hjnick
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Posts posted by hjnick
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1 hour ago, Special K said:
What was your biggest 1st round surprise??
Atlanta trading back up into the first round and giving up their 2026 1st round pick to do it...
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Can't have enough big fatties!
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If the buy in is 50-100, I'd be ok with that.
Do you know how big the roster will be. with 10 starters would the rosters be 20+?
thanks.
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Im interested. I ran a dynasty league a while ago, that also had salary cap and contracts.
been looking for a dynasty league to get into.
Would you maybe do more than 12 teams?
What is the roster size? IR? Developmental roster spots?
Been here for a LONG time, just don't post that much.
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4 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:
pass
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10 hours ago, Magox said:
This board and for that matter much of the league greatly values the worth of Wide receivers to their teams prospects to having success. As it stands there are 23 total receivers who make at least $20 million per year of which 11 make more than $25 Million. Just a couple years ago there were 14 who made $20M+ and just 5 that made $25M+.
The rate of inflation for paying receivers has outpaced the rate of the salary cap inflation as a whole. To put this into perspective, by the time the 2025 season begins nearly half the league will have allocated pretty close to 10% of their entire salary cap towards their star receiver.
Justin Jefferson made up 13.7% in 2024
Devante Adams 13.5%
CeeDee Lamb 13.3%
Cooper Kupp 12.8%
AJ Brown 12.5%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 11.8%
Brandon Aiyuk 11.8%
Tyreek Bill 11.8%
Dk Metcalf 11.5%
Deebo Samuel 11.5%
Out of which 4 of them made the playoffs this past year.
https://theanalyst.com/2024/09/are-the-highest-paid-wide-receivers-worth-it
The league over the past 17 years had steadily increased their rate of passing which justified an increase in the rate of inflation to receivers. Back in 2005 teams were throwing on average for 203.5 and saw a steady increase all the way to 2020 peaking out at 240.2 yards per game. Since 2020, teams have began to run the ball more often and more successfully, seeing the passing rate steadily decline to 217.6 yards per game which is a substantial 10% rate of decline in passing yardage over the past 5 years. It makes sense that teams have evolved and have adjusted to playing more bully ball against teams that were designed to stop passes who employed lighter boxes and base nickel defenses leading to the decline in passing yards.
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/NFL/passing.htm
It's not coincidence that sometime around 2020 NFL teams which was when teams were at their zenith in terms of passing yards had begun to seriously deflate Running back valuations comparatively to the rest of the NFL rate of player personnel pay and began the inflation of wide receiver pay relative to the NFL pay as a whole.
The question begs is the rate of pay inflation in the NFL for receivers justified?
Before I get into that, I wanted to share some stats.
The four teams that threw the ball the least in 2024 was Philadelphia, Baltimore, Green Bay and Buffalo. All 4 teams were playoff teams, one won the Super Bowl, another went to the AFC championship. Out of the top 10 teams that passed the ball least 7 made the playoffs.
This past year in 2024, out of the top 10 receivers in terms of receiving yards only 3 played in the playoffs, Justin Jefferson, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Ladd McConkey.
Out of the top 10 of the teams that spent the most for wide receivers in 2024 only 3 made the playoffs. Out of the bottom 17 teams that spent the least in wide receivers in 2024, nearly half of them did make the playoffs.
https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/position/wide-receiver/_/year/2024/table/active/sort/cash_total
It's clear that for NFL teams to be successful that it is not necessary to have true blue #1 blue chip boundary WR's. Chiefs, Bills and Ravens are examples of this. Out of the 14 teams that made the playoffs, only 5 teams have receivers that are being paid over $20M a year.
It's evident that the NFL has begun to trend towards running against lighter boxes more and passing the ball less. It takes a little time for GM's to adjust to realities on the ground, but we are beginning to see the deflationary cycle break in terms of paying playmaking RB's, but we've yet to see this happen in the wide receiver market. There are traditional factors at play such as basic supply and demand, in which unfortunately for RB's, the supply of RB's are expected to increase through this years RB crop of rookies which may put a damper on the overall RB market and that inversely there aren't that many stellar WR's in this year rookie crop which may prevent a lid for WR's.
With all that said, I do expect to see the inflationary rate of pay for Wide receivers to begin to subside sometime in the near future. I don't advocate for having bottom tier talent at the receiver spot, what I am advocating is that it's not necessary to pay these extreme high wages that eat up so much cap room for a WR, specially in a league that has consistently been trending towards passing the ball less over the past 4 seasons.
WRs, just like RBs, need to be by committee.
It is better to have 3-4 really good WRs than 1 super wr and mediocre.
Get at least 1 RB and WR in every draft. There are SO many good WRs that come out of college now, it is best to go by committee. Make your WR3 better than their CB3 and you'll have someone open all the time.
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Demands like this is why you keep a stable of RBs on the ready. RBs are a dime a dozen.
15mil/yr? Haha, no. Maybe 8-10...
If not, trade hiim and use his pick to get another person for the defense or a WR!!!
BYE!
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On 1/28/2025 at 9:43 AM, ShakAttack said:
I have found that my typical "stages" in processing each season's elimination game is not too unlike going through the stages of grief.
The night of the loss is actually the easiest for me because at that point I'm pretty much just numb and probably emotionally spent from watching the game and all of the buildup during the week, but I usually wake up multiple times overnight, which is the segue into...
Day #1 this is where I look to fellow Bills fans and familiar sources for what is essentially a form of therapy. Reading TBD, listening to WGR, listening to Locked On Bills, and relating to everything. It helps me to surround myself with others that can relate to the pain, particularly the day after the game. Also, I COMPLETELY avoid ANY and all media related to the Chiefs and their success.
Day #2 is kind of where the sadness peaks for me, and that is where I'm at now. So yeah, I feel worse this morning than I did yesterday.
Obsession over missed opportunities, feeling of disgust toward KC and worrying about if/when we will ever get back to this game. A lot of the stuff that I kind of block out in the beginning seems to find it's way through on this day. Although I'd like to block it out entirely, it has to be processed in order to move on. Some aspects of the game end up being easier to process than others. When it is all said and done, there is usually one thing that sticks with me for good. Last year it was the 2nd and 9 play on the Chiefs 20 or so yard line where Diggs was wide open and Allen didn't throw it to him. This year I am guessing that "moment" will be the horrible 4th and 1 call that swung momentum back to KC or the Kincaid drop. OR heck, maybe it will just always be both.
Sorry this was a bit rushed and I'd have liked to elaborate a little more/differently, but have to take my son to school in a couple minutes. I'll probably chime in again once I return and read some of your responses.
Nope. Feel exactly the same way.
WE BLEW IT! We had the ball w/ 3:30 left down 3... that was our chance.
THEN we had 2 chances to stop their offense to get the ball back... NOPE.
We had the ball in our hands and lost. It's on us (even though we had to go against KC and the refs).
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6 hours ago, Pete said:
Bills must get Josh WRs who can catch the ball, who can separate, who can run a route tree, who can win vertically!!!!!!
yes we need DL, CB, DE. But we have been neglecting Josh and WR his entire career. 4 year agos we desperately needed WR, 3 years ago, 2 years ago, and last year., We have ignored Josh's needs. It is obvious we need WR. For the love of God, get Josh a few talented WRs!
Personally, I'm tired of seeing our defense get torched on the backend every year by KC.
I also think our offense was good enough this year to win it all... the defense, uh no.
Spend all your draft picks on defense EXCEPT for 1 receiver in the 2nd or third round... We need CBs, safeties, a DE that can actually pass rush...
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2 hours ago, HOUSE said:
He wears number zero for a reason
HOUSE is the best... hahahahaahaha
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12 hours ago, Freddie's Dead said:
No. The TD was the result of an uncalled block in the back at the point of attack. Not much the Bills can do if the refs are just going to ignore that *****.
Those refs were so bad I don't know how they even got those jobs...
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With so many good WRs coming out of the draft nowadays, I say no. Seems pretty high for him IMO.
Just like RBs, create a stable of RBs and WRs. Keep them young and fresh, then when its time to jettison or trade... goodbye.
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Seriously, what position do we need more help at other than a kicker?
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Like others have been saying on here... we need draft at least 1 WR and 1 RB every year and just have a cast of cheap help at those positions so you just keep refreshing those positions.
Spend the money at other spots that matter.
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Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State - Arizona Cardinals
Rome Odunze, Washington - Chicago Bears
Ladd McConkey, Georgia - KC Chiefs
Brian Thomas Jr., LSU - Buffalo Bills
Xavier Worthy Texas- Buffalo Bills
Bonus Bills pick -
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I do not want to trade for anyone else's headache...
Stay at 28 UNLESS you can go up and get one of the big 3 OR if Brian Thomas drops down to around 20, then go up and get him.
IF stay at 28, Xavier Worthy. Then in the second round, get whatever X receiver you can get... all the rest of the picks can be defense except for 1 OL
We need a field stretcher. I don't care if he only runs fly patterns all day and doesn't catch a ball, his speed has to be respected and makes problems for the defense which Shakir and the TEs can take advantage of.
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On 1/23/2024 at 11:01 PM, Special K said:
After the Bills hopefully target a WR in round 1 such as Xavier Leggette or Xavier Worthy, Safety may be a position addressed in round 2 or 3.
I think Cole Bishop is an intriguing prospect.....he has a lot of McBeane traits, but I'm not 100% sure he would be a fit in McD's Defense, but definitely worth a look. He may be a better fit in the Taylor Rapp role.
What do you think??
From Bleacher Report:
Cole Bishop is a multiyear starter with very good size for a safety at 6'2" and 207 pounds. He's an instinctual player with a high football IQ and the versatility to play all over the field. He has the physicality to be a box player and the movement skills to cover in space.
While playing the run game, Bishop excels when he's close to the line of scrimmage. He uses his instincts to identify and react to the run with very good short-area quickness, and he closes on the ball with very good angles. He's a strong tackler who does a good job of fronting up and running through the ball-carrier when in the box, but he tends to dive and have more inconsistent tackling when on the edge. Bishop is a downhill player who does a great job of attacking the line of scrimmage and playing close to or in the backfield.
As a pass defender, Bishop has shown the ability to drop as a deep defender, where he is able to play the routes in front of him and react to the ball in the air. When defending intermediate routes, he has the ability to play man coverage, using his short-area bursts to get out of breaks and drive on the ball.
Bishop does his best when playing as an underneath defender, where he can pass off receivers and has over-the-top help. He is a short strider with some stiff hips, and he struggles to turn and run. He's slow to climb and gain growth, which may cause issues in the NFL.
Though Bishop has versatility within his game, he lacks true scheme versatility. He's best as a box defender, so he'll fit best as a strong safety who can occasionally switch up his look as a deep defender. Bishop could carve out a successful NFL career if the right team selects him.
I have faith that McDermott can make a 6th round Safety a usable piece of our defense than our offense can help Josh with a 6th round WR.
Josh needs weapons at WR and we need big uglies all over the place on the offense and defense.
I'd rather get a WR in round 1 and a DE or DL in the 2nd round. Worthy and Sweat DL would be awesome for this team IMO.
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6 hours ago, ScorpionZero said:
Latu was ranked 26th so I had to take him.
beebe will solidify that line if McGovern goes to Center.
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Dude is a walking ouchie. I don't think he has played a full season in a long time.
Glad the Jets paid for his services.
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thank you for the updating at the front of this post. It helps keeping up w the cap number and the moves that have been made.
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If Henry will take 4 MIl and a 1 Mil bonus if we make it to the superbowl (with a min number of games available), then I'm for it... if he wants big $$$ pass.
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You GOTTA take a WR right?
we need speed. I'm almost ok w/ going back to back WRs in this draft... why not, we do it for DL...
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1 hour ago, sunshynman said:
28. Buffalo Bills: Chop Robinson, DE, Penn State©Dan Rainville / USA Today Sports Images
An edge rusher is high on Buffalo's wish list with the potential departures of Leonard Floyd and A.J. Epenesa. Robinson fits the mold as long, projectable edge rusher.
DE's before 18:
8. Atlanta Falcons: Dallas Turner, DE, Alabama
11. Minnesota Vikings: Laiatu Latu, DE, UCLA
15. Indianapolis Colts: Jared Verse, DE, Florida State
5 WR taken before 28:
4. Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State
6. New York Giants: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU
14. New Orleans Saints: Rome Odunze, WR, Washington
17. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State
Go up to 16 and get Brian Thomas. Dude is a freaking monster...
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3 hours ago, John from Riverside said:
This is literally bull####
You have absolutely no idea what their plans areThis is putting KC in a win/win scenario.
Let Sneed's agent go out there and find a team that will trade for him and give him $$$. KC will probably get a 1st and a lower round pick for him.
IF Sneed can't find any takers, well, resign him to a long term deal...
Worst case scenario, nobody wants him, can't resign him and your stuck w/ the Franchise tag on him.
When are Franchise tag designations need to be turned in to the NFL?
Maybe you get the deal done even before you have to tag him??
Will anyone admit to becoming a Bills fan during the Josh Allen era?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Nope. Sorry, been a Bills fan since birth, which is going over 50 years now... Joe Cribbs and Fergy baby!