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Wraith

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Posts posted by Wraith

  1. Don't forget 2nd&3 pass, 3rd&3 pass, 4th&3 fake FG....horrible.  But but but he's not meathead.

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    You're blaming Jauron for passing on 2 and 3 and 3 and 3? Fairchild calls the play, not Jauron. Furthermore, if you can't pass on 2nd and 3 when the hell can you? Blame him for the fake FG, not those other plays.

  2. 0:)  Absolutely have to challenge on Losman's fumble - fails to do so, or even think to do so. Why not challenge the call - it only costs you one time out in the first half. And as first half ends, Buffalo still has two timeouts it never used. Idiot. And  at the end of half, with 8 seconds left, take a knee for chrisakes. Why hand off and risk a fumble? Just does not get it.

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    How the hell do you know if thought about it or not?

  3. You do realize that in Ben's first year as a starter he had, essentially, ONE read to make.  If that guy wasn't open he threw it to his check down guy.  If this is your concern about Losman why are you comparing him to BR who wasn't making real reads until his second full season as a starter?

     

    Also, tell me this.  Which QBs, in their first 10 starts, "showed the ability to make complex decisions quickly?"  You've written the guy off before you've ever given him a chance.  Not many here are "Losman lovers", all I see are a bunch of fans who are willing to give the guy a chance to prove himself before they throw him under the bus.  If the coaching staff doesn't have much faith in him after his 30th start and call the same type of game they did on Sunday you may have a point.  But until then they're doing the right thing in brining him along slowly.

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    Not to mention I have yet to hear him offer any way to MEASURE whether Losman is making quick decisions or not. Because without a good measure, how do the hell do we really know what he's capable of? Anecdotal evidence is useless clearly, or else I could make the argument that Losman's short third down passing attempts against Miami were the result of reading the biltz and hitting the hot receiver who would attempt to break a tackle for the first down. Those sure SEEM to be quick, intelligent decisions. But how can I really know?

     

    If I could rewatch every one of Losman's games again and break them down AND I knew what the play was that was called and what the reads were supposed to be, I might attempt that analysis. But I don't have the Bills playbook so I'm just going to have to rely on the Bills coaching staff for that.

  4. Most of Losman's supporters feel his stats from last year should be thrown out the window.  You, I see, feel the opposite way. 

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    No, not really.

     

    The changes from the end of last season to the beginning of this season represent a large "process change," thus what is considered normal this year will probably be different from what we considered normal last year.

     

    My point, which you still seemed to have missed, is that it is entirely too early to make judgements of any kind (good OR bad). Noticed I used the word "probably" in the paragraph above. Two data points is still not nearly enough. If it were, I would be shouting from the nearest mountain that Losman's completion percentage has jumped nearly 15 points this year. But I'm not. Yet.

     

    If you react to limited data, you are "chasing" the process, adding variation and inconsistency, and destroying any possiblity of gaging what the process is actually capable of. Mike Mularkey was incredibly guilty of this, managers and process operators world wide are guilty of this, and so are you.

     

    And why on earth would I want to compare one performance by Losman to the average performance of Roethlisberger or Dilfer? There is no basis for comparison (mean to mean would be better, but still misleading). That would be like comparing Roethlisberger's ~100 yard performance last night to Losmans ~140 yard average and saying Big Ben is no J.P. Losman. What's the point?

  5. Holcomb's Arm:

     

    You claim to rely on statistical analysis so much, but you are breaking the cardinal rule of data analysis: PLOT DATA! And the corrollary: Do NOT (under any circumstances) react to single data points.

     

    Without historical data there is NO way to PROVE whether one performance is exceptionally bad, exceptionally good, getting worse, getting better, or "normal." Without historical data to establish what is normal behavior, you could just as easily be reacting to noise as to an actual signal.

     

    Simply put, historical data establishes CONTEXT. Without CONTEXT, attempting to prove any kind of change or trend is useless. A note to the rest of you: DO NOT believe it.

     

    You are taking Sunday's low yardage performance and using it alone to try to convince us of a point that you have no historical evidence to support. In fact, historical data shows us Losman's strong suit is yardage. The mean YPG (Yards Per Game) for Losman's career is 144.27 yards/game. The last seven samples (since the last "process change" when Losman resumed playing in the KC game in November) are 137, 168, 197, 224, 181, 164, and 83 yards. Obviously, no downward or negative trend exists.

     

    If the string of low yardage continues (and we start LOSING THE DAMN game), then we can talk. And not a second earlier.

  6. That's great, but the pass wasn't behind the LOS, it was right at or beyond the LOS -- given the fact that Reed was blocking two yards past the LOS and the catch happened right around that area.

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    Check again. Parrish caught the ball behind Mike Gandy, of all people, who decked his guy perfectly on the swing pass. Reed was a good 5 yards ahead of and to the outside of Parrish.

  7. If Gibson cannot beat out a converted TE for the RT position, he does not belong on this team.  I doubt Jauron brought him in to backup Peters.  I  think he had intended to get a real RT, and not we are stuck with a TE who got moved into the RT position out of the lack of depth.

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    Are you serious?

  8. That's the problem...I don't do anything different.  I still use the sports mode.  I have a shaky hand, so thats the only one I can really use.  :lol:

     

    BTW, these Kodak cameras really SUCK in the night.  :doh:

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    Any camera is going to suck if you try to take pictures in sport mode at night with it. Sport mode decreases the "exposure" time so as not to blur a subject in action. Night mode does the exact opposite.

  9. Two points:

     

    On both of the delay of game plays (or near delay of game as it was in one case) Losman broke the huddle with less than ten seconds left on the clock. This is indicative of a problem, but with the play callers, not Losman. Now, a more seasoned quarterback might have been able to read the defense with one eye on the play clock, true. But I wouldn't put the blame on him alone.

     

    Secondly, it's hard to find fault with J.P.'s "touch" or accuracy on the deep ball, as anyone who's been to camp this year can attest that is what he does best. If that word of mouth evidence isn't enough for you, simply look to last year's Texan's game, Kansas City game, or Miami game. He showed over and over again that he can hit people in stride, through tight spaces, deep.

     

    He missed one deep receiver by a very small margin last night and people are overreacting.

  10. Not defending juiced baseball players, but yet botox is the new panacea for the boomers... pee at at night... take botox... wrinkles... take botox... beer belly... take botox...we pay for botox... yet we're critical when some athlete gets mega pay to pay for steroids...  :doh:

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    Steroids are illegal.

  11. wow, severe punishment.  Do you promise not to associate with boys over 15?  And if you do let us know so we can supervise!  that is what I call a deterrent.  Of course what do you expect from a judge that calls a 20 year old a naive teenager???? :rolleyes:

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    The judge's EXACT words were "Helsel is not a naive teenager, but an experienced adult who must be held fully responsible for what she did."

  12. sh-- yeah he did.  He had 3 million reasons to do so.  Now he'll get paid that by sombody in 2006, no matter where he is. 

     

    The fact he loves his O-line coach in AZ and has Edge to block for should pretty much put the nail in the coffin on that FA signing, even though I give Marv a thumbs up for trying it.

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    I'm not quite sure you understand the situation here. He already signed the offered sheet. It is totally out of Wells' hands now. If the Cards match the offer he stays in Arizona, if not he's a Bill. The "he might stay because he likes his coach/teammates/city/whatever" ship has already sailed.

  13. I wouldn't get too excited. Just like Pickett, people come to us to determine their value, then go home and get the same jack from their existing team. We're simply being used, repeatedly I might add, as leverage. This is the best way for the Cardinals to negotiate without having to negotiate.

     

    There's nothing wrong with getting leverage during the negotiation process, but I wish the Bills wouldn't waste their own time helping further other people's careers with other teams.

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    I'm glad we didn't have the mentality you suggest back when we pursuing Spikes...

  14. If you're going to allow that, then I think they should change the rule so that you only need one foot, BUT, if you're pushed out of bounds, you STILL need one foot down.  That'd get rid of the "he would've gotten his feet down if he wasn't pushed" judgement call.  Takes more pressure off of the officials.  If you're stupid enough to be that close to the sideline, then you better make sure you catch it with your feet on the ground - don't jump.

     

    CW

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    I HATE the "he would've gotten his feet down if he wasn't pushed" rule. Talk about handcuffing the defensive back...

  15. Can you give me a couple of examples of bad calls that went against Pittsburgh?  Seriously, I can't remember a single one...

     

    They had three penalties for 20 yards, and two of them were false starts on the first drive...

     

    CW

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    I think that says it all right there.

  16. Because every time there's a new coach, he chooses a name to somehow match.  Yvel Vram.  Dik Smub ("bum's kid" backwards), Barry Brady, FFS (which I still don't get). 

     

    I do think 40yoVirgin would be funny...but I doubt he'll do it.  Not his style.

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    Okay for all you middle aged guys who can't figure out Fake-Fat Sunny....

     

    Mike Mularkey has the initials MM. The rapper EMINEM (M and M, short for Marshall Mathers) is famous for his song The Real Slim Shady. The opposite of real would be fake, the opposite of slim would be fat, and the opposite of shady would be sunny. Is it all coming together now?

  17. Completed already? That's a bad sign.  Dick was basically here all day yesterday.  This sucks.

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    The author of this thread is making assumptions. The article, posted at 2:40 today, is written in the past tense but says nothing about the interview or when it was completed. It simply says he's in town and then goes on about his previous qualifications. The exact same type of article was written about Dick Jauron at 2:31 yesterday. They're both boilerplate articles that were probably uploaded at some standard time.

     

    So if we're going by the articles tense and publication time alone, Sherman was actually in Buffalo for 9 minutes longer! But we're not, because that would be stupid.

  18. it was indeed a terrible call, but no worse than the champ bailey fumble through the end zone or the interference call on samuel. note how all these calls go against the road teams ...

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    I don't think you can include the Bailey fumble. I agree that he probably fumbled through the endzone and it should have been a fumble. However, there is ZERO way to prove it with replay unless you have the Goodyear Blimp parked directly over the pylon when it happens. It's all about perspective and angle of viewing.

     

    Ironically, Simms idea of drawing a line between where the ball landed and where Bailey lost it and seeing if that line passes through the endzone actually has merit (even a blind squirrel....) but is infeasabile. More time and more sophisticated equipment on the sidelines would be necessary.

  19. or his lack of "mental toughness" to lead the franchise on a winning course?

     

    Heck... if his knees are already quivering in January....what would happen if they began to play some games?

     

    Also...it sounds like his sons take after their old man.

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    You need to calm the hell down. Are you this shrill about everything?

     

    If you ever leave a job because of a bad situation, make sure you broadcast it here so we can get worked up about it here and redicule you.

     

    It all comes down to this. Mularkey was in a bad situation. There is no denying this. He was a total lame duck. So he had two options: Leave and blame it on the Bills organization (which is probably more truthful), or leave and say it's "in the best interest of his family" (more vague and a hell of a lot more classy).

     

    It could've been much worse. Mularkey has taken the high road, it is crazed fans like you and equally moronic "journalists" (I use that term loosely) who have filled in the blanks with their own ideas.

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