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Irv

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Posts posted by Irv

  1. Just now, Joe Ferguson forever said:

    Why are you not better off Irv?  Are you a worthless loser?  your mom must be so proud.

     

    You gonna squirt a few?    Go back to reading your comic books and leave the political discourse to those with a brain.  Why am I not better off?  

     

    1. Gas prices
    2. Food prices
    3. Utility prices
    4. Interest rates
    5. Illegal immigration
    6. Wars
    7. Energy dependence on our enemies
    8. Growing nuclear capability of our enemies
    9. Crime
    10. A disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan
    11. Instability in Asia and the Middle East
    12. Ongoing COVID-19 restrictions
    13. Iranian sanctions relief
    14. Men participating in women's sports
    15. Ninth month abortions
    16. Fentanyl
    17. National debt
    18. Chinese air balloons
    19. Hunter still a free man
    20. Politicizing DOJ and FBI

    There.  Twenty to start with.  Repeat the line.  What a mess.  

  2. 11 hours ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

     

    Come on man.  Do better.  Be better.

     

    I expect this to be edited with something of higher comedic value.  Or just tell us another donkey show story.  Do you have any where you aren't the main performer?

    Are you sure Obammy approved your message?

  3. 36 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:

    I'll give a serious response.

    I want Harris to win, or more accurately, I want Trump to lose.

    But I don't understand how being a fan makes people unable to make predictions against their fandom. There was never a time I wanted the dynasty Pats to beat the Bills, but I would have never ever bet on the Bills straight up to beat the Pats in any of those games.

     

    So ... if I were a betting man, my money's on Trump by a slim margin.

     

    - Kamala will win the popular vote, but probably by less than Biden's margin. I say about 2.5 points. My main hope for Kamala: I have yet to see evidence that Trump could ever get beyond the 48.5% of the popular vote he's received in the last couple tries, so I am deeply skeptical of any poll that has him cracking the 50% barrier. So to be specific, I'd say Kamala 51%, Trump 48.5%, a few assorted RFK Jr. and 3rd party votes.

    - Trump will win the electoral college, and I do think PA will be pivotal. Most models say that if Kamala doesn't win the popular vote by more than 2.5%, she likely doesn't win the electoral college. (Not causation, but a strong correlation)

    - Trump will also win NC, AZ, NV

    - Reps will win the Senate and have at least the necessary 50 senators (Vance as tie-breaker) to control it.

    - Dems will win seats in the House, taking it to just about 50/50. This to me is key. If the Republicans keep power in the House, win the Senate, and win the White House (they already have the Supreme Court), there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes.

     

    "there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes"

     

    What schemes?

  4. 28 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:

    I'll give a serious response.

    I want Harris to win, or more accurately, I want Trump to lose.

    But I don't understand how being a fan makes people unable to make predictions against their fandom. There was never a time I wanted the dynasty Pats to beat the Bills, but I would have never ever bet on the Bills straight up to beat the Pats in any of those games.

     

    So ... if I were a betting man, my money's on Trump by a slim margin.

     

    - Kamala will win the popular vote, but probably by less than Biden's margin. I say about 2.5 points. My main hope for Kamala: I have yet to see evidence that Trump could ever get beyond the 48.5% of the popular vote he's received in the last couple tries, so I am deeply skeptical of any poll that has him cracking the 50% barrier. So to be specific, I'd say Kamala 51%, Trump 48.5%, a few assorted RFK Jr. and 3rd party votes.

    - Trump will win the electoral college, and I do think PA will be pivotal. Most models say that if Kamala doesn't win the popular vote by more than 2.5%, she likely doesn't win the electoral college. (Not causation, but a strong correlation)

    - Trump will also win NC, AZ, NV

    - Reps will win the Senate and have at least the necessary 50 senators (Vance as tie-breaker) to control it.

    - Dems will win seats in the House, taking it to just about 50/50. This to me is key. If the Republicans keep power in the House, win the Senate, and win the White House (they already have the Supreme Court), there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes.

     

     

    You were making sense until you weren't.  Maybe next time.  But probably not. 

  5. Would anybody be surprised if this election is not decided until six months into 2025?  This election cycle has been such a f*cking joke, there is no way it will be settled by the morning of 11/6.  The Democrats tried to run a mental incompetent to keep Obammy in power.  Then Pelosi commits a coup...to keep Obama in power.   They try to jail Trump three or four times without success.  They try to pull a fast one to get Hunter off Scot free. and watch idly as three wars start and Todd gets to have a ninth month abortion so he can compete in the NCAA swimming championships.  Then President Trump gets nearly assassinated twice by the Demented Biden White House.   How can this election end without controversy, lawsuits, another assassination attempt?  No way.  

     

    Not possible.  What a mess.  

     

     

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  6. 10 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:

    i wish I were being melodramatic. We will see unrest.  soon.  you're describing Balkanization which really isn't a good thing.  At all.  The difference from the race riots is that the current radicals have better organization and higher numbers.than those parties.  They mostly destroyed their own neighborhoods.  Don't think it'll be that way this time.

     

  7. That show is great.  I never saw an episode when it was running in prime time.  Now I have seen almost all the re-runs.  So well written.  Even the Kutcher episodes are pretty good.  Too bad Sheen went off his rocker.  Anyway - highly recommended.  

     

     

  8. On 10/23/2024 at 8:35 AM, Joe Ferguson forever said:

    https://www.prri.org/press-release/survey-four-in-ten-americans-are-susceptible-to-authoritarianism-but-most-still-reject-political-violence/

    25% of Americans support it.  Why?

    My guess is that they support authoritarians that they believe will take their side on issues.  Also, as demographics change, they believe winning elections for far right politicians becomes very difficult.

    Thoughts?

     

     

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