Irv
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Posts posted by Irv
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5 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
are you better off Irv. it wouldn't take much, would it? couple 100?
well, he's best friends with you. so...
That would be plenty. Your mom's relatively inexpensive.
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9 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
yes, i'm better off. and if you have an average sized 401k you almost certainly are too. but MAGA's are below average in just about everything but especially basic decency. c'mon Irv make a sexual joke about my dead mother. POS.
That wasn't a joke. What a mess.
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Just now, Tiberius said:
Dems have nothing else to run on other than this nonsense. Are you better off than you were four years ago? What a mess.
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11 hours ago, L Ron Burgundy said:
Come on man. Do better. Be better.
I expect this to be edited with something of higher comedic value. Or just tell us another donkey show story. Do you have any where you aren't the main performer?
Are you sure Obammy approved your message?
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2 hours ago, Roundybout said:
Do you know what a “tariff” is?Only if Obammy tells you. What a mess.
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8 minutes ago, Roundybout said:
How 'bout his plan to reintroduce Mckinleynomics?
You in a contest to make up more dumb shlt than that other dimwit?
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17 minutes ago, Roundybout said:
Saying insane things all the timeWhat schemes? Can you read?
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36 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:
I'll give a serious response.
I want Harris to win, or more accurately, I want Trump to lose.
But I don't understand how being a fan makes people unable to make predictions against their fandom. There was never a time I wanted the dynasty Pats to beat the Bills, but I would have never ever bet on the Bills straight up to beat the Pats in any of those games.
So ... if I were a betting man, my money's on Trump by a slim margin.
- Kamala will win the popular vote, but probably by less than Biden's margin. I say about 2.5 points. My main hope for Kamala: I have yet to see evidence that Trump could ever get beyond the 48.5% of the popular vote he's received in the last couple tries, so I am deeply skeptical of any poll that has him cracking the 50% barrier. So to be specific, I'd say Kamala 51%, Trump 48.5%, a few assorted RFK Jr. and 3rd party votes.
- Trump will win the electoral college, and I do think PA will be pivotal. Most models say that if Kamala doesn't win the popular vote by more than 2.5%, she likely doesn't win the electoral college. (Not causation, but a strong correlation)
- Trump will also win NC, AZ, NV
- Reps will win the Senate and have at least the necessary 50 senators (Vance as tie-breaker) to control it.
- Dems will win seats in the House, taking it to just about 50/50. This to me is key. If the Republicans keep power in the House, win the Senate, and win the White House (they already have the Supreme Court), there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes.
"there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes"
What schemes?
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28 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:
I'll give a serious response.
I want Harris to win, or more accurately, I want Trump to lose.
But I don't understand how being a fan makes people unable to make predictions against their fandom. There was never a time I wanted the dynasty Pats to beat the Bills, but I would have never ever bet on the Bills straight up to beat the Pats in any of those games.
So ... if I were a betting man, my money's on Trump by a slim margin.
- Kamala will win the popular vote, but probably by less than Biden's margin. I say about 2.5 points. My main hope for Kamala: I have yet to see evidence that Trump could ever get beyond the 48.5% of the popular vote he's received in the last couple tries, so I am deeply skeptical of any poll that has him cracking the 50% barrier. So to be specific, I'd say Kamala 51%, Trump 48.5%, a few assorted RFK Jr. and 3rd party votes.
- Trump will win the electoral college, and I do think PA will be pivotal. Most models say that if Kamala doesn't win the popular vote by more than 2.5%, she likely doesn't win the electoral college. (Not causation, but a strong correlation)
- Trump will also win NC, AZ, NV
- Reps will win the Senate and have at least the necessary 50 senators (Vance as tie-breaker) to control it.
- Dems will win seats in the House, taking it to just about 50/50. This to me is key. If the Republicans keep power in the House, win the Senate, and win the White House (they already have the Supreme Court), there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes.
You were making sense until you weren't. Maybe next time. But probably not.
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Would anybody be surprised if this election is not decided until six months into 2025? This election cycle has been such a f*cking joke, there is no way it will be settled by the morning of 11/6. The Democrats tried to run a mental incompetent to keep Obammy in power. Then Pelosi commits a coup...to keep Obama in power. They try to jail Trump three or four times without success. They try to pull a fast one to get Hunter off Scot free. and watch idly as three wars start and Todd gets to have a ninth month abortion so he can compete in the NCAA swimming championships. Then President Trump gets nearly assassinated twice by the Demented Biden White House. How can this election end without controversy, lawsuits, another assassination attempt? No way.
Not possible. What a mess.
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You never have two cups of coffee at home.
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38 minutes ago, Roundybout said:
Good breakdown, thanks. -
10 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
i wish I were being melodramatic. We will see unrest. soon. you're describing Balkanization which really isn't a good thing. At all. The difference from the race riots is that the current radicals have better organization and higher numbers.than those parties. They mostly destroyed their own neighborhoods. Don't think it'll be that way this time.
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Cumala - what a mess.
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That show is great. I never saw an episode when it was running in prime time. Now I have seen almost all the re-runs. So well written. Even the Kutcher episodes are pretty good. Too bad Sheen went off his rocker. Anyway - highly recommended.
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Trudeau. What a mess.
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2 hours ago, Starr-Bills said:
Wish I shared your confidence. Since it seems we have different definitions of survive and democracy as well. Guess we’ll see
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2 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said:
JT hates brown people. Sad! Or he thinks Trump is going to win and doesn’t want to tidal wave of mentally weak people coming across the southern border.
In anticipation of Cumala's defeat @BillStime fled for the Great White North two months ago. What a mess.
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30 minutes ago, Roundybout said:
1) Name one2) Why do you automatically assume that women and minorities are worse at their jobs than white men?
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13 minutes ago, Roundybout said:
Trump isn’t a fascist but Jesse Kelly sure as hell is
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1 minute ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
One side was Catholic, one Lutheran. Both were Christians who didn’t believe in beating anyone but did believe in the concept of a just was. WW2 clearly was that
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16 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
you're just not clever. At all...but thanks for reposting my hypothesis without a rebuttal. It showcases your mental weakness.
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On 10/23/2024 at 8:35 AM, Joe Ferguson forever said:
25% of Americans support it. Why?
My guess is that they support authoritarians that they believe will take their side on issues. Also, as demographics change, they believe winning elections for far right politicians becomes very difficult.
Thoughts?
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There are 500,000 Puerto Rican Voters in Pennsylvania
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
You gonna squirt a few? Go back to reading your comic books and leave the political discourse to those with a brain. Why am I not better off?
There. Twenty to start with. Repeat the line. What a mess.