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RememberTheRockpile

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Posts posted by RememberTheRockpile

  1. 3 hours ago, MDH said:

    The Bills come in at 13 with 15 drops on the season. The do throw less than most teams, so perhaps their drop percentage would be near the top. I don't feel like doing the math on that one. 

    I did the math. Calculated the caught/drop ratio (number of passes caught for each pass dropped). The Bills come in at 28 with 1 drop for every 14.73 completions. Cleveland comes in 20th with 1 drop for every 17.75 completions. Jets come in 31st with 1 drop for every 13.82 completions. Arizona comes in 26th with 1 drop for every 16 completions. Seattle sits at the top at 56.75 and Jacksonville at the bottom at 10.3.

  2. 2 hours ago, The Senator said:

    Now, to me, that video looks like it came from a ceiling-mounted hotel cam, rather than a cell phone.

    The angle of the video is consistent with a ceiling mount camera but the pan, tilt, and zoom following the action isn't. For a cell phone somebody would have had to hold the phone above their head which would make it more difficult to follow the action much less zoom in. (I suppose they could be standing on a chair but that seems unlikely.) I am going to guess that TMZ exercised some editorial creativity with the video.

  3. 4 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said:

    If they're holding opponents to 50% TD's on those possessions, it actually makes the overall 67% rate look even worse.

     

    They need to fix that.

    The 67% is kind of meaningless. The red zone is arbitrary. Take for example the Chicago Bears. They have a rate of 68.4% which is worse than the Bills yet they are given up  2.1 TD's/ game to the Bills 2.4 TD's /game. The Houston Texans have an even worse rate of 73.9% and are giving up the same number of TD's as the Bears, 2.1 TD's/ game. At the other extreme is the Raiders with a 51.4% rate while giving up 3.33 TD's /game. 

  4. Went through all the games and made a list of where the special teams or offense put the defense in a not so advantageous position. Drive start is where the Bills gave up the ball to the other team.

     

    Opponent

    Drive Start Yards Gained Result
    Baltimore Bills 20 -3 FG
    Baltimore Bills 29 8 FG
    Baltimore Bills 14 24 TD
    Baltimore Bills 1 1 TD
    Chargers Bills 38 38 TD
    Chargers Bills 16 11 FG
    Titans Bills 25 18 FG
    Texans Bills 29 39 TD
    Texans Bills 21 7 FG
    Colts Bills 32 14 FG
    Colts Bills 2 2 TD
    Colts Bills 20 20 TD
    Patriots Bills 29 22 FG
    Bears Bills 37 42 TD
    Bears Bills 23 23 TD
    Bears Bills 28 1 FG

     

    There are 8 FG all of which it can be reasonably argued were already in FG range when the defense went back on the field. Of the 8 TD's four of those drives started in the red zone. Two of the TD's were with a starting field position of the 1 and 2 yard line. These drives account for 80 of the 251 points scored against the Bills. Add in the pick 6's (3) and the fumble returned for a TD for a total of 28 points given up by the offense brings it to 108 points. I find it hard to put a lot of blame on the defense for this seasons less than spectacular performance.  

  5. 13 minutes ago, Nihilarian said:

    Yep, #1 in yards allowed, #19 in points allowed. 

    The #19 in points allowed includes the 28 points the offense gave away (3 pick 6's and a fumble). Removing all the TD's and safeties given up by the offense and special teams for all the teams moves the Bills defensive unit rank to #12 on points allowed.  

  6. 40 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

    The Chicago game is an example of how they really aren't that good of a defense.  They were hardly on the field (26 min), yet they surrendered 27 points.

     

    The first TD drive the Bears started at the Bills 37 yard line. The second was off a fumble by Croom returned for a TD. The 3rd TD was a Peterman pick 6 special. The fourth TD was also on a short field starting at the Bills 23 yard line. Half the points happened while the defense sat on the sideline watching. 

  7. 20 minutes ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

    Yes people have mentioned 1 more game. 

     

    That does not change the average points per game or yards per game #s.  

    They play great then they play like hey are not great.  

     

    I am glad they have a high ranking.  

     

    Shut down the next 5 of 6 opponents and I’ll buy in ? 

    The average points per game given up for the Bills team is 25.1 putting them at #19.

    The average points per game given up by the Bills defence is 22.1 putting them at # 12. 

    The discussion was/is about the Bills defense.

  8. 45 minutes ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

     

    Total D

     

    # 25 total points allowed

    # 19 points per game allowed

    The #25 is based on some teams having played one less game. Both stats include pick 6's, fumbles returned for TD's, kicks returned for TD's, and safety's. Removing the TD's and safety's scored when the defensive unit was not on the field the Bills are a respectable 12th in points allowed.

  9. 12 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    The thing is, the Jets really haven't been in the "really bad" pot on defense, depending upon how you define "really bad" I suppose.

    Until yesterday's 41 point debacle, they were kind of bottom-third 'meh' on points given up. 

    We were considerably below them. 

    After yesterday, we're 25th to their 26th.

     

    There are 5 teams who have given up more points

    On points given up per game given up Miami is 12th (25.6) , Jets 13th (25.4), and the Bills are 14th (25.1). 

  10. 5 minutes ago, Ol Dirty B said:

    He's no better than schmidt. His punts lack distance and hang time. He leads the league in punts inside the 20 because he probably has the most opportunities.

    Only second. Cleveland's punter Britton Colquitt has 39 to Corey Bojorquez 31 which is why I used percentage of punts rather then total. Colquitt, btw, put 43% of his punts inside the 20.  Seattle's Michael Dickson has 29 punts which 34% were placed inside the 20. 

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  11. 41 minutes ago, DabillsDaBillsDaBills said:

     

    1) No it does not

     

    2) There could be a correlation there. Given the only data point I have is that Bojorquez is last in hang time and 9th in inside 20 % the anecdotal evidence would point to a weak correlation. 

    1. So hang time doesn't account for the fact that a kicking to place the ball inside the 20 (which is usually a shorter punt) would have less hang time by necessity. Seems to me that punters that are at the top of list for placing the ball inside the 20 are unfairly penalized by the generic hang time stat.

    2. "The anecdotal evidence would point to a weak correlation"? Based on one data point. I don't think so. Is that all you have, the hang time for Bojorquez? If that is it then the hang time is a big nothing burger.

  12. 1 minute ago, DabillsDaBillsDaBills said:

     

    The number of punts he has inside the 20 is largely due to the number of failed offensive drives the Bills have had.

     

    You failed to answer the questions and failed to address I was using percentage. 

    1. Does the hang time account for the fact that 48% of Bojorquez's punts are inside the 20?

    Note: It is the percentage of punts inside the 20. For example Kevin Huber (Cin) has 16 punts, 8 of which were inside the 20 or 50% of his punts were inside the 20.  

     

    2. Do you not think that when kicking to place the ball inside the 20 that hang time might be a bit lower than a punt from you own 20?

  13. Just now, DabillsDaBillsDaBills said:

    I would argue that having a superior punt coverage unit could compensate for having poor hang time.

    Does the hang time account for the fact that 48% of Bojorquez's punts are inside the 20? Do you not think that when kicking to place the ball inside the 20 that hang time might be a bit lower than a punt from you own 20? Bojorquez is 9th in percentage of punts inside the 20 (he is less than 0.2% off the 6th best for percentage of punts inside the 20). 

     

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