Bockeye
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Posts posted by Bockeye
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6 hours ago, Augie said:
Why would you assume any of that? The first 3 guys in the 2024 draft got hurt (Keon and Carter showed flashes pre-injury), the 4th contributed and there is other talent being developed. The 2025 class has yet to play a down. Did I miss the sarcasm font?
Sorry, my bad, I was being sarcastic. Agree with everything you state above. It would be crazy to think we aren’t a better team this year than last.
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Assuming our 2024 draft class is a complete wash and they don’t take a step forward as well as Kincaid not progressing from his 2024 injury, and absolutely none of our rookies contributing….I think the Philly fan is correct.
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On 5/28/2025 at 5:21 PM, reddogblitz said:
How wealthy is wealthy? Raise it how much?
We have a $1.8 trillion deficit in 2025 according to the budget office. We have 735 billionaires in the US. Even if each one paid a billion in taxes we'd still be a trillion short.
Sounds good, but how do you see this penciling out?
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59946
Yes - Keep on the “tax the rich” and lets just become as socialist or communist country. Not the answer.
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9 hours ago, oldmanfan said:
Interesting idea, but it would depend on how another team would want to use him. If they see him as a higher volume, 3 down guy then they’ll likely offer a bigger deal. I want him signed but when you have him only getting maybe 50% of snaps, and Ty Johnson used as a 3rd down back a lot, it’s hard to see him getting a big number.
This is great perspective. He has a lower snap count than other “#1” backs simply because we have better pass catching RB’s on the roster as well as better pass blocking RB’s on the roster, and maybe even better goal line backs.
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So, 2nd Rd pick, 2nd year with team - 800yds 6 TD’s??? Is that good?
Whats your metric on Coleman since a lot of you have written him off?
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On 5/21/2025 at 7:53 AM, SoonerBillsFan said:
It's a must at this point.
I agree, but having said this - with their production last year, we’d be in the SB if we had a defense.
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Shakir is easily #1. He put up BIG numbers the first year he stepped on the field for the Bills.
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4 hours ago, HappyDays said:
This is my worst fear, that people are going to start taking me seriously 😁
Good question. I'd put coaching first honestly, and I want to be more specific by saying that it's Andy Reid having McDermott's number that has been the biggest factor holding us back from a Super Bowl. KC's offense is regularly producing much better against us in the playoffs than they are throughout the regular season and in other playoff games. They've never punted more than twice against us. Our defensive talent and their offensive talent have changed but the outcome has always been the same. So I think McDermott takes the bulk of the responsibility.
After that I'd go defensive talent. We haven't had a legit #1 CB play a full game against them since Tre White played in our first AFCCG. Our DL talent has always been middling. We've had injuries throughout the defense, and I don't think that fully explains the utter collapses we're seeing on that side of the ball but certainly it has been a contributing factor.
And then lastly I'd put the offense which has regularly kept us in those games but has also failed to close the deal in the last two games when it had the ball last.
So all that being said I do understand wanting to focus on the defense this offseason, especially since both the FA class and draft class were stronger on defense. I'm not blind to the fact that the defense has been a massive disappointment in each of our playoff losses. I just feel like I trust Allen to get the job done more than I trust McDermott so I wish we'd give more of our resources to him.
I think this is THE most concise summary of why we haven’t won a SB with Allen.
Thanks
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1 minute ago, Pete said:
Phillys D doesnt fold. They pummeled Mahomes. Saquan is best RB in league. Eagles do not need to score 30 points every game to win
I agree with all of this. So I’d assume you were good with the D draft? The fact we have a top 5 RB doesn’t hurt. He’s no Barkley, but good enough?
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So who’s covering him - Benford or Hairston?
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4 hours ago, HappyDays said:
But the passing game did suffer. For the first time since 2019 Allen was below 4,000 passing yards. Passing TDs also was the lowest since 2019. Passing success rate was below 50%, and again the lowest since 2019. It's inarguable that the weak WR talent made the passing offense significantly less productive.
The offense made up for it however with great tackle play, getting explosive plays from the run game, and an all-time elimination of negative plays in the pass game (literally all-time - Allen had the lowest sack/INT/fumble percentage in NFL history). They were able to mask the WR room by playing an intentionally safe ball control style of offense and by Allen delivering the best performance of his career. That doesn't mean the lack of WR talent wasn't a problem; the volume passing stats show clearly that it was.
And ball control worked great, until the final two games of the season. Against Baltimore our inability to do anything on offense for the entire second half almost cost us a game that we had well in hand. The narrative of that game swung on a dropped 2 point conversion. Against KC we were forced into multiple 4th down conversion scenarios as a direct result of our small ball philosophy, and predictably we couldn't convert all of them so we lost. The needle proved too narrow to thread. I worry this season will suffer the same ending.
But this regime has made its bed and they have to lay in it. Looking at the total resources spent on the offense vs on the defense, the 2025 Bills really should be led by the defense. We shouldn't need to put up 30+ PPG to win 13+ games. KC went 15-1 (ignoring the farce that was week 18) scoring 23.1 PPG. McDermott and Beane are telling us with their spending that that is the style of team they want to win with. So they better prove that the strategy can work. I still worry that all the defensive investments will mean nothing when we inevitably face KC in the playoffs, and that the offense will once again fail to close the deal when they have the chance because no one other than Allen can step up and make a play.
Also - Jalen Hurts had less than 3,000 passing yards in 2024. How do we make sense of that?
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2 hours ago, HappyDays said:
I think you have the cause/effect backwards. Part of the reason I think that is that McDermott's defensive scheme and philosophy is built around the idea that every time your opponent runs the ball it's a net positive for your defense. This has been a common criticism of his defense, that we too easily invite the run. So it would be weird to make that concept a staple of your defense, but then on the other side of the ball intentionally go run-heavy. I'm all for a balanced offense. But the team was forced to run that small ball style more than they really wanted to I am sure. No way McDermott wanted his offense to have 6 4th down conversion attempts in the AFCCG, and needing to convert at least 5 of them to even have a chance of winning the game, but that's what happened. The personnel dictated the game script and the game script dictated the outcome.
I consider you a super knowledgeable poster. Maybe we’ve had a poll before on this, but i would value your opinion. In ranking what’s holding us back from a SB, is it:
Coaching
Defense
Offense in playoff games
OR has it been more specific:
special teams
Wide Receivers
Defensive Line
Secondary
(Some people pointed to the running game in the past - pre-cook?)
My take is that our scouting dept is good, but not great. We get some really good players, but if we had a few rookies drafted (including players now on their 2nd or 3rd year), that stepped up to be absolute studs, we could win it all. Such a jigsaw puzzle.
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2 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:
You aren’t a vertical threat until you actually do it in games. If all you do is catch balls underneath then you are just another possession receiver.
Having the ability to do something and actually doing it are two different things. It’s why I’ve stated multiple times Brady needs to utilize Moore as a deep threat as we have enough underneath and possession type receivers. Until that happens Moore is a redundant asset.
I agree that Brady has to use him as a vertical threat. Moore can definitely do it as he has done before and was arguably quite good at it. It’s on Brady’s shoulders to utilize both him and Palmer as vertical threats as and when needed. Jury is out on that as MVS obviously had the skills but didn’t fit into Bradys offense (and I really don’t have any complaints about Bradys offense).
https://jetsxfactor.com/2021/11/23/elijah-moore-outside-wr-slot/
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7 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:
Not quite. Moore’s yards per catch last season was 8.8. His YAC/r was 2.2. This means his Air/r was 6.6 yards. That’s not a deep threat. That’s deeper than Samuel or Shakir, but he is an inside receiver or has been in his career.
Compare to Palmer. His Y/C was 15 last season and his YAC/R was 2.6. That means his AIR/R was 12.4. Those are the stats of someone who runs deeper routes.
Coleman was 19.2 Y/C with a YAC/R of 7.4. His AIR/R 11.8.As I’ve said before, Moore and/or Samuel need to be recast as a deep threat receiver. Otherwise they are redundant inside WRs.
Moore is a vertical threat. He just hasn’t frequently been used that way on the teams he has been on. It’s not that he can’t do it,
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On 3/27/2025 at 9:35 AM, Just Jack said:
Well, he is from a small town, son of a farming family, and she is the big city beautiful actress. It's the traditional Hallmark plot.
Indeed. Josh and Hailey ice skating canalside, a snowball fight in Delaware park then some sledding and hot coca at Chestnut Ridge.
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31 minutes ago, sven233 said:
All this talk about what happened with WGR and Beane. I have made my comments on this in the main thread, but based off of everything that happened since that aired, it makes me wonder if the whole thing would have never happened if we knew that Moore was coming in for a visit BEFORE the interview instead of 20 seconds after it aired.
I mean, I think all the WGR guys were saying is that we probably could have used at least 1 more guy in the WR room to try and make life easier for Allen. I think the signing of Moore is kind of a perfect fit for what the Bills want to do on offense......positionless WRs that play in different packages depending on the game script. Hollins played like 60% of the snaps last year and I think all of us would say he probably was the 4th or 5th WR at best on the roster in terms of labels. So, with Moore coming in, I could absolutely see him slotting into the Hollins role. I think we can also all agree that Moore is more talented than Hollins overall. So, if the WGR guys would have known that the visit was happening and the signing was a possibility, I don't think the conversation on Monday every happens.
Anyway, I like this signing a lot. It's one of this low to no risk, high reward types of signings. I think the dude has talent and we haven't seen his best because of the teams and QBs he has played with. I think he can get some separation and he likes to live in the intermediate areas that Allen likes to target. I wouldn't be surprised at all if he plays a more important role in this offense than many are expecting. Palmer is new to the the team and, while I like that signing too, we don't know what that is going to look like yet. The jury is still way out on Coleman. I have no reason to believe expectations should be real high with him. I wasn't big on him in the draft and until he proves differently, I think a middle of the road WR is distinct possibility for him. And Samuel has never been able to stay healthy for an entire season. So, with Shakir being the only reliable guy in the room, I could absolutely seeing Moore emerge as a guy to get a good amount of snaps this year. Regardless, I like the signing. We needed another guy in the room and he can run. So we'll see what happens.
These are all good points.
Let me just point out in regards to the persistent Coleman bashing:
First year stats - Shakir had 10 catches for 161 and 1 TD…..He’s freaking terrible. Why did we even resign him?!?!?
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Mods - this is a weird one. My apologies if this not is the right forum.
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46 minutes ago, Doc Brown said:
On 97 targets? That's terrible efficiency.
Or terrible QB’ng?
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3 hours ago, SoMAn said:
Coleman was still learning and was playing with an injured hand.
The Bills were exceeding expectations in what many believed would be a ‘transition year’. When the experienced pro bowl receiver became available at a reasonable price, Beane and Co. probably thought, ‘let’s go for it. We’re in the thick of it for a playoff spot, and maybe even the top seed.’
It was a gamble. The return investment was minimal, but it was a worthwhile risk. They don’t call Beane ‘big balls’ for nothing.This is an excellent take. Kincaid was banged up too. Many people hammer him and just believe he’s plain not good.
https://www.si.com/nfl/bills/news/source-provides-insight-into-dalton-kincaid-2024
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5 hours ago, JaCrispy said:
The main thing preventing this team from upgrading the WR room is Keon Coleman…
And why? Because he was our first pick last year (unfortunately).
We already gave Palmer starter money, and there is just no way the FO would bring in another starter, therefore diminishing Coleman’s ability to become a starter…
If Coleman was a mid round pick, as he should have been, it would be a different story…The team would have no problem bringing in a guy to be the starter…
But this is the reason you hear the team voice their disappointment in Coleman- yet do nothing about it…Its because he was their first pick…
I’m surprised how many people write off rookies after one year. I mean - Josh Allen wasn’t exactly lighting it up year one. Hell - go take a look at Eric Moulds first two years, he would have been absolutely trashed by TBD.
I still have hope Keon can take a step forward this year, as well as Kincaid.
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2 hours ago, boyst said:
another slot WR.... i'm ok with adding talent but we need more than just slots.
https://jetsxfactor.com/2021/11/23/elijah-moore-outside-wr-slot/
Maybe not? There a few other articles and posts regarding Moore being effective outside…..but wasn’t used as much in that role, esp in CLV.
Hope springs eternal.
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Would have loved grabbing WR Keandre Lambert-Smith instead of Jackson Hawes in the 5th. Would have had to make a trade, but would have made the draft an A for me personally. Do like the emphasis on D….we need it.
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2 hours ago, FireChans said:
Kiko didn’t win the real rookie of the year? I thought he was runner-up to Sheldon Richardson.
Maybe my google search lied to me. It’s happened before. Or maybe there are a few different awards. This is what I was going off.
https://www.buffalobills.com/news/kiko-alonso-named-pfwa-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-12431942
2 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:Rookie of the year will not be a Bill
Alpha - You have phenomenal insight on rookies and football in general. Who do you think it’s gonna be? Give us your top three if you would.
They say "Never meet your heroes" - and then there is Josh Allen...
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Thanks for sharing!!!!!
Simply and awesome story and an even more amazing experience!