Arm of Harm
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Posts posted by Arm of Harm
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20 hours ago, BrainwashedBillsFan said:
Am I the only one who thinks Ford is soft?? I mean some people say he is a mauler in the run game but I haven’t seen it....plus two years ago when he was crying on IG about fans being upset with him about that penalty in the Houston playoff game just screams I’m a softy to me.... Get with the program we are fans ignore us and play the game....wahhhh someone said I should die wahhh.... what a *****
In fairness to Ford, the penalty called on him was bogus. I'm on his side on that one. If a player is victimized by a bad call, should he complain about it on social media? I don't have the answer to that. Normally how a player conducts himself on social media won't affect my opinion of him much, one way or the other, unless he's either a) a really incredible guy, or b) a total dirt bag. Complaining about a bad call is somewhere in between those extremes.
That said, I agree with you that he isn't any kind of mauler in the run game. A few months ago a website put together film analysis of what was wrong with the Bills' run game. Based on their analysis, it did not appear that Ford's run blocking was what you'd expect from a starting caliber OG. If he can get that fixed, the effect on the Bills' run game would be significant. If he can't, he needs to be replaced.
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Now we know what the Bills' long-term plan is for backup QB.
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34 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:
Tyreek Hill was a 5th round WR drafted before KC drafted Mahomes and they have one 2nd round pick since drafting Mahomes.
Let's not rewrite the Chiefs history.
Beane has set himself up pretty good for the draft so maybe he will pick a WR in the 1st.
I'm just in the group who thinks that is a longshot.
If the Bills think they can get the next Tyreek Hill in the 5th round, by all means I'd love to see that happen! But if they don't think there will be a Tyreek Hill type player waiting for them in the fifth, and if they nevertheless want to give Josh Allen the same type of supporting cast Patrick Mahomes has, it might be necessary to pull the trigger on a WR at #30.-
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3 hours ago, ColoradoBills said:
There is a boatload of vet FA WRs next year so I would not be worried about Sanders position next year.
As for Beasley the only way he will be let go is if his play significantly drops off.
With Josh Allen as QB there will always be WRs wanting to come to Buffalo.
Beane last year used a 1st, 4th, 5th, 2-6th in 2020 and a 2021 4th on WRs.
I don't see another WR taken this year until the 5th unless one of "their guys" drop in the 3rd.
To what extent are the Bills planning on building around Josh Allen? Because if they are truly, 100% committed to building around him, you want to do as much to set him up for success as the Chiefs have done for Patrick Mahomes. Ideally, you want to surround him with young WRs that can remain with the team for the vast bulk of his career.
Right now he doesn't have WRs like that, except for Gabe Davis. Beasley and Sanders are on the wrong side of 30. Stephon Diggs is under 30, but a few years older than Allen.
They say a WR doesn't truly come into his own until year 3. Going WR at 30 would allow the Bills to bring a player along slowly for his rookie year, then have him step up next year to replace the possibly departing/aging/declining Sanders. At that point you have a young, presumably very good WR who will remain with Allen and the Bills for the next 10+ years.
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44 minutes ago, Richard Noggin said:
I seem to remember film analysis on a youtube channel (maybe Cover-1?) of our running game woes in the early part of 2020 when Ford was still in at LG, with much of the blame assigned specifically to the guards. I think Winters was in at RG for most of it (due to Mongo's injury). Before being injured, Ford was having serious issues executing the scheme, If I'm remembering accurately.
For him to suddenly be an average or above average NFL guard would be a major boost to the Bills offense. He has yet to be that. Here's to hoping he takes a BIG step forward.
I remember that film analysis as well. They showed Ford getting beaten on a number of running plays, thereby spoiling the plays. He wasn't the only culprit, but he was one of the most prominent.
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On 3/11/2021 at 4:56 PM, davspo said:
Spotrac projected a 13.8 mil average.
Okay, so he lost 2.5 - 3 million per year, assuming that number is accurate. But, think of all the trouble he avoided by staying in Buffalo. Had he relocated, he would have needed at least 30 seconds to pack his belonging into his suitcase and empty out his apartment. 🙃
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9 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:
I'm on vacation and will take the next few days off. The wife is keeping me busy with para-sailing, sand dune sledding, museums, hot spring baths and great food, most recently Korean barbecue tonight. And my sand sprints and sand dune climb repeats are beating me up something wonderful.
I'll be back Tuesday or Wednesday depending how long it takes me to catch up with my work.
Yeah, the things you've described in your post are definitely more important than attempting to win an argument about statistics on an Internet discussion board.
I think that both sides have done a good job making their cases, and I've bestowed likes on posts from both sides in this argument. However good or bad Allen was at deep passes in 2020, I hope he is outstanding at such passes this season! 👍
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9 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:
Missing link vs the Chiefs was coaching and mentality.
Agreed. The single most important thing we needed against the Chiefs was better coaching/better mentality.
That said, there's also room to improve some of the players on this team. During the regular season the OL did well at pass protection, not so much in run blocking. In the postseason the OL did poorly in both pass protection and run blocking. The two weakest spots on the OL are both OGs. If the Bills wanted to improve the OL, adding an OG would be the obvious place to start.
But as others have pointed out in this thread, there are certainly other needs on this team as well. The defense could use a good pass rusher, a good 1 tech, an improvement at #2 CB, and possibly a LB/S hybrid to cover TEs. The offense could use another weapon, whether it be a TE or a speedy WR to groom for the future. There's also room to improve at RB.
By no means am I suggesting that the Bills should be locked in on an OG at #30, to the exclusion of all their other needs. But, I am saying that if the best OG available at #30 is a significantly better football player than the best player available at the other positions I mentioned, they should go with the OG.
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2 hours ago, DJB said:
He played for the Dolphins organization.
Me don't like that.
If you were to let Beane know your feelings about this, he'd respond by saying, "You know something? You have a point!" Then he'd stop signing additional former Dolphins, focusing instead on former Panthers! 😶
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The last time I saw an April Fools joke this good, the Bills starting quarterback was Joe Ferguson!
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11 hours ago, ROCBillsBeliever said:
Thanks for sharing the vid, @H2o! I'd been hearing about Brown, but hadn't gotten to watch film on him. Checks a LOT of boxes: True 1-Tech; capable of eating up two O-linemen, to keep Milano and Tremaine free to roam and create havoc; great size and length; improbably mobile, for a guy his size.
I really noticed his hand technique on some of the plays. He's got a full quiver of arrows, in that department.
I don't know where the draftniks are pegging him, but without a 4th, this year, I wouldn't mind using our 3rd, or trading back to grab him in the 4th round.
Suppose you're right and he's as good as you say. In that case, the Bills drafting Bobby Brown would be music to my ears! 😁
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On 3/29/2021 at 7:29 PM, YoloinOhio said:
What’s the issue
So . . . does this mean you're awarding the Bills a high mark for their choice of stadium name?
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4 hours ago, glazeduck said:
Agree, to an extent. I like Wyatt Davis a lot and if the board is right, could see him being had in a trade down.
To me it comes down to 4 things, given how our roster is shaping out prior to the draft (assuming no trades)...
1. Are you using your draft pick to make the biggest improvement to the team that you can?
2. What spots can you allow to stay "good enough" in order to see a larger improvement elsewhere?
3. When and where can you *coast* on being good enough through the season, in opting for higher upside picks that you hope are ready to make a bigger impact come playoff time?
4. To a lesser extent, where is the draft's depth, where you might be able to get a better value pick and how does that play in to the above 3?
I think you can ask these questions about just about every position and come out with some interesting answers. Certainly guard, nose, edge, RB, TE, CB, LB/nickel, OT can all be upgraded, but I also think even without upgrades we're a playoff team. So where can you lean into that and start looking at how to optimize those picks and maximize the return? I'm not sure I even have a strongly formed opinion outside of trading up for Pitts if he slides out of the top 10...
You ask very good questions. I think that at pretty much every position the Bills have in place a plausible solution. Not necessarily great, or even all that good, but plausible. Some of the team's weakest positions are OG, RB, TE, 1 tech, and #2 CB. But even at all of those, we still have plausible.
Given that fact, my instinct is to want the Bills to select whichever player will have the best long-term impact on the team. Sure, I'd love for that player to be an OG, because the OL's performance (or lack thereof) has been eating at me. But let's say for the sake of argument that at #30 you could get a significantly better WR than you could an OG. Given that scenario I'd take the WR. They say a WR doesn't fully come into his own until year 3. So you could draft a WR now and give him a year or two to develop before you really need to lean on him heavily.
By no means am I suggesting that I want the Bills to be locked into a WR at #30. I don't want them to be locked into anything at #30. The more flexible their approach, the less of a "need-based penalty" they're likely to pay. What is a need-based penalty? If the best player at a position of need is 90% as good as the best player available, that's a need-based penalty of 10%. The more tightly a team is locked in to specific positions, the more of a need-based penalty it's likely to pay. For example, Marv went into the 2006 draft with the thought that he had to use his first two picks on a SS and a DT. He ended up taking Donte Whitner 8th overall, and John McCargo somewhere in the 20s. He paid a huge need-based penalty for both players--a penalty which could have been avoided had he not been locked into those two positions. Because the Bills have "plausible" players at even their weakest positions, and because they have a number of positions where their starters are no more than plausible, they have a great opportunity to select the best available player from a fairly wide variety of positions.
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46 minutes ago, whatdrought said:
kinda my take on it. I don’t know enough about it to make an opinion. I do know two things:Whoever it is, the media will fondle them endlessly and anoint them the best QB in the AFC East the first time they tie their cleats properly.
They will more than likely flame out and never amount to anything.
The Bills' Wang was the first player of Chinese ancestry to be drafted into or play in the NFL. Do you feel the media fondled Wang endlessly?
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2 hours ago, NewEra said:
Apology accepted. Don’t do it again.
there is more talk of cornerbacks in this thread than of DTs
Not sure why he's apologizing or why you're accepting his apology. This has turned into a good, constructive thread about the Bills' needs at DL and elsewhere. We need more threads like this in the offseason, not less.
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9 minutes ago, glazeduck said:
Almost included G, but I think it's both addressable in FA and the least panic-inducing of the "needs" -- more of a "want", really. As much as I don't love the Ford pick, I think he deserves one more season to sink or swim...
During the regular season the Bills' OL did well in pass protection but not so well in run blocking. During the postseason the OL did badly at both. That sticks in my craw. Makes me want to do something to improve the situation. OG is the most obvious place to start! I'm not saying the OGs we have now are necessarily bad. You can get by with them if you have to. But if the Bills were to use their first round pick on a quality OG, there'd definitely be a great opportunity for him to provide a significant upgrade in play over what we're getting now.
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1 hour ago, glazeduck said:
I'm not saying Taron Johnson is a hall of famer, but I think he's far from our biggest weakness that needs addressing.
You'd rather upgrade Johnson than:- CB2 -- Levi Wallace/Dane Jackson
- TE1 -- Dawson Knox
- Edge -- Mario Addison/Jerry Hughes (33/32 years old, respectively)
- 1T -- Star Lotuleilei (will be 32 this season)
- WR -- Emanuel Sanders/Cole Beasley (34/32 this season
- RB -- yuck
Again, JOK would be great, add a fun dynamic to the defense and could certainly help cure some of what ails us. I'm just not convinced that a guy who's not going to get 3-down snaps at a splurge position is our biggest need...
I'd add OG to your list, but otherwise I think this is a good summation of this team's needs. If the BPA happened to be at any one of the positions you mentioned, or happened to be an OG, I'd have no problem whatsoever going BPA.
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8 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:
Yeah, it wasn't just one game. It was a lot of the beginning of the season. But the last ten games or so they were good, very good actually.
In the last ten games, if their per game stats on points and yards were pro-rated out to 16 games, they'd have been 8th in yards allowed per game and 5th in points allowed per game. That's not great, but it's very good.
How many good QBs did they play when the defense was playing well later in the season? Russ Wilson, Kyler Murray, Justin Herbert and Roethlisberger. Which is 4 out of 10, and 40% is probably about how many teams in the NFL have good quarterbacks, so these are fairly normal numbers.
The defense didn't look great against the Colts but the Colts have a terrific offense. Holding the Colts to 24 points and 340 yards was a good solid game, well below the Colts averages. And the D ended up winning the game that day, as the Colts got the ball at the 14 with 2:30 left on the clock, plenty when a field goal would have tied it, and the D systematically strangled them on that drive.
Yes, they were outmatched by the Chiefs offense. You do realize that pretty much the whole rest of the league was too, right? You didn't have to be a bad defense to have the Chiefs perform well against you.
The defense was very good. Not great. They certainly need to work on being better - as does every person, every coach and every unit really - if they want to compete for a championship. But they were very good after those first six games where we had injury problems and problems with the new guys meshing and learning to deal with not having a space eater as well.
Your post is well thought-out, and you make your case well. Nevertheless there are parts with which I disagree.
First, I'd argue that even though Roethlisberger has had a great career, the 2020 version of him was not a particularly good quarterback. In 2020 he averaged 6.3 yards per pass attempt. The career average for Trent Edwards is 6.5 yards per attempt, for Losman it's 6.6 yards per attempt.
As for Russell Wilson: in 2020 he averaged 7.5 yards per pass attempt, and 9.5 yards per pass attempt against the Bills. However he threw 2 INTs and took 5 sacks against the Bills, so you could argue the Bills defense used big plays to help make up for their lack of performance on normal plays.
Kyler Murray averaged 7.1 yards per pass attempt against his opponents in 2020, but 7.7 yards per attempt when playing the Bills.
Justin Herbert averaged 7.1 yards per pass attempt during the regular season, but just 6.1 yards against the Bills. This is the best example of the defense playing well against a good quarterback.
I maintain my belief that the Bills defense played badly against the Colts, and that the stops were largely due to mistakes on the Colts' part, rather than the Bills defense making plays. As for the Kansas City debacle: only one KC drive ended with a punt or turnover. That was their first drive, when a dropped pass forced them to punt. All the rest of KC's drives ended in touchdowns or kneeldowns, except for one drive which was a field goal. That defensive effort was bad enough that it alone determined the outcome of the game.
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17 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:
What exactly is wrong with "Highmark stadium"
"we set the standard high"
I can totally see a slogan like that
Highmark Stadium I can live with. Highmark Blue Cross/Blue Shield Stadium, not so much so.
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Can't we go back to calling it Rich Stadium?
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7 hours ago, Boxcar said:
Why does that matter? It doesn't, at all. You can say it would be nice if the defense improved in pass rush or whatever but saying there needs to be serious questions raised about the defense because of one game makes no sense.
It's like expecting the Bills to beat the Dolphins by 30 points from now on because of what happened in week 17. No, Dolphins D had a bad game at a very important spot. It doesn't erase what they were able to do the rest of the year.
It wasn't just one game.
In the first game against the Dolphins, the defense looked soft. Vulnerable to the pass. Easily exploited. It did a lot better job in the second game against the Dolphins. But, it's easy to turn in an "improved effort" against the pass when you're facing Tua instead of Fitzpatrick.
You could counter that argument by pointing out that early in the year when the defense was struggling you had guys like Milano out with injury, or guys like Edmunds playing with injured shoulders. Those guys came back from their injuries and the defense improved. Fine. I'll give you that.
But how many good quarterbacks did the defense play well against during the stretch where it looked good? Maybe one or two.
Then in the playoffs the defense faced the Colts. The defense looked outmatched and out-coached. The Colts did more to stop themselves than the Bills defense did to stop them. As Andy Reid watched the film of that Colts game, do you think he saw weaknesses for his Chiefs offense to exploit? How good a job do you think he did in exploiting the weaknesses he saw?
In the postseason the Bills defense faced two good passing quarterbacks, and turned in zero good performances against those two players. Those two bad performances are enough to counterbalance the small number of good performances the defense had against good passing quarterbacks during the regular season. This defense has shown itself to be vulnerable and weak against a good passing attack, it's a serious concern, and should be addressed during the draft if the right player is there.
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3 hours ago, Brennan Huff said:
I mean, it was the most important game of the season...There's that. And, there's the fact that two weeks earlier the defense played poorly against the Colts. The Colts game could have been a lot worse than it was, except that the Colts offense kept shooting itself in the foot. The fourth and goal being one example of that. The Colts offense did plenty of damage to the Bills defense, but you got the feeling that with better execution on their part, a higher level of play, the potential was there for them to have ripped the Bills defense to shreds. The Bills defense encountered that higher level of opponent play two weeks later.
The one postseason game in which the Bills defense played well was in very windy conditions, against a running quarterback. I give the defense credit for their effort against the Ravens, and especially the pick 6. But I'd like to see the defense play well against a good passing attack in the postseason.
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1 hour ago, NewEra said:
Disagree. Draft the best players with weight towards positions of value...then need
if that player is IOL, I’d be ok drafting him in rd 2. If that player is a DT, pass rusher, CB, OT (with IOL flex) or WR, I feel the same
I'd like to see the Bills accomplish three things for this and all future drafts.
1) Fill needs
2) Minimize need-based penalty
3) Maximize position value
As for 2): suppose the need-based player is 80% as good as the best player available. That's a need-based penalty of 20%. Ideally I'd like to keep my need-based penalty to 10% or less, while still drafting for need. To accomplish that I may need to trade up or trade down. The goal being to get into a draft spot where one of the best players available is a player at a position of need. Failing that, I'd draft the best player available. It is almost never acceptable to pay too large a need-based penalty.
As for position value: some positions (LT, CB, WR, DE, QB) are considered more valuable than others. While I'd certainly take that into account, a strong component to my assessment of position value is longevity. If I expect an OG to have twice as long a useful career as a RB, then that's something which would (in my eyes) increase the position value of OG, relative to a RB.
I've heard this is a pretty good draft for interior OL. The unstated assumption of my earlier posts is that the Bills could use a 1st or 2nd round pick on an OG, without having to pay a significant need-based penalty. Whether that assumption is correct will obviously depend on how the Bills have these players graded, and on how the draft plays out.
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In another thread, there is a rumor that Beane is interested in using his first round pick on a RB. Not what I would do in his place, but let's say he does this anyway.
At that point you still really need an interior OL, so that's where I'd use the round 2 pick, assuming that the first round pick gets used on the RB. Then in round 3 you either draft a 1 tech DT, or you hope that the combination of Star + Harrison Phillips is enough to get you squared away at that position for now. If you don't draft the 1 tech DT, other options would be another interior OL, or a LB, or a TE.
The 1980 Week 14 curtain call
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
If you are using Windows do the following:
1) Click on the "type here to search" box to the right of the Windows button. (Lower left corner of your computer screen)
2) Type in the word Paint
3) Click on the button to open the Paint app.
4) Within Paint, click on the word "file" (upper left corner), then on "open". Use Paint to open the picture of the ticket stub.
5) Look at the picture of the ticket stub in Paint and make sure it looks as you wish.
6) Click on "file" then on "save as". To achieve the smallest size/lowest quality, select the .gif option.
7) Upload the .gif version of the file to this site.
If your picture is on a cell phone, forward the picture to your own email address so you can open it on your PC. When on your PC, open the email with the picture in it, click on the file for the picture, and save the file to your hard drive. You will then be able to follow the above-listed steps.