posted by beebe
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Just now, bills742 said:
Taron limited, that's huge! Was fearing DNP today.
Think it was just a walk through.
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8 minutes ago, Brand J said:
Okay now do the Bills with Hochuli calling their games…
He has a reason to not like Buffalo. We had a player, Jerry Hughes, threaten one of his colleagues in the tunnel Hochuli’s rookie year (2018). It was a poorly officiated game against the Dolphins, one of the rare times the Bills lost to the fins in the Allen era. Ever since then he and his crew calls an inordinate amount of penalties against the Bills. I encourage you to watch the first half of the game against the Eagles this year to see this bias in action.
There's always gonna be outliers in either direction. I don't have the full win-loss ref list in front of me, but would guarantee there's some refs where the Bills perform amazing with. It's not bias. It's randomness.
Chiefs fans freak out over Carl Cheffers. It's all noise.
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3 hours ago, thenorthremembers said:
W-L in Games Hochuli Refs:
Buffalo 3-8
KC 11-3 (including 4-1 when on the road)
Get your money in on KC now.
The Chiefs are 74-22 (including playoffs) the last five years.
Works out to a 77% win percentage.
Their win % in Hochuli games is 78.5%.
Their win % with lots of refs is likely the same or similar.
This stuff is meaningless.
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48 minutes ago, chongli said:
The people have spoken. 2,500 likes vs. only 30 re-tweets: Buffalo will beat KC:
Josh can also be on this list next post-season. He has five wins already, and is only 27:
Not that it matters, but "playoff wins" is misleading for coaches and QBs. Belichick and Brady missed out on tons of playoff win opportunities because they regularly had a first-round bye. They bypassed the Wild Card round 13 times via having the first-round bye. That's essentially a playoff win.
Mahomes/Reid on a similar trajectory with four first-round byes in six years. Granted, only one team gets that prize these days.
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3 minutes ago, balln said:
he won the game vs bengals last year in playoffs
and the super bowl with an even better scramble (while reinjuring his high ankle sprain)
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55 minutes ago, AlfaBill said:
I’m sure Kool Aid man was prepping for the Bills. Not the Steelers. And he wasn’t doing nothing.
The two days is highly unlikely to be an advantage or disadvantage from a prep/scheme standpoint. These teams know each other better than they probably know their divisional opponents and played each other about a month ago. Both teams also surely worked ahead a bit (as all playoff teams do).
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Chances of playing this week based on current info. Would you bet over (better chance) or under (worse chance) on the following?
LIKELY IN
-Baylon Spector 85% (likely spasms, mostly pain management thing)
-Rasul Douglas 75% (putting significant stock in what he told Tim Graham, because he did not practice last week, and McDermott suggested he wasn't closer than Dodson was to play vs Steelers)
-Tyrel Dodson 75% (seemed like he was closer to playing last week than Douglas, but always possible mcdermott is being overly vague/non transparent)
TOSS UP
-Sam Martin 50% (seems like a true toss up right now)
-Gabe Davis 50% (seems highly questionable, don't have a lean one way or the other)
LIKELY OUT
-Terrel Bernard 15% (seems like a long shot to play despite better-than-expected postgame injury news)
-Taron Johnson 25% (multiple concussions in same season, seems unlikely he would clear protocol given short week)
-Christian Benford 35% (didn't return to game, seems like possible meniscus per banged up bills, but either way, seems more unlikely than likely)
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19 minutes ago, billsfanmd07 said:
It seems like KC escaped the Fins game with no injuries. Do we have any idea of any significant injuries they have...before the fins game. Hoping they are down few OL and WR...Our DL is a strength. It seemed out of the gate we go pressure on Rudolph but the second half he seemed to have time to throw and was able to scramble and make some off script throws which Patty is great at. I think our DL is good and not over committing and leaving open lanes. Same was we play Lamar.
DT Derrick Nnadi left with injured elbow and didn't return. He's semi important. WRs Skyy Moore and Toney remain out (Toney could potentially return). Jerick McKinnon is out, which is a big loss for the Chiefs on offense.
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4 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:
Praying for good news the next few days on the Bills injury front.
Just amazing though that KC barely every has any injuries of note despite playing a similar brand of physical football. They are either lucky or their guys are flat out better NFL players.
jerick mckinnon, skyy moore and kadarius toney are all out with injury. hardman missed nearly two months with injury. richie james missed two months with injury. justyn ross missed two months with suspension and now is injured. watson missed time with injury. kelce has had nagging injuries all year long. so basically every single member of the chiefs' already awful pass catching corps has been or is injured this year except rashee rice.
pacheco has been out two separate times this year with injury (including vs the bills earlier this year). clyde edwards-helaire missed a game due to injury.
the chiefs' starting left tackle donovan smith was out for over a month, then the backup LT wanya morris injured himself. (smith is now back).
aside from LB nick bolton's two-month injury and S bryan cook's season-ending injury, the chiefs have been remarkably healthy on defense this year however.
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1 minute ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:
I'm optimistic KC won't score more than 27 in this one. We should be able to hold them under 25 really. Miami's defense really was just as banged up last week as ours will be this week and Miami's defense held the Chiefs down surprisingly well despite not getting much support from their offense.
the chiefs kicked four field goals inside 32 yards and didn't have a ton of real incentive to score late once game was out of reach. don't think the 26 pts is very reflective of how they played offensively. that being said, fins personnel was awful.
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Bills are -3 at Circa in Vegas.
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there's still a couple hundred seats left through the box office in the lower level (there's 60+ seats in section 130 alone and a fair bit of unsold seats throughout the stadium).
the bills should do the right thing and give these seats to some of the shovelers imo, at least make sure the place sells out. why leave them empty?
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Harbaugh would make the Chargers instantly better, but so many negatives with this job.
1. ownership is brutal
2. same division as mahomes/reid, highly unlikely to win division regularly
3. salary cap situation short-term doesn't seem great
4. every home game is a neutral site game at best w visiting fans regularly overtaking it
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What's the best current guess (I know it's just a guess) for Monday playing conditions?
Temps, precipitation, wind.
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2 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
Any particular reason you don't post on Chiefs Planet? Too classy for you?
chiefs planet is a cess pool lol
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Just now, Thrivefourfive said:
Ooo turf toe for Rice. Please be out for the playoffs. Please be out for the playoffs. Please be a career ender. I mean..
cheering for injury, the classiest fan base strikes again!
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discussed by the media? who...frickin...cares.
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having six of your 17 games every year be against the same three teams is redundant and boring. i would be in favor of playing each divisional team once per year and alternate home/road. especially now that home field advantage is widely considered to be just a single point or 1.5 points in most cases.
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3 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:
I was good after that line.
Interceptions leaders by year.
2023: Howell, Allen, Mahomes, Hurts, Goff.
2022: Prescott, Mills, Cousins, Carr, Allen.
2021: Stafford, Lawrence, Heinecke, Allen, Herbert.
Fewest interceptions by year (min 12 games):
2023: Zack Wilson, Herbert, Lamar, Prescott, Carr/Wilson
2022: Daniel Jones, Hurts, Brissett, Tannehill, Lamar
2021: Rodgers, Taysom Hill, Russell Wilson, Wentz, Cousins
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1 minute ago, warrior9 said:
You really understand football at a very high level.
Which of Allen's games this year rank among the top 10 or 15 of his career? From October through last weekend, I would say none of them, though he did have a nice overall day vs the Eagles in a game they should have won. This was a down year by his standards outside the three September games following the Jets debacle.
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5 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:
Do you have any articles on this? I didn't see that last year
CJ Stroud, even with the injury, was more deserving than Tua, Allen, and Mahomes. He had a 4 to 1 TD/INT ratio. Nobody did that this year.
INTs are a mostly useless stat. Best guess: A player with single-digit INTs likely isn't taking enough chances and is therefore playing the position suboptimally. Russell Wilson had 26 TDs and eight INTs this year. So on a per-game basis, he had slightly more TD passes than Allen, and half the INTs. His completion percentage was higher. His QB rating was better.
And.....who cares.
If you watch Wilson, he's ultra careful with the ball, rarely makes difficult throws, takes a ton of sacks (avoiding sacks is the superpower of actual good QBs like Mahomes and Allen) and throws the ball away a ton. He is league average at absolute best, and likely below average in his current form. But traditional stats, rather than better measures like EPA, ends up ruling the day and becomes the narratives.
Too much is made of Allen's INTs (I'd guess half of them came on downfield throws that QBs like Wilson wouldn't attempt) and his rushing TDs (most of these are a result of goal line variance, where Cook gets them down to the 1 yard line and Allen plunges it in for the finisher). Obviously rushing TDs are a nice stat and all, but those extra TDs, if we're being honest, formed the basis for his entire MVP candidacy. Because all of his passing stats were down this year relative to his better seasons. And again, much of that was due to defenses dominating the league this year - a whole bunch of QBs had it rough.
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2 minutes ago, UKBillFan said:
Score the most number of TDs as a QB… be an alternate. The turnover storyline has really done a number on Josh. Bet Mahomes has still made it, despite his count not being that much lower. Jackson is obvious. Who’s the third? Tua?
If you throw out the goal line runs for Allen, his play this year definitely a peg below his prior years. His entire MVP candidacy has essentially been his ability to score inside the 5 yard line. Tons of bad games on the year. Which has been true across the league with QBs. Defenses definitely punched back this year in a major way.
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It seemed like Allen said something to Mahomes about the play and Mahomes, already heated, responded with his take on it. The two are friends off the field, I highly doubt it was some sort of intentional sign of disrespect. This is the same Mahomes who raced to console Allen midfield after 13 seconds rather than celebrate with teammates.
When Allen approached Kelce after the game, Allen said something similar to Kelce.
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Kansas City at Buffalo in the Divisional Round!
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by beebe
Worth noting McDermott responded to a question that was phrased, "Is there hope?" Nothing in his response indicated that there was real hope prior, but just my opinion reading body language.