BufBills83
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Posts posted by BufBills83
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I've been wanting the Bills to bring in competition at kicker. Bass had a weird year. He wasn't great and it seemed like a lot of his kicks, even some of the makes, looked awkward. Like the kick at the end of regulation against the Jets week 1. Yes it was a 50ish yarder but it banked off the goalpost and in, so kinda lucky. Some of other ones just didn't look straight or they moved around. And then he gets a short one blocked in the Steelers playoff game and missed the one against KC. I don't want the season to come down to a kick in the playoffs again and we're worried that our kicker makes a 45 yard or less FG....those should be basically automatic. Plenty of kickers in the leagues are making 55+ seem easy.
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I'm a big McDermott supporter but he blew the end of the 13 seconds game. I mentioned not rushing anyone at Mahomes for the plays on the last drive. I mean no pass rushers, 11 in coverage, not everyone deep but probably 3 deep, 4-5 intermediate 15-20 yards and then the other 3-4 short. Don't worry about the sideline because they had 2 timeouts. That way you have 11 guys in coverage when you know Mahomes has to throw immediately and its either going to be short and call timeout, or deep and hope for a prayer. As for Mahomes running, if Mahomes runs, that will take too much time. A decent run of 10-15 yards would take 5+ seconds and with 11 in coverage and multiple guys covering short, that may not even be possible cause everyone has eyes on the QB and can't rush past him.
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If they run into that situation again, I would just not have anyone rush the QB. They only have 13 seconds, they either have to throw something fast, or hold onto the ball longer, in which case its good for us. They are going to do a quick throw so the rush isn't going to get there, and given the time, just put 11 guys in coverage and force a really tight throw.
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I would only extend him, I would not trade unless the deal was unbelievable. A second round pick isn't close to what I would trade him for.
If we want to compete this year, we can't bank on Van Demark or a rookie coming in and holding down Allen's blindside. Dawkins is pretty good and we need the best o-line we can get. Plus, continuity on the o-line is important as well.
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12 hours ago, Success said:
KC worship & KC paranoia are getting pretty carried away on this board.
I get that they have been a nemesis in the playoffs, but some fans are getting way over the top.
True, I mean this board is unreadable sometimes. It's not like KC hasn't made mistakes (Toney trade, drafting CEH round 1, drafting Sky Moore, etc)
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On 2/26/2024 at 6:30 PM, Turk71 said:
McD doesn't 'own' the past and that's the problem. He doesn't own up to anything....ever
He makes mistakes that he never 'owns'....in fact he makes sure to deflect blame onto someone else.
That's a terrible trait for a leader
He says almost every press conference "it starts with me."
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On 2/26/2024 at 8:13 AM, TheyCallMeAndy said:
This will turn into a McD bash thread, but I have no issues with his answers. Felt like something other than coach talk.
I actually really liked the "a Lombardi isn't a matter of if, it's a matter of when" line. It made him sound confident and that he isn't just sulking around because of another loss.
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2 hours ago, Billl said:
@SuccessThat’s a pretty big qualifier given that Allen, Milano, Diggs, Dawkins, Tre, etc. were added more than 3 seasons ago. This is a declining roster, and it’s no longer at a championship level. Losing a close game in the Divisional round doesn’t change that. The team was closer to missing the postseason than winning a Super Bowl.
Oh boy, you just won the SB and now you're coming to this board and saying this isn't a championship-caliber roster when we were about 20 yards away from beating you.
It is a championship-caliber roster. There is obviously going to be some retooling, which every team does every year, but the core is still in place to win a SB next year. QB, the entire starting offensive line, starting RB, 2 starting receivers, both starting TE's are all under contract next year. We need a couple WRs (FA and/or draft). On defense, we need safety and Dline. Four LBers and 4 CBs are under contract next year, as well as Oliver and Rousseau on the D line. Jones will prob be resigned. We'll be right there next year, trust me.
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3 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:
If the Bills are able to do everything on their list they could conceivably cut $90 mill from the cap.
Done if the things they suggested, like giving Morse and Poyer pay cuts aren’t happening. Both might sign some kind extension to get their cap hit down but neither is agreeing to a pay cut. They also suggested only giving pay cuts to Harty and Hines. Sorry, but I doubt both will be back next season. Harty is easily replaced and Hines is a huge injury risk. I’d move on from both and save all 8.7.
Their other big money grab, besides Josh, was a Diggs restructure. They argue he is going to be here another 3 years regardless because of his contract and we need to win now. I was against it at first, but they convinced me. Clearing 13 mill for Diggs could be the difference in re-signing Jones or a good replacement or having to go with a rookie or cheap UFA.
PS Why do so many people think we should cut Morse? I understand the cap savings, but last season the O line was a huge strength. Why weaken it by dumping the anchor of the line who stayed healthy and played great? I think Beane likely agrees with me and if Morse wants to return he will.I don't want to cut Morse either. I agree, the oline was greatly improved last year and keeping the same starting 5 will only help the line improve and be more consistent.
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1 minute ago, Chicken Boo said:
Too many holes to fill for that kind of optimism.
Right now, the hope is that Diggs is still the guy we remember. For 11 straight weeks he didn't look like it.
How are there too many holes to fill? We need help at receiver, safety, Dline, and some depth. I want to draft a receiver early, and possibly a second one mid-round. I want to draft at least one Dline and 1 safety. It will depend on where the value is and who the Bills like on where these players are picked, but these are the positions I would like them to target. Possibly a center to take over for Morse in a year or two.
For FA I would like a veteran brought in to help with the transition to the rookies playing more, a veteran safety, and maybe Dline. They would all be mid-range FA obviously, no high priced FA.
The entire Oline is under contract next year. TE's are fine, RBs we can pick up a cheap FA or draft one in mid to late rounds. CB is fine, LB is fine as we get Milano and Bernard back.
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2 hours ago, Shaw66 said:
Well, I agree with the first half. I've been saying here for years that people over-emphasize the importance of acquiring more talent. The NFL is designed to be sure that it's practically impossible to out-talent the rest of the teams in the league. You have to win with a few stars and a bunch of ordinary talent. Which means the success of teams depends on coaching.
Where we disagree is on McDermott. You're saying, in some many words, that McDermott isn't a winner. I'm saying that he just hasn't won yet. That is, I believe in and the possibility, actually the likelihood, that McDermott will win, probably win more than once. You believe that the Bills that we've seen in the past is the most we can expect to get so long as McDermott is the coach. It's exactly what Eagles fans said about Reid.
I think people learn and improve, and McDermott is dedicated to that principle, to the max. If anyone is going to improve, it's McDermott.
It's very hard to win a Lombardi - very hard, and a lot of luck is required, too. There have been a few exceptions: Reid now, Belichick, Walsh, maybe Landry, Paul Brown, Noll, probably Shula. Most of the coaches who've won have been one and done, and they were fortunate to get one.
I've agreed with pretty much everything you've said in this thread. Yes, in the moment when we lose to KC, everyone is upset, frustrated, me included. It feels like we'll never get past them in the playoffs. But the difference in these games is so close that one of these times we're going to score 1 more point than they do and we're going to get past them. I mean if you watch the divisional round game this year, what tells you that if we were to run it back with same quality rosters that we couldn't win it? If the two teams played 10 times, maybe KC wins 6 and we win 4? Maybe it's 5 and 5. KC certainly wouldn't win 9 or 10 times.
I think the plan going forward should be to put more resources into offense and then get younger on defense. Our defense has been good but it doesn't seem to matter how good it is when we play KC in the playoffs. I want to draft 1, maybe 2 wide receivers, preferably with speed to help spread the field. Possibly draft a RB mid to late rounds that tough between the tackles runner that complements Cook. I want to run the oline back because they were very good and should be even better with more time together. TE's are fine.
I don't want to ignore the defense, but I want to get younger and not pour a ton of FA money into it. Draft D line, safety. We're getting Milano and Bernard back who didn't play against KC. CBs are pretty good. Get younger and faster on D, add legit receiving threats on offense and I think we could certainly be better next year.
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I guess all you guys should just skip next year then.
The Chiefs are the best team in the league and with 2 mins left we were about 20 yards away from beating them. It's not like we're totally outclassed, far from it. The margin is so small that 1 or 2 plays go differently we win. I don't know why that doesn't invoke optimism that we can beat them next year.
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I almost feel like Josh gets bored sometimes in the regular season which leads to some of his turnovers because I can tell that once playoffs come around and the games are obviously very important, he seems to hone in and play better and not turn the ball over a lot. Like I could feel that he wasn't going to turn the ball over in these playoffs even though he had a lot of them this season. The only turnover he almost had was the fumble late in the KC game that we fortunately recovered.
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Just now, Nephilim17 said:
Pretty damn high. I expect a win. A loss would be shocking and massive cause for concern.
If we win and don't get injured, all good.
This is where I'm at. I expect a win and a loss would be unacceptable and catastrophic really. Also, if we were to lose somehow, we weren't going very far anyway. So either way I'm pretty calm about this one. Next week, however, will probably be different.
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Just now, oldmanfan said:
Of course I can. What an absurd statement to make. Josh’s play is on Josh as is Mahomes’ on him annd so on. To suggest otherwise is similar to being the kid who gets caught stealing a cookie out of the cookie jar and saying: Well Johnnie did it too.
I think Josh is the most physically gifted QB in the league, one if the top 3 in the league. But a legitimate criticism is he throws too many picks. Why is that so difficult to accept?
I think the criticizing Josh for his interceptions is fine as long as it is put in context with the rest of his play. The media was really raking Josh over the coals this year about his interceptions but they would only focus on the raw number, not in context of why they occurred, or how many TDs he had, etc.
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4 hours ago, oldmanfan said:
So you’re telling me not to think what I think, but complain that I’m telling you what to think? Right.
If anything, they were unlucky, not lucky.
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Its not even remotely likely they miss the playoffs at 11-6. As I mentioned in my previous post, only 1 of the 13 games I listed has to go the opposite way I mentioned for us to control our own destiny, i.e. make the playoffs at 11-6. Thats why our probability to make it is greater than 99%. The chances of all 13 of those games' outcomes going that exact way is super low.
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24 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:
Highly improbable aka somewhat probable?Lol what?
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So I actually figured out the scenario that leaves the Bills out of the playoffs at 11-6.
- Miami beats Dallas and Baltimore, and loses to Buffalo. Miami wins division at 12-5.
- Baltimore wins enough games to win division, but loses to Miami.
- Jacksonville wins division by winning out and going 11-6.
- KC loses to Cincy but wins their other 2 games, finish 11-6 and win division.
Those are the division winners. Now for the wildcard teams.
- Cleveland beats Houston and Jets but lose to Cincy. Finish 11-6 and the 5 seed.
- Cincy wins out. This makes them 11-6 and the 6 seed since they beat Indy.
- Indy wins out, beating Atl, LV and Hou. Finish 11-6 and the 7 seed.
- Houston loses to Cleveland and loses to Indy. This leaves Houston out of the playoffs at 9-8, but gives Cleveland and Indy needed wins to stay above us.
So if Buffalo wins out and goes 11-6, if all these other things happen, we are left out as we lose out on tiebreakers. However, for this to happen, all of the remaining games have to have these exact results:
Week 16: Jax beats Tampa, Cleveland beats Hou, Cincy beats Pitt, Indy beats Atlanta, Miami beats Dallas
Week 17: Jax beats Carolina, Cleveland beats Jets, Cincy beats KC, Indy beats LV, Miami beats Baltimore
Week 18: Jax beats Tennesee, Cincy beats Cleveland, Indy beats Houston
So in total there are 13 games from week 16 to week 18 where if one of the results above go the other way, we control our own destiny. So we need 1 good outcome out of 13 games. Its highly improbable that all the games go this exact way. I can see Tampa beating Jax this week, Dallas beating Miami, maybe even Pitt winning. I can def see KC beating Cincy in week 17. There are a lot of possibilities for us to control our destiny.
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You use every advantage possible to win. When the flag is thrown and we get 15 yards, none of us are complaining. I don't care how the optics look. I want a Superbowl.
And actually, a lot of the ones that he flopped on were late hits. The one yesterday was late.
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36 minutes ago, Simon said:
#1 - The Latavius Murray "catch" that was squaring things up for the Kelce "catch"
#2 - The awful contact call on Sherfield's pick on 3rd/10 that gave the Bills a first down around the 20 and a legit chance to ice the game.
Two huge fourth quarter calls that made it look like the NFL wants the Bills still in the hunt.
Are we seriously starting this thread? After we finally pulled a game out after having so many things go against us?
I'll add one - Blatant missed DPI call on Diggs around 2 min warning in 2nd half.
34 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:I know you’re kidding, but many others won’t!
I didn't, so I apologize....egg on my face!
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I love how when the Bills make a mistake, its that the Bills messed up and lost a game they should have won. But when another team messes up, its "we got lucky we had a call go our way" They didn't call a PI on Diggs. I don't give an F Von was offside.
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Did everyone forget the blatant PI call on Diggs at the end? I didn't.
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Just now, Pine Barrens Mafia said:
Should be 14-0
If its incomplete instead of an interception, and we punt, who's to say they still don't score?
Logic's Buffalo Bills Draft Review -- The more things change, the more they stay the same
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
So I was thinking, Coleman's skill set and body type is similar to Gabe Davis (taller, not a speedster, get jump balls) so its possible their plan is to have Coleman replace Davis as the #2. Coleman is young and has a higher ceiling. Then they will trade for a WR1 in FA or get one next offseason.