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billspro

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Posts posted by billspro

  1. On 4/27/2021 at 3:42 PM, Paup 1995MVP said:

    Hunter has been good.  I think I just get a little bitter because my son plays DE at Georgia Southern and is only 6'2.  He is strong and can move well, but doesn't have the great length.  If he has a really good senior season he should get a shot in the NFL.  But that's how it goes.  I think he projects more as an 3-4 OLB at the next level.  But once you show you can play at the NFL level it doesn't matter where you come from or what round if any you are drafted.  


    Best of luck to him. It’s hard to know who professional sports leagues will give a chance to. There is a lot of luck involved.

  2. 1 hour ago, Paup 1995MVP said:

    If we are going DE, we need to trade up a bit if Kwity Paye starts falling and get him.  The other guys aren't likely to do much for us this year.  Guys like Oweh do nothing in the NFL.  Heck he did nothing in the Big 10 at Penn State.  Everyone wants these long lanky guys to play DE and rush the passer.  As big as most Olineman are, you need some strength and  bulk to get to the QB.  Dwight Freeney was one of the best DE's of all time rushing the passer, and he wasn't even 6 feet.  Get Paye or a good CB in the 1st round if we don't have to give up too much to move up.  Otherwise all day on Etienne or Najee!!  


    In Oweh defence he did have the highest double team rate out of all the top DEs by a lot. He would have gotten some sacks if it was a full season. We are lucky it wasn’t a full season because he might fall to us. If he had 5 sacks this year we are talking about a top 15 pick. I think Oweh will be the best edge in this class but Paye will be very good. 
     

    Check out Hunter from Minnesota if you don’t think guys like Oweh can be good.

    2 minutes ago, Ethan in Portland said:

    Good take. I love Harris out of the backfield but since I posted a couple months back that he would be my first round pick, I have switched to Etienne.  He may be the closest thing to Faulk or Tomlinson that the league has seen in a while.  I am admittedly biased as I think Thurman was the most important player in the K-gun offense.  I love RB's that can kill you in the pass game.  In many respects the league has moved on to TE/WR hybrids, but there is still a role for the pass catching RB.

    Check out Michael Carter 

  3. 50 minutes ago, NewEra said:

    Can’t see Carter slipping to our pick in rd 3. Too far.  Gainwell maybe?  I’d prefer him tbh


    Carter should be a second rounder. That guy is unbelievable. After the top 4 RBs I’m not sure if we are upgrading. The OL prospects in round 3 are much better than the RB prospects.

    1 hour ago, BillsSbSoon said:

    Dickerson in the 2nd would be a steal


    It’s possible, he does have some medical red flags.

    • Agree 1
  4. 1 hour ago, McBean said:


    No, scoring more points gets us past the Chiefs.

     

    Defense is so overrated in the NFL it’s sickening.

     

    We need more speed and playmakers to beat KC.


    I think Harris has the ability to become a playmaker. I wouldn’t mind adding Michael Carter in the third if we wanted another one. 

    1 minute ago, BigAl2526 said:

    I like the top tree picks.  Not so sure about the second trade.  Beane has gotten lots of value from his late round picks.


    I wasn’t sure if we could get a decent OL prospect in the 5th. I would be comfortable waiting if Beane was.

  5. 8 hours ago, NewEra said:

    Well done @billspro

     

     It really looks like Adebo might be our guy in rd 2.  After watching more and more of his tape, I’d be ok with him there.  I have a 3rd rd grade on him but we’re almost picking in rd 3.  I think McD can work wonders with him.  Gabe Davis really worked him over 2 yeees ago, but I trust MCD can get him right.
     

    I’ve had nightmares about oweh, and I agree, he’s probably the guy @ 30.  It’ll be nice to have another athlete with elite traits that we can watch, hopefully grow into our Josh Allen on D.  If he can figure it out, watch out.  Just like Josh, he’s not my first choice but I can get why he’s the choice.  Immense upside. I’m to the point where I can get behind it enough to not be angry when it happens 

     

    I love Cisco but I’d rather add a playmaker on O with one of our 1st 3 picks.  We need a home run hitter or two.  True story. 
     

    would love cleveland at that spot, but I think he’ll be gone by then.  Harris, hell yeah.  That’s the kind of guy I want with our last pick. 


    If I could add two offensive playmakers in this draft is would be Michael Carter in round 3 and Jacob Harris late. Harris has the ability to be the steal of the draft.

    1 hour ago, gjv001 said:

    Bills mock draft;

     

    Round 1] Trade with Atlanta. Bills receive Atlanta's 2nd and 4th.

                2] from Atlanta;  Travis Etiene  RB Clemson

                2] Kelvin Joseph CB  Kentucky

                3] Joseph Ossai  DE Texas

                4] Tyler Shelvin   DT LSU

                5]  Traded to Philadelphia For Zack Ertz

                5] Jamien Sherwood  S  Auburn

                6]  Traded to Philadelphia for Zack Ertz

                7] Josh Ball OT Marshall


    I think Joseph has some off the field issues. I don’t think he is a fit for the Bills.

  6. 8 hours ago, NewEra said:

    Well done @billspro

     

     It really looks like Adebo might be our guy in rd 2.  After watching more and more of his tape, I’d be ok with him there.  I have a 3rd rd grade on him but we’re almost picking in rd 3.  I think McD can work wonders with him.  Gabe Davis really worked him over 2 yeees ago, but I trust MCD can get him right.
     

    I’ve had nightmares about oweh, and I agree, he’s probably the guy @ 30.  It’ll be nice to have another athlete with elite traits that we can watch, hopefully grow into our Josh Allen on D.  If he can figure it out, watch out.  Just like Josh, he’s not my first choice but I can get why he’s the choice.  Immense upside. I’m to the point where I can get behind it enough to not be angry when it happens 

     

    I love Cisco but I’d rather add a playmaker on O with one of our 1st 3 picks.  We need a home run hitter or two.  True story. 
     

    would love cleveland at that spot, but I think he’ll be gone by then.  Harris, hell yeah.  That’s the kind of guy I want with our last pick. 


    yeah it’s hard to know which OL might fall to round 4. There are probably 4-5 OL that have a chance to fall to round 4. We are probably trading up for whoever is the last one.

    4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

    I don't love Oweh as our first pick. I don't disagree with @billspro over his ceiling being a top 10 edge rusher inside 2 years but I think the floor is a guy who is out of the league before the end of his rookie deal. 

     

    I am an Adebo fan and while I don't love Cisco I don't hate the value there in round 3. 


    I agree with you. Beane has taken that type of risk on guys like Allen and Edmunds though. I trust our coaching staff with guys like Oweh. I would never draft a guy like that in the past.

  7. 1) Lawrence

    2) Wilson

    3) Jones

    4) Pitts

    5) Chase

    6) Waddle

    7) Sewell

    😎Fields via trade

    9) Lance

    10) Surtain

    11) Parsons

    12) Darrisaw

    13) Slater

    14) AVT

    15) Smith

    16) Horn

    17) JOK

    18) Ojulari

    19) Newsome

    20) Jenkins

    21) Paye

    22) Farley

    23) Phillips

    24) Collins

    25) Leatherwood

    26) Davis

    27) Barmore

    28) Humphrey

    29) Bateman

    30) Oweh

    31) Marshall jr

    32) Onwuzurike

     

    30 Jayson Oweh DE

    61 Paulson Adebo CB

     

    TRADE! BUF trades 93 +2022 4th for pick 79

    79 Andre Cisco S

     

    TRADE! BUF trades 161 + 174+ 213 for pick 129

    129 Ben Cleveland OG

     

    236 Jacob Harris TE

     

    • Like (+1) 2
  8. 3 minutes ago, Max Fischer said:

    IMO, King does not a compelling case, just rehashes the "speed" issue.  Moreover, I don't want the Bills to utilize more RB screen plays, they are a throw downfield team. On this mock, it seems tOjulari would still be available. If so, that would make much more sense.  


    I don’t like our edge room at all right now. We have two older players that could get worse at any moment and two rotational DEs that haven’t shown the ability to get to the QB yet. Please draft edge in round 1🙏

    • Like (+1) 5
    • Agree 1
  9. 8 hours ago, HappyDays said:

     

    I'm less sure that Oweh even makes it to the Bills. Ravens or Steelers might take him first. With a poor edge rusher class, players like him get drafted higher than people think. For similar reasons I think DT Levi Onwuzurike gets picked in the 1st round despite most mocks putting him in the 2nd. Everyday I'm more certain that CB will be the best value available at pick 30.


    I will be pretty mad if someone takes Oweh before us

    34 minutes ago, McBean said:


    No, scoring more points gets us past the Chiefs.

     

    Defense is so overrated in the NFL it’s sickening.

     

    We need more speed and playmakers to beat KC.


    we can add that too. You at least need to be able to make stops and create turnover. Our defence doesn’t create enough negative plays to be successful against the Chiefs. The Bucs won with defence.

  10. 8 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

    Here's mine with no trades:

     

    #30 Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia

    #61 Landon Dickerson, C, Alabama

    #93 Alim McNeil, DT, NC State

    #161 Anthony Schwartz, WR, Auburn

    #174 Shaka Toney, EDGE, Penn State

    #213 Deonte Brown, G, Alabama

    #236 Anthony Hines III, LB, Texas A&M

     
    that would be a very good draft. I think you have a pretty good chance of guessing the picks too.

    2 minutes ago, The Governor said:

    If we draft another bust from Penn State, someone has to be punished. I would like to stay away from DE unless Phillips drops to us. I’m getting sick to my stomach just thinking about it.

     

    Some of you guys are real glutens for punishment.


    Maybins tape wasn’t good in college. They are nothing alike. Most people thought Maybin was going to be a bust right after the draft.

    9 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

    What is your expectaion for Oweh in 2021 if the Bills take him?
     

    What sort of playing time do you think he will have?

     


    I think he would win a starting role by midseason and be a beast for us in the playoffs.

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  11. This is what I would do if I was the GM. I have hit the Bills picks 3 or 4 times over the 15 years I have been doing this.

     

     30 Jayson Oweh DE

    61 Paulson Adebo CB

    TRADE! BUF trades 93 +2022 4th for pick 79

    79 Andre Cisco S

    TRADE! BUF trades 161 + 174+ 213 for pick 129

    129 Ben Cleveland OG

     

    236 Jacob Harris TE

     

     

     

    • Like (+1) 4
    • Vomit 4
    • Disagree 1
  12. On 4/13/2021 at 7:42 AM, Blokestradamus said:

     

    I agree that his landing spot is absolutely crucial. Oweh was a really easy evaluation for me because it's really clear where his weaknesses are. I don't think it's all that hard to plot a path to success for him, it's just going to take an incredible work ethic and some tough coaching over the next 2-3 years.

     

    From a Bills-specific point, I'd maybe look at him as a SAM in base sets and sprinkle him into the rotation as a rookie. As he proves himself, you up his workload. He's far from my favourite edge prospect but I could get on board with him as a long-term project. The problem is can you justify taking him where he's likely to be picked in favour of other players, especially when some people consider the Bills as a team with a legit Super Bowl shot?


    If I felt this was our only year to have a shot at a Super Bowl than I might shy away from Oweh. Although it wouldn’t surprise me if he was making a big impact by playoffs. If we hit on an elite pass rusher this team is going to have a long Super Bowl window. Oweh is my guy at 30, I understand the risk. 

    • Dislike 1
  13. On 4/11/2021 at 3:21 PM, OldTimer1960 said:

    Agreed on Oweh - no improvement and he will be lucky to make it past year two.


    It will depend a lot on the coaching and organization. I think he becomes a star if we draft him. I think he would be the best player on our defence year too. Edge is the most important position the be a freak athlete.

  14. 4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

    Here is the update..... version 2.0 (only 1 round this time) is here!!

     

    1 Jacksonville Jaguars – Trevor Lawrence, Quarterback, Clemson

    No change here. Lawrence is the Jaguars’ pick.

     

    2 New York Jets – Zach Wilson, Quarterback, BYU

    Sam Darnold has gone and the Jets are now locked in on Wilson.

     

    3 San Francisco 49ers – Justin Fields, Quarterback, Ohio State

    The 49ers didn’t trade up to #3 for any other position. This is to select a Quarterback. The question now is which one? I know all the buzz is Mac Jones but I have felt since I started on Fields’ tape that he is a perfect fit in a Shanahan style offense that simplifies reads while he develops as a reader of the field.

     

    4 TRADE! New England Patriots – Trey Lance, Quarterback, North Dakota State (Patriots get #4; Falcons get #15, #46, #122 & 2022 1st round pick)

    The Patriots have been aggressive in upgrading their roster this offseason and they don’t have a toon of remaining needs but it matters for nothing without better quarterback play. If the 49ers are serious about holding onto Garoppolo then their only remaining option is the draft so they pay the piper and move up for Trey Lance.

     

    5 Cincinnati Bengals – Penei Sewell, Offensive Tackle, Oregon

    I have heard the rumours linking Ja’Marr Chase with Cincy and it would be a typical Bengals move. But I am going to give them more credit than they’re due here and stick with my prediction that they select Penei Sewell to protect Joe Burrow’s blindside for the next decade.

     

    6 Miami Dolphins – Kyle Pitts, Tight End, Florida

    Miami’s free agent addition of Will Fuller gives them the speedy separator at receiver that I think was an essential need. They could still add a further receiver at this spot but Kyle Pitts is almost a receiver and tight end rolled into one and is an intriguing option.

     

    7 Detroit Lions – Micah Parsons, Linebacker, Penn State

    Everyone has been mocking a wide receiver here and with good reason, the Lions’ top 3 options left in free agency. However, think back to the Dan Campbell press conference. Did that sound like a guy about to draft a receiver with his first pick? Or would a hard hitting linebacker (also a major need for Detroit) be more his style?

     

    8 Carolina Panthers – Patrick Surtain, Cornerback, Alabama

    There are two ways the Panthers could go here. They could add Rashawn Slater and plug him in at left tackle but this is a deep tackle class and they might be able to address the spot in round 2. It is a comparatively thin corner class outside of the round 1 guys and so they nab Surtain here, who has the highest floor in the draft and can be penciled in as a long term starter.

      

    9 Denver Broncos – Rashawn Slater, Offensive Tackle, Northwestern

    The Broncos could still go corner here even though they brought Kyle Fuller and Ronald Darby in as free agents, but with Surtain gone and Caleb Farley’s back issue, I could see them passing and instead adding further strength to their offensive line. I would expect Slater to start at left tackle with Garrett Bolles sliding to the right side.

     

    10 Dallas Cowboys – Jaycee Horn, Cornerback, South Carolina

    Even before Farley’s injury I had heard that the Cowboys were really high on Horn. They have a desperate need at corner and he fits nicely in the scheme that new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn wants to run.

     

    11 New York Giants – Jaylen Waddle, Wide Receiver, Alabama

    Even with Kenny Golladay in the fold this is a need for the Giants. Waddle’s speed and ability to line up all over the formation is a good compliment for Golladay’s vertical threat.

     

    12 Philadelphia Eagles – Ja’Marr Chase, Wide Receiver, LSU

    The Eagles might have taken Jalon Reagor in the first-round last year but even if that works out longer term they still have a need for playmakers on the outside and the way the board has fallen Chase is easily the best player available.

     

    13 Los Angeles Chargers – DeVonta Smith, Wide Receiver, Alabama

    The Chargers have a big need at tackle but it’s a good class and they might well be able to fill that spot in round two. Smith is the best player available and while the Chargers don’t have an immediate need at receiver, Mike Williams is a free agent after this season.

     

    14 Minnesota Vikings – Kwity Paye, Edge Rusher, Michigan

    The Vikings have a major need at edge. Other than Danielle Hunter, coming off a year away and surgery on a herniated disk, they have 7th rounders and undrafted free agents at the position. Paye is the best 4-3 end in the class.

     

    15 (From New England) Atlanta Falcons – Caleb Farley, Cornerback, Virginia Tech

    The Falcons have needs everywhere on the defensive side of the ball. I am not sure how Caleb Farley’s back is going to check out but his camp are describing his recent procedure as “minor”. It might be a risk the Falcons just have to take for a potential difference maker.

     

    16 TRADE! Tennessee Titans – Gregory Rousseau, Edge Rusher, Miami (Titans get #16, Cardinals get #22, #85 & #100)

    This trade works for three reasons… i. the Raiders, Dolphins and Colts are all teams who could be in the edge rusher market so you need to jump them; ii. the Titans tried and failed to address the position in free agency last year; iii. the Cardinals have no 3rd or 4th round picks in this draft and will be keen to replenish their stock in those middle rounds. Why Rousseau? I heard Mike Vrabel interviewed in the run up to the last draft and he said he really values length in edge rushers. Rousseau at 6’7 and with huge, long, arms fits the profile.

     

    17 Las Vegas Raiders – Trevon Moehrig, Safety, TCU

    The Raiders are a difficult team to predict but Moehrig is Mike Mayock’s type of football player. Smart, instinctive, flies to the football and forces turnovers. Two first round safeties in three drafts wouldn’t be great positional value though.

     

    18 Miami Dolphins – Azeez Ojulari, Edge Rusher, Georgia

    I mocked an edge rusher (Rousseau) here in v1.0 too but it makes even more sense to me now after Miami moved on from their two big 2020 free agent edge signings in Kyle Van Noy and Shaq Lawson. I am not completely sold on the undersized Ojulari but he is a better fit for 3-4 teams like the Dolphins.

     

    19 Washington Football Team – Christian Darrisaw, Offensive Tackle, Virginia Tech

    I remain sold on this pick too. Left tackle is a big hole on a team that made the playoffs as a below .500 club but if they can sort out the Quarterback position they are not that many other pieces away. Darrisaw is not the finished article but his potential is sky high.

     

    20 Chicago Bears – Mac Jones, Quarterback, Alabama

    The Bears tried to sign Russell Wilson and ended up with Andy Dalton. I just don’t see how you can try and sell your fanbase on a Quarterback competition between Dalton and Nick Foles. If one of the five Quarterbacks falls this far you have to believe that Ryan Pace will feel the pressure to select him.

     

    21 Indianapolis Colts – Greg Newsome, Cornerback, Northwestern

    The Cots brough Xavier Rhodes back for another year but on a very modest contract and while he and 2019 2nd rounder Rock Ya-Sin mean the cupboard isn’t totally bare at corner they definitely need an upgrade. Newsome is raw but has elite coverage skills and feels like a Chris Ballard type of player.

     

    22 (From Tennessee) Arizona Cardinals – Travis Etienne, Running Back, Clemson

    The Cardinals have a need at corner and at interior offensive line but this is early for players at either spot. Kliff Kingsbury has his two big guys on the outside in D’Andre Hopkins and AJ Green but their offense needs explosive speed – and Travis Etienne is the man to bring that both running out of spread formations and as a receiver out of the backfield.

     

    23 New York Jets – Alijah Vera-Tucker, Offensive Tackle, USC

    The Jets spent their free agency dollars on the defense for the most part, while adding Corey Davis to 2020 2nd rounder Denzel Mims at wideout. Strangely though, given the Sam Darnold experience, they didn’t upgrade the protection for their latest franchise saviour at Quarterback. Vera-Tucker solidified himself as a first-round pick by looking equally dominant at left tackle in 2020 as he did at guard in 2019 and he could start either at guard or right tackle as a rookie.

     

    24 Pittsburgh Steelers – Najee Harris, Running Back, Alabama

    The Steelers brought Big Ben back and then re-signed Juju Smith-Schuster on a one-year deal. They are all in on a last ride in 2021 and to do that they have to find more offensive balance and so Harris makes sense as a scheme fit and an immediate upgrade at running back.

     

    25 Jacksonville Jaguars – Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, Linebacker, Notre Dame

    Urban Meyer has always struck me as a guy who worries about what players can do and not what they can’t. I can imagine the Jags using JOK similarly to the way that the Chargers have used Derwin James – he might nominally start at safety but he would be let loose to go and make plays.

     

    26 Cleveland Browns – Jaelen Phillips, Edge Rusher, Miami

    The Browns need help on defense. I would, ordinarily, say that their back 7 is the greater need but with Olivier Vernon having departed the idea of plugging Phillips in opposite Myles Garrett might just be too good to pass on.

     

    27 Baltimore Ravens – Terrace Marshall, Wide Receiver, LSU

    The Ravens need more weapons for Lamar Jackson. The reason I see Marshall as a fit is his experience playing inside as a big slot. We know Jackson is a much better, more accomplished thrower inside the numbers and Marshall can run those tough routes across the middle and has the speed to go deep down the seam.

     

    28 New Orleans Saints – Kelvin Joseph, Cornerback, Kentucky

    The Saints are currently penciling in 33 year old journeyman Patrick Robinson in as their starter at corner opposite Marshon Lattimore and to make things worse Lattimore is playing on his 5th year option and their cap situation means a long term deal is tricky to do. Joseph is underrated and more than held his own against the best receivers in the SEC.

     

    29 Green Bay Packers – Jamin Davis, Linebacker, Kentucky

    It won’t impress Green Bay fans or Aaron Rodgers but I am going defense here and it is two Kentucky Wildcats in a row in the first round of the NFL draft! After letting Blake Martinez walk in free agency last offseason the interior linebacker spots were a major weakness in 2020, Davis is a beast and a day 1 upgrade.

     

    30 Buffalo Bills – Joseph Ossai, Edge Rusher, Texas

    This is not exactly the position the Bills would hope to find themselves in at #30 but a result of being a team in the hunt for a Superbowl is that you often end up without your first choice of players at end of round 1. We know that Dan Morgan was at the Texas pro day and very much focused on Ossai so maybe the Bills take a punt on the raw talent and athleticism here – even if he might not be a day 1 contributor.

     

    31 Kansas City Chiefs – Liam Eichenburg, Offensive Tackle, Notre Dame

    Everyone knows the Chiefs need tackle help and I am going to go for Eichenburg ahead of Alex Leatherwood and Teven Jenkins because of his ability to man the blind side. He is a polished, high floor player who is capable of stepping in as an opening day starter.

     

    32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Christian Barmore, Defensive Tackle, Alabama

    The Buccaneers success in 2020 was as much about their fearsome defensive front as it was about Tom Brady’s offense, but they are old up there. Vita Vea is locked in as their nose tackle but Ndamukong Suh and William Gholston are the starters at those end positions of the 3 man front and both are well into their 30s. Barmore would give them some youth in reserve and ready to take over in 2022.

     

     

    Okay... I'm gonna put my hard hat on.... flame away! :D

     


    Interesting choice. I really like Ossai and I think he will go higher than most think. 
     

    I would be fine with that selection. He’s like a younger Hughes. 

    4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

    Here is the update..... version 2.0 (only 1 round this time) is here!!

     

    1 Jacksonville Jaguars – Trevor Lawrence, Quarterback, Clemson

    No change here. Lawrence is the Jaguars’ pick.

     

    2 New York Jets – Zach Wilson, Quarterback, BYU

    Sam Darnold has gone and the Jets are now locked in on Wilson.

     

    3 San Francisco 49ers – Justin Fields, Quarterback, Ohio State

    The 49ers didn’t trade up to #3 for any other position. This is to select a Quarterback. The question now is which one? I know all the buzz is Mac Jones but I have felt since I started on Fields’ tape that he is a perfect fit in a Shanahan style offense that simplifies reads while he develops as a reader of the field.

     

    4 TRADE! New England Patriots – Trey Lance, Quarterback, North Dakota State (Patriots get #4; Falcons get #15, #46, #122 & 2022 1st round pick)

    The Patriots have been aggressive in upgrading their roster this offseason and they don’t have a toon of remaining needs but it matters for nothing without better quarterback play. If the 49ers are serious about holding onto Garoppolo then their only remaining option is the draft so they pay the piper and move up for Trey Lance.

     

    5 Cincinnati Bengals – Penei Sewell, Offensive Tackle, Oregon

    I have heard the rumours linking Ja’Marr Chase with Cincy and it would be a typical Bengals move. But I am going to give them more credit than they’re due here and stick with my prediction that they select Penei Sewell to protect Joe Burrow’s blindside for the next decade.

     

    6 Miami Dolphins – Kyle Pitts, Tight End, Florida

    Miami’s free agent addition of Will Fuller gives them the speedy separator at receiver that I think was an essential need. They could still add a further receiver at this spot but Kyle Pitts is almost a receiver and tight end rolled into one and is an intriguing option.

     

    7 Detroit Lions – Micah Parsons, Linebacker, Penn State

    Everyone has been mocking a wide receiver here and with good reason, the Lions’ top 3 options left in free agency. However, think back to the Dan Campbell press conference. Did that sound like a guy about to draft a receiver with his first pick? Or would a hard hitting linebacker (also a major need for Detroit) be more his style?

     

    8 Carolina Panthers – Patrick Surtain, Cornerback, Alabama

    There are two ways the Panthers could go here. They could add Rashawn Slater and plug him in at left tackle but this is a deep tackle class and they might be able to address the spot in round 2. It is a comparatively thin corner class outside of the round 1 guys and so they nab Surtain here, who has the highest floor in the draft and can be penciled in as a long term starter.

      

    9 Denver Broncos – Rashawn Slater, Offensive Tackle, Northwestern

    The Broncos could still go corner here even though they brought Kyle Fuller and Ronald Darby in as free agents, but with Surtain gone and Caleb Farley’s back issue, I could see them passing and instead adding further strength to their offensive line. I would expect Slater to start at left tackle with Garrett Bolles sliding to the right side.

     

    10 Dallas Cowboys – Jaycee Horn, Cornerback, South Carolina

    Even before Farley’s injury I had heard that the Cowboys were really high on Horn. They have a desperate need at corner and he fits nicely in the scheme that new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn wants to run.

     

    11 New York Giants – Jaylen Waddle, Wide Receiver, Alabama

    Even with Kenny Golladay in the fold this is a need for the Giants. Waddle’s speed and ability to line up all over the formation is a good compliment for Golladay’s vertical threat.

     

    12 Philadelphia Eagles – Ja’Marr Chase, Wide Receiver, LSU

    The Eagles might have taken Jalon Reagor in the first-round last year but even if that works out longer term they still have a need for playmakers on the outside and the way the board has fallen Chase is easily the best player available.

     

    13 Los Angeles Chargers – DeVonta Smith, Wide Receiver, Alabama

    The Chargers have a big need at tackle but it’s a good class and they might well be able to fill that spot in round two. Smith is the best player available and while the Chargers don’t have an immediate need at receiver, Mike Williams is a free agent after this season.

     

    14 Minnesota Vikings – Kwity Paye, Edge Rusher, Michigan

    The Vikings have a major need at edge. Other than Danielle Hunter, coming off a year away and surgery on a herniated disk, they have 7th rounders and undrafted free agents at the position. Paye is the best 4-3 end in the class.

     

    15 (From New England) Atlanta Falcons – Caleb Farley, Cornerback, Virginia Tech

    The Falcons have needs everywhere on the defensive side of the ball. I am not sure how Caleb Farley’s back is going to check out but his camp are describing his recent procedure as “minor”. It might be a risk the Falcons just have to take for a potential difference maker.

     

    16 TRADE! Tennessee Titans – Gregory Rousseau, Edge Rusher, Miami (Titans get #16, Cardinals get #22, #85 & #100)

    This trade works for three reasons… i. the Raiders, Dolphins and Colts are all teams who could be in the edge rusher market so you need to jump them; ii. the Titans tried and failed to address the position in free agency last year; iii. the Cardinals have no 3rd or 4th round picks in this draft and will be keen to replenish their stock in those middle rounds. Why Rousseau? I heard Mike Vrabel interviewed in the run up to the last draft and he said he really values length in edge rushers. Rousseau at 6’7 and with huge, long, arms fits the profile.

     

    17 Las Vegas Raiders – Trevon Moehrig, Safety, TCU

    The Raiders are a difficult team to predict but Moehrig is Mike Mayock’s type of football player. Smart, instinctive, flies to the football and forces turnovers. Two first round safeties in three drafts wouldn’t be great positional value though.

     

    18 Miami Dolphins – Azeez Ojulari, Edge Rusher, Georgia

    I mocked an edge rusher (Rousseau) here in v1.0 too but it makes even more sense to me now after Miami moved on from their two big 2020 free agent edge signings in Kyle Van Noy and Shaq Lawson. I am not completely sold on the undersized Ojulari but he is a better fit for 3-4 teams like the Dolphins.

     

    19 Washington Football Team – Christian Darrisaw, Offensive Tackle, Virginia Tech

    I remain sold on this pick too. Left tackle is a big hole on a team that made the playoffs as a below .500 club but if they can sort out the Quarterback position they are not that many other pieces away. Darrisaw is not the finished article but his potential is sky high.

     

    20 Chicago Bears – Mac Jones, Quarterback, Alabama

    The Bears tried to sign Russell Wilson and ended up with Andy Dalton. I just don’t see how you can try and sell your fanbase on a Quarterback competition between Dalton and Nick Foles. If one of the five Quarterbacks falls this far you have to believe that Ryan Pace will feel the pressure to select him.

     

    21 Indianapolis Colts – Greg Newsome, Cornerback, Northwestern

    The Cots brough Xavier Rhodes back for another year but on a very modest contract and while he and 2019 2nd rounder Rock Ya-Sin mean the cupboard isn’t totally bare at corner they definitely need an upgrade. Newsome is raw but has elite coverage skills and feels like a Chris Ballard type of player.

     

    22 (From Tennessee) Arizona Cardinals – Travis Etienne, Running Back, Clemson

    The Cardinals have a need at corner and at interior offensive line but this is early for players at either spot. Kliff Kingsbury has his two big guys on the outside in D’Andre Hopkins and AJ Green but their offense needs explosive speed – and Travis Etienne is the man to bring that both running out of spread formations and as a receiver out of the backfield.

     

    23 New York Jets – Alijah Vera-Tucker, Offensive Tackle, USC

    The Jets spent their free agency dollars on the defense for the most part, while adding Corey Davis to 2020 2nd rounder Denzel Mims at wideout. Strangely though, given the Sam Darnold experience, they didn’t upgrade the protection for their latest franchise saviour at Quarterback. Vera-Tucker solidified himself as a first-round pick by looking equally dominant at left tackle in 2020 as he did at guard in 2019 and he could start either at guard or right tackle as a rookie.

     

    24 Pittsburgh Steelers – Najee Harris, Running Back, Alabama

    The Steelers brought Big Ben back and then re-signed Juju Smith-Schuster on a one-year deal. They are all in on a last ride in 2021 and to do that they have to find more offensive balance and so Harris makes sense as a scheme fit and an immediate upgrade at running back.

     

    25 Jacksonville Jaguars – Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, Linebacker, Notre Dame

    Urban Meyer has always struck me as a guy who worries about what players can do and not what they can’t. I can imagine the Jags using JOK similarly to the way that the Chargers have used Derwin James – he might nominally start at safety but he would be let loose to go and make plays.

     

    26 Cleveland Browns – Jaelen Phillips, Edge Rusher, Miami

    The Browns need help on defense. I would, ordinarily, say that their back 7 is the greater need but with Olivier Vernon having departed the idea of plugging Phillips in opposite Myles Garrett might just be too good to pass on.

     

    27 Baltimore Ravens – Terrace Marshall, Wide Receiver, LSU

    The Ravens need more weapons for Lamar Jackson. The reason I see Marshall as a fit is his experience playing inside as a big slot. We know Jackson is a much better, more accomplished thrower inside the numbers and Marshall can run those tough routes across the middle and has the speed to go deep down the seam.

     

    28 New Orleans Saints – Kelvin Joseph, Cornerback, Kentucky

    The Saints are currently penciling in 33 year old journeyman Patrick Robinson in as their starter at corner opposite Marshon Lattimore and to make things worse Lattimore is playing on his 5th year option and their cap situation means a long term deal is tricky to do. Joseph is underrated and more than held his own against the best receivers in the SEC.

     

    29 Green Bay Packers – Jamin Davis, Linebacker, Kentucky

    It won’t impress Green Bay fans or Aaron Rodgers but I am going defense here and it is two Kentucky Wildcats in a row in the first round of the NFL draft! After letting Blake Martinez walk in free agency last offseason the interior linebacker spots were a major weakness in 2020, Davis is a beast and a day 1 upgrade.

     

    30 Buffalo Bills – Joseph Ossai, Edge Rusher, Texas

    This is not exactly the position the Bills would hope to find themselves in at #30 but a result of being a team in the hunt for a Superbowl is that you often end up without your first choice of players at end of round 1. We know that Dan Morgan was at the Texas pro day and very much focused on Ossai so maybe the Bills take a punt on the raw talent and athleticism here – even if he might not be a day 1 contributor.

     

    31 Kansas City Chiefs – Liam Eichenburg, Offensive Tackle, Notre Dame

    Everyone knows the Chiefs need tackle help and I am going to go for Eichenburg ahead of Alex Leatherwood and Teven Jenkins because of his ability to man the blind side. He is a polished, high floor player who is capable of stepping in as an opening day starter.

     

    32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Christian Barmore, Defensive Tackle, Alabama

    The Buccaneers success in 2020 was as much about their fearsome defensive front as it was about Tom Brady’s offense, but they are old up there. Vita Vea is locked in as their nose tackle but Ndamukong Suh and William Gholston are the starters at those end positions of the 3 man front and both are well into their 30s. Barmore would give them some youth in reserve and ready to take over in 2022.

     

     

    Okay... I'm gonna put my hard hat on.... flame away! :D

     

    If it’s me I would take Oweh there. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if he was a top 3 player from this class. I know he’s a boom or bust guy but we know Beane isn’t afraid to take a swing on a special player in round 1. See Josh Allen and Tremaine Edmunds. 

  15. 13 hours ago, Boxcar said:

    Not entirely fair, Oliver was out of position quite a bit. We really need a true 1T for him to shine.


    people say that a lot but he needs to step it up on 3rd down and a 1T isn’t going to help him in that situation.

    15 minutes ago, Doc Brown said:

    It's pry a make or break season for all four of our picks in the top three rounds (Oliver, Ford, Singletary, Knox) in the 2019 draft.  No stars or busts in that class so far.  All have made plays that showed why the Bills drafted them but the consistency just hasn't been there.  If two or three have a breakout season then that might be all it takes to take that next step and play in LA next February.


    We will definitely know what we have next year. They all need to make a jump.

  16. On 4/3/2021 at 4:13 PM, Logic said:

    There are several mid to late round WRs that have either great straight line speed or great quickness/agility, or in some bases both.

    Anthony Schwartz
    Marquez Stevenson
    Jaelon Dardon
    Dwayne Eskridge

    Ihmir Smith-Marsette
    Simi Fehoko
    Dazz Newsome

    I hope the Bills find a way to draft 1-2 of them. Most of them lack route-running nuance and/or can't be counted on to be successful as classic outside receivers right off the bat. Luckily, we don't need them to. They can come in as gadget guys and return specialists and then learn the finer points of the position from our great corps of veteran WRs.

    One of those guys needs to be a Bill. I would add Jacob Harris to the list.

  17. 1 hour ago, OldTimer1960 said:

    I wouldn't say *easily* worth the risk, but certainly tempting if he were available.


    well you are getting a Garrett and Young type talent. I think it would be worth it at 30. That’s the only way this pass rush is going to get better. We need to take a risk.

    • Like (+1) 1
  18. 22 hours ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

    DE and DT Prospects who people believe should have gone higher than we picked them at is A-Okay for me. 


    I wouldn’t expect either of those guys to be available but that would be a heck of a draft day. That’s the nice thing about having a roster that lets you draft BPA. 

    19 hours ago, LyndonvilleBill said:

    I have questions on Philipps and I am not sure I would take him as our 1st round pick (or at all). Concussions and already retired once to pursue other life aspirations? I've said in other posts, we already have Morse in that program... Is he done if he gets another concussion? Would we really want to spend a first on Phillip's given his past? Seems like quite a risk to me...🤔

    He’s a top 5 pick if healthy. That’s easily worth the risk. 

  19. On 3/11/2021 at 7:28 AM, BADOLBILZ said:

     

    If they make the wrong decision and take a running back early I hope they at least don't put the process on "Bills embedded" like when Beane hungrily jumped up for Cody Ford.    Passing on DK and AJ (oh and Elgton Jenkins @Logic) was bad enough.    This isn't 1988.......taking a RB early is a BAD play.    

    Etienne is more than a RB. We would be lucky to have him. I would be happy if we got Rodgers too.

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